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  4. A fool-proof plan for economic recovery: [modified]

A fool-proof plan for economic recovery: [modified]

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  • C Chris Austin

    Synaptrik wrote:

    And, you don't see a relationship between the two?

    Of course I do, it's simple supply and demand.

    Synaptrik wrote:

    It was thrust upon us by Reagan and Clinton.

    Not that I agree with your thesis but Try Nixon. It was under his administration that this whole thing really picked up speed. He moved us to a fiat currency and his agriculture policies started the rise of the huge agribusiness conglomerates that now dominate our food supply.

    Synaptrik wrote:

    hey consume because its available.

    I see you slept through Economics 101. There wouldn't be a supply if there wasn't a demand. It's the same reason the boneheads in D.C. will never win the 'war on drugs'. It's pointless to attack the supply without addressing the demand. US based manufacturing would not have headed to Mexico and then China, and now Thailand and other cheap labor markets had there not been market demand for cheaper shit. Do you realize how much it costs to build a manufacturing plant...billions of dollars; billions. You think people that are making money hand over fist as a result of this are stupid enough to invest that kind of money if there wasn't a demand? You want manufacturing back into this country? Then be willing to pay for it. Don't complain when you have to pay an extra $200 for a computer monitor.

    Sovereign ingredient for a happy marriage: Pay cash or do without. Interest charges not only eat up a household budget; awareness of debt eats up domestic felicity. --Lazarus Long Avoid the crowd. Do your own thinking independently. Be the chess player, not the chess piece. --?

    modified on Friday, March 6, 2009 9:01 PM

    M Offline
    M Offline
    Mustafa Ismail Mustafa
    wrote on last edited by
    #77

    Chris Austin wrote:

    You want manufacturing back into this country? Then be willing to pay for it. Don't complain when you have to pay an extra $200 for a computer monitor.

    Jordan doesn't have any manufacturing to speak of, but I would happily pay more to get some decent quality products. I was positioned in China for 1.5 years and I know exactly what you're talking about and exactly what trash quality is.

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    • S Stan Shannon

      Oakman wrote:

      But the field upon which the competition takes place need to be more or less level. When our industry "competes" with China's but cannot use slaves, spew sulphur dioxide into the atmosphere in ppt instead of ppm, or poison its customers with impunity there is no question about who wins the competition, is there?

      One would like to think so. But just because we value you certain principles does not mean that those principles are the most economically viable. Frankly, I think any population that would embrace socialistic principles would be more, not less, likely to embrace slavery than would one committed to free market capitalism. But I think that almost any society working its way from a primitive pre-industrial state, to a modern free market society has to pass through a period of some form of slave labor. I don't think our own society could have made the transistion without slavery.

      Oakman wrote:

      I've already spent some time this morning pointing out that geographical isolation permits the use of trade barriers.

      But how geographically connected is California to New York? or Oregon to Georgia? There are any number of geographical subdivisions of north america which have every reason to be economically competitive with one another.

      Oakman wrote:

      The trick with tariffs is to keep them low enough that it doesn't make great financial sense to smuggle them in, but high enough to give homegrown industry a fighting chance,

      And I think all we have to do to give homegrown industry a fighting chance is to get government and labor unions off their backs. The US has one of the highest corporate tax rates in the world. Get rid of that and it would help a lot.

      Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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      Oakman
      wrote on last edited by
      #78

      Stan Shannon wrote:

      But I think that almost any society working its way from a primitive pre-industrial state, to a modern free market society has to pass through a period of some form of slave labor.

      Perhaps so, but we do not have to give them the money to buy the whips and chains. We do not have to beggar our own work force by encouraging China to destroy its agrarian settlement in favor of slave labor camps. And we do not have to pretend that it isn't happening so they'll loan us some more money.

      Stan Shannon wrote:

      And I think all we have to do to give homegrown industry a fighting chance is to get government and labor unions off their backs.

      You're right. Eliminate the 13th and 14th Amendments and we're all set.

      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

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      • 7 73Zeppelin

        Richard A. Abbott wrote:

        Yet, if that occurs the loser will be the domestic marketplace. There are other downsides as well. Such as, the efficiency of an organization will be much reduced if they are compelled to work with sub-quality objects irrespective if that object is an item of machinery or a poorly educated worker, which will increase their costs in a non-specific way. And I don't necessarily mean their costs in terms of dollars. But Dollars, Pound Sterling, Euro's etc., the bottom line counts.

        Exactly. Which is why protectionism is not a good economic policy.

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        Synaptrik
        wrote on last edited by
        #79

        Would you agree that we do need a balance of reasonable tariffs though? I guess what I'm trying to get at is: Is it possible we've lowered the bar too far when calling something protectionist?

