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  4. Gas Holiday this Summer

Gas Holiday this Summer

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved The Back Room
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  • O Oakman

    bwilhite wrote:

    I don't think it would be pretty

    Which of these was pretty, in your estimation? 1819 panic • 1869 black Friday • 1873 panic • Paris 1882 • 1884 panic • 1893 panic • 1896 panic • 1901 panic • 1907 panic • 1929 Wall Street crash • 1973–1974 stock market crash • 1982 Souk Al-Manakh stock market crash • 1987 black Monday • 1989 Friday the 13th mini-crash • 1997 Asian financial crisis • 1997 mini-crash • 1998 Russian financial crisis • 2000 Dot-com bubble crash • 2002 stock market downturn • 2007 Chinese correction • 2008 credit market collapse

    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

    B Offline
    B Offline
    bwilhite
    wrote on last edited by
    #49

    Oh, and you didn't answer the question either... of what you think will happen if the government did create scarcity. I'll be fair and answer yours, though...obviously none of those are pretty. But I do still ask what makes you think they can be prevented?

    O 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • B bwilhite

      Oh, and you didn't answer the question either... of what you think will happen if the government did create scarcity. I'll be fair and answer yours, though...obviously none of those are pretty. But I do still ask what makes you think they can be prevented?

      O Offline
      O Offline
      Oakman
      wrote on last edited by
      #50

      bwilhite wrote:

      Oh, and you didn't answer the question either

      bwilhite wrote:

      Therefore I have to ask...

      I must have missed the Terms of Service for the SoapBox where it says I have to answer every question put to me. AFAIK because you feel you "have to ask" does not mean I have to answer. If I don't you are free to assume that I have no answer, that I don't like the answer, that I don't want to crush your soul by delivering the answer, that I have decided that the answer is so perfect that I am writing a book which will make me oodle of money, or that I have something more important to do, like sort socks. But I will answer you, if you'll answer one question for me: Find me a government of a country of more than ten - no five million people that does not manipulate the availability of goods and/or services within its own borders.

      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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      • O Oakman

        bwilhite wrote:

        Oh, and you didn't answer the question either

        bwilhite wrote:

        Therefore I have to ask...

        I must have missed the Terms of Service for the SoapBox where it says I have to answer every question put to me. AFAIK because you feel you "have to ask" does not mean I have to answer. If I don't you are free to assume that I have no answer, that I don't like the answer, that I don't want to crush your soul by delivering the answer, that I have decided that the answer is so perfect that I am writing a book which will make me oodle of money, or that I have something more important to do, like sort socks. But I will answer you, if you'll answer one question for me: Find me a government of a country of more than ten - no five million people that does not manipulate the availability of goods and/or services within its own borders.

        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

        B Offline
        B Offline
        bwilhite
        wrote on last edited by
        #51

        Lol. Must've hit a nerve there. Sorry that I happen to believe in reasoned discussion. My bad. I'll answer your question and call it done then. Of course, every country *attempts* to manipulate prices (usually through subsidies and tariffs). But this doesn't mean it's a good thing. And if the original comment we're talking about is correct (and I'm not saying it is)...basically that regulation would cause scarcity...at the very least we'd have a lot more complaining than we do now, at worst riots, there are lot of other possible unpleasant scenarios I'm sure.

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        • I Ilion

          Shog9 wrote:

          An angry, ill-considered response is worse than none at all.

          So true[^]

          Shog9 wrote:

          Then tell me my friend, do you really believe that you - and i - have no role in how this country is run? That we should accept the current state of affairs as the best possible situation for all involved? Do you accept the choices of the mob over your own judgment, or bite your tongue when you see madness and say to yourself, "if what i consider sanity were feasible, it would already be universal, therefore i am wrong and they are right"?

          And now, my friend, in even *asking* that question, you engage in misrepresentation. I really do have to wonder whether you actually read the post[^] to which you responded with that eminently stupid conflation of two quite un-like things (blatant governmental compulsion and a voluntary market economy).

