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What a disappointment

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  • R Rob Graham

    It's a global commodity, with global speculation. No one country can unilaterally "take it off the speculative market". The cause of the high price is simple supply and demand, and the supply is never going to catch up again (but could really fall behind if potential supply is artificially placed off limits like we are doing today). The long term fix is clearly to get off of fossil fuels, but that will require a carefully orchestrated transition, during which we need to remain economically sound enough to make the change. All approaches need to be on the table, including making the most of any supplies we have in our own back yard, aggressive transition to nuclear for mid term, and aggressive research on fusion for the future. Biofuels that divert food crops or arable land should NOT be part of the plan, but alternatives like algae, switchgrass and other not food competition sources of alcohol should be part of the mix. We had windfall profit taxes and strict fuel conservation in the 70's. The result was painful, and they were quickly abandoned when the supply constraints vanished. We should learn from that history, not repeat it. I wonder if politicians are convertible to biodiesel...

    O Offline
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    Oakman
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    Rob Graham wrote:

    All approaches need to be on the table, including making the most of any supplies we have in our own back yard, aggressive transition to nuclear for mid term, and aggressive research on fusion for the future. Biofuels that divert food crops or arable land should NOT be part of the plan, but alternatives like algae, switchgrass and other not food competition sources of alcohol should be part of the mix.

    Does that mean we're heading for Titan, huh? Huh? Please?

    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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    • O Oakman

      Rob Graham wrote:

      All approaches need to be on the table, including making the most of any supplies we have in our own back yard, aggressive transition to nuclear for mid term, and aggressive research on fusion for the future. Biofuels that divert food crops or arable land should NOT be part of the plan, but alternatives like algae, switchgrass and other not food competition sources of alcohol should be part of the mix.

      Does that mean we're heading for Titan, huh? Huh? Please?

      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

      R Offline
      R Offline
      Rob Graham
      wrote on last edited by
      #10

      Well, I did say all approaches should be on the table...:rolleyes:

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      • R Rob Graham

        It's a global commodity, with global speculation. No one country can unilaterally "take it off the speculative market". The cause of the high price is simple supply and demand, and the supply is never going to catch up again (but could really fall behind if potential supply is artificially placed off limits like we are doing today). The long term fix is clearly to get off of fossil fuels, but that will require a carefully orchestrated transition, during which we need to remain economically sound enough to make the change. All approaches need to be on the table, including making the most of any supplies we have in our own back yard, aggressive transition to nuclear for mid term, and aggressive research on fusion for the future. Biofuels that divert food crops or arable land should NOT be part of the plan, but alternatives like algae, switchgrass and other not food competition sources of alcohol should be part of the mix. We had windfall profit taxes and strict fuel conservation in the 70's. The result was painful, and they were quickly abandoned when the supply constraints vanished. We should learn from that history, not repeat it. I wonder if politicians are convertible to biodiesel...

        A Offline
        A Offline
        Al Beback
        wrote on last edited by
        #11

        Rob Graham wrote:

        It's a global commodity, with global speculation. No one country can unilaterally "take it off the speculative market".

        Sure, but any country can (and should) place a cap on the price of a consumer good, especially one that's so tightly bound to its economy. What do you think would happen to the price of oil if the US were to pass a law that says that gasoline cannot be sold for more than $3/gallon (with annual adjustments for inflation)?

        My latest C# extension method:   public static bool In<T>(this T value, params T[] values)   {       return values.Any(v => v.Equals(value));   } Example:   bool valid = answer.In("Yes", "No", "Dunno");

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        • A Al Beback

          Rob Graham wrote:

          It's a global commodity, with global speculation. No one country can unilaterally "take it off the speculative market".

          Sure, but any country can (and should) place a cap on the price of a consumer good, especially one that's so tightly bound to its economy. What do you think would happen to the price of oil if the US were to pass a law that says that gasoline cannot be sold for more than $3/gallon (with annual adjustments for inflation)?

          My latest C# extension method:   public static bool In<T>(this T value, params T[] values)   {       return values.Any(v => v.Equals(value));   } Example:   bool valid = answer.In("Yes", "No", "Dunno");

          M Offline
          M Offline
          Mike Gaskey
          wrote on last edited by
          #12

          Al Beback wrote:

          What do you think would happen to the price of oil if the US were to pass a law that says that gasoline cannot be sold for more than $3/gallon

          China and India would applaud.

          Mike - typical white guy. The USA does have universal healthcare, but you have to pay for it. D'oh. Thomas Mann - "Tolerance becomes a crime when applied to evil." The NYT - my leftist brochure. Calling an illegal alien an “undocumented immigrant” is like calling a drug dealer an “unlicensed pharmacist”. God doesn't believe in atheists, therefore they don't exist.

