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  4. It ain't "reckless abandon," it's "bold, upfront action"

It ain't "reckless abandon," it's "bold, upfront action"

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved The Back Room
comloungecareerlearning
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  • O Oakman

    Richard A. Abbott wrote:

    However, something tangible has to be established that we can call a financial asset that currencies can be valued against.

    Zep (and I, fwtw) agrees (if I understand him and can speak for him in this instance). The only problem is: what???

    Richard A. Abbott wrote:

    I Promise To Pay The Bearer On Demand The Sum Of XXX Pounds

    Ironic, when you remember that pound used to be a pound of silver - so did dollar, for that matter.

    Richard A. Abbott wrote:

    then that promise becomes almost meaningless.

    As Rob pointed out - that's what is making the Chinese nervous. They've finally caught on to having purchased billions of pieces of toilet paper with real goods. That they have poisoned a few of us with these transactions probably provides cold comfort.

    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

    R Offline
    R Offline
    Rob Graham
    wrote on last edited by
    #26

    It is cold comfort that the higher taxes that Washington will collect will be paid in those same worthless dollars. Wonder if they even suspect that this might be a no-win game?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • O Oakman

      Stan Shannon wrote:

      Fine by me. But I don't believe it would have the salubrious affect you imagine.

      I take Zep's word that it is impossible. There literally isn't enough refined gold in the world to support the global economy. And, since much of what there is is not in the hands of the US, we will never go back. But, what I am sure of is that as long as the Feds can print fiat money, they will flood the market with it - as you see them doing right now, and as they have done on an ever-increasing scale since the 70's. Had our currency any real value, then Freddie and Fannie could not have used scrip provided by Bernanke to buy up all those bad mortgages. Had our money real value, there would have been no spike in oil prices (check back, you'll see that gold, pretty much, came along for the ride when oil began go crazy - what became less valuable was the monopoly money issued by the oil-importring countries.

      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

      S Offline
      S Offline
      Stan Shannon
      wrote on last edited by
      #27

      Oakman wrote:

      There literally isn't enough refined gold in the world to support the global economy.

      That makes sense.

      Oakman wrote:

      But, what I am sure of is that as long as the Feds can print fiat money, they will flood the market with it - as you see them doing right now, and as they have done on an ever-increasing scale since the 70's.

      There is no good reason that a fiat based economy cannot be made to work. The notion that it is an easy way to solve financial problems is what must be avoided. Failed institutions need to be allowed to fail. Economic downturns need to be allowed to work themselves out in the markets. What ever control is exercised by manipulation of economic parameters needs to be kept to an absolute minimum.

      Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

      O 1 Reply Last reply
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      • J John Carson

        Oakman wrote:

        Failing being exposed to such a radical idea (it is after all a politically-correct ivy-league school) he might still have noticed that while the economy did slowly get better during the eight pre-war years that FDR continued the policy of throwing money at the economy, the crises -- far from what he claims -- lasted for years and years. It may be a simplistic construct, but it appears that Tojo and Admiral Yamamoto did far more to get the US out of the depression than Hoover and FDR combined.

        And how did Tojo and Admiral Yamamoto do that? By inducing the government to undertake massive government spending. Stan and I have already been through this. See here and the following posts: http://www.codeproject.com/script/Forums/View.aspx?fid=2605&msg=2950218[^] The chart here is especially telling: http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/downchart_gs.php?year=1920_1950&view=1&expand=&units=b&fy=fy10&chart=F0-total&stack=1&size=m&title=Total%20Spending&state=US&col=c[^]

        John Carson

        S Offline
        S Offline
        Stan Shannon
        wrote on last edited by
        #28

        John Carson wrote:

        Stan and I have already been through this. See here and the following posts:

        ANd I still say that the only reason it worked previously was because of the economic conditions that followed WWII. It will not achieve the same results this time. We are playing a very dangerous game here for reasons having far more to do with the solidification of political power than with stabelizing the economy.