          S Offline
          S Offline
          Shog9 0
          wrote on last edited by
          #52

          Ilíon wrote:

          I really do have to wonder whether you actually read the post[^] to which you responded with that eminently stupid conflation of two quite un-like things (blatant governmental compulsion and a voluntary market economy).

          You only think they're unlike. Both derive their power from the mandate of the people, and the people who ultimately wield such power will often do or say almost anything to hold onto it, even - or especially - if their actions subvert the process which first elevated them. Claims of a divine right of kings are not so different from the arguments for subverting the market to keep a failing business model alive, and surely you can see, especially now in this election year, how the pitchmen work both for those who would subvert the hand of the market and those who would subvert the needs of the electorate.

          Citizen 20.1.01

          'The question is,' said Humpty Dumpty, 'which is to be master - that's all.'

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          • B bwilhite

            Lol. Must've hit a nerve there. Sorry that I happen to believe in reasoned discussion. My bad. I'll answer your question and call it done then. Of course, every country *attempts* to manipulate prices (usually through subsidies and tariffs). But this doesn't mean it's a good thing. And if the original comment we're talking about is correct (and I'm not saying it is)...basically that regulation would cause scarcity...at the very least we'd have a lot more complaining than we do now, at worst riots, there are lot of other possible unpleasant scenarios I'm sure.

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Lost User
            wrote on last edited by
            #53

            bwilhite wrote:

            every country *attempts* to manipulate prices (usually through subsidies and tariffs).

            Just to clarify, I was not advocating subsidies or tariffs. I was merely saying that there needs to be an increased efficiency in bring produce to the consumer -- without prices increasing many times in between due to trading done by intermediaries. And no, I don't have a solution for that either.

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            • L Lost User

              The existing commodities trading does not benefit the producer or the consumer. Any system that is not in favor of real contributors to the economy needs changes. Let me give another example of regulation favoring speculators: Short selling. Traditionally, anyone could sell stock in a company without owning it due to the inability of the system to identify whether the user owned stock. When the systems evolved to a situation where it could be identified whether the user owned shares, what did regulators do? They legalize borrowed selling. Who does it benefit? Speculators. People who have no interest in the market at the time of a negative story benefits. People who legally owned the shares -- well, they are screwed more than they should be. The argument is that short selling increases liquidity. No one shorts in a bull market. In a bear market, existing stock owners lose out due to speculative short selling pressures. It is quite easy to ensure that only stock holders can sell.

              B Offline
              B Offline
              bwilhite
              wrote on last edited by
              #54

              To be fair, I must first say that I actually trade for a living and I've been trading for years, so obviously I'm coming from a certain perspective (not feeling good today, so I'm taking it easy). I believe the existing trading does benefit both producer and consumer. How? By providing for orderly price discovery. Without this a loaf of bread might cost $0.99 today and the same loaf $3 tomorrow. The speculators that you seem to think are the problem (of which I might be one I guess), provide the liquidity for those contracts. So if ADM wants to sell their wheat in a month at today's prices but yet Sara Lee isn't buying...that's where the speculator *risks* his money and buys. Of course it can go the other way. The people who owned the shares should get out. They should trade their shares for cash. Especially in the stock market (because of upward bias), people aren't going to short without a good reason. Personally, I mostly trade currencies, so for me you are always in a position. If your long stock, you are short cash, and vice versa. I would be interested to hear what regulations you think might be safe and effective (and I didn't really think you meant tariffs or subsidies) (you already said you don't know, fair enough :-D )...but first an example of a really bad regulatory idea: Some of our politicians have been talking about changing the capital gains taxes. The thinking is that private equity firms would then be paying their fair share to the government (not a bad goal). The problem with this "solution", that I see, is that doing so would hurt everyone who has been investing...including retired people. So when they go to pull money out of their 401k, IRA, pension, whatever...they now have less money than they would've had when the rates were lower. This doesn't strike me as a great idea in the current climate.

              modified on Wednesday, May 14, 2008 12:10 PM

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              • B bwilhite

                Lol. Must've hit a nerve there. Sorry that I happen to believe in reasoned discussion. My bad. I'll answer your question and call it done then. Of course, every country *attempts* to manipulate prices (usually through subsidies and tariffs). But this doesn't mean it's a good thing. And if the original comment we're talking about is correct (and I'm not saying it is)...basically that regulation would cause scarcity...at the very least we'd have a lot more complaining than we do now, at worst riots, there are lot of other possible unpleasant scenarios I'm sure.

