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  4. Where did all the money go?

Where did all the money go?

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved The Back Room
databasecombusinessquestion
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  • L Lost User

    I agree things are bad, but predictions of social collapse are just scaremongering mate. It is the sort of thing the right-wing rags love to stoke up the fear with. There are no grounds in reality and, to be honest, it comes across like you're gloating a little - 'Hey, I'm in France and it's paradise!, ha ha UK!' (and I apologise now if this isn't the case, but that's how it looks to me). There is no evidence that either revolution or anarchy is just around the corner. This isn't France you know! :) FWIW I think Europe is ... gasp ... a good thing! I also think that, if it's good for business, we should join the Euro ... double-gasp! I'm no little Englander. However, Europe IS flawed and corruption is rife which I feel must be addressed. We are all going to suffer in this recession to one degree or another, and we are stronger together. Others have pipe-dreams of some US/UK/Canadian/etc. (call it Oceania if you will) alliance that will be more effective but it's pie in the sky. People in this country need to let go of their xenophobia and prejudices - too many people in Britain want us to punch above their weight and I believe we are stronger in the EU than outside. However, it may take us to leave before people realise that, which could make the current recession look like a walk in the park. Anyway, I digress. I am a sceptical pro-European really, although it is easy for people to get caught up with flag-waving nationalist sentiment, especially when jobs are scarce and people are skint. Perhaps this recession will be the bitter pill we all need to swallow. Personally I see a house as a home and not as an investment, and as long as you can afford to pay your mortgage, then negative equity isn't actually a big deal. There is a good chance that my house won't be worth what I paid for it, but who cares? My mortgage is easily affordable and we have no plans to move! What's the problem?

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Lost User
    wrote on last edited by
    #57

    Rob Caldecott wrote:

    as long as you can afford to pay your mortgage, then negative equity isn't actually a big deal

    How many firms a day are closing? 100 I heard for some small business consortium chappy on the news. If the bailout doesnt work, and banks stop lending and start foreclosing instead then house prices will collapse. And that will leave people massively in debt, by anywhere form 50,000 to 100,000 pounds. Just what sort of discussion do you think prompted a rate cut so drastic as seen last autumn? A scary one, believe me.

    Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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    • O Oakman

      Richard A. Abbott wrote:

      they should be removed on a like for like basis with barriers that exist in America and other countries.

      Okay. We'll stop trying to bankrupt your major software companies if you'll stop trying to bankrupt ours. ;)

      Richard A. Abbott wrote:

      Both.

      Interesting.

      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Algoraphobia: An exaggerated fear of the outside world rooted in the belief that one might spontaneously combust due to global warming.

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      Pierre Leclercq
      wrote on last edited by
      #58

      Oakman wrote:

      Okay. We'll stop trying to bankrupt your major software companies if you'll stop trying to bankrupt ours.

      hum, hum, it should not be necessary nowadays... :sigh:

      You can't turn lead into gold, unless you've built yourself a nuclear plant.

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      • D Dalek Dave

        We speak German?, drink like the Spanish?, eat like the French?, bank like the Dutch? The only thing we have in common with the rest of Europe is that we fought them. (Except Portugal, never been to war with them) You should read Winston Churchill's book, The History of the English Speaking Peoples. Very informative and apposite for these times.

        ------------------------------------ "Your manuscript is both good and original. But the part that is good is not original, and the part that is original is not good." Dr Samuel Johnson

        L Offline
        L Offline
        Lost User
        wrote on last edited by
        #59

        Dalek Dave wrote:

        We speak German?,

        Yes we do actually. English is a Germanic language.

        Dalek Dave wrote:

        drink like the Spanish

        Michelob is a nice beer.

        Dalek Dave wrote:

        eat like the French?

        Ever seen an Ebglish menu? 'en croute' 'au poivre' etc etc etc

        Dalek Dave wrote:

        bank like the Dutch?

        You mean walking into a big building with lots of desks and giving them money to keep for you?

        Dalek Dave wrote:

        The only thing we have in common with the rest of Europe is that we fought them.

        And the US.

        Dalek Dave wrote:

        You should read Winston Churchill's book

        He was a pugalist.

        Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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        • K KaRl

          Rob Caldecott wrote:

          People will still eat. They will still get healthcare.

          Really? Some people already don't. Not everybody has something to eat everyday, and a growing number have no access to health care. I don't think the crisis will help to solve this situation, on the contrary.

