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  4. So, after the current ecconomic crisis is past, what are the chances for a decade of (mega) inflation?

So, after the current ecconomic crisis is past, what are the chances for a decade of (mega) inflation?

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  • L Lost User

    I wast thinking the other day, this crisis isnt so much about lack of money, as about how fast that money is changing hands, and based on comments picked up on CNBC and Bloomberg, the money there is is not moving round the system like it used to. So in order to give some appearance of health, the various goverments have pumped taxpayers cash into the system, but also, and critically, introduced various forms of 'quantative easing' (AKA prionting cash, or binary digits, depending on ones view of just what money is these days). Even the ECB has either srtarted or nmooted this. So, give it a few years, and the syatem starts to flow, there is going to be too much cash in the system leading to inflation. Now, from what I have gleaned, inflation is a good way to write off debt, since the devaluaiton takes care of much of it. So perhaps this is a good way to take the heat out of house proces without changing their digit values, and reduce debt overall, taxpayers included. Question is, what to do about it? Any answers from the financially astute out there?

    Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

    M Offline
    M Offline
    Michael Bookatz
    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    we will just carry on in the boom bust cycle. They thought it was broken well looks like it time to try again!

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • L Lost User

      I wast thinking the other day, this crisis isnt so much about lack of money, as about how fast that money is changing hands, and based on comments picked up on CNBC and Bloomberg, the money there is is not moving round the system like it used to. So in order to give some appearance of health, the various goverments have pumped taxpayers cash into the system, but also, and critically, introduced various forms of 'quantative easing' (AKA prionting cash, or binary digits, depending on ones view of just what money is these days). Even the ECB has either srtarted or nmooted this. So, give it a few years, and the syatem starts to flow, there is going to be too much cash in the system leading to inflation. Now, from what I have gleaned, inflation is a good way to write off debt, since the devaluaiton takes care of much of it. So perhaps this is a good way to take the heat out of house proces without changing their digit values, and reduce debt overall, taxpayers included. Question is, what to do about it? Any answers from the financially astute out there?

      Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

      O Offline
      O Offline
      Oakman
      wrote on last edited by
      #3

      To answer the header - somewhere between 99% and 101%.

      fat_boy wrote:

      So perhaps this is a good way to take the heat out of house proces without changing their digit values

      It's a good way to get out of owing China half of the United States' GNP.

      fat_boy wrote:

      and reduce debt overall, taxpayers included.

      Problem is, progressive income tax takes a larger bite out of an inflated paycheck.

      fat_boy wrote:

      Any answers from the financially astute out there?

      Gold if you think civilization is going to survive without another dark ages; gold and lead if you don't.

      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

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      • O Oakman

        To answer the header - somewhere between 99% and 101%.

        fat_boy wrote:

        So perhaps this is a good way to take the heat out of house proces without changing their digit values

        It's a good way to get out of owing China half of the United States' GNP.

        fat_boy wrote:

        and reduce debt overall, taxpayers included.

        Problem is, progressive income tax takes a larger bite out of an inflated paycheck.

        fat_boy wrote:

        Any answers from the financially astute out there?

        Gold if you think civilization is going to survive without another dark ages; gold and lead if you don't.

        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

        C Offline
        C Offline
        Captain See Sharp
        wrote on last edited by
        #4

        Oakman wrote:

        Gold if you think civilization is going to survive without another dark ages; gold and lead if you don't.

        Don't forget drugs. You better stock up man.

        ENDGAME[^]

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        • C Captain See Sharp

          Oakman wrote:

          Gold if you think civilization is going to survive without another dark ages; gold and lead if you don't.

          Don't forget drugs. You better stock up man.

          ENDGAME[^]

          O Offline
          O Offline
          Oakman
          wrote on last edited by
          #5

          Intel 4004 wrote:

          You better stock up man.

          Tell you what, you stock up. Then after armageddon, put the word out that you have drugs for sale. . .

          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

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          • O Oakman

            Intel 4004 wrote:

            You better stock up man.

            Tell you what, you stock up. Then after armageddon, put the word out that you have drugs for sale. . .

            Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

            C Offline
            C Offline
            Captain See Sharp
            wrote on last edited by
            #6

            Oakman wrote:

            Tell you what, you stock up. Then after armageddon, put the word out that you have drugs for sale. . .

            For sale? :laugh:

            ENDGAME[^]

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            • M Michael Bookatz

              we will just carry on in the boom bust cycle. They thought it was broken well looks like it time to try again!

              S Offline
              S Offline
              Stan Shannon
              wrote on last edited by
              #7

              hopingToCode wrote:

              we will just carry on in the boom bust cycle.

              Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

              Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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              • S Stan Shannon

                hopingToCode wrote:

                we will just carry on in the boom bust cycle.

                Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

                Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                L Offline
                L Offline
                Lost User
                wrote on last edited by
                #8

                Stan, you as a former sailor in the US Navy, must appreciate the benefit of a calm sea. There is very little benefit in a heavy sea. For example, it can make you unwell, it can harm you because of its violent nature. Boom and bust economic cycles can be thought of as the equivalent of the peaks and troughs of heavy seas. Much better to have a steady hand at the wheel in a calm "economic" sea. This story from August 2005 you may find interesting[^]

                S 1 Reply Last reply
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                • L Lost User

                  Stan, you as a former sailor in the US Navy, must appreciate the benefit of a calm sea. There is very little benefit in a heavy sea. For example, it can make you unwell, it can harm you because of its violent nature. Boom and bust economic cycles can be thought of as the equivalent of the peaks and troughs of heavy seas. Much better to have a steady hand at the wheel in a calm "economic" sea. This story from August 2005 you may find interesting[^]

                  S Offline
                  S Offline
                  Stan Shannon
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #9

                  Nope. A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas. Never going anywhere. Waiting for the end to ever so slowly arrive.

                  Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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                  • S Stan Shannon

                    Nope. A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas. Never going anywhere. Waiting for the end to ever so slowly arrive.

                    Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Lost User
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #10

                    Stan Shannon wrote:

                    A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas

                    So what is so wrong with economics doing the same or similar kind of thing. Boom and bust harms just like heavy seas do, and both are avoidable. Better to arrive safe and sound rather than battered and half dead.


                    Last modified: 8mins after originally posted --

                    S 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • S Stan Shannon

                      Nope. A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas. Never going anywhere. Waiting for the end to ever so slowly arrive.

                      Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                      O Offline
                      O Offline
                      Oakman
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #11

                      Stan Shannon wrote:

                      A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas

                      Whereas you would take the ship into the heaviest seas possible, using no radar, weather ballons, or even an old-fashioned lookout in order to insure every possibility of encountering hurricanes, typhoons, and tsunamis as often as possible?

                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                      S 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • S Stan Shannon

                        hopingToCode wrote:

                        we will just carry on in the boom bust cycle.

                        Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

                        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                        C Offline
                        C Offline
                        Captain See Sharp
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #12

                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                        Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

                        Boom and bust cycles are a symptom of manipulation of the supply of money and excessive risk taking. Boom and bust is a way for a small handful of people to buy up properties for pennies on the dollar. A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                        ENDGAME[^]

                        O S 2 Replies Last reply
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                        • C Captain See Sharp

                          Stan Shannon wrote:

                          Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

                          Boom and bust cycles are a symptom of manipulation of the supply of money and excessive risk taking. Boom and bust is a way for a small handful of people to buy up properties for pennies on the dollar. A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                          ENDGAME[^]

                          O Offline
                          O Offline
                          Oakman
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #13

                          Intel 4004 wrote:

                          A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                          Were you absent the month your teacher covered sentence fragments?

                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • C Captain See Sharp

                            Stan Shannon wrote:

                            Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

                            Boom and bust cycles are a symptom of manipulation of the supply of money and excessive risk taking. Boom and bust is a way for a small handful of people to buy up properties for pennies on the dollar. A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                            ENDGAME[^]

                            S Offline
                            S Offline
                            Stan Shannon
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #14

                            Intel 4004 wrote:

                            A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                            There is no such thing as a steady state in economics or much of anything else. It will never be achieved. If something isn't growing, its declining. Boom and bust is simply the price we pay for economic growth.