                O Offline
                O Offline
                Oakman
                wrote on last edited by
                #55

                bwilhite wrote:

                Must've hit a nerve there. Sorry that I happen to believe in reasoned discussion

                This forum is just like all the others. If you post a question in the ASP.NET forum, I am not obligated to answer it - even if I was discussing something with someone else when you butted-in. Same is true for C#, VB.NET and SB. Try saying "excuse me," next time, instead of "I demand you answer my question."

                bwilhite wrote:

                But this doesn't mean it's a good thing.

                So what? You are trying to prove it's a bad thing, aren't you? And apparently it works well enough to be universal - along with licenses which make the right to practice medicine or drive a car 'artifically scarce.'

                bwilhite wrote:

                at the very least we'd have a lot more complaining than we do now

                From whom? The speculators who are making millions from driving up the price of oil?

                bwilhite wrote:

                there are lot of other possible unpleasant scenarios I'm sure.

                Try this one: we do no regulation. And the result is the same kind of crash the unregulated economy experienced in 1929. Will that happen? Who knows? Did it happen? You bet your fucking bippee.

                Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                • O Oakman

                  bwilhite wrote:

                  Must've hit a nerve there. Sorry that I happen to believe in reasoned discussion

                  This forum is just like all the others. If you post a question in the ASP.NET forum, I am not obligated to answer it - even if I was discussing something with someone else when you butted-in. Same is true for C#, VB.NET and SB. Try saying "excuse me," next time, instead of "I demand you answer my question."

                  bwilhite wrote:

                  But this doesn't mean it's a good thing.

                  So what? You are trying to prove it's a bad thing, aren't you? And apparently it works well enough to be universal - along with licenses which make the right to practice medicine or drive a car 'artifically scarce.'

                  bwilhite wrote:

                  at the very least we'd have a lot more complaining than we do now

                  From whom? The speculators who are making millions from driving up the price of oil?

                  bwilhite wrote:

                  there are lot of other possible unpleasant scenarios I'm sure.

                  Try this one: we do no regulation. And the result is the same kind of crash the unregulated economy experienced in 1929. Will that happen? Who knows? Did it happen? You bet your fucking bippee.

                  Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                  B Offline
                  B Offline
                  bwilhite
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #56

                  Actually his post (to which you were replying) was part of a discussion I was carrying on with Thomas George. Let's just go our separate ways here.

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                  • B bwilhite

                    To be fair, I must first say that I actually trade for a living and I've been trading for years, so obviously I'm coming from a certain perspective (not feeling good today, so I'm taking it easy). I believe the existing trading does benefit both producer and consumer. How? By providing for orderly price discovery. Without this a loaf of bread might cost $0.99 today and the same loaf $3 tomorrow. The speculators that you seem to think are the problem (of which I might be one I guess), provide the liquidity for those contracts. So if ADM wants to sell their wheat in a month at today's prices but yet Sara Lee isn't buying...that's where the speculator *risks* his money and buys. Of course it can go the other way. The people who owned the shares should get out. They should trade their shares for cash. Especially in the stock market (because of upward bias), people aren't going to short without a good reason. Personally, I mostly trade currencies, so for me you are always in a position. If your long stock, you are short cash, and vice versa. I would be interested to hear what regulations you think might be safe and effective (and I didn't really think you meant tariffs or subsidies) (you already said you don't know, fair enough :-D )...but first an example of a really bad regulatory idea: Some of our politicians have been talking about changing the capital gains taxes. The thinking is that private equity firms would then be paying their fair share to the government (not a bad goal). The problem with this "solution", that I see, is that doing so would hurt everyone who has been investing...including retired people. So when they go to pull money out of their 401k, IRA, pension, whatever...they now have less money than they would've had when the rates were lower. This doesn't strike me as a great idea in the current climate.

