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  4. A Big Win for Obama - but what's the prize?

A Big Win for Obama - but what's the prize?

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  • J John Carson

    Mike Gaskey wrote:

    and it works until you look in the sky and say, "oh sh*t!". we've been doing the diplomatic dance on the issues of N. Korea and Iran for longer than I can remember. It has resulted in ???

    It is a non sequitur to think that limited success with one approach necessarily mean that it is the wrong approach. Some problems are intractable and won't respond quickly or well to any approach. Other problems are more readily soluble. So far noone has died as a result of North Korea's missiles or Iran's nuclear program. The cold war took a while, but victory was eventually achieved without going to war with the Soviet Union.

    John Carson

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    Bassam Saoud
    wrote on last edited by
    #34

    John Carson wrote:

    So far noone has died as a result of North Korea's missiles or Iran's nuclear program

    I beg to differ Sir !

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    • B Bassam Saoud

      Rob Graham wrote:

      The Obama administration is most certainty not doing that. They are cutting Military expenses, but are spending on social welfare like they just won a lottery

      and People love it (atleast the folks I know)... there was a poll on CNN that basically says more than 60% approve his job but less then 40% approved the Treasury like he works on his own.

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      Stan Shannon
      wrote on last edited by
      #35

      Bassam Saoud wrote:

      People love it (atleast the folks I know)... there was a poll on CNN that basically says more than 60% approve

      Thats because they don't know how badly they are being lied to yet.

      Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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      • B Bassam Saoud

        I disagree with you - Europeans want to seperate themseles from US. Doesnt matter who is presisent or what is the american policy, Europe wants loose.

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        Stan Shannon
        wrote on last edited by
        #36

        Bassam Saoud wrote:

        Europe wants loose.

        Loose from what? Being rescued from themselves? I think most Americans would be more than happy to do that.

        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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        • J John Carson

          I think the attitude that success constitutes America speaking and the rest of the world jumping into line is what was wrong with the Bush foreign policy. That sort of thing doesn't happen in the modern world. Successful diplomacy takes years, not a week. Obama got off to a good start building relationships. Give it a couple of years to see if those relationships can deliver something concrete.

          John Carson

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          Oakman
          wrote on last edited by
          #37

          John Carson wrote:

          I think the attitude that success constitutes America speaking and the rest of the world jumping into line is what was wrong with the Bush foreign policy

          Perhaps so, but if the alternative is Europe speaking and America jumping in line, I know which one I'd prefer. But your comment has me wondering - why when Russia or China acts in a way that can be considered detrimental to world harmony, are they not expected to apologize and spend two years crawling back into France's good graces?

          John Carson wrote:

          Give it a couple of years to see if those relationships can deliver something concrete.

          i.e no help in Afghanistan; no help on the economy, but lots and lots of photo ops during the next two years?

          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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          • R Rob Graham

            I've come to accept that most of the media are hypocrites whose political persuasion colors their reporting (on both sides of the fence, Fox is no better, it just takes the opposite political position from the others). Other nation in general (not just the NATO bunch) hated Bush because he went to war in Iraq without their blessing. Because of that hatred, nothing Bush did was applauded, even when it was the proper thing. Obama benefits from simply being "Not Bush", and is applauded for things Bush was scorned for. Most of our so-called allies have become appeasers in the grand tradition of Neville Chamberlin, preferring endless talk to any concrete action; willing to let problems fester while offering at most polite scoldings. Obviously 911 wasn't enough, it will take a Pearl Harbor event to convince most that we face an implacable enemy that wants us dead. Our erstwhile allies don't believe this, nor do they believe themselves in the line of fire. In some respects, most would like to see us "get our comeuppance". We are viewed as the bully on the schoolyard.

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            Oakman
            wrote on last edited by
            #38

            Rob Graham wrote:

            In some respects, most would like to see us "get our comeuppance". We are viewed as the bully on the schoolyard.

            I think you are spot on, again. Our "allies" were, on some level, content to see us mired down in a foolish war that once we did not win in six months, we could never win.

            Rob Graham wrote:

            it will take a Pearl Harbor event to convince most that we face an implacable enemy that wants us dead.

            Which one?

            Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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            • J John Carson

              Mike Gaskey wrote:

              and it works until you look in the sky and say, "oh sh*t!". we've been doing the diplomatic dance on the issues of N. Korea and Iran for longer than I can remember. It has resulted in ???

              It is a non sequitur to think that limited success with one approach necessarily mean that it is the wrong approach. Some problems are intractable and won't respond quickly or well to any approach. Other problems are more readily soluble. So far noone has died as a result of North Korea's missiles or Iran's nuclear program. The cold war took a while, but victory was eventually achieved without going to war with the Soviet Union.