          Rob Caldecott wrote:

          there won't be 'social collapse'.

          I disagree. I think there could be huge social disorders, which are already starting this side of the Channel.

          The law, in its majestic equality, forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal their bread Fold with us! ¤ flickr

          R Offline
          R Offline
          Rob Graham
          wrote on last edited by
          #60

          Ka?l wrote:

          a growing number have no access to health care.

          Really? So there are EU countries that would turn someone away at the Emergency Room Door? What happened to Universal Health Care in the EU?

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          • L Lost User

            I'm pretty sure the current rate of repossessions is nowhere near early 90s levels simply because back then interest rates were MUCH higher. As for businesses going to the wall, I'm not sure it's as bad yet either and nowhere near the early 80s recession (remember when the Friday night News at 10 had a list of all the businesses that had gone tits up that week?). This year will be brutal for sure, but remember that confidence is king.

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Lost User
            wrote on last edited by
            #61

            Rob Caldecott wrote:

            I'm pretty sure the current rate of repossessions is nowhere near early 90s levels simply because back then interest rates were MUCH higher. As for businesses going to the wall, I'm not sure it's as bad yet either and nowhere near the early 80s recession

            We will see.

            Rob Caldecott wrote:

            when the Friday night News at 10 had a list of all the businesses that had gone tits up that week

            Yes, it was grim. Perhaps its just age. I recall the miners strikes, the garbage strikes, the ambulance strikes. I guess then to a 40 year old it looked like the UK was falling apart. I hope the situation isnt as bad as I suspect it could be. Of course I do. I have interests in the UK too. But right now, I wouldnt buy, and I wouldnt keep cash in sterling. (I did buy a pile of cheap UK stocks though last october that over 5 to 10 years should start to do OK)

            Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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            • L Lost User

              fat_boy wrote:

              negative equity

              I agree that house prices are over valued presently but assessing their true value is troublesome at best. And those with negative equity will either bare the pain whilst in that condition or surrender their house and bare the pain of being sued for the difference by their finance provider. Negative equity will no doubt focus the mind but should home owners still be generally employed then such home owners will need to learn how to budget their finances better. That of course means lowering their spending on non-essentials but people being people will still want their little luxuries. However, if those home owners do lose their jobs and become unemployed, there is some salvation there insofar that Jobseekers Allowance conditions do permit a level of Government finances to support mortgage payments. But whatever value the house prices are, or will be, negative equity will sooner or later be eliminated. So not is all lost.

              L Offline
              L Offline
              Lost User
              wrote on last edited by
              #62

              Richard A. Abbott wrote:

              assessing their true value is troublesome at best.

              Yes. It seems to be determined by how much a bank is prepared to lend. Hence the potential for a bug drop.

              Richard A. Abbott wrote:

              bare the pain of being sued for the difference by their finance provider

              Personaly, I would declare myself bankrupt. Just walk away from it.

              Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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              • L Lost User

                Like I said, "bad news for business considering the levels of trade that exists between UK and the continent", and my remark regarding the French was more tongue-in-cheek. But you and I agree that any American protectionism will be bad news for all and Europe will need to have a robust response. Presently, EU without UK participation is unthinkable no matter what CP Member Matthew Faithfull and his UKIP say.

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                K Offline
                KaRl
                wrote on last edited by
                #63

                Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                EU without UK participation is unthinkable

                I don't think so. On the contrary, I even believe it would boost the union by removing one of the less cooperative country, one who always blocked a greater integration, one who always have been an obstacle to every non-economic aspect of the union Because UK didn't want to integrate to the rest of Europe but wanted to keep the illusion to be in charge of Europe's equilibrium, it had to find a way not to be excluded of that movement which led ex enemies to find a way to build something new . That's why historically, UK entered the EU to block its political evolution and to make it a common market only. Getting rid of this adhesion would give opportunities to the other members to go forward.

                The law, in its majestic equality, forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal their bread Fold with us! ¤ flickr

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                • K KaRl

                  Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                  EU without UK participation is unthinkable

                  I don't think so. On the contrary, I even believe it would boost the union by removing one of the less cooperative country, one who always blocked a greater integration, one who always have been an obstacle to every non-economic aspect of the union Because UK didn't want to integrate to the rest of Europe but wanted to keep the illusion to be in charge of Europe's equilibrium, it had to find a way not to be excluded of that movement which led ex enemies to find a way to build something new . That's why historically, UK entered the EU to block its political evolution and to make it a common market only. Getting rid of this adhesion would give opportunities to the other members to go forward.

