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  4. Guardian.UK: Climate Priests withdraw journal claims of rising sea levels

Guardian.UK: Climate Priests withdraw journal claims of rising sea levels

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  • L Lost User

    Ian Shlasko wrote:

    So after it gets published, it should be assumed to be infallible?

    Of course, didnt you know that? (Sarcasm intended).

    Ian Shlasko wrote:

    This is science at work. We should be commending Vermeer and Rahmstorf for finding the errors, not lambasting the original team for being human and therefore fallible.

    But we should lambast the general lack of effective peer review of papers relating to AGW. Such as the IPCC AR4, which as you nkw know, is riddled with errors.

    Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

    I Offline
    I Offline
    Ian Shlasko
    wrote on last edited by
    #36

    fat_boy wrote:

    But we should lambast the general lack of effective peer review of papers relating to AGW.

    Since when does "peer review" guarantee that every error will be immediately caught? They're looking at 22,000 years of data, from all sorts of different sources (There was no such thing as a thermometer in 20,000BCE), and trying to put all of that together to predict what's going to happen a hundred years in the future, in a system so complicated that we can't even predict what the weather is going to be like two weeks from now. Why does it surprise you that mistakes were made?

    Proud to have finally moved to the A-Ark. Which one are you in?
    Author of Guardians of Xen (Sci-Fi/Fantasy novel)

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    • C CaptainSeeSharp

      Don't care. They need to be punished.

      Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #37

      CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

      Don't care.

      How very adult.

      CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

      They need to be punished.

      Why? They have committed no crime. Have any policies been adopted as a result of their paper? No. Has any money been spent as a result of their paper? No.

      Bob Emmett @ Ynys Thanatos

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      • C CaptainSeeSharp

        They are criminals. When you commit a crime, you've made a mistake.

        Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

        L Offline
        L Offline
        Lost User
        wrote on last edited by
        #38

        CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

        They are criminals.

        How?

        CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

        When you commit a crime, you've made a mistake.

        But the converse is not true.

        Bob Emmett @ Ynys Thanatos

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        • I Ian Shlasko

          fat_boy wrote:

          After all, he now states the debate is not over

          The debate is NEVER over. That's what science is all about. We're constantly learning. Everything we know today, could be proven wrong tomorrow.

          fat_boy wrote:

          Where?

          Here's someone on your side of the fence (Anti-AGW) explaining it... See the "Divergence Problem" section: http://climatechange.thinkaboutit.eu/think2/post/mann_and_briffa_explaining_the_micks_nature_trick/[^] In short, the "decline" they were hiding was the result of tree ring data that ceased to reflect actual temperatures after 1950 or 1960. If you have an indicator that ceases to be accurate, as compared to ALL of the other indicators, you don't use it. Been through this before, on this very forum. "hide the decline" was merely a poor choice of words, since they had no idea that their private e-mails were going to be circulating world-wide.

          Proud to have finally moved to the A-Ark. Which one are you in?
          Author of Guardians of Xen (Sci-Fi/Fantasy novel)

          L Offline
          L Offline
          Lost User
          wrote on last edited by
          #39

          Ian Shlasko wrote:

          The debate is NEVER over

          Tell that to the eco-nazis not me.

          Ian Shlasko wrote:

          Here's someone on your side of the fence (Anti-AGW) explaining it...

          What, RealClimate? You gotta be kidding me, thats a site maintained by one of Hansens employees. Its as biassed as it comes. However, to quote the section you indicated: "the trees react weakly to any further temperature increase." SO its not a decline its a weak increase? I hardly think then they have answered the quesiton!

          Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

          I OriginalGriffO 2 Replies Last reply
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          • D Distind

            CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

            Scientists have been forced to withdraw a study on projected sea level rise due to global warming after finding mistakes that undermined the findings.

            One? So how about the rest of them?

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Lost User
            wrote on last edited by
            #40

            Yes, quite agree. There must be hundreds of studies relating to climate change which are full of inacuracies and lies just waiting to be exposed.

            Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

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            • C CaptainSeeSharp

              They committed outright fraud and perpetuated a fear-mongering lie using taxpayer dollars, and broke various other laws in the process. They destroyed science.

              Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

              L Offline
              L Offline
              Lost User
              wrote on last edited by
              #41

              CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

              They committed outright fraud

              No they didn't, they hadn't considered a couple of points that two other scientists pointed out to them.

              CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

              perpetuated a fear-mongering lie

              Who is frightened, exactly? Why would anybody be afraid of a rise of 1.5m over 100 years? Not exactly a tsunami. Where is the lie? They published a paper giving sea-level projections and how they were arrived at. Are hurricane forecasts fear-mongering lies; or do they merely enable people to prepare appropriately, even though, in the event, the hurricane does not strike them?

              CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

              using taxpayer dollars

              Taxpayers' pounds, actually.

              CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

              and broke various other laws in the process

              Oh, do tell! Riding a bicycle without lights?

              CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

              They destroyed science

              No, the incident shows that science is alive and well.

              Bob Emmett @ Ynys Thanatos

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              • L Lost User

                Ian Shlasko wrote:

                The debate is NEVER over

                Tell that to the eco-nazis not me.

                Ian Shlasko wrote:

                Here's someone on your side of the fence (Anti-AGW) explaining it...

                What, RealClimate? You gotta be kidding me, thats a site maintained by one of Hansens employees. Its as biassed as it comes. However, to quote the section you indicated: "the trees react weakly to any further temperature increase." SO its not a decline its a weak increase? I hardly think then they have answered the quesiton!

                Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                I Offline
                I Offline
                Ian Shlasko
                wrote on last edited by
                #42

                fat_boy wrote:

                What, RealClimate? You gotta be kidding me, thats a site maintained by one of Hansens employees. Its as biassed as it comes.

                Well, sorry, I don't keep track of which websites are political shills. I just grabbed the first google link, because I don't want to be at this all day.

                fat_boy wrote:

                However, to quote the section you indicated: "the trees react weakly to any further temperature increase." SO its not a decline its a weak increase? I hardly think then they have answered the quesiton!

                I'm no expert, but it looks like the particular trees in question are from one small region, and that region had some unusually-hot weather...Now, this link[^] shows some of the raw data, and it seems that one particular tree had a really odd growth pattern, and that was throwing off the calculations in the tree-ring study. Keep in mind that all of this data is going through some kind of formulaic translation, since they're getting tree ring data (Widths, I'd assume) and using those to derive temperature changes. "React weakly" does not necessarily translate to "weak increase"... You're playing with the words without understanding the context.

                Proud to have finally moved to the A-Ark. Which one are you in?
                Author of Guardians of Xen (Sci-Fi/Fantasy novel)

                C L 2 Replies Last reply
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                • C CaptainSeeSharp

                  Listen, they knew they were fucking lying. They destroyed the data, they made up a load up bullshit, and they attacked any scientist who disagreed with their findings. Capeesh? They need to be fucking whipped with jellyfish laced steel cables.

                  Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #43

                  CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                  they knew they were f***ing lying.

                  Who? Siddall et al were not lying. Are you back to "Climategate" again? You never really understood what was going on there, did you?

                  CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                  They destroyed the data

                  No, the raw data has always been available.

                  CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                  they made up a load up bullsh*t

                  Really? Such as?

                  CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                  they attacked any scientist who disagreed with their findings

                  Not entirely true. They accepted criticism from those working in the same or similar fields, but they had difficulty accepting it from scientists and others who had no background in climate studies, and they were not always right in this. (Would you let me criticise your burger flipping technique? No. Would I welcome your suggestions on the design of information systems? No. So you see, scientists are only human.)

                  CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                  Capeesh

                  It is as if Joe Pesci were in the room.

                  CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                  They need to be f***ing whipped with jellyfish laced steel cables.

                  Material Studies not your forté either.

                  Bob Emmett @ Ynys Thanatos

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                  • L Lost User

                    CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                    The STUPID PIECE OF sh*t

                    Possibly a term more aptly reserved for someone who takes weeks to document a simple algorithm that has been around for years.

                    CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                    Climate Cultists need whipped with a leather belt. Stomped on, cursed at, spit on, and whipped some more. Filthy slimy pieces of trash. Whip their faces.

                    So, what exactly did Siddall et al do to upset you? Oh, science. They modelled the sea-level changes versus global temperature changes over the past 22,000 years. And, hey, it worked! They then used the model to project sea-levels up to 2100, and published in July 2009. Hang on! Said Vermeer and Rahmstorf, surfacing from the publication of a similar paper (December 2009), we think you've overlooked a couple of points. So we have, Siddall et al replied, and withdrew their paper. That is how science works. It is, over time, self correcting.

                    Bob Emmett @ Ynys Thanatos

                    C Offline
                    C Offline
                    CaptainSeeSharp
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #44

                    Hey, I finished it today. I just don't like creating documentation. X|

                    Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

                    L 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • I Ian Shlasko

                      fat_boy wrote:

                      What, RealClimate? You gotta be kidding me, thats a site maintained by one of Hansens employees. Its as biassed as it comes.

                      Well, sorry, I don't keep track of which websites are political shills. I just grabbed the first google link, because I don't want to be at this all day.

                      fat_boy wrote:

                      However, to quote the section you indicated: "the trees react weakly to any further temperature increase." SO its not a decline its a weak increase? I hardly think then they have answered the quesiton!