                    modified on Wednesday, May 14, 2008 12:10 PM

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Lost User
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #57

                    bwilhite wrote:

                    To be fair, I must first say that I actually trade for a living and I've been trading for years, so obviously I'm coming from a certain perspective (not feeling good today, so I'm taking it easy).

                    Great. I am curious about your involvement with software development though. I have been creating trading systems (including automated trading systems) for US equities markets for the past few years.

                    bwilhite wrote:

                    the existing trading does benefit both producer and consumer.

                    Yes. In the context of the United States, yes. If the players involved are big corporates, then the system is fair. But in the perspective of a farmer in a developing country, this is hardly happening. There have been complaints of price dropping near harvest season to aid procurement at lower prices. As I said, markets are not efficient now because players are not on the same level; a farmer in a developing country has no access to take advantage of the system. Farming has been damaged by the intention of the governments to keep prices under check for the middle class (so that they can win votes). The price rise on food may be an order of 10 less than others. For example: Check home prices increase in the last 20 years and compare it to prices of wheat on the same time horizon. Farming can be encouraged only by letting farm produce prices appreciate the same way as everything else does. Subsidies and import/export duties have kept the prices from appreciating similarly.

                    bwilhite wrote:

                    capital gains taxes

                    Something or the other have to be taxed. Income taxes, capital gains taxes, goods and services taxes, sales taxes -- all are here to stay. In my opinion, the welfare agenda needs to be toned down. Converting everything to traded securities can be a problem too. In the sub-prime crisis, the initial lenders did not do enough checks before loaning money. Why? because they probably realized that they would sell it off to a greedier market participant.

                    B 2 Replies Last reply
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                    • L Lost User

                      bwilhite wrote:

                      To be fair, I must first say that I actually trade for a living and I've been trading for years, so obviously I'm coming from a certain perspective (not feeling good today, so I'm taking it easy).

                      Great. I am curious about your involvement with software development though. I have been creating trading systems (including automated trading systems) for US equities markets for the past few years.

                      bwilhite wrote:

                      the existing trading does benefit both producer and consumer.

                      Yes. In the context of the United States, yes. If the players involved are big corporates, then the system is fair. But in the perspective of a farmer in a developing country, this is hardly happening. There have been complaints of price dropping near harvest season to aid procurement at lower prices. As I said, markets are not efficient now because players are not on the same level; a farmer in a developing country has no access to take advantage of the system. Farming has been damaged by the intention of the governments to keep prices under check for the middle class (so that they can win votes). The price rise on food may be an order of 10 less than others. For example: Check home prices increase in the last 20 years and compare it to prices of wheat on the same time horizon. Farming can be encouraged only by letting farm produce prices appreciate the same way as everything else does. Subsidies and import/export duties have kept the prices from appreciating similarly.

                      bwilhite wrote:

                      capital gains taxes

                      Something or the other have to be taxed. Income taxes, capital gains taxes, goods and services taxes, sales taxes -- all are here to stay. In my opinion, the welfare agenda needs to be toned down. Converting everything to traded securities can be a problem too. In the sub-prime crisis, the initial lenders did not do enough checks before loaning money. Why? because they probably realized that they would sell it off to a greedier market participant.