        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

        J 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • I Ilion

          Oakman wrote:

          All-wise, all-powerful, all-knowing, eh? :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:

          Considering the competition, sure.

          O Offline
          O Offline
          Oakman
          wrote on last edited by
          #29

          Ilíon wrote:

          Considering the competition, sure.

          Obama? Osama? Mugabe? Chavez? Seems to me those are the folks you are competing with. Most of the regs, even Stan, seem to have lived long enough and learned more than enough to know that there are things they don't know.

          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • S Stan Shannon

            Oakman wrote:

            There literally isn't enough refined gold in the world to support the global economy.

            That makes sense.

            Oakman wrote:

            But, what I am sure of is that as long as the Feds can print fiat money, they will flood the market with it - as you see them doing right now, and as they have done on an ever-increasing scale since the 70's.

            There is no good reason that a fiat based economy cannot be made to work. The notion that it is an easy way to solve financial problems is what must be avoided. Failed institutions need to be allowed to fail. Economic downturns need to be allowed to work themselves out in the markets. What ever control is exercised by manipulation of economic parameters needs to be kept to an absolute minimum.

            Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

            O Offline
            O Offline
            Oakman
            wrote on last edited by
            #30

            Stan Shannon wrote:

            There is no good reason that a fiat based economy cannot be made to work.

            You obviously have no idea what you are talking about. :rolleyes:

            Stan Shannon wrote:

            The notion that it is an easy way to solve financial problems is what must be avoided.

            The only reason to go to monopoly money is because it is an easy way to solve problems with the economy. Every time, every ruler, every place who has debased or devalued the currency has seen it as a quick fix to a problem that threatened to become overwhelming. And it always has had the same results. Every time. Every ruler. Every place.

            Stan Shannon wrote:

            What ever control is exercised by manipulation of economic parameters needs to be kept to an absolute minimum.

            Just a little control, eh? Because governments are so good at exercising just a little control? But tell you what. Maybe we should work on the concept of staying just a little bit pregnant, first - then we can work up to a government that exercising a little control.

            Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

            S 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • O Oakman

              Richard A. Abbott wrote:

              However, something tangible has to be established that we can call a financial asset that currencies can be valued against.

              Zep (and I, fwtw) agrees (if I understand him and can speak for him in this instance). The only problem is: what???

              Richard A. Abbott wrote:

              I Promise To Pay The Bearer On Demand The Sum Of XXX Pounds

              Ironic, when you remember that pound used to be a pound of silver - so did dollar, for that matter.

              Richard A. Abbott wrote:

              then that promise becomes almost meaningless.

              As Rob pointed out - that's what is making the Chinese nervous. They've finally caught on to having purchased billions of pieces of toilet paper with real goods. That they have poisoned a few of us with these transactions probably provides cold comfort.

              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

              L Offline
              L Offline
              Lost User
              wrote on last edited by
              #31

              Oakman wrote:

              The only problem is: what???

              Both gold and silver are limited in abundance but not so Aluminium, what about that? And copper perhaps also has a role to play..

              O 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • O Oakman

                John Carson wrote:

                By inducing the government to undertake massive government spending

                It's not whether the government is spending, it's whether the government is consuming or producing. Because of FDR's agenda, he kept putting the government in the role of being a producer, especially during his first term. He effectively monopolized the use of capital for awhile, leaving few opportunties for anyone else could accumulate any and less reason to make capital investments. Once he allowed private enterprise to take over the role of producing, and, simultaneously, began purchasing goods from the market at a rate never seen before, the economy quickly, got back on its feet.

                Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                J Offline
                J Offline
                John Carson
                wrote on last edited by
                #32

                Oakman wrote:

                It's not whether the government is spending, it's whether the government is consuming or producing. Because of FDR's agenda, he kept putting the government in the role of being a producer, especially during his first term. He effectively monopolized the use of capital for awhile, leaving few opportunties for anyone else could accumulate any and less reason to make capital investments. Once he allowed private enterprise to take over the role of producing, and, simultaneously, began purchasing goods from the market at a rate never seen before, the economy quickly, got back on its feet.

