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  4. Is this crisis almost the end of the US?

Is this crisis almost the end of the US?

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved The Back Room
tutorialquestionlounge
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  • L Lost User

    An economy based on easy borrowing and cunsumer consumption which is not a producer: Can it suffer such a shock as this? And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar? People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt. Is this the rekoning?

    Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Le centriste
    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    fat_boy wrote:

    And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar?

    That is what I think would be the solution. And the end of the walmartisation of North America.

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    • L Le centriste

      fat_boy wrote:

      And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar?

      That is what I think would be the solution. And the end of the walmartisation of North America.

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #3

      I think its the only way out. They must manufacture and sell. They are still a resource rich country and weakening the dollar would help exports hugely. Anyone fancy a Dodge Viper for 15,000 euros?

      Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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      • L Lost User

        An economy based on easy borrowing and cunsumer consumption which is not a producer: Can it suffer such a shock as this? And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar? People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt. Is this the rekoning?

        Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

        C Offline
        C Offline
        CPallini
        wrote on last edited by
        #4

        fat_boy wrote:

        and massively weakening the dollar?

        At least an intervention. Italy is sluggish. :sigh:

        If the Lord God Almighty had consulted me before embarking upon the Creation, I would have recommended something simpler. -- Alfonso the Wise, 13th Century King of Castile.
        This is going on my arrogant assumptions. You may have a superb reason why I'm completely wrong. -- Iain Clarke
        [My articles]

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        • L Lost User

          An economy based on easy borrowing and cunsumer consumption which is not a producer: Can it suffer such a shock as this? And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar? People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt. Is this the rekoning?

          Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

          L Offline
          L Offline
          Lost User
          wrote on last edited by
          #5

          Arguably, the United States, and consequently, the "free" world, is in recession. There will be no easy answers. Should the United States take an insular view, the recession could last well after the next Presidential election in 2012. The glimmer of hope is that China might use some of its resources to help reduce the intensity of the recession by assuming the role that America did once own - namely the Financial & Economic powerhouse of this world. There's a thought - Communist China coming to the rescue of a Capitalist World !!!!

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          • L Lost User

            Arguably, the United States, and consequently, the "free" world, is in recession. There will be no easy answers. Should the United States take an insular view, the recession could last well after the next Presidential election in 2012. The glimmer of hope is that China might use some of its resources to help reduce the intensity of the recession by assuming the role that America did once own - namely the Financial & Economic powerhouse of this world. There's a thought - Communist China coming to the rescue of a Capitalist World !!!!

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Lost User
            wrote on last edited by
            #6

            In what way was the US a power house? I see little production, little exporting, with the only internationally attractive proposition being stocks. And this because there is so much dollar currency going abroad to buy oil. If the US imports less oil or if that oil gets sold in a different currency, then the out flow of dollars will virtually stop. At that stage whct would the US stock market be trading on? I think the US used to be a powerhouse, but it lost it in the 70s or 80s and since then its economy has been built on cheap borrowing. (Not unlike the UK in fact)

            Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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            • L Lost User

              An economy based on easy borrowing and cunsumer consumption which is not a producer: Can it suffer such a shock as this? And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar? People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt. Is this the rekoning?

              Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

              O Offline
              O Offline
              Oakman
              wrote on last edited by
              #7

              fat_boy wrote:

              Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced good

              I hope so - along with a cancellation of our commitment to NATO, ANZUS and the UN, reneging on the ridiculous amounts of foreign aid being poured into Africa and declaring illegal aliens as being uncovered by any American law.

              fat_boy wrote:

              massively weakening the dollar

              Already happened. Thats why the US is selling so much more to Europe these days.

              fat_boy wrote:

              People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt.

              You aren't under the impression that France, England, Germany or Italy are in a different boat, are you? Most of the western democracies learned how to vote themselves into a funny-money economy at just about the same time. I can't escape the feeling that you are gleeful about the present economic crisis as if you think that somehow Europe will be able to stand if the US drops to her knees.

              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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              • L Lost User

                In what way was the US a power house? I see little production, little exporting, with the only internationally attractive proposition being stocks. And this because there is so much dollar currency going abroad to buy oil. If the US imports less oil or if that oil gets sold in a different currency, then the out flow of dollars will virtually stop. At that stage whct would the US stock market be trading on? I think the US used to be a powerhouse, but it lost it in the 70s or 80s and since then its economy has been built on cheap borrowing. (Not unlike the UK in fact)

                Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                L Offline
                L Offline
                Lost User
                wrote on last edited by
                #8

                You know the expression "If America sneezes the world catches a cold". That what is happening in America as I write is something more than a sneeze.

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                • L Lost User

                  An economy based on easy borrowing and cunsumer consumption which is not a producer: Can it suffer such a shock as this? And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar? People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt. Is this the rekoning?

                  Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                  7 Offline
                  7 Offline
                  73Zeppelin
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #9

                  fat_boy wrote:

                  An economy based on easy borrowing and cunsumer consumption which is not a producer: Can it suffer such a shock as this? And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar? People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt. Is this the rekoning?

                  Nah - the current probability of U.S. default is still less than a fraction of a percent. I'm not worried.

                  ...that mortally intolerable truth; that all deep, earnest thinking is but the intrepid effort of the soul to keep the open independence of her sea; while the wildest winds of heaven and earth conspire to cast her on the treacherous, slavish shore.