                  The law, in its majestic equality, forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal their bread Fold with us! ¤ flickr

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #64

                  Britain under Ted Heath's premiership joined the "European Economic Community" not what the EEC transformed into. And this transformation is IMO illegitimate insofar that it has never received the British public's acceptance by national referendum. If Europe wishes to go in a particular "political" direction, then so be it but only after each and every member country has gained acceptance of such by its peoples by democratic vote. And where a country chooses to vote "NO" they are free NOT to join in. But, the remaining countries who voted "Yes" can go off on their collective selves in that relevant direction. I would have no problems accepting a two-speed EU no more than I accept the £ sterling and the Euro as currencies.

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                  • L Lost User

                    Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                    assessing their true value is troublesome at best.

                    Yes. It seems to be determined by how much a bank is prepared to lend. Hence the potential for a bug drop.

                    Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                    bare the pain of being sued for the difference by their finance provider

                    Personaly, I would declare myself bankrupt. Just walk away from it.

                    Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Lost User
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #65

                    fat_boy wrote:

                    Personaly, I would declare myself bankrupt. Just walk away from it.

                    Not a step to be taken lightly. It has far reaching implications.

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                    • D Dalek Dave

                      Britain has always looked west. We may have our obligations to Europe, especially our obligations to save France from German domination. But we are culturally and politically closer to the US and Canada. An old alliance, tempered over the years by differences, but still a strong bond as H Clinton said yesterday.

                      ------------------------------------ "Your manuscript is both good and original. But the part that is good is not original, and the part that is original is not good." Dr Samuel Johnson

                      K Offline
                      K Offline
                      KaRl
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #66

                      Dalek Dave wrote:

                      We may have our obligations to Europe, especially our obligations to save France from German domination.

                      :laugh: Remind me the strengh of the BEF in 1940 please?

                      The law, in its majestic equality, forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal their bread Fold with us! ¤ flickr

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                      • K KaRl

                        Dalek Dave wrote:

                        We may have our obligations to Europe, especially our obligations to save France from German domination.

                        :laugh: Remind me the strengh of the BEF in 1940 please?

                        The law, in its majestic equality, forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal their bread Fold with us! ¤ flickr

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                        D Offline
                        Dalek Dave
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #67

                        Weaker than the Germans, but even so we lasted longer than the French, and we returned. FOR SALE: French Rifle, never used, only dropped once. Also for sale Box of White Flags, Military Grade, Soiled. Contact : The Vichey Government, Surrender Avenue, France.

                        ------------------------------------ "Your manuscript is both good and original. But the part that is good is not original, and the part that is original is not good." Dr Samuel Johnson

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                        • L Lost User

                          Britain under Ted Heath's premiership joined the "European Economic Community" not what the EEC transformed into. And this transformation is IMO illegitimate insofar that it has never received the British public's acceptance by national referendum. If Europe wishes to go in a particular "political" direction, then so be it but only after each and every member country has gained acceptance of such by its peoples by democratic vote. And where a country chooses to vote "NO" they are free NOT to join in. But, the remaining countries who voted "Yes" can go off on their collective selves in that relevant direction. I would have no problems accepting a two-speed EU no more than I accept the £ sterling and the Euro as currencies.

                          K Offline
                          K Offline
                          KaRl
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #68

                          Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                          If Europe wishes to go in a particular "political" direction

                          This political direction what at the basis of the EEC - The EEC was created to reach a political integration through an economical integration. And that since the creation of the ECSC/CECA in 1951! The goal of this Union was never to be economically only - economy was just a mean, not a goal.

                          Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                          it has never received the British public's acceptance by national referendum

                          Maybe 'you' are way too soft with your governments. The people can force a government to take certain decisions if it really wants too.

                          Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                          And where a country chooses to vote "NO" they are free NOT to join in

                          UK said 'no' to the european monetary union (Euro), no to a common place of circulation (Schengen), and it also refused the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union. UK is the blacksheep of european cooperation[^]. In fact, most of the time UK just says 'no'. What positive steps originated from UK?

                          The law, in its majestic equality, forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal their bread Fold with us! ¤ flickr

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                          0
                          • K KaRl

                            Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                            If Europe wishes to go in a particular "political" direction

                            This political direction what at the basis of the EEC - The EEC was created to reach a political integration through an economical integration. And that since the creation of the ECSC/CECA in 1951! The goal of this Union was never to be economically only - economy was just a mean, not a goal.