        This statement is false

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        • C Chris Austin

          Synaptrik wrote:

          Which really brings us back to my main point. That an economy is driven by demand, which equates to labor, which needs a manufacturing base to really thrive.

          What you are refusing to see is that in order for a retail manufacturing base to thrive once again in this country one of two things need to change. 1) We siginificantly lower our way of life/cost of living. or 2) Consumers, have to demand higher quality goods and be willing to pay for them. You or I may want to pay for quality goods. But, I submit that the success of stores like BigLots, Dollar Tree and, Walmart paints an entirely different picture of the American Consumer's demand for goods. Once we stop consuming throw away products US based manufacturers will need to step up and outperform the competition. It's not something that can happen quickly.

          Sovereign ingredient for a happy marriage: Pay cash or do without. Interest charges not only eat up a household budget; awareness of debt eats up domestic felicity. --Lazarus Long Avoid the crowd. Do your own thinking independently. Be the chess player, not the chess piece. --?

          S Offline
          S Offline
          Synaptrik
          wrote on last edited by
          #80

          Chris Austin wrote:

          What you are refusing

          I ignored the first attempt, but I'm not sleeping through economics nor am I refusing to see your point. I'm quite open to the prospect that I have it wrong. But I feel that this is worthy of discussion, so I'm persisting.

          Chris Austin wrote:

          1. We siginificantly lower our way of life/cost of living. or

          The current market is forcing this.

          Chris Austin wrote:

          Once we stop consuming throw away products US based manufacturers will need to step up and outperform the competition. It's not something that can happen quickly.

          I agree. But I don't see any real viable alternatives. A balancing factor is required and historically and currently in other countries this has been done through tariffs. And I should clarify that I'm discussing punitive tariffs but tariffs on par with the rest of the industrialized world, such as China, since they are mentioned earlier in this thread. They have more punitive tariffs against us than we have against them, so currently we are out of balance with our trading partners. I'm just suggesting that we return to a level playing field.

          This statement is false

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          • C Chris Austin

            Oakman wrote:

            1. We establish trade barriers that provide the competition for the comsumer's dollar with a level playing field.

            Can we level the playing field with tariffs? For me, I see it as more of a break down of ethics. A lot of the walmart shoppers and nike buyers know that they are supporting near slave like sweatshops but they have managed to rationalize it somehow. Before instituting tariffs we would need to have a serious national discourse for there to be any real and lasting support. I can just imagine the propaganda and counter-propaganda coming from CNN and FOX.

            Sovereign ingredient for a happy marriage: Pay cash or do without. Interest charges not only eat up a household budget; awareness of debt eats up domestic felicity. --Lazarus Long Avoid the crowd. Do your own thinking independently. Be the chess player, not the chess piece. --?

            modified on Saturday, March 7, 2009 12:05 PM

            S Offline
            S Offline
            Synaptrik
            wrote on last edited by
            #81

            Chris Austin wrote:

            Can we level the playing field with tariffs?

            Can we do so without tariffs? We're competing with countries that have tariffs. This isn't a level playing field. Case in point, the EU just added some for bio diesels against us.

            This statement is false

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            • O Oakman

              Rob Graham wrote:

              He argued that the real problem was that all our competitors governments subsidized the cost of employee health care, while US firms are expected to provide that subsidy, thus making the cost of doing business not a level playing field.

              He was, and you are, absolutely correct. Along with with the workplace regulations, environmental requirements, health care is a cost of business only in the US (and possibly Japan). Of course nothing beats having a throughly cowed labor force unable to protest against 7 day, 12 hour shifts and afraid to stay out sick.

              Rob Graham wrote:

              Clearly, China does not subsidize it's citizens health care costs at present, but it seems to be clearly moving in that direction

              I'm sure it subsidizes all party member's costs. It only the 90% of their population that qualifies for the term, "peasant," that they let die from what would be minor problems over here.

              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

              R Offline
              R Offline
              Rob Graham
              wrote on last edited by
              #82

              Oakman wrote:

              He was, and you are, absolutely correct.

              So, does that mean that instead of tariffs, what we really need is national health care to level the playing field?

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              • S Synaptrik

                Chris Austin wrote:

                Can we level the playing field with tariffs?

                Can we do so without tariffs? We're competing with countries that have tariffs. This isn't a level playing field. Case in point, the EU just added some for bio diesels against us.

                This statement is false

                L Offline
                L Offline
                Lost User
                wrote on last edited by
                #83

                The United States have a number of tariffs in place. As does the European Union. As do many other countries around the world. That is fact.

                Synaptrik wrote:

                Can we do so without tariffs?

                Only by being super-efficient in your manufacturing and re-introducing industry for products that you presently need to import. By that I mean, there is no one answer but you will need to put into practice the best traditions of systems analysis to assess probable solutions industry by industry, company by company, it can't be left to government. But if you want government to act in a particular way, remember the concept of an eye for an eye. Retaliation will happen, in fact, it is guaranteed, and a right royal mess with ensue.

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                • S Synaptrik

                  Would you agree that we do need a balance of reasonable tariffs though? I guess what I'm trying to get at is: Is it possible we've lowered the bar too far when calling something protectionist?

                  This statement is false

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #84

                  It is best to do away with all forms of protectionism. Tariffs, reasonable or not, is most likely to be matched by overseas countries.

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                  • L Lost User

                    Thank you John. You have confirmed what I said in a thread below.

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                    Oakman
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #85

                    Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                    Thank you John. You have confirmed what I said in a thread below.

                    You continue to talk in terms of academics, I am afraid. In the real world, no country does not already have tariffs in place, and few if any countries have as few or as forgiving tariffs as does the US. Hardly any if we exclude the other English-speaking countries. Meanwhile we have repressive regimes which allow no free market within their borders, produce their goods using indentured labor in a manner resembling Nazi Germany's use of concentration camp inhabitants, spew deadly chemicals into the air without any scrubbing and export products that should be covered in blood to show what has been spent instead of money in their manufacture. And somehow, you talk as if the two are equals. :confused:

                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

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                    • R Rob Graham

                      Oakman wrote:

                      He was, and you are, absolutely correct.

                      So, does that mean that instead of tariffs, what we really need is national health care to level the playing field?

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                      O Offline
                      Oakman
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #86

                      Rob Graham wrote:

                      does that mean that instead of tariffs, what we really need is national health care to level the playing field?

                      Why can't we have both? It's not like the US economy is just a little bit in trouble.

                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

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                      • R Rob Graham

                        Oakman wrote:

                        He was, and you are, absolutely correct.

                        So, does that mean that instead of tariffs, what we really need is national health care to level the playing field?

                        L Offline
                        L Offline
                        Lost User
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #87

                        A National Health Service based upon the British model will still costs employers money but nowhere near as much as it costs for your employers for their present healthcare costs.

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                        • O Oakman

                          Rob Graham wrote:

                          does that mean that instead of tariffs, what we really need is national health care to level the playing field?

                          Why can't we have both? It's not like the US economy is just a little bit in trouble.

                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

                          R Offline
                          R Offline
                          Rob Graham
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #88

                          I am inclined to believe that tarrifs will hurt rather than help. What would you place tarrifs on? We already have tarrifs on things that seem to hurt rather than help (Sugar, ethanol, etc.)

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                          • O Oakman

                            Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                            Thank you John. You have confirmed what I said in a thread below.

                            You continue to talk in terms of academics, I am afraid. In the real world, no country does not already have tariffs in place, and few if any countries have as few or as forgiving tariffs as does the US. Hardly any if we exclude the other English-speaking countries. Meanwhile we have repressive regimes which allow no free market within their borders, produce their goods using indentured labor in a manner resembling Nazi Germany's use of concentration camp inhabitants, spew deadly chemicals into the air without any scrubbing and export products that should be covered in blood to show what has been spent instead of money in their manufacture. And somehow, you talk as if the two are equals. :confused:

                            Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #89

                            Nothing wrong with introducing some academic aspect to our discussions. Sometimes I agree they can be a distraction. But, as a thought, one of the main causes of this debacle could be attributed to what was/is still an incessant march of capitalism's industrial globalization policies. And because of that, within the company free trade will happen, but not necessarily between the country of origin and destination where other considerations are relevant. So how should global entities be treated? What should their responsibilities be? How should governments treat them? Many questions, but no easy answer in what is another aspect of the troubles.

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                            • R Rob Graham

                              I am inclined to believe that tarrifs will hurt rather than help. What would you place tarrifs on? We already have tarrifs on things that seem to hurt rather than help (Sugar, ethanol, etc.)

                              O Offline
                              O Offline
                              Oakman
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #90

                              Rob Graham wrote:

                              What would you place tarrifs on? We already have tarrifs on things that seem to hurt rather than help (Sugar, ethanol, etc.)

                              How about steel, toys, clothing - just off the top of my head.

                              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

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                              • L Lost User

                                Nothing wrong with introducing some academic aspect to our discussions. Sometimes I agree they can be a distraction. But, as a thought, one of the main causes of this debacle could be attributed to what was/is still an incessant march of capitalism's industrial globalization policies. And because of that, within the company free trade will happen, but not necessarily between the country of origin and destination where other considerations are relevant. So how should global entities be treated? What should their responsibilities be? How should governments treat them? Many questions, but no easy answer in what is another aspect of the troubles.