                            Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                            L 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • L Lost User

                              Stan Shannon wrote:

                              A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas

                              So what is so wrong with economics doing the same or similar kind of thing. Boom and bust harms just like heavy seas do, and both are avoidable. Better to arrive safe and sound rather than battered and half dead.


                              Last modified: 8mins after originally posted --

                              S Offline
                              S Offline
                              Stan Shannon
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #15

                              Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                              Boom and bust harms just like heavy seas do, and both are avoidable.

                              But heavy seas are precisely where you need to go to move forward.

                              Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                              L 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • O Oakman

                                Stan Shannon wrote:

                                A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas

                                Whereas you would take the ship into the heaviest seas possible, using no radar, weather ballons, or even an old-fashioned lookout in order to insure every possibility of encountering hurricanes, typhoons, and tsunamis as often as possible?

                                Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                                S Offline
                                S Offline
                                Stan Shannon
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #16

                                Oakman wrote:

                                Whereas you would take the ship into the heaviest seas possible, using no radar, weather ballons, or even an old-fashioned lookout in order to insure every possibility of encountering hurricanes, typhoons, and tsunamis as often as possible?

                                Human civilization was a gamble from the very beginning. No time now to stop tossing the dice.

                                Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • S Stan Shannon

                                  Intel 4004 wrote:

                                  A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                                  There is no such thing as a steady state in economics or much of anything else. It will never be achieved. If something isn't growing, its declining. Boom and bust is simply the price we pay for economic growth.

                                  Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                  L Offline
                                  L Offline
                                  Lost User
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #17

                                  Foolhardy policies causing rampant growth at the expense of good economic sense. Where individuals should be encouraged to treasure their monies and not to spend (squander) unsustainable amounts on credit they, and consequently, the country (and the world), can ill afford. Such foolhardy policies might give the illusion that all is well, but it is an illusion. With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                                  S 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • S Stan Shannon

                                    Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                    Boom and bust harms just like heavy seas do, and both are avoidable.

                                    But heavy seas are precisely where you need to go to move forward.

                                    Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                    L Offline
                                    L Offline
                                    Lost User
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #18

                                    Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                                    S T 2 Replies Last reply
                                    0
                                    • O Oakman

                                      To answer the header - somewhere between 99% and 101%.

                                      fat_boy wrote:

                                      So perhaps this is a good way to take the heat out of house proces without changing their digit values

                                      It's a good way to get out of owing China half of the United States' GNP.

                                      fat_boy wrote:

                                      and reduce debt overall, taxpayers included.

                                      Problem is, progressive income tax takes a larger bite out of an inflated paycheck.

                                      fat_boy wrote:

                                      Any answers from the financially astute out there?

                                      Gold if you think civilization is going to survive without another dark ages; gold and lead if you don't.

                                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                                      K Offline
                                      K Offline
                                      kmg365
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #19

                                      Oakman wrote:

                                      Gold if you think civilization is going to survive without another dark ages; gold and lead if you don't.

                                      Both are rare commodities these days.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • L Lost User

                                        Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                                        S Offline
                                        S Offline
                                        Stan Shannon
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #20

                                        Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                        Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                                        That is a risk that you have to compare to the certainty of dieing a long and lingering death in quiet seas.

                                        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                        modified on Wednesday, May 20, 2009 6:06 PM

                                        O 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • L Lost User

                                          Foolhardy policies causing rampant growth at the expense of good economic sense. Where individuals should be encouraged to treasure their monies and not to spend (squander) unsustainable amounts on credit they, and consequently, the country (and the world), can ill afford. Such foolhardy policies might give the illusion that all is well, but it is an illusion. With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                                          S Offline
                                          S Offline
                                          Stan Shannon
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #21

                                          Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                          With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                                          Nope. Growth cannot be managed or regulated. Only decline can. Growth is about risk taking. Always has been, always will be.

                                          Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                          L C O 3 Replies Last reply
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