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          • A Al Beback

            Rob Graham wrote:

            It's a global commodity, with global speculation. No one country can unilaterally "take it off the speculative market".

            Sure, but any country can (and should) place a cap on the price of a consumer good, especially one that's so tightly bound to its economy. What do you think would happen to the price of oil if the US were to pass a law that says that gasoline cannot be sold for more than $3/gallon (with annual adjustments for inflation)?

            My latest C# extension method:   public static bool In<T>(this T value, params T[] values)   {       return values.Any(v => v.Equals(value));   } Example:   bool valid = answer.In("Yes", "No", "Dunno");

            R Offline
            R Offline
            Rob Graham
            wrote on last edited by
            #13

            We'd soon be limited to what we produce internally (who would export to us?), which is a rather small part of the total. And a substantial part of that would disappear onto the black market (where it would be sold to the highest bidder). In the end there would be no legal gas available at any price, much less $3. Price capping is always a failure, and always results in supply vanishing. Sorry, but that is the stupidest idea I've heard today.

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            • R Rob Graham

              Well, I did say all approaches should be on the table...:rolleyes:

              O Offline
              O Offline
              Oakman
              wrote on last edited by
              #14

              Rob Graham wrote:

              Well, I did say all approaches should be on the table

              I knew my Tom Corbett space decoder ring would come in handy if I kept it long enough! There's more natural gas sitting around in lakes on Titan than there is on all of the planet earth. If I had my druthers we'd spend our R & D money on going after it than trying to figure out how to run cars on celulose without having both the car and the fuel cost an arm and a leg.

              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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              • R Rob Graham

                Obama's solution to energy problems: Under Obama's proposal for a windfall profits tax, the government would tax some of the profits from big oil corporations and use it to provide a $1,000 rebate to people struggling with high energy costs.[^] Tax and spend will fix everything... Oh, and while we're at it, lets pump oil out of the strategic reserve to drive down prices (which would require congress to change the law that established the reserve as high costs at the pump don't quite qualify as a trigger for releasing the supply). I'm really tired of politics and polemics instead of actual plans and programs.

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                L Offline
                Lost User
                wrote on last edited by
                #15

                He thinks there are some out there who are NOT struggling with high energy costs?

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                • L Lost User

                  He thinks there are some out there who are NOT struggling with high energy costs?

                  D Offline
                  D Offline
                  Dan Neely
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #16

                  It depends on what your budget looks like. I doubt the Goracle has a problem with his energy budget despite flying all over the world and living in a house that guzzles more power a month than the average household does in a year. :rolleyes: Getting a bit more down to earth, my current roundtrip commute is only 1 gallon of gas and my landlord pays the heating bill, so it only directly significantly affects me when I go on vacation.

                  Today's lesson is brought to you by the word "niggardly". Remember kids, don't attribute to racism what can be explained by Scandinavian language roots. -- Robert Royall

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                  • A Al Beback

                    Rob Graham wrote:

                    It's a global commodity, with global speculation. No one country can unilaterally "take it off the speculative market".

                    Sure, but any country can (and should) place a cap on the price of a consumer good, especially one that's so tightly bound to its economy. What do you think would happen to the price of oil if the US were to pass a law that says that gasoline cannot be sold for more than $3/gallon (with annual adjustments for inflation)?

                    My latest C# extension method:   public static bool In<T>(this T value, params T[] values)   {       return values.Any(v => v.Equals(value));   } Example:   bool valid = answer.In("Yes", "No", "Dunno");

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Lost User
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #17

                    Al Beback wrote:

                    Sure, but any country can (and should) place a cap on the price of a consumer good

                    No... they shouldn't.

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                    • M Marc Clifton

                      Christ. Why don't they take oil off the speculative market? Marc

                      Thyme In The Country Interacx My Blog

                      K Offline
                      K Offline
                      kumpm
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #18

                      Hope this link isn't too late, but the democrats tried to stop oil speculation but were stopped by the republicans in the Senate. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080725/ap_on_go_co/congress_energy[^]

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                      • D Dan Neely

                        It depends on what your budget looks like. I doubt the Goracle has a problem with his energy budget despite flying all over the world and living in a house that guzzles more power a month than the average household does in a year. :rolleyes: Getting a bit more down to earth, my current roundtrip commute is only 1 gallon of gas and my landlord pays the heating bill, so it only directly significantly affects me when I go on vacation.