              John Carson

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              O Offline
              Oakman
              wrote on last edited by
              #39

              John Carson wrote:

              So far noone has died as a result of North Korea's missiles or Iran's nuclear program

              And the man who fell out of a fiftieth floor window was heard to remark on the way down -"Well that was forty floors and no problem yet."

              John Carson wrote:

              The cold war took a while, but victory was eventually achieved without going to war with the Soviet Union.

              And, with the exception of the Iron Lady, the man who did it was vilified by the European press and leaders as "Ronnie Raygun," and everyone on "the" continent mourned the untimely retirment of Jimmy Carter.

              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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              • S Stan Shannon

                Rob Graham wrote:

                Oh, I get it Stan.

                I know. But most will not. If the media says he is successful, he is successful. It is 1984. Now and forever, until enough people finally do get it.

                Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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                Oakman
                wrote on last edited by
                #40

                I wonder how many people under the age of forty have read 1984 - or even seen the movie.

                Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                • O Oakman

                  I wonder how many people under the age of forty have read 1984 - or even seen the movie.

                  Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                  _Damian S_
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #41

                  I've done both. As always, the book is better. (Of course, I'm not that far under 40 either.)

                  Knowledge is knowing that the tomato is a fruit. Wisdom is not putting it in fruit salad!! Booger Mobile - Camp Quality esCarpade 2010

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                  • O Oakman

                    Rob Graham wrote:

                    In some respects, most would like to see us "get our comeuppance". We are viewed as the bully on the schoolyard.

                    I think you are spot on, again. Our "allies" were, on some level, content to see us mired down in a foolish war that once we did not win in six months, we could never win.

                    Rob Graham wrote:

                    it will take a Pearl Harbor event to convince most that we face an implacable enemy that wants us dead.

                    Which one?

                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                    Tim Craig
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #42

                    Oakman wrote:

                    Which one?

                    Stan? :suss:

                    "Republicans are the party that says government doesn't work and then they get elected and prove it." -- P.J. O'Rourke

                    I'm a proud denizen of the Real Soapbox[^]
                    ACCEPT NO SUBSTITUTES!!!

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                    • O Oakman

                      John Carson wrote:

                      So far noone has died as a result of North Korea's missiles or Iran's nuclear program

                      And the man who fell out of a fiftieth floor window was heard to remark on the way down -"Well that was forty floors and no problem yet."

                      John Carson wrote:

                      The cold war took a while, but victory was eventually achieved without going to war with the Soviet Union.

                      And, with the exception of the Iron Lady, the man who did it was vilified by the European press and leaders as "Ronnie Raygun," and everyone on "the" continent mourned the untimely retirment of Jimmy Carter.

                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                      J Offline
                      J Offline
                      John Carson
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #43

                      Oakman wrote:

                      And, with the exception of the Iron Lady, the man who did it was vilified by the European press and leaders as "Ronnie Raygun," and everyone on "the" continent mourned the untimely retirment of Jimmy Carter.

                      The Soviet Union collapsed under the weight of its economic failures. Reagan happened to be president at the time.

                      John Carson

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                      • S Stan Shannon

                        John Carson wrote:

                        think the attitude that success constitutes America speaking and the rest of the world jumping into line is what was wrong with the Bush foreign policy. That sort of thing doesn't happen in the modern world. Successful diplomacy takes years, not a week.

                        Obama's policies are indistinquishable from what we were doing before 9/11 - except for being even more timidly subservient. All that got us was 9/11. It will do so again. And the blood, once again, will be on the hands of people like you, John.

                        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                        J Offline
                        J Offline
                        John Carson
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #44

                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                        Obama's policies are indistinquishable from what we were doing before 9/11 - except for being even more timidly subservient.

                        Of course, in your other posts you will claim that Obama's policies are indistinguishable from Bush's but the left is giving him a free pass.

                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                        All that got us was 9/11. It will do so again. And the blood, once again, will be on the hands of people like you, John.

                        Blood is not completely avoidable. There has been some spilled in Iraq I believe.

                        John Carson

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                        • O Oakman

                          John Carson wrote:

                          I think the attitude that success constitutes America speaking and the rest of the world jumping into line is what was wrong with the Bush foreign policy

                          Perhaps so, but if the alternative is Europe speaking and America jumping in line, I know which one I'd prefer. But your comment has me wondering - why when Russia or China acts in a way that can be considered detrimental to world harmony, are they not expected to apologize and spend two years crawling back into France's good graces?