                            Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                            it has never received the British public's acceptance by national referendum

                            Maybe 'you' are way too soft with your governments. The people can force a government to take certain decisions if it really wants too.

                            Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                            And where a country chooses to vote "NO" they are free NOT to join in

                            UK said 'no' to the european monetary union (Euro), no to a common place of circulation (Schengen), and it also refused the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union. UK is the blacksheep of european cooperation[^]. In fact, most of the time UK just says 'no'. What positive steps originated from UK?

                            The law, in its majestic equality, forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal their bread Fold with us! ¤ flickr

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #69

                            Ka?l wrote:

                            UK said 'no' to the european monetary union (Euro), no to a common place of circulation (Schengen), and it also refused the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union. UK is the blacksheep of european cooperation[^]. In fact, most of the time UK just says 'no'. What positive steps originated from UK?

                            The British Government did but the British people have not been consulted. And consultation of the people is what I would deem as appropriate before any changes to Britain's status with the EU is done. However, if France so wishes to be dragged by the nose in whatever direction the EU so chooses, then, that's fine. But, Britain or any other country MUST be allowed to say NO and mean NO, and sometimes saying no is the correct answer. One size does not fit all like the Maarstricht Treaty would like you to believe.

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                            • L Lost User

                              Rob Caldecott wrote:

                              I'm pretty sure the current rate of repossessions is nowhere near early 90s levels simply because back then interest rates were MUCH higher. As for businesses going to the wall, I'm not sure it's as bad yet either and nowhere near the early 80s recession

                              We will see.

                              Rob Caldecott wrote:

                              when the Friday night News at 10 had a list of all the businesses that had gone tits up that week

                              Yes, it was grim. Perhaps its just age. I recall the miners strikes, the garbage strikes, the ambulance strikes. I guess then to a 40 year old it looked like the UK was falling apart. I hope the situation isnt as bad as I suspect it could be. Of course I do. I have interests in the UK too. But right now, I wouldnt buy, and I wouldnt keep cash in sterling. (I did buy a pile of cheap UK stocks though last october that over 5 to 10 years should start to do OK)

                              Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                              L Offline
                              L Offline
                              Lost User
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #70

                              Many people become more conservative with age. My parents were lifelong Labour voters until 1979, when they thought the country had gone to the dogs and changed their vote. The country recovered, albeit painfully, and I don't see any difference now really (in fact there are many parallels with the 1970s), apart from the financial system, but as I said in an earlier post, governments won't let it fall and it might mean more responsible lending. So, it's going to hurt but I don't think were looking at the apocalypse just yet. :) Once property prices bottom out there are going to be some bargains to be had and the market will begin its inevitable upturn - perhaps at a slower pace this time though!

                              L 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • L Lost User

                                Many people become more conservative with age. My parents were lifelong Labour voters until 1979, when they thought the country had gone to the dogs and changed their vote. The country recovered, albeit painfully, and I don't see any difference now really (in fact there are many parallels with the 1970s), apart from the financial system, but as I said in an earlier post, governments won't let it fall and it might mean more responsible lending. So, it's going to hurt but I don't think were looking at the apocalypse just yet. :) Once property prices bottom out there are going to be some bargains to be had and the market will begin its inevitable upturn - perhaps at a slower pace this time though!

                                L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Lost User
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #71

                                Yeah, as the saying goes; 'If you arent a socialist by the time you are 19 you have no heart, and if you arent a conservative by the time you are 40 you have no head'.

                                Rob Caldecott wrote:

                                don't think were looking at the apocalypse just yet.

                                If enough people are as confident as you then you will be right. Ecconomic predictions are always selffulfilling.

                                Rob Caldecott wrote:

                                Once property prices bottom out there are going to be some bargains to be had and the market will begin its inevitable upturn - perhaps at a slower pace this time though!

                                I think, the utter stupidity of allowing lending on houses to go so far is that when you hve people paying 50% of their net on their mortgage they have les to spend elsewhere. If this had been resyricted by law to 30$, like it is in France, then it liberates cash to spend elsewhere. High debt levels on mortages actually depress the economy! And since the ONLY time you can realise the capitol in you house is by selling and buying somewhere cheaper, like abroad, which is a one way ticket, the value you build up through such hught monthly repayments us untouchable. It was utter madness.

                                Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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