                        Today's lesson is brought to you by the word "niggardly". Remember kids, don't attribute to racism what can be explained by Scandinavian language roots. -- Robert Royall

                        O Offline
                        O Offline
                        Oakman
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #19

                        dan neely wrote:

                        my landlord pays the heating bill

                        When does it come time to renegotiate the rent?

                        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                        • K kumpm

                          Hope this link isn't too late, but the democrats tried to stop oil speculation but were stopped by the republicans in the Senate. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080725/ap_on_go_co/congress_energy[^]

                          R Offline
                          R Offline
                          Rob Graham
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #20

                          Since the democrats control the Senate, and can determine what gets voted on and what doesn't, that article is pure partisan BS. The democrats themselves pulled the measure, because they were unwilling to risk amendments that might have allowed off-shore drilling. Not to mention that this would only subject US speculators participating in the London markets to "some scrutiny", not speculators from any other country. The bill was a joke designed to trick us into believing they were doibng something, but in reality, since commodity speculation is an international business, it was worhtless political posturing. Just what I complained about to begin with. Don't let these idiots fool you. It was just more junk politics. We need to kick ALL the incumbents out, and start clean.

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                          • S Shog9 0

                            Great. The Republican solution is to open up more land for drilling and hope the oil companies feel grateful or something. The Democrat solution is to burn off our strategic reserves and when that doesn't work tax the oil co. profits and hope they feel sufficiently chastised or something. If congress owned a puppy, the capitol would smell like piss... :rolleyes:

                            Citizen 20.1.01

                            'The question is,' said Humpty Dumpty, 'which is to be master - that's all.'

                            M Offline
                            M Offline
                            Mike Gaskey
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #21

                            Shog9 wrote:

                            and hope the oil companies feel grateful or something

                            Wrong. The price of oil has dropped by $20+ per barrel since Bush rescinded the Whitehouse ban on offshore drilling - the fact that someone in government decided to actually do something has already had an impact. And, yes, consumption has also slackened but the initial drop was within a day or days of the Bush announcement. Interestingly enough the Congressional ban expires in September and has to be reauthorized - the news will be fun since the Dems will try to attach the reauthorization to a spending bill.

                            Mike - typical white guy. The USA does have universal healthcare, but you have to pay for it. D'oh. Thomas Mann - "Tolerance becomes a crime when applied to evil." The NYT - my leftist brochure. Calling an illegal alien an “undocumented immigrant” is like calling a drug dealer an “unlicensed pharmacist”. God doesn't believe in atheists, therefore they don't exist.

                            S 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • R Rob Graham

                              We'd soon be limited to what we produce internally (who would export to us?), which is a rather small part of the total. And a substantial part of that would disappear onto the black market (where it would be sold to the highest bidder). In the end there would be no legal gas available at any price, much less $3. Price capping is always a failure, and always results in supply vanishing. Sorry, but that is the stupidest idea I've heard today.

                              A Offline
                              A Offline
                              Al Beback
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #22

                              Rob Graham wrote:

                              who would export to us?

                              Right, that's why Walmart has no suppliers. :rolleyes: You're implying oil companies, which are making a killing off of us, would prefer to make nothing than to make less. Less money is always better than no money. And we're their largest customer. So no, you're wrong. The price of oil would plummet because the oil companies would do what Walmart does to its suppliers.

                              My latest C# extension method:   public static bool In<T>(this T value, params T[] values)   {       return values.Any(v => v.Equals(value));   } Example:   bool valid = answer.In("Yes", "No", "Dunno");

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                              • L Lost User

                                Al Beback wrote:

                                Sure, but any country can (and should) place a cap on the price of a consumer good

                                No... they shouldn't.

                                A Offline
                                A Offline
                                Al Beback
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #23

                                Mike Mullikin wrote:

                                No... they shouldn't.

                                I meant that they should when it's a product that has no substitute and affects the whole economy. I don't care if Ferrari charges $200,000 for their cars as long as I can buy a Kia and accomplish the same objective. Unfortunately with gas, we don't have the same choices. It's either $4.17 at this pump or $4.27 at the other. Hurray for the free markets! And if tomorrow they decide to charge us $5.17, hurray for the free markets! :mad:

                                My latest C# extension method:   public static bool In<T>(this T value, params T[] values)   {       return values.Any(v => v.Equals(value));   } Example:   bool valid = answer.In("Yes", "No", "Dunno");

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                                • O Oakman

                                  dan neely wrote:

                                  my landlord pays the heating bill

                                  When does it come time to renegotiate the rent?