                          John Carson wrote:

                          Give it a couple of years to see if those relationships can deliver something concrete.

                          i.e no help in Afghanistan; no help on the economy, but lots and lots of photo ops during the next two years?

                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                          J Offline
                          J Offline
                          John Carson
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #45

                          Oakman wrote:

                          But your comment has me wondering - why when Russia or China acts in a way that can be considered detrimental to world harmony, are they not expected to apologize and spend two years crawling back into France's good graces?

                          I don't seem to recall that Russia got troop support from France et al. when it was fighting in Afghanistan. How one behaves should be guided in part by what one wants from others.

                          Oakman wrote:

                          i.e no help in Afghanistan; no help on the economy, but lots and lots of photo ops during the next two years?

                          By taking diplomacy seriously, Bush I was considerably more successful in getting support from allies than was Bush II. If Obama can do as well as Bush I, it will be an improvement over Bush II. I think there is just a chance he might do even better. Optimum decision making gives the best possible outcome. It does not give magic. I would have liked to see agreement on stimulus and more troop support coming out of the G20 summit. But I find it hard to believe that any alternative US president pursuing any alternative diplomatic strategy would have got a better outcome.

                          John Carson

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                          • O Oakman

                            Rob Graham wrote:

                            In some respects, most would like to see us "get our comeuppance". We are viewed as the bully on the schoolyard.

                            I think you are spot on, again. Our "allies" were, on some level, content to see us mired down in a foolish war that once we did not win in six months, we could never win.

                            Rob Graham wrote:

                            it will take a Pearl Harbor event to convince most that we face an implacable enemy that wants us dead.

                            Which one?

                            Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                            R Offline
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                            Rob Graham
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #46

                            I think I'm quoting Bin Ladin and friends. Anyone who thinks the movement they represent is limited to a few nuts on the Pakistan border is not paying attention.

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                            • J John Carson

                              Oakman wrote:

                              And, with the exception of the Iron Lady, the man who did it was vilified by the European press and leaders as "Ronnie Raygun," and everyone on "the" continent mourned the untimely retirment of Jimmy Carter.

                              The Soviet Union collapsed under the weight of its economic failures. Reagan happened to be president at the time.

                              John Carson

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                              O Offline
                              Oakman
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #47

                              John Carson wrote:

                              The Soviet Union collapsed under the weight of its economic failures. Reagan happened to be president at the time.

                              As I remember it, Reagan bankrupted them by upping the ante in the space weapons race, and I was a full grown adult by then, not dependent on revisionist text books that explain away "inconvenient truths." Of course it was their mistakes that set up the situation Reagan took advantage of, but claiming that he did nothing is like claiming that Saddam Hussein, once owner of the 4th largest army in the world, was not defeated on the battlefield by the US - twice. I am afraid I don't find it surprising that the USA gets no credit for the collapse of the USSR but it is a little sad. And it points to why immitating Mary Poppins will not help the US in the long run, at all.

                              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                              • J John Carson

                                Oakman wrote:

                                But your comment has me wondering - why when Russia or China acts in a way that can be considered detrimental to world harmony, are they not expected to apologize and spend two years crawling back into France's good graces?

                                I don't seem to recall that Russia got troop support from France et al. when it was fighting in Afghanistan. How one behaves should be guided in part by what one wants from others.

                                Oakman wrote:

                                i.e no help in Afghanistan; no help on the economy, but lots and lots of photo ops during the next two years?

                                By taking diplomacy seriously, Bush I was considerably more successful in getting support from allies than was Bush II. If Obama can do as well as Bush I, it will be an improvement over Bush II. I think there is just a chance he might do even better. Optimum decision making gives the best possible outcome. It does not give magic. I would have liked to see agreement on stimulus and more troop support coming out of the G20 summit. But I find it hard to believe that any alternative US president pursuing any alternative diplomatic strategy would have got a better outcome.

                                John Carson

                                O Offline
                                O Offline
                                Oakman
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #48

                                John Carson wrote:

                                I don't seem to recall that Russia got troop support from France et al. when it was fighting in Afghanistan.

                                Nor has the U.S. the French and German support troops aren't even allowed off base at night because it's too dangerous for them. But we saw how quickly Europe abandoned its new found friends when Russia threatened to cut off the oil, didn't we?

                                Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                • R Rob Graham

                                  I think I'm quoting Bin Ladin and friends. Anyone who thinks the movement they represent is limited to a few nuts on the Pakistan border is not paying attention.

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                                  Oakman
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #49

                                  Rob Graham wrote:

                                  Anyone who thinks the movement they represent is limited to a few nuts on the Pakistan border is not paying attention.