                      B Offline
                      B Offline
                      bwilhite
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #58

                      I understand and agree completely with what you're saying as far as the farming goes. And I agree there is hardly a level playing field (I could give numerous examples that apply to US markets and the individual investor as well). The thing that always bugs me is that more regulations usually actually end up hurting the individual. The restriction of hedge funds to 'sophisticated investors' is a good example. This year has been tough for me in some ways, but I've still managed to make money while "Main Street" has been taking a bath. Why are they taking a bath? Because most people's investment vehicles are only allowed to go long stocks. To make it worse, most mutual funds have limits on the amount of cash they can hold...so the only option is to get into the least losing stock they can. The best option would be to get into cash. The irony in all of this is that the restrictions on investment vehicles are supposed to be there for the protection of "Main Street." I think you're probably right about the sub-prime problem. This may sound cold, but I believe that the debtors are also responsible. That's a tough pill to swallow, but true. The lenders and the debtors deserve each other. My wife and I just put an offer on a house. We didn't even negotiate on the asking price at all, instead we're asking the owners to finance (and at a higher than average rate, I'll add). But I think they're going to sit on it instead...I wouldn't be surprised to get a phone call in 6 months. If they do call, would it really be unethical of me to lower the price? No. They're the ones that decided to take the risk of holding, and they should man-up to the consequences. I was a CS major for awhile in college...then studied numerous other topics (it's been a winding road)...I started programming again about 2 years ago in order to automate my trading (talk about jumping into the deep end). Now, in addition to working on my own trading projects, I also have started doing some freelance programming for others. I try to stick to trading related projects, but occasionally take on other projects. If you're interested maybe we should talk...I've been thinking about looking for a partner to help work on our proprietary trading software.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • L Lost User

                        bwilhite wrote:

                        To be fair, I must first say that I actually trade for a living and I've been trading for years, so obviously I'm coming from a certain perspective (not feeling good today, so I'm taking it easy).

                        Great. I am curious about your involvement with software development though. I have been creating trading systems (including automated trading systems) for US equities markets for the past few years.

                        bwilhite wrote:

                        the existing trading does benefit both producer and consumer.

                        Yes. In the context of the United States, yes. If the players involved are big corporates, then the system is fair. But in the perspective of a farmer in a developing country, this is hardly happening. There have been complaints of price dropping near harvest season to aid procurement at lower prices. As I said, markets are not efficient now because players are not on the same level; a farmer in a developing country has no access to take advantage of the system. Farming has been damaged by the intention of the governments to keep prices under check for the middle class (so that they can win votes). The price rise on food may be an order of 10 less than others. For example: Check home prices increase in the last 20 years and compare it to prices of wheat on the same time horizon. Farming can be encouraged only by letting farm produce prices appreciate the same way as everything else does. Subsidies and import/export duties have kept the prices from appreciating similarly.

                        bwilhite wrote:

                        capital gains taxes

                        Something or the other have to be taxed. Income taxes, capital gains taxes, goods and services taxes, sales taxes -- all are here to stay. In my opinion, the welfare agenda needs to be toned down. Converting everything to traded securities can be a problem too. In the sub-prime crisis, the initial lenders did not do enough checks before loaning money. Why? because they probably realized that they would sell it off to a greedier market participant.

                        B Offline
                        B Offline
                        bwilhite
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #59

                        Maybe at the least we can compare notes sometime.

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • P Patrick Etc

                          Marc Clifton wrote:

                          Ilíon wrote:

                          and if Americans wanted to use mass transit ... we would have it.

                          We do want it, but again, if you look historically at why cities like LA and NYC don't have efficient mass transit, you will find corporate America sabotaging the interests of the citizens for their own profits.

                          It's not quite that simple, although that's part of it (for example, here in the DC area, the conglomerate that owns the Dulles Greenway is continually raising the toll while at the same time lobbying HARD against expansion of the Washington Metro - and of course they only care because all expansion efforts are into the exact same area where the Greenway services). The other part of it is that America has alot more sprawl than your token European nation. European nations were built before cars could carry you long distances, so landmarks, roads, etc. are all built with short distance travel in mind - the perfect environment for mass transit. Much of America's growth, on the other hand, has been fueled by the automobile, making sprawling suburbs possible to feed growing cities. It's simply not reasonable (in the short or near-term) to build mass transit over a distance of 50+ miles. That's probably the biggest problem America faces - we're too spread out, and we have the car to thank for it.


