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  4. Is this crisis almost the end of the US?

Is this crisis almost the end of the US?

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved The Back Room
tutorialquestionlounge
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  • O Oakman

    73Zeppelin wrote:

    I become Benevolent Leader for Life of the entire world after I seize control of the Swiss banking system. I'm working on it now, oops, I mean don't worry about it.

    He said worst case. That's not you becoming Benevolent Leader for Life, that's Ilion becoming Benevolent Leader for Life.

    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

    7 Offline
    7 Offline
    73Zeppelin
    wrote on last edited by
    #75

    Well, I can be pretty tyrannical but you do have a point...

    ...that mortally intolerable truth; that all deep, earnest thinking is but the intrepid effort of the soul to keep the open independence of her sea; while the wildest winds of heaven and earth conspire to cast her on the treacherous, slavish shore.

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    • S soap brain

      Richard A. Abbott wrote:

      As a young teenager, your parents should be able to protect you from the worst of the present ravages.

      Protection? Ha! I don't need protection, I AM INVINCIBLE!

      Richard A. Abbott wrote:

      Don't spend what you don't own. Don't buy on credit unless it is an affordable mortgage. Save what you can. Invest in a Pensions scheme for your old age (yep I know it is a very long way off but you need to think about it sooner rather than later).

      OK, I'll remember that. And I have a pretty good memory, believe me. :-\

      V Offline
      V Offline
      Vikram A Punathambekar
      wrote on last edited by
      #76

      Ravel H. Joyce wrote:

      Ha! I don't need protection, I AM INVINCIBLE!

      Seen GoldenEye? You sound like Boris.

      Cheers, Vıkram.


      "if abusing me makes you a credible then i better give u the chance which didnt get in real" - Adnan Siddiqi.

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      • O Oakman

        Chris Austin wrote:

        I have been buying 3-4 houses a month for the last 3 months. But it's really not that simple; I've been having the sellers fiance them to me. First, this doesn't hit my credit and second, it allows me to re-sell them with seller financing. When interest rates start to move up like they were in the 80's seller financing will be the absolute best way to move houses.

        You should write a book and have Tony Roberts sell it in an infomercial.

        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

        C Offline
        C Offline
        Chris Austin
        wrote on last edited by
        #77

        Nope nothing infomercial about it. Just old school seller financing.

        Sovereign ingredient for a happy marriage: Pay cash or do without. Interest charges not only eat up a household budget; awareness of debt eats up domestic felicity. --Lazarus Long

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        • M MrPlankton

          Chris Austin wrote:

          I have been buying 3-4 houses a month for the last 3 months

          Wow, that sounds risky. And is contrary to your signature.

          Chris Austin wrote:

          Sovereign ingredient for a happy marriage: Pay cash or do without.

          Hope it works our for you.

          MrPlankton

          C Offline
          C Offline
          Chris Austin
          wrote on last edited by
          #78

          MrPlankton wrote:

          Wow, that sounds risky

          Real estate is 100% local. In my marker we experienced almost none of the rampant inflation and subsequent deflation of house prices. Risk is mitigated by knowing your market and the worst case. Also, every loan I take out is a non-recourse loan which means it is only business credit with no guarantees by me personally.

          MrPlankton wrote:

          And is contrary to your signature.

          Not really. These loans are not personal loans and have no guarantee by me personally. Also, these aren't loans for things like a TV or a car; this is revenue generation.

          MrPlankton wrote:

          Hope it works our for you.

          Thanks, it has been working for quite some time. Now, our company has picked up it's pace of acquisitions.

          Sovereign ingredient for a happy marriage: Pay cash or do without. Interest charges not only eat up a household budget; awareness of debt eats up domestic felicity. --Lazarus Long

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          • L Lost User

            I think its the only way out. They must manufacture and sell. They are still a resource rich country and weakening the dollar would help exports hugely. Anyone fancy a Dodge Viper for 15,000 euros?

            Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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            P Offline
            Paul Conrad
            wrote on last edited by
            #79

            fat_boy wrote:

            Anyone fancy a Dodge Viper for 15,000 euros?

            Thanks, but no thanks. Nice car, but the gas mileage is not good at all.

            "The clue train passed his station without stopping." - John Simmons / outlaw programmer "Real programmers just throw a bunch of 1s and 0s at the computer to see what sticks" - Pete O'Hanlon "Not only do you continue to babble nonsense, you can't even correctly remember the nonsense you babbled just minutes ago." - Rob Graham

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            • L Lost User

              No, there is no glee, it will be good to see the US get back to what it stood for 40 years ago.

              Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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              S Offline
              Stan Shannon
              wrote on last edited by
              #80

              fat_boy wrote:

              what it stood for 40 years ago

              Free market capitalism and christianity?

              Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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              • L Lost User

                Gotta pay your taxes to the king first. Back taxes I mean!

                Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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                R Offline
                Rob Graham
                wrote on last edited by
                #81

                Waive the penalties and intereset and you've got a deal!

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                • D Dirk Higbee

                  No. I've see this plenty of times before. Now is a really good time to buy stock in the DOW or S&P 500. Also, buy 3-4 houses if you can. Then just ride it out.

                  fat_boy wrote:

                  People have been saying for decades the US is bankrupt

                  Really? I remember not too long ago when Clinton wiped out the deficit.

                  My Blog: http://cynicalclots.blogspot.com

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                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #82

                  Dirk Higbee wrote:

                  when Clinton wiped out the deficit.

                  *cough* He what? Where was I? *cough* I seem to recall a hot economy (driven by the dotcom bubble) helping the deficit but the bubble burst well before the deficit was erased. What did Slick have to do with any of this?

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                  • L Lost User

                    Dirk Higbee wrote:

                    when Clinton wiped out the deficit.

                    *cough* He what? Where was I? *cough* I seem to recall a hot economy (driven by the dotcom bubble) helping the deficit but the bubble burst well before the deficit was erased. What did Slick have to do with any of this?

                    J Offline
                    J Offline
                    Jim Crafton
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #83

                    According to this: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy05/hist.html[^] This xls file ( http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy05/sheets/hist01z1.xls[^] ) has the following (from the Total group for Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit).

                    Year Total
                    Receipts Outlays Surplus or Deficit(−)

                    1988 909,303 1,064,455 -155,152
                    1989 991,190 1,143,646 -152,456
                    1990 1,031,969 1,253,165 -221,195
                    1991 1,055,041 1,324,369 -269,328
                    1992 1,091,279 1,381,655 -290,376
                    1993 1,154,401 1,409,489 -255,087
                    1994 1,258,627 1,461,877 -203,250
                    1995 1,351,830 1,515,802 -163,972
                    1996 1,453,062 1,560,535 -107,473
                    1997 1,579,292 1,601,250 -21,958
                    1998 1,721,798 1,652,585 69,213
                    1999 1,827,454 1,701,891 125,563
                    2000 2,025,218 1,788,773 236,445
                    2001 1,991,194 1,863,770 127,424

                    2002 1,853,173 2,010,970 -157,797
                    2003 1,782,342 2,157,637 -375,295

                    ¡El diablo está en mis pantalones! ¡Mire, mire! Real Mentats use only 100% pure, unfooled around with Sapho Juice(tm)! SELECT * FROM User WHERE Clue > 0 0 rows returned Save an Orange - Use the VCF! VCF Blog

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                    • J Jim Crafton

                      According to this: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy05/hist.html[^] This xls file ( http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy05/sheets/hist01z1.xls[^] ) has the following (from the Total group for Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit).

                      Year Total
                      Receipts Outlays Surplus or Deficit(−)

                      1988 909,303 1,064,455 -155,152
                      1989 991,190 1,143,646 -152,456
                      1990 1,031,969 1,253,165 -221,195
                      1991 1,055,041 1,324,369 -269,328
                      1992 1,091,279 1,381,655 -290,376
                      1993 1,154,401 1,409,489 -255,087
                      1994 1,258,627 1,461,877 -203,250
                      1995 1,351,830 1,515,802 -163,972
                      1996 1,453,062 1,560,535 -107,473
                      1997 1,579,292 1,601,250 -21,958
                      1998 1,721,798 1,652,585 69,213
                      1999 1,827,454 1,701,891 125,563
                      2000 2,025,218 1,788,773 236,445
                      2001 1,991,194 1,863,770 127,424

                      2002 1,853,173 2,010,970 -157,797
                      2003 1,782,342 2,157,637 -375,295

                      ¡El diablo está en mis pantalones! ¡Mire, mire! Real Mentats use only 100% pure, unfooled around with Sapho Juice(tm)! SELECT * FROM User WHERE Clue > 0 0 rows returned Save an Orange - Use the VCF! VCF Blog

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Lost User
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #84

                      1. My bad - I read "deficit" but thought "national debt". :-O 2. The big bubble in receipts (1998 - 2000) despite the steadily increased outlays during the same period seems to match my theory about credit going to the tech bubble v. Clinton. No?

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                      • L Lost User

                        1. My bad - I read "deficit" but thought "national debt". :-O 2. The big bubble in receipts (1998 - 2000) despite the steadily increased outlays during the same period seems to match my theory about credit going to the tech bubble v. Clinton. No?

                        J Offline
                        J Offline
                        Jim Crafton
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #85

                        I would *guess* that's partly true. But honestly I don't know enough about how this stuff works to offer much of an opinion one way or the other. It would seem interesting to note that this was accomplished by a Democratic president but with a Republican dominated house and senate (at least after 1994, right?). And that the outlays (as you mentioned) *never* go down. Apparently *no one* can resist the temptation of the Federal cookie jar. Just eyeballing the data, outlays have gone up every single year, at least since the 1930s. So it seems to me that neither party can make much of a claim for fiscal prudence. In terms of national debt, http://zfacts.com/metaPage/lib/National-Debt-GDP.gif[^] According to the site, the graph is generated from http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2007/[^] So from 1950 to 1980, national debt decreased steadily, increased back up during the 80's and early 90s (i.e. through Reagan-Bush) and decreased again during Clinton. Yet we ran a deficit from the 1950's all the way till now (with the exception of 1998-2000)! And for a whopper of an increase check out 1981-1983 - the deficit was -78,968 and by 1983 was -207,802. Yikes!

                        ¡El diablo está en mis pantalones! ¡Mire, mire! Real Mentats use only 100% pure, unfooled around with Sapho Juice(tm)! SELECT * FROM User WHERE Clue > 0 0 rows returned Save an Orange - Use the VCF! VCF Blog

                        L 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • J Jim Crafton

                          I would *guess* that's partly true. But honestly I don't know enough about how this stuff works to offer much of an opinion one way or the other. It would seem interesting to note that this was accomplished by a Democratic president but with a Republican dominated house and senate (at least after 1994, right?). And that the outlays (as you mentioned) *never* go down. Apparently *no one* can resist the temptation of the Federal cookie jar. Just eyeballing the data, outlays have gone up every single year, at least since the 1930s. So it seems to me that neither party can make much of a claim for fiscal prudence. In terms of national debt, http://zfacts.com/metaPage/lib/National-Debt-GDP.gif[^] According to the site, the graph is generated from http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2007/[^] So from 1950 to 1980, national debt decreased steadily, increased back up during the 80's and early 90s (i.e. through Reagan-Bush) and decreased again during Clinton. Yet we ran a deficit from the 1950's all the way till now (with the exception of 1998-2000)! And for a whopper of an increase check out 1981-1983 - the deficit was -78,968 and by 1983 was -207,802. Yikes!

                          ¡El diablo está en mis pantalones! ¡Mire, mire! Real Mentats use only 100% pure, unfooled around with Sapho Juice(tm)! SELECT * FROM User WHERE Clue > 0 0 rows returned Save an Orange - Use the VCF! VCF Blog

                          L Offline
                          L Offline
                          Lost User
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #86

                          Jim Crafton wrote:

                          It would seem interesting to note that this was accomplished by a Democratic president but with a Republican dominated house and senate (at least after 1994, right?).

                          Given that the congress holds the purse strings couldn't one also say "accomplished by a Republican dominated house and senate with a Democratic president"? Sorry, my dislike of Bill Clinton is showing.

                          Jim Crafton wrote:

                          Apparently *no one* can resist the temptation of the Federal cookie jar. Just eyeballing the data, outlays have gone up every single year, at least since the 1930s. So it seems to me that neither party can make much of a claim for fiscal prudence.

                          Absolutely! The current administration and congress is spending like drunken sailors.

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                          • L Lost User

                            Jim Crafton wrote:

                            It would seem interesting to note that this was accomplished by a Democratic president but with a Republican dominated house and senate (at least after 1994, right?).

                            Given that the congress holds the purse strings couldn't one also say "accomplished by a Republican dominated house and senate with a Democratic president"? Sorry, my dislike of Bill Clinton is showing.

                            Jim Crafton wrote:

                            Apparently *no one* can resist the temptation of the Federal cookie jar. Just eyeballing the data, outlays have gone up every single year, at least since the 1930s. So it seems to me that neither party can make much of a claim for fiscal prudence.

                            Absolutely! The current administration and congress is spending like drunken sailors.

                            R Offline
                            R Offline
                            Rob Graham
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #87

                            Mike Mullikin wrote:

                            The current administration and congress is spending like drunken sailors.

                            You are being unfair to sailors, drunken or otherwise, as they generally stop spending when their pockets run out of money, unlike Congress which just borrows some more. If only we could cancel their credit cards...

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                            • P Paul Conrad

                              fat_boy wrote:

                              Anyone fancy a Dodge Viper for 15,000 euros?

                              Thanks, but no thanks. Nice car, but the gas mileage is not good at all.

                              "The clue train passed his station without stopping." - John Simmons / outlaw programmer "Real programmers just throw a bunch of 1s and 0s at the computer to see what sticks" - Pete O'Hanlon "Not only do you continue to babble nonsense, you can't even correctly remember the nonsense you babbled just minutes ago." - Rob Graham

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                              O Offline
                              Oakman
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #88

                              Paul Conrad wrote:

                              Nice car, but the gas mileage is not good at all.

                              If gas gets back above $4.00 @ gallon prices on the guzzlers may drop to that level just to clear inventory.

                              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                              • S Stan Shannon

                                fat_boy wrote:

                                what it stood for 40 years ago

                                Free market capitalism and christianity?

                                Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                O Offline
                                O Offline
                                Oakman
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #89

                                Stan Shannon wrote:

                                Free market capitalism

                                Bullshit. We had tariffs like we'd bought them at a fire sale. It was only when economic liberals like you started tearing them down and shipping our jobs overseas, that we started printing monopoly money to hide what was happening to our economy.

                                Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                • O Oakman

                                  Paul Conrad wrote:

                                  Nice car, but the gas mileage is not good at all.

                                  If gas gets back above $4.00 @ gallon prices on the guzzlers may drop to that level just to clear inventory.

                                  Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                  P Offline
                                  Paul Conrad
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #90

                                  That could happen. But why feed some guzzler 4 bucks/gallon gas when it only gets 9 miles to the gallon. Some people can be rich enough to drive these guzzlers and afford the gas price that comes with them, but even with a good amount of money, you'd think people would be a bit wiser in conserving the money. Especially after Wall Street yesterday.

                                  "The clue train passed his station without stopping." - John Simmons / outlaw programmer "Real programmers just throw a bunch of 1s and 0s at the computer to see what sticks" - Pete O'Hanlon "Not only do you continue to babble nonsense, you can't even correctly remember the nonsense you babbled just minutes ago." - Rob Graham

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                                  • R Rob Graham

                                    Mike Mullikin wrote:

                                    The current administration and congress is spending like drunken sailors.

                                    You are being unfair to sailors, drunken or otherwise, as they generally stop spending when their pockets run out of money, unlike Congress which just borrows some more. If only we could cancel their credit cards...

                                    O Offline
                                    O Offline
                                    Oakman
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #91

                                    Rob Graham wrote:

                                    If only we could cancel their credit cards...

                                    They'd print more of them, too.

                                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                    • P Paul Conrad

                                      That could happen. But why feed some guzzler 4 bucks/gallon gas when it only gets 9 miles to the gallon. Some people can be rich enough to drive these guzzlers and afford the gas price that comes with them, but even with a good amount of money, you'd think people would be a bit wiser in conserving the money. Especially after Wall Street yesterday.

                                      "The clue train passed his station without stopping." - John Simmons / outlaw programmer "Real programmers just throw a bunch of 1s and 0s at the computer to see what sticks" - Pete O'Hanlon "Not only do you continue to babble nonsense, you can't even correctly remember the nonsense you babbled just minutes ago." - Rob Graham

                                      O Offline
                                      O Offline
                                      Oakman
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #92

                                      Paul Conrad wrote:

                                      you'd think people would be a bit wiser in conserving the money. Especially after Wall Street yesterday.

                                      Two groups of people guaranteed to continue driving them: Congresscritters and Senior Management.

                                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                      • O Oakman

                                        Paul Conrad wrote:

                                        you'd think people would be a bit wiser in conserving the money. Especially after Wall Street yesterday.

                                        Two groups of people guaranteed to continue driving them: Congresscritters and Senior Management.

                                        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                        P Offline
                                        Paul Conrad
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #93

                                        Oakman wrote:

                                        Congresscritters

                                        Is there a hunting season for those?

                                        "The clue train passed his station without stopping." - John Simmons / outlaw programmer "Real programmers just throw a bunch of 1s and 0s at the computer to see what sticks" - Pete O'Hanlon "Not only do you continue to babble nonsense, you can't even correctly remember the nonsense you babbled just minutes ago." - Rob Graham

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                                        • P Paul Conrad

                                          Oakman wrote:

                                          Congresscritters

                                          Is there a hunting season for those?

                                          "The clue train passed his station without stopping." - John Simmons / outlaw programmer "Real programmers just throw a bunch of 1s and 0s at the computer to see what sticks" - Pete O'Hanlon "Not only do you continue to babble nonsense, you can't even correctly remember the nonsense you babbled just minutes ago." - Rob Graham

                                          B Offline
                                          B Offline
                                          brianwelsch
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #94

                                          It's a short season. November 4th, this year.

                                          BW


                                          Quick to judge, quick to anger, slow to understand.
                                          Ignorance and prejudice and fear walk hand in hand.
                                          -- Neil Peart

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