                                  Amazing how many people prefer to filter out anything that doesn't agree with their p.o.v. I suppose I do it, too, somewhere along the line. But at least, not as often as some - unfortunately the "some" I'm thinking of have been tasked with making decisions for the country I live in.

                                  Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                  • O Oakman

                                    John Carson wrote:

                                    The Soviet Union collapsed under the weight of its economic failures. Reagan happened to be president at the time.

                                    As I remember it, Reagan bankrupted them by upping the ante in the space weapons race, and I was a full grown adult by then, not dependent on revisionist text books that explain away "inconvenient truths." Of course it was their mistakes that set up the situation Reagan took advantage of, but claiming that he did nothing is like claiming that Saddam Hussein, once owner of the 4th largest army in the world, was not defeated on the battlefield by the US - twice. I am afraid I don't find it surprising that the USA gets no credit for the collapse of the USSR but it is a little sad. And it points to why immitating Mary Poppins will not help the US in the long run, at all.

                                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

                                    J Offline
                                    J Offline
                                    John Carson
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #50

                                    Oakman wrote:

                                    As I remember it, Reagan bankrupted them by upping the ante in the space weapons race, and I was a full grown adult by then, not dependent on revisionist text books that explain away "inconvenient truths."

                                    I was an adult too, and I think that this "Reagan bankrupted the Soviets via an arms race" story is revisionist Republican myth-making. The Soviet economy had been getting steadily more arthritic for 40 years prior to the collapse in public support for the system. Central planning sort of worked for basic industrialisation, but was hopeless for the task of a consumer economy. The support for the system collapsed as a result of increasing public dissatisfaction with years of economic stagnation and an increasing realisation on the part of the leadership that the Soviet system was falling behind Western economies and that radical reform was needed. Soviet defence spending barely changed through the 1980s. Shortly after Star Wars was launched (in 1984), Reagan began arms reduction negotiations with Gorbachev (in 1986) and they signed a treaty the following year. Star Wars caused some concern (though it was widely considered to not be feasible), but did not precipitate an actual arms race. There are suggestions that the Soviets, already worried about their badly performing economy, saw responding to Star Wars as just too difficult and that this encouraged reform. There may be a grain of truth to this, but what is more accurate is that there was a superpower rivalry that lasted for more than 40 years and the Soviets realised that they couldn't sustain this rivalry with a failing economy. That realisation would have occurred whoever was the US president. If any leader deserves credit for the ending of the Soviet Union, it is Gorbachev. He saw the writing on the wall for the Soviet economy. Reagan offered him moral and political support. Ironically, Reagan was pretty much a dove when it came to dealing with Gorbachev (he even talked of sharing the SDI technology with the Soviets). That was Reagan's main contribution.

                                    Oakman wrote:

                                    I am afraid I don't find it surprising that the USA gets no credit for the collapse of the USSR but it is a little sad.

                                    Giving the US credit is something quite different from saying Reagan basically won the cold war himself. A 40 year superpower rivalry unquestionably accelerated the collapse of the Soviet Union. That process, however, didn't star

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                                    • O Oakman

                                      John Carson wrote:

                                      I don't seem to recall that Russia got troop support from France et al. when it was fighting in Afghanistan.

                                      Nor has the U.S. the French and German support troops aren't even allowed off base at night because it's too dangerous for them. But we saw how quickly Europe abandoned its new found friends when Russia threatened to cut off the oil, didn't we?

                                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                      J Offline
                                      John Carson
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #51

                                      Oakman wrote:

                                      Nor has the U.S. the French and German support troops aren't even allowed off base at night because it's too dangerous for them.

                                      That is Bush's legacy. We'll have to wait a while before we know what Obama's legacy is. I'm no great fan of France or Germany but I suspect that Obama will eventually get more out of them than Bush managed.

                                      John Carson

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                                      • J John Carson

                                        Oakman wrote:

                                        Nor has the U.S. the French and German support troops aren't even allowed off base at night because it's too dangerous for them.

                                        That is Bush's legacy. We'll have to wait a while before we know what Obama's legacy is. I'm no great fan of France or Germany but I suspect that Obama will eventually get more out of them than Bush managed.

                                        John Carson

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                                        Oakman
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #52

                                        John Carson wrote:

                                        That is Bush's legacy

                                        France was refusing to fight long before George Bush's father met his mother. But why then was not Bush the beneficiary of Clinton's legacy? Instead, less than nine months after taking office - a period during which he focused almost totally on domestic policy - we were attacked and 3,000 innocents were killed, including friends and acquaintances of mