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  4. The Arctic could be ice free in 5-6 years time. `

The Arctic could be ice free in 5-6 years time. `

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  • L Lost User

    :) I was just looking at an old post and accidentally came across it. Given we are aproaching the date of the supposed calamity, I thought it interesting to reflect back on the statement, and the facts today. Of course we wil see more and more of these alarmists statements exposed for what they are as time passes. :)

    "If climate has not "tipped" in over 4 billion years it's not going to tip now due to mankind." Richard S. Lindzen, Atmospheric Physicist, IPCC "It does not matter who you are, or how smart you are, or what title you have, or how many of you here are, and certainly not how many papers your side has published, if your prediction is wrong then your hypothesis is wrong. Period." Professor Richard Feynman

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    Lost User
    wrote on last edited by
    #14

    As time marches forward, we learn and understand that much more than we previously did. And that can challenge accepted scientific theories, or place doubts on developing theories. Timescales in a chaotic system may never be as precise as we would like. And, we all are capable of producing alarmist statements that can mount to nothing more than hot air. :)

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    • L Lost User

      As time marches forward, we learn and understand that much more than we previously did. And that can challenge accepted scientific theories, or place doubts on developing theories. Timescales in a chaotic system may never be as precise as we would like. And, we all are capable of producing alarmist statements that can mount to nothing more than hot air. :)

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      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #15

      Indeed.

      "If climate has not "tipped" in over 4 billion years it's not going to tip now due to mankind." Richard S. Lindzen, Atmospheric Physicist, IPCC "It does not matter who you are, or how smart you are, or what title you have, or how many of you here are, and certainly not how many papers your side has published, if your prediction is wrong then your hypothesis is wrong. Period." Professor Richard Feynman

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      • L Lost User

        Sssh! Dont confuse the alarmists with facts! :)

        "If climate has not "tipped" in over 4 billion years it's not going to tip now due to mankind." Richard S. Lindzen, Atmospheric Physicist, IPCC "It does not matter who you are, or how smart you are, or what title you have, or how many of you here are, and certainly not how many papers your side has published, if your prediction is wrong then your hypothesis is wrong. Period." Professor Richard Feynman

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        Dalek Dave
        wrote on last edited by
        #16

        In the words of Homer Simpson... "Hah, Facts! You can prove anything with facts"

        ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

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        • D Dalek Dave

          In the words of Homer Simpson... "Hah, Facts! You can prove anything with facts"

          ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

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          Smithers Jones
          wrote on last edited by
          #17

          He also said: "Oh, people can come up with statistics to prove anything. 14% of people know that." :)

          "I love deadlines. I like the whooshing sound they make as they fly by." (DNA)

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          • D David1987

            They probably don't have to, but do you think they care at whose expense they eat?

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            puromtec1
            wrote on last edited by
            #18

            :thumbsup:

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            • D Dalek Dave

              In the words of Homer Simpson... "Hah, Facts! You can prove anything with facts"

              ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

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              Le centriste
              wrote on last edited by
              #19

              I know a fact: I will get drunk before the last bit of ice melts.

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              • L Le centriste

                I know a fact: I will get drunk before the last bit of ice melts.

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                Dalek Dave
                wrote on last edited by
                #20

                A dead cert I will be joining you ! :)

                ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

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                • D Dalek Dave

                  A dead cert I will be joining you ! :)

                  ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

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                  Le centriste
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #21

                  (b)

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                  • L Lost User

                    Back in 2007, Richard Abbot posted htis typical scare story. Scientists in the US have presented one of the most dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of Arctic sea ice. Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years. [^] So, now its 4 years later and...

                    "If climate has not "tipped" in over 4 billion years it's not going to tip now due to mankind." Richard S. Lindzen, Atmospheric Physicist, IPCC "It does not matter who you are, or how smart you are, or what title you have, or how many of you here are, and certainly not how many papers your side has published, if your prediction is wrong then your hypothesis is wrong. Period." Professor Richard Feynman

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                    Rod Kemp
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #22

                    This[^] should be of interest to you. EDIT: Forget it, just saw you already posted it!

                    People are more violently opposed to fur than leather because it's safer to harass rich women than motorcycle gangs

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                    • R Rod Kemp

                      This[^] should be of interest to you. EDIT: Forget it, just saw you already posted it!

                      People are more violently opposed to fur than leather because it's safer to harass rich women than motorcycle gangs

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                      Lost User
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #23

                      Yeah, its swinging around a fair bit. What I find interesting is that these swings, both up and down, in the last fe years, are equal to to the supposed rise in 100 years, 0.7 `C. So if CO2 is such a big player, just what the hell is it that can do the same thing 100 times quicker! It must be a REALLY big player, whcih kind of puts CO2 way in the back.

                      "If climate has not "tipped" in over 4 billion years it's not going to tip now due to mankind." Richard S. Lindzen, Atmospheric Physicist, IPCC "It does not matter who you are, or how smart you are, or what title you have, or how many of you here are, and certainly not how many papers your side has published, if your prediction is wrong then your hypothesis is wrong. Period." Professor Richard Feynman

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