                                O Offline
                                O Offline
                                Oakman
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #91

                                Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                So how should global entities be treated

                                Tax their entire income in every country in which they do business.

                                Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

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                                • O Oakman

                                  Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                  So how should global entities be treated

                                  Tax their entire income in every country in which they do business.

                                  Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

                                  L Offline
                                  L Offline
                                  Lost User
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #92

                                  That might possibly be a way of making certain imports more expensive all without the formal use of tariffs. But there is a problem, differentiating between home made and imported where the product make/model is identical in every respect as this company, as many do, operates a production line in the USA as it does in, say, the Far East producing identical stuff. If you were to insist that taxation for foreign made items to be different from home brew items, who is going to pay the company to redesign either the home grown stuff or the imported stuff, after all, you must have a way of telling them apart. Certainly you will need to advertise what is essentially the same product at two or more different prices. It could possibly be disastrous.

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                                  • O Oakman

                                    Rob Graham wrote:

                                    What would you place tarrifs on? We already have tarrifs on things that seem to hurt rather than help (Sugar, ethanol, etc.)

                                    How about steel, toys, clothing - just off the top of my head.

                                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

                                    R Offline
                                    R Offline
                                    Rob Graham
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #93

                                    Steel- Do you really think the mills in Pittsburgh or Birmingham will start back up? Is there anyone willing and able to work in them? Does either city want the pollution back? Do we really want the energy cost? I would propose instead a tax subsidy for recycling steel in country (today it's cheaper to ship it to Japan for re-manufacture). Instead of taxing it's importation, lets make internal recycling competitive. Toys - were we ever a player in that business? Clothing - The return of the double-knits? The NYC sewing sweatshops. Who besides (mostly illegal) immigrants worked in the clothing (not fabric manufacture) side of things?

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                                    • S Stan Shannon

                                      Rob Graham wrote:

                                      You are assuming that the cause of the collapse will be war. I think it is much more likely that worldwide famine and epidemics will be the cause. The current economic problems raise the likelihood of a new pandemic, as hunger and starvation increase in places like China. Given the rapidity with which disease is spread in today's world, it is unlikely that the next great pandemic will be confined to the continent it begins on.

                                      I agree with that. But war, famine and pestilence usually all go together. I simply do not believe that it is possible to effectively manage an international economy with anything less than an international government. And the only alternative to an international economy is no economy at all which means no real government at all. Just about any thing could trigger the implosion of massively overpopulated urban centers in the modern world. I think human civilization could be reduced to cannibalism in a matter of weeks.

                                      Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                      modified on Saturday, March 7, 2009 2:06 PM

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                                      Rob Graham
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #94

                                      Stan Shannon wrote:

                                      Just about any thing could trigger the implosion of massively overpopulated urban centers in the modern world. I think human civilization could be reduced to cannibalism in a matter of weeks.

                                      Like a really big solar flare that mucks up the electrical grid for months instead of just days.

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                                      • R Rob Graham

                                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                                        Just about any thing could trigger the implosion of massively overpopulated urban centers in the modern world. I think human civilization could be reduced to cannibalism in a matter of weeks.

                                        Like a really big solar flare that mucks up the electrical grid for months instead of just days.

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                                        O Offline
                                        Oakman
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #95

                                        Rob Graham wrote:

                                        Like a really big solar flare that mucks up the electrical grid for months instead of just days.

                                        Never thought of that - I keep waiting for the Big One in California. But, hell, if Krakatoa was to blow its top again, we could end up with one year of world-wide bad harvest.

                                        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

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                                        • R Rob Graham

                                          Steel- Do you really think the mills in Pittsburgh or Birmingham will start back up? Is there anyone willing and able to work in them? Does either city want the pollution back? Do we really want the energy cost? I would propose instead a tax subsidy for recycling steel in country (today it's cheaper to ship it to Japan for re-manufacture). Instead of taxing it's importation, lets make internal recycling competitive. Toys - were we ever a player in that business? Clothing - The return of the double-knits? The NYC sewing sweatshops. Who besides (mostly illegal) immigrants worked in the clothing (not fabric manufacture) side of things?

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                                          O Offline
                                          Oakman
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #96

                                          You could, I think, end up proving that the best thing we could do would be to eliminate any stateside production of anything.

                                          Rob Graham wrote:

                                          Is there anyone willing and able to work in them

                                          I caught this on the news this afternoon: A medium-sized city announced a single opening for a school janitor's position. There were 700 applicants in 24 hours. No, that's not nearly as tough as a steelworker's job, but it doesn't pay as well either.

                                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

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