                          It has become appallingly obvious that our technology has exceeded our humanity. - Albert Einstein

                          P Offline
                          P Offline
                          Pierre Leclercq
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #60

                          Patrick S wrote:

                          the conglomerate that owns the Dulles Greenway is continually raising the toll

                          Just out of curiosity, how much is it now? It used to be $0.25, or $0.50 when I was there, and the smart tag was under $100/month.

                          Patrick S wrote:

                          It's simply not reasonable (in the short or near-term) to build mass transit over a distance of 50+ miles

                          You're right about the differences on how the cities have evolved over time. But I think mass transit can be built over large areas. In fact, this makes perfect sense to use mass transit over long distances. For a single person this is inexpensive, more secure, and allows for free time. On the other hand it just plain sucks to be stacked up on each other, and to cope with the lack of seats when you have to travel standing for a long distance. And when several persons are travelling together, nothing beats the confort of a car.

                          P 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • S Shog9 0

                            Ilíon wrote:

                            That was then, and this is now.

                            So... what? Then we cared about getting around efficiently, now we'll pay through the nose? I've got news for you - plenty of people walking today because they can't afford automobiles and don't have access to any other form of transportation. There is a point where public transportation becomes a no-brainer; not saying we're there yet, but we are headed in that direction. Closing your eyes and wishing otherwise doesn't change anything.

                            Ilíon wrote:

                            And you're clearly a fool who doesn't want to think.

                            And you clearly don't want to read. Frankly, i'm disappointed - i expected you to know your history. Let's try a few other examples, actual quotes this time, stop me if i hit one you recognize:

                            "If I had asked my customers what they wanted, they would have said a faster horse." "640K ought to be enough for anybody" "No wireless. Less space than a nomad. Lame."

                            :-\

                            Citizen 20.1.01

                            'The question is,' said Humpty Dumpty, 'which is to be master - that's all.'

                            P Offline
                            P Offline
                            Pierre Leclercq
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #61

                            You know what? I have had the great chance to live within walking distance of my office, for over a year. And this is so great! No need for a car, no need for mass transit! In one word, this is freedom! <edit> And also one might wonder why we do not do more telecommuting? </edit>

                            S 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • L Lost User

                              I was not even thinking about the efficiency of such a scheme. I was thinking about the authority that Ms. Clinton or Mr. McCain would have this summer to implement this scheme. Here is what I think about it. Investment bankers speculating on commodities is not supply and demand. If commodities are not traded as securities on exchanges and are traded only on physical delivery, then prices will come down dramatically. US has one of the lowest gas prices; most other countries tax gas far more than the US does. I think that $3 a gallon is not that bad at all. 18% tax to build road infrastructure is great, no need to change it. Maybe, the taxes for fuels for personal transport can be made higher to encourage use of public transport; but a differential tax rate will bring in administrative overhead and corruption. Using fuel efficient vehicles, car pooling, working a couple of days from home every week, use mass transit to commute to work, switching off heating, cooling, lights, computers etc. when you do not use them are all personal changes that can make a significant dent to energy demand. Instead of making some adjustments in personal life, a vast majority want the government to bring them some magic solution.

                              P Offline
                              P Offline
                              Pierre Leclercq
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #62

                              Thomas George wrote:

                              administrative overhead

                              hehe, yep! That is the problem with every new tax. It seems to take a life on its own. It requires money to exist (to collect it), it requires money to be administered, and some can disappear in the void (corruption). So only what's left can be used sensibly, but often, even a part of those remnants is wasted by a lack of care, or simple cluelessness. So I guess, efficient taxes should be a hot topic of research.

                              Thomas George wrote:

                              Using fuel efficient vehicles, car pooling, working a couple of days from home every week, use mass transit to commute to work, switching off heating, cooling, lights, computers etc. when you do not use them are all personal changes that can make a significant dent to energy demand. Instead of making some adjustments in personal life, a vast majority want the government to bring them some magic solution.