                                  Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                  D Offline
                                  D Offline
                                  Dan Neely
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #24

                                  I'm month to month, this spring I had my 1st raise in 3 years, from $425 to 450. Johnstown' shrunk significantly since the mills closed 20 some odd years ago, there's enough housing available that landlords don't have much leverage to push upwards. OTOH I'm starting to look for a bigger place so who knows what the situation'll be come winter.

                                  Today's lesson is brought to you by the word "niggardly". Remember kids, don't attribute to racism what can be explained by Scandinavian language roots. -- Robert Royall

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • M Mike Gaskey

                                    Shog9 wrote:

                                    and hope the oil companies feel grateful or something

                                    Wrong. The price of oil has dropped by $20+ per barrel since Bush rescinded the Whitehouse ban on offshore drilling - the fact that someone in government decided to actually do something has already had an impact. And, yes, consumption has also slackened but the initial drop was within a day or days of the Bush announcement. Interestingly enough the Congressional ban expires in September and has to be reauthorized - the news will be fun since the Dems will try to attach the reauthorization to a spending bill.

                                    Mike - typical white guy. The USA does have universal healthcare, but you have to pay for it. D'oh. Thomas Mann - "Tolerance becomes a crime when applied to evil." The NYT - my leftist brochure. Calling an illegal alien an “undocumented immigrant” is like calling a drug dealer an “unlicensed pharmacist”. God doesn't believe in atheists, therefore they don't exist.

                                    S Offline
                                    S Offline
                                    Shog9 0
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #25

                                    Mike Gaskey wrote:

                                    The price of oil has dropped by $20+ per barrel since Bush rescinded the Whitehouse ban on offshore drilling - the fact that someone in government decided to actually do something has already had an impact. And, yes, consumption has also slackened but the initial drop was within a day or days of the Bush announcement.

                                    How is that not entirely speculation? Or is that the point...? :~

                                    Citizen 20.1.01

                                    'The question is,' said Humpty Dumpty, 'which is to be master - that's all.'

                                    O 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • S Shog9 0

                                      Mike Gaskey wrote:

                                      The price of oil has dropped by $20+ per barrel since Bush rescinded the Whitehouse ban on offshore drilling - the fact that someone in government decided to actually do something has already had an impact. And, yes, consumption has also slackened but the initial drop was within a day or days of the Bush announcement.

                                      How is that not entirely speculation? Or is that the point...? :~

                                      Citizen 20.1.01

                                      'The question is,' said Humpty Dumpty, 'which is to be master - that's all.'

                                      O Offline
                                      O Offline
                                      Oakman
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #26

                                      Shog9 wrote:

                                      How is that not entirely speculation? Or is that the point...?

                                      I'm pretty sure that's Mike's point. The good news is that every hedge fund manager that bet the ranch of the price of oil continuing up from 146 @ barrel, is frantically scrambling for enough cash to cover his markers. :-D

                                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                      S 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • O Oakman

                                        Shog9 wrote:

                                        How is that not entirely speculation? Or is that the point...?

                                        I'm pretty sure that's Mike's point. The good news is that every hedge fund manager that bet the ranch of the price of oil continuing up from 146 @ barrel, is frantically scrambling for enough cash to cover his markers. :-D

                                        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                        S Offline
                                        S Offline
                                        Shog9 0
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #27

                                        Oakman wrote:

                                        The good news is that every hedge fund manager that bet the ranch of the price of oil continuing up from 146 @ barrel, is frantically scrambling for enough cash to cover his markers.

                                        Eh. Huh. Well, someone to toast at tonight's meal of hotdogs & Miller Highlife. :beer:

                                        Citizen 20.1.01

                                        'The question is,' said Humpty Dumpty, 'which is to be master - that's all.'

                                        M 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • A Al Beback

                                          Mike Mullikin wrote:

                                          No... they shouldn't.

                                          I meant that they should when it's a product that has no substitute and affects the whole economy. I don't care if Ferrari charges $200,000 for their cars as long as I can buy a Kia and accomplish the same objective. Unfortunately with gas, we don't have the same choices. It's either $4.17 at this pump or $4.27 at the other. Hurray for the free markets! And if tomorrow they decide to charge us $5.17, hurray for the free markets! :mad:

                                          My latest C# extension method:   public static bool In<T>(this T value, params T[] values)   {       return values.Any(v => v.Equals(value));   } Example:   bool valid = answer.In("Yes", "No", "Dunno");

                                          L Offline
                                          L Offline
                                          Lost User
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #28

                                          What about food? Clothing? Medicine? Electricity? Natural gas? How much power are you willing to give to Uncle Sam?

                                          A 1 Reply Last reply
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