                      I'm no expert, but it looks like the particular trees in question are from one small region, and that region had some unusually-hot weather...Now, this link[^] shows some of the raw data, and it seems that one particular tree had a really odd growth pattern, and that was throwing off the calculations in the tree-ring study. Keep in mind that all of this data is going through some kind of formulaic translation, since they're getting tree ring data (Widths, I'd assume) and using those to derive temperature changes. "React weakly" does not necessarily translate to "weak increase"... You're playing with the words without understanding the context.

                      Proud to have finally moved to the A-Ark. Which one are you in?
                      Author of Guardians of Xen (Sci-Fi/Fantasy novel)

                      C Offline
                      C Offline
                      CaptainSeeSharp
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #45

                      Its a bunch of religious goobuldigluck. They disguise fairytales of ghosts of pink unicorns and flying spaghetti monsters inas random scientific sounding nonsense.

                      Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

                      I L 2 Replies Last reply
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                      • C CaptainSeeSharp

                        Its a bunch of religious goobuldigluck. They disguise fairytales of ghosts of pink unicorns and flying spaghetti monsters inas random scientific sounding nonsense.

                        Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

                        I Offline
                        I Offline
                        Ian Shlasko
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #46

                        CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                        Its a bunch of religious goobuldigluck

                        Thank you for that detailed scientific analysis, Dr. PWP.

                        CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                        They disguise fairytales of ghosts of pink unicorns

                        Wow, that's doubly abstracted!

                        CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                        flying spaghetti monsters

                        The FSM clearly stipulates that global warming is proportional to the decline in piracy. Besides, there is only ONE Flying Spaghetti Monster, and clearly you won't be going to the heaven with the beer, strippers, and midgit (sic). The great thing about following the FSM is that the Pastafarians know for a fact that their "religion" is a joke. (No, I'm not one of them, but I think it's hilarious)

                        CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                        random scientific sounding nonsense.

                        Still a step above your posts.

                        Proud to have finally moved to the A-Ark. Which one are you in?
                        Author of Guardians of Xen (Sci-Fi/Fantasy novel)

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • C CaptainSeeSharp

                          No, they were forced to admit a lie.

                          Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

                          L Offline
                          L Offline
                          Lost User
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #47

                          CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                          No, they were forced to admit a lie.

                          Let's get the easy bit over first, nobody lied. If I spot a bug in a piece of code, I am forced to correct it. Nobody is forcing me correct it, it is merely a figure of speech. Scientists have been forced to withdraw a study on projected sea level rise due to global warming after finding mistakes that undermined the findings. Similarly, nobody is forcing them to withdraw it, it is a figure of speech. Gee. If you hadn't been such a "rebel" at school, you might have learned something, like English.

                          Bob Emmett @ Ynys Thanatos

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                          • C CaptainSeeSharp

                            Hey, I finished it today. I just don't like creating documentation. X|

                            Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #48

                            CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                            Hey, I finished it today.

                            So I noticed.

                            CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                            I just don't like creating documentation.

                            You'll go far.

                            Bob Emmett @ Ynys Thanatos

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • I Ian Shlasko

                              fat_boy wrote:

                              What, RealClimate? You gotta be kidding me, thats a site maintained by one of Hansens employees. Its as biassed as it comes.

                              Well, sorry, I don't keep track of which websites are political shills. I just grabbed the first google link, because I don't want to be at this all day.

                              fat_boy wrote:

                              However, to quote the section you indicated: "the trees react weakly to any further temperature increase." SO its not a decline its a weak increase? I hardly think then they have answered the quesiton!

                              I'm no expert, but it looks like the particular trees in question are from one small region, and that region had some unusually-hot weather...Now, this link[^] shows some of the raw data, and it seems that one particular tree had a really odd growth pattern, and that was throwing off the calculations in the tree-ring study. Keep in mind that all of this data is going through some kind of formulaic translation, since they're getting tree ring data (Widths, I'd assume) and using those to derive temperature changes. "React weakly" does not necessarily translate to "weak increase"... You're playing with the words without understanding the context.

                              Proud to have finally moved to the A-Ark. Which one are you in?
                              Author of Guardians of Xen (Sci-Fi/Fantasy novel)

                              L Offline
                              L Offline
                              Lost User
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #49

                              Ian Shlasko wrote:

                              "React weakly" does not necessarily translate to "weak increase"...

                              No? So if it gets warmer, tree rings get wider, up to a point aparently, where they start to react weakly. Which means as it gets warmer, the rings dont get so wide. I dont see any implication a decline here, in temperature or tree ring width. Yes, and that ONE tree is famous. There is apic on the internet of it with a plaque attatched. Its quite funny, pitty I cant find the link, but basically, this one tree is behind the hockey stick, and all GW hysteria since!

                              Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                              I 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • L Lost User

                                Ian Shlasko wrote:

                                The debate is NEVER over

                                Tell that to the eco-nazis not me.

                                Ian Shlasko wrote:

                                Here's someone on your side of the fence (Anti-AGW) explaining it...

                                What, RealClimate? You gotta be kidding me, thats a site maintained by one of Hansens employees. Its as biassed as it comes. However, to quote the section you indicated: "the trees react weakly to any further temperature increase." SO its not a decline its a weak increase? I hardly think then they have answered the quesiton!

                                Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                                OriginalGriffO Offline
                                OriginalGriffO Offline
                                OriginalGriff
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #50

                                fat_boy wrote:

                                Tell that to the eco-nazis

                                I invoke Godwins Law[^] - you lose!

                                You should never use standby on an elephant. It always crashes when you lift the ears. - Mark Wallace C/C++ (I dont see a huge difference between them, and the 'benefits' of C++ are questionable, who needs inheritance when you have copy and paste) - fat_boy

                                "I have no idea what I did, but I'm taking full credit for it." - ThisOldTony
                                "Common sense is so rare these days, it should be classified as a super power" - Random T-shirt

                                L 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • OriginalGriffO OriginalGriff

                                  fat_boy wrote:

                                  Tell that to the eco-nazis

                                  I invoke Godwins Law[^] - you lose!

                                  You should never use standby on an elephant. It always crashes when you lift the ears. - Mark Wallace C/C++ (I dont see a huge difference between them, and the 'benefits' of C++ are questionable, who needs inheritance when you have copy and paste) - fat_boy

                                  L Offline
                                  L Offline
                                  Lost User
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #51

                                  Noooo, godwins lae is about mentioning Hitler, not a political position.

                                  Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                                  I 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • C CaptainSeeSharp

                                    Its a bunch of religious goobuldigluck. They disguise fairytales of ghosts of pink unicorns and flying spaghetti monsters inas random scientific sounding nonsense.

                                    Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

                                    L Offline
                                    L Offline
                                    Lost User
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #52

                                    CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                                    Its a bunch of religious goobuldigluck. They disguise fairytales of ghosts of pink unicorns and flying spaghetti monsters inas random scientific sounding nonsense.

                                    But then, what do you know about anything?

                                    Bob Emmett @ Ynys Thanatos

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • L Lost User

                                      Ian Shlasko wrote:

                                      "React weakly" does not necessarily translate to "weak increase"...

                                      No? So if it gets warmer, tree rings get wider, up to a point aparently, where they start to react weakly. Which means as it gets warmer, the rings dont get so wide. I dont see any implication a decline here, in temperature or tree ring width. Yes, and that ONE tree is famous. There is apic on the internet of it with a plaque attatched. Its quite funny, pitty I cant find the link, but basically, this one tree is behind the hockey stick, and all GW hysteria since!

                                      Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                                      I Offline
                                      I Offline
                                      Ian Shlasko
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #53

                                      I don't claim to understand the calculations they're doing... But supposedly the formula starts to fail around the '50s or '60s... As in the nearby thermometers show higher temperatures, but the tree rings don't correspond anymore. I found a little more explanation on the topic... Yes, it's a blog post, but then, so is most of our "evidence" nowadays... At least he quotes from a textbook. http://scienceblogs.com/islandofdoubt/2009/11/hacked_emails_tree-ring_proxie.php[^]

                                      Proud to have finally moved to the A-Ark. Which one are you in?
                                      Author of Guardians of Xen (Sci-Fi/Fantasy novel)

                                      L 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • L Lost User

                                        Noooo, godwins lae is about mentioning Hitler, not a political position.

                                        Morality is indistinguishable from social proscription

                                        I Offline
                                        I Offline
                                        Ian Shlasko
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #54

                                        Ha! You mentioned Hitler! You lose! :) Actually, Godwin's Law applies to mention of Nazis too. Anything that compares people or things to Hitler or the Nazis qualifies as a Godwin invocation, except for totalitarian regimes and dictators, which are obviously similar. So technically, "eco-nazis" does qualify.

                                        Proud to have finally moved to the A-Ark. Which one are you in?
                                        Author of Guardians of Xen (Sci-Fi/Fantasy novel)

                                        L 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • C CaptainSeeSharp

                                          They are criminals. When you commit a crime, you've made a mistake.

                                          Watch the Fall of the Republic (High Quality 2:24:19)[^] Sons Of Liberty - Free Album (They sound very much like Metallica, great lyrics too)[^]

                                          S Offline
                                          S Offline
                                          Steve Westbrook
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #55

                                          All water ice is made from water; Not all water is ice. When you commit a crime, you've made a criminal mistake; When you make a mistake, you have not necessarily committed a crime. Quod Erat Demonstrandum.

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