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                  • L Lost User

                    An economy based on easy borrowing and cunsumer consumption which is not a producer: Can it suffer such a shock as this? And how to get out of the chaos? Does this mean tighter lending, onshoring manufacturing, comsuming only home produced goods and massively weakening the dollar? People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt. Is this the rekoning?

                    Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                    S Offline
                    S Offline
                    soap brain
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #10

                    Is this something I should be worried about? :(

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                    • S soap brain

                      Is this something I should be worried about? :(

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Lost User
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #11

                      Some people see it as quite serious since the US functions on easy borrowing. ( The UK too) Others less so.

                      Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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                      • S soap brain

                        Is this something I should be worried about? :(

                        D Offline
                        D Offline
                        Dan Neely
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #12

                        Only if you view tinfoil as the height of fashion. :rolleyes:

                        Today's lesson is brought to you by the word "niggardly". Remember kids, don't attribute to racism what can be explained by Scandinavian language roots. -- Robert Royall

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                        • L Lost User

                          Some people see it as quite serious since the US functions on easy borrowing. ( The UK too) Others less so.

                          Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                          S Offline
                          S Offline
                          soap brain
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #13

                          Just hypothetically, what would happen in the worst case scenario?

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                          • D Dan Neely

                            Only if you view tinfoil as the height of fashion. :rolleyes:

                            Today's lesson is brought to you by the word "niggardly". Remember kids, don't attribute to racism what can be explained by Scandinavian language roots. -- Robert Royall

                            O Offline
                            O Offline
                            Oakman
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #14

                            dan neely wrote:

                            Only if you view tinfoil as the height of fashion

                            I don't think Fat_Boy has ever forgiven the US for Gore's winning the Nobel prize.

                            Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                            • L Lost User

                              You know the expression "If America sneezes the world catches a cold". That what is happening in America as I write is something more than a sneeze.

                              L Offline
                              L Offline
                              Lost User
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #15

                              I believe this is only going to affect countries that rely on easy borrowing to function. Like the UK. I do not feel that Europe for example will be anywhere as nerly badly affected as the US and UK. Therejust isnt that much bad debt in the European system. It just cant exist. The quesiton for me is how far the UK goes. Its already slid off against the Euro, used to be 1.50, now its 1.25. Will it go to parity? Dont forget the UK already had to bail out a bank (and inject 40million into the banking system) somehting that hasnt yet happened on the Continent.

                              Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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                              • S soap brain

                                Is this something I should be worried about? :(

                                7 Offline
                                7 Offline
                                73Zeppelin
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #16

                                Not unless you work in finance and/or all your assets are tied up in financial sector stock. If you've got a pile of cash under the mattress along with a few gold bars you're all set. I'm worried about it because it's going to consume all my time probably into next year.

                                ...that mortally intolerable truth; that all deep, earnest thinking is but the intrepid effort of the soul to keep the open independence of her sea; while the wildest winds of heaven and earth conspire to cast her on the treacherous, slavish shore.

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                                • S soap brain

                                  Just hypothetically, what would happen in the worst case scenario?

                                  M Offline
                                  M Offline
                                  Matthew Faithfull
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #17

                                  A return to bartering and horse drawn transport but seriously if you're not old enough for a credit card you won't be missing much :)

                                  "The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage." Thucydides (B.C. 460-400)

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                                  • S soap brain

                                    Is this something I should be worried about? :(

                                    L Offline
                                    L Offline
                                    Lost User
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #18

                                    As a young teenager, your parents should be able to protect you from the worst of the present ravages. So hopefully by the time you turn adult the matter should be history. But learn from history. When you become an adult do ... Don't spend what you don't own. Don't buy on credit unless it is an affordable mortgage. Save what you can. Invest in a Pensions scheme for your old age (yep I know it is a very long way off but you need to think about it sooner rather than later).

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                                    • L Lost User

                                      Arguably, the United States, and consequently, the "free" world, is in recession. There will be no easy answers. Should the United States take an insular view, the recession could last well after the next Presidential election in 2012. The glimmer of hope is that China might use some of its resources to help reduce the intensity of the recession by assuming the role that America did once own - namely the Financial & Economic powerhouse of this world. There's a thought - Communist China coming to the rescue of a Capitalist World !!!!

                                      O Offline
                                      O Offline
                                      Oakman
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #19

                                      Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                      There's a thought - Communist China coming to the rescue of a Capitalist World !!!!

                                      Yes, that is a thought -- how's your Mandarin?

                                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                      L 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • O Oakman

                                        Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                        There's a thought - Communist China coming to the rescue of a Capitalist World !!!!

                                        Yes, that is a thought -- how's your Mandarin?

                                        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                        L Offline
                                        L Offline
                                        Lost User
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #20

                                        Oakman wrote:

                                        how's your Mandarin

                                        It needs new strings ;P

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                                        • L Lost User

                                          As a young teenager, your parents should be able to protect you from the worst of the present ravages. So hopefully by the time you turn adult the matter should be history. But learn from history. When you become an adult do ... Don't spend what you don't own. Don't buy on credit unless it is an affordable mortgage. Save what you can. Invest in a Pensions scheme for your old age (yep I know it is a very long way off but you need to think about it sooner rather than later).

                                          O Offline
                                          O Offline
                                          Oakman
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #21

                                          Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                          As a young teenager, your parents should be able to protect you from the worst of the present ravages

                                          Or they may be forced to sell him to a male brothel in Dubai.

                                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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