                Ramping up the military involves large increases in government production, in addition to increased purchases from the private sector. The government also borrowed massively during WWII. Government production is a red herring. It is whether or not the government is spending. Government spending ending the Great Depression as soon as there was enough of it.

                John Carson

                O 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • O Oakman

                  Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                  unless there is the intention to offend all creditors by unilaterally/bilaterally/multilaterally canceling this debt,

                  It's been done before. By countries that attended the G20 summit and lectured Obama on economic policy.

                  Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #33

                  I'm not sure that your POTUS was lectured to at that recent gathering. Most, if not all, of the decision making was done by officials prior to those world leaders arriving in London.

                  O 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • S Stan Shannon

                    John Carson wrote:

                    Stan and I have already been through this. See here and the following posts:

                    ANd I still say that the only reason it worked previously was because of the economic conditions that followed WWII. It will not achieve the same results this time. We are playing a very dangerous game here for reasons having far more to do with the solidification of political power than with stabelizing the economy.

                    Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                    J Offline
                    J Offline
                    John Carson
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #34

                    Stan Shannon wrote:

                    ANd I still say that the only reason it worked previously was because of the economic conditions that followed WWII. It will not achieve the same results this time.

                    Your line used to be that Roosevelt caused the Great Depression. Now that that laughable nonsense has been thoroughly discredited, you seem to have adopted a new tack --- equally unsupported by evidence. It had already "worked" prior to the end of WWII, so the conditions after WWII are irrelevant. Perhaps you wish to argue that the post-WWII boom meant that the debt could be paid off quickly. OK then, maybe it will be paid off a bit more slowly this time. No big deal.

                    John Carson

                    S 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • J John Carson

                      Stan Shannon wrote:

                      ANd I still say that the only reason it worked previously was because of the economic conditions that followed WWII. It will not achieve the same results this time.

                      Your line used to be that Roosevelt caused the Great Depression. Now that that laughable nonsense has been thoroughly discredited, you seem to have adopted a new tack --- equally unsupported by evidence. It had already "worked" prior to the end of WWII, so the conditions after WWII are irrelevant. Perhaps you wish to argue that the post-WWII boom meant that the debt could be paid off quickly. OK then, maybe it will be paid off a bit more slowly this time. No big deal.

                      John Carson

                      S Offline
                      S Offline
                      Stan Shannon
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #35

                      No, the line is that FDR made the depression 'great' not that he caused it. As to the rest, I guess we will have to wait and see. But if you are suggesting the great depression had been resolved prior to WWII, maybe you should talk to people who were actually living in it.

                      Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                      modified on Wednesday, April 15, 2009 6:56 AM

                      J 1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • O Oakman

                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                        There is no good reason that a fiat based economy cannot be made to work.

                        You obviously have no idea what you are talking about. :rolleyes:

                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                        The notion that it is an easy way to solve financial problems is what must be avoided.

                        The only reason to go to monopoly money is because it is an easy way to solve problems with the economy. Every time, every ruler, every place who has debased or devalued the currency has seen it as a quick fix to a problem that threatened to become overwhelming. And it always has had the same results. Every time. Every ruler. Every place.

                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                        What ever control is exercised by manipulation of economic parameters needs to be kept to an absolute minimum.

                        Just a little control, eh? Because governments are so good at exercising just a little control? But tell you what. Maybe we should work on the concept of staying just a little bit pregnant, first - then we can work up to a government that exercising a little control.

                        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                        S Offline
                        S Offline
                        Stan Shannon
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #36

                        Oakman wrote:

                        Just a little control, eh? Because governments are so good at exercising just a little control? But tell you what. Maybe we should work on the concept of staying just a little bit pregnant, first - then we can work up to a government that exercising a little control.

                        It would be a simple matter of actually requiring the US government to adhere to its constitutional mandates.