                              Actually some countries have already adopted these changes in lifestyle. The only problem is people do not happily restrict themselves. So to enforce this the governments have to brutally impose restrictions on people (by raising insanely the level of taxes, doing active propaganda, and in the end restricting people's choices). I think, I'd be a little disapointed to see the US lose this little piece of freedom.

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                              • P Pierre Leclercq

                                You know what? I have had the great chance to live within walking distance of my office, for over a year. And this is so great! No need for a car, no need for mass transit! In one word, this is freedom! <edit> And also one might wonder why we do not do more telecommuting? </edit>

                                S Offline
                                S Offline
                                Shog9 0
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #63

                                Pierre Leclercq wrote:

                                And also one might wonder why we do not do more telecommuting?

                                I do as much as i can get away with, which is most days. There is the problem of communication though; i really need to go out of my way to keep people updated on what i'm doing / stay up to date on what others are doing, since i don't get the casual conversations in the halls. It can work though, and frankly i think it should be an option for most of us.

                                Pierre Leclercq wrote:

                                In one word, this is freedom!

                                Yes. :cool:

                                Citizen 20.1.01

                                'The question is,' said Humpty Dumpty, 'which is to be master - that's all.'

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                                • P Pierre Leclercq

                                  Patrick S wrote:

                                  the conglomerate that owns the Dulles Greenway is continually raising the toll

                                  Just out of curiosity, how much is it now? It used to be $0.25, or $0.50 when I was there, and the smart tag was under $100/month.

                                  Patrick S wrote:

                                  It's simply not reasonable (in the short or near-term) to build mass transit over a distance of 50+ miles

                                  You're right about the differences on how the cities have evolved over time. But I think mass transit can be built over large areas. In fact, this makes perfect sense to use mass transit over long distances. For a single person this is inexpensive, more secure, and allows for free time. On the other hand it just plain sucks to be stacked up on each other, and to cope with the lack of seats when you have to travel standing for a long distance. And when several persons are travelling together, nothing beats the confort of a car.

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                                  Patrick Etc
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #64

                                  Pierre Leclercq wrote:

                                  Just out of curiosity, how much is it now?

                                  Currently sitting at $3.50 for a full trip from the Mainline to the Dulles Toll Road; $2.30 and up for shorter trips. By 2012 the full toll will be $4.80.

                                  Pierre Leclercq wrote:

                                  But I think mass transit can be built over large areas.

                                  It can; just not quickly or cheaply. When most governments are operating a deficit as it is, the only way usually to be able to raise that kind of money is through a bond, which is basically a loan the public makes to the government that it has to repay in a fixed period of time. Problem with bonds is that they usually end up costing 3x more than they were supposed to or the legislatures vote to retire the bond unpaid. The problem is the need for *cheap* mass transit and that's much harder to do.


                                  It has become appallingly obvious that our technology has exceeded our humanity. - Albert Einstein

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                                  • P Patrick Etc

                                    Pierre Leclercq wrote:

                                    Just out of curiosity, how much is it now?

                                    Currently sitting at $3.50 for a full trip from the Mainline to the Dulles Toll Road; $2.30 and up for shorter trips. By 2012 the full toll will be $4.80.

                                    Pierre Leclercq wrote:

                                    But I think mass transit can be built over large areas.

                                    It can; just not quickly or cheaply. When most governments are operating a deficit as it is, the only way usually to be able to raise that kind of money is through a bond, which is basically a loan the public makes to the government that it has to repay in a fixed period of time. Problem with bonds is that they usually end up costing 3x more than they were supposed to or the legislatures vote to retire the bond unpaid. The problem is the need for *cheap* mass transit and that's much harder to do.