                        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                        O 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • J John Carson

                          Oakman wrote:

                          It's not whether the government is spending, it's whether the government is consuming or producing. Because of FDR's agenda, he kept putting the government in the role of being a producer, especially during his first term. He effectively monopolized the use of capital for awhile, leaving few opportunties for anyone else could accumulate any and less reason to make capital investments. Once he allowed private enterprise to take over the role of producing, and, simultaneously, began purchasing goods from the market at a rate never seen before, the economy quickly, got back on its feet.

                          Ramping up the military involves large increases in government production, in addition to increased purchases from the private sector. The government also borrowed massively during WWII. Government production is a red herring. It is whether or not the government is spending. Government spending ending the Great Depression as soon as there was enough of it.

                          John Carson

                          O Offline
                          O Offline
                          Oakman
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #37

                          John Carson wrote:

                          Ramping up the military involves large increases in government production, in addition to increased purchases from the private sector.

                          Not really. John. It increases the size of the payroll, of course, but that has the effect of increasing the going wage in the private sector due to decreased supply just as demand increases. But the US won WWII on the back of its private industry ramping up, not nationalization by the Government as was done in Germany.

                          John Carson wrote:

                          The government also borrowed massively during WWII.

                          Did something I wrote suggest otherwise? As I remember it, we were running deficits larger than our GDP. But I fail to see what that has to do whether the government was allowing wealth to be created in the private sector or competing with the private sector as it had during the mid '30's.

                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                          J 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • L Lost User

                            I'm not sure that your POTUS was lectured to at that recent gathering. Most, if not all, of the decision making was done by officials prior to those world leaders arriving in London.

                            O Offline
                            O Offline
                            Oakman
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #38

                            Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                            I'm not sure that your POTUS was lectured to at that recent gathering

                            That's what makes horse-racing interesting, n'est-ce pas?

                            Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • L Lost User

                              Oakman wrote:

                              The only problem is: what???

                              Both gold and silver are limited in abundance but not so Aluminium, what about that? And copper perhaps also has a role to play..

                              O Offline
                              O Offline
                              Oakman
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #39

                              Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                              Both gold and silver are limited in abundance but not so Aluminium, what about that? And copper perhaps also has a role to play..

                              The problem is that they aren't rare enough. Even with the rampant inflation going on right now, the amount of copper you'd need to trade for a loaf of bread is prohibitive. Back when gold was in its heyday, you could carry enough of it to buy 200 loaves of bread in a coin a little larger than a quarter. Unfortunately, and again I am paraphrasing John, no commodity is better able to back paper currency than gold.

                              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • S Stan Shannon

                                Oakman wrote:

                                Just a little control, eh? Because governments are so good at exercising just a little control? But tell you what. Maybe we should work on the concept of staying just a little bit pregnant, first - then we can work up to a government that exercising a little control.

                                It would be a simple matter of actually requiring the US government to adhere to its constitutional mandates.

                                Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                O Offline
                                O Offline
                                Oakman
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #40

                                Stan Shannon wrote:

                                It would be a simple matter of actually requiring the US government to adhere to its constitutional mandates.

                                Yes, we've seen how well that's worked out. Your sudden faith in the feds is quite touching.

                                Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                S 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • O Oakman

                                  Stan Shannon wrote:

                                  It would be a simple matter of actually requiring the US government to adhere to its constitutional mandates.

                                  Yes, we've seen how well that's worked out. Your sudden faith in the feds is quite touching.

                                  Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                  S Offline
                                  S Offline
                                  Stan Shannon
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #41

                                  Oakman wrote:

                                  Your sudden faith in the feds is quite touching.

                                  It isn't sudden. The reason I defend the founding principles is because I do have faith in them. They never failed the entire time the were applied. They are not failing now, they are merely being ignored and buried under massive piles of leftist and libertarian bullshit.

                                  Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                  O 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • S Stan Shannon

                                    Oakman wrote:

                                    Your sudden faith in the feds is quite touching.

                                    It isn't sudden. The reason I defend the founding principles is because I do have faith in them. They never failed the entire time the were applied. They are not failing now, they are merely being ignored and buried under massive piles of leftist and libertarian bullshit.