                                    It has become appallingly obvious that our technology has exceeded our humanity. - Albert Einstein

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                                    Oakman
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #65

                                    Patrick S wrote:

                                    When most governments are operating a deficit as it is, the only way usually to be able to raise that kind of money is through a bond, which is basically a loan the public makes to the government that it has to repay in a fixed period of time.

                                    And yet, living in Massachusetts I watched in growing amazement and horror as the Big Dig designed to increase automobile traffic (theoretically to reduce traffic congestion, but, of course, increased usage was never factored in) went from 2.6 billion dollars to 8.08 billion (constant 1982) dollars. Theoretically, Boston and its surrounds were all laid out long before the advent of the automobile making it an excellent candidate for mass transit - especially since the MBTA already operates a system of underground and ground level trolleys and electric trains. So the money was there and the basic infrastructure was there and the environment was there for mass transit - yet we (the state and the country which paid much of the cost) got the most expensive per mile highways ever built.

                                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                    • O Oakman

                                      Patrick S wrote:

                                      When most governments are operating a deficit as it is, the only way usually to be able to raise that kind of money is through a bond, which is basically a loan the public makes to the government that it has to repay in a fixed period of time.

                                      And yet, living in Massachusetts I watched in growing amazement and horror as the Big Dig designed to increase automobile traffic (theoretically to reduce traffic congestion, but, of course, increased usage was never factored in) went from 2.6 billion dollars to 8.08 billion (constant 1982) dollars. Theoretically, Boston and its surrounds were all laid out long before the advent of the automobile making it an excellent candidate for mass transit - especially since the MBTA already operates a system of underground and ground level trolleys and electric trains. So the money was there and the basic infrastructure was there and the environment was there for mass transit - yet we (the state and the country which paid much of the cost) got the most expensive per mile highways ever built.

                                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                      Patrick Etc
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #66

                                      Oakman wrote:

                                      So the money was there and the basic infrastructure was there and the environment was there for mass transit - yet we (the state and the country which paid much of the cost) got the most expensive per mile highways ever built.

                                      Yep. Just because the environment is right for mass transit, doesn't mean the governments will be any smarter about it :) It does make long-distance mass transit even that much harder, though. Particularly because you have so many local governments who all want their piece of the pie, and their voice in the planning. Local governments here have been fighting for 10 years about how to add a 10 mile westard span to the current Metro.


                                      It has become appallingly obvious that our technology has exceeded our humanity. - Albert Einstein

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                                      • P Pierre Leclercq

                                        Thomas George wrote:

                                        administrative overhead

                                        hehe, yep! That is the problem with every new tax. It seems to take a life on its own. It requires money to exist (to collect it), it requires money to be administered, and some can disappear in the void (corruption). So only what's left can be used sensibly, but often, even a part of those remnants is wasted by a lack of care, or simple cluelessness. So I guess, efficient taxes should be a hot topic of research.

                                        Thomas George wrote:

                                        Using fuel efficient vehicles, car pooling, working a couple of days from home every week, use mass transit to commute to work, switching off heating, cooling, lights, computers etc. when you do not use them are all personal changes that can make a significant dent to energy demand. Instead of making some adjustments in personal life, a vast majority want the government to bring them some magic solution.

                                        Actually some countries have already adopted these changes in lifestyle. The only problem is people do not happily restrict themselves. So to enforce this the governments have to brutally impose restrictions on people (by raising insanely the level of taxes, doing active propaganda, and in the end restricting people's choices). I think, I'd be a little disapointed to see the US lose this little piece of freedom.

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                                        Lost User
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #67

                                        Pierre Leclercq wrote:

                                        Actually some countries have already adopted these changes in lifestyle.

                                        I do not favor any government imposed life style changes. I was lamenting the state of affairs where people do not do what they can do, and at the same time look for a magic solution. We all see this with the health situation also. Lifestyle diseases due to bad dietary habits and no exercise places a toll on the health care system. People wonder why it is costlier, and expect the government to come up with a solution. Insurance costs may be rising because more people are getting ill. Hospital bills may be rising because they have to treat far more people at lower costs or defaults.

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