                                    Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                    O Offline
                                    O Offline
                                    Oakman
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #42

                                    Stan Shannon wrote:

                                    libertarian

                                    You still have never proved that you even understand the word. I'm relatively sure that you attack the political philosophy whenever possible. because you know I self-identify as one.

                                    Stan Shannon wrote:

                                    They are not failing now, they are merely being ignored and buried

                                    Sounds like a fail to me.

                                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • O Oakman

                                      John Carson wrote:

                                      Ramping up the military involves large increases in government production, in addition to increased purchases from the private sector.

                                      Not really. John. It increases the size of the payroll, of course, but that has the effect of increasing the going wage in the private sector due to decreased supply just as demand increases. But the US won WWII on the back of its private industry ramping up, not nationalization by the Government as was done in Germany.

                                      John Carson wrote:

                                      The government also borrowed massively during WWII.

                                      Did something I wrote suggest otherwise? As I remember it, we were running deficits larger than our GDP. But I fail to see what that has to do whether the government was allowing wealth to be created in the private sector or competing with the private sector as it had during the mid '30's.

                                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                      J Offline
                                      J Offline
                                      John Carson
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #43

                                      Oakman wrote:

                                      Not really. John. It increases the size of the payroll, of course, but that has the effect of increasing the going wage in the private sector due to decreased supply just as demand increases.

                                      And how is that any different from "government in the role of producer" pre-WWII?

                                      Oakman wrote:

                                      But the US won WWII on the back of its private industry ramping up, not nationalization by the Government as was done in Germany.

                                      1. Did Roosevelt have a large program of nationalization pre-WWII? You seemed to be contrasting his pre-WWII and WWII policies. 2. Germany did recover from the Depression, just as the US did, illustrating my point that the scale of government production was essentially irrelevant.

                                      Oakman wrote:

                                      Did something I wrote suggest otherwise?

                                      Yes, this something: "He effectively monopolized the use of capital for awhile".

                                      Oakman wrote:

                                      As I remember it, we were running deficits larger than our GDP.

                                      Less than a third of GDP.

                                      Oakman wrote:

                                      But I fail to see what that has to do whether the government was allowing wealth to be created in the private sector or competing with the private sector as it had during the mid '30's.

                                      Well, a standard way that the government is said to compete with the private sector is by borrowing funds that the private sector might borrow. I don't know in what way you think the government was competing with the private sector. We seem to have ruled out: 1. employing people, 2. borrowing. What did you have in mind?

                                      John Carson

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • S Stan Shannon

                                        No, the line is that FDR made the depression 'great' not that he caused it. As to the rest, I guess we will have to wait and see. But if you are suggesting the great depression had been resolved prior to WWII, maybe you should talk to people who were actually living in it.

                                        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                        modified on Wednesday, April 15, 2009 6:56 AM

                                        J Offline
                                        J Offline
                                        John Carson
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #44

                                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                                        No, the line is that FDR made the depression 'great' not that he caused it.

                                        By reducing unemployment and increasing output?

                                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                                        But if you are suggesting the great depression had been resolved prior to WWII, maybe you should talk to people who were actually living in it.

                                        I said prior to the end of WWII.

                                        John Carson

                                        S 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • J John Carson

                                          Stan Shannon wrote:

                                          No, the line is that FDR made the depression 'great' not that he caused it.

                                          By reducing unemployment and increasing output?

                                          Stan Shannon wrote:

                                          But if you are suggesting the great depression had been resolved prior to WWII, maybe you should talk to people who were actually living in it.

                                          I said prior to the end of WWII.

                                          John Carson

                                          S Offline
                                          S Offline
                                          Stan Shannon
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #45

                                          John Carson wrote:

                                          By reducing unemployment and increasing output?

                                          Which part of "great depression" don't you understand? IT was the Great Depression in 1930 and it was the Great Depression in 1939.

                                          John Carson wrote:

                                          I said prior to the end of WWII.

                                          And what precisely was the world like in 1945?

                                          Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                          J 1 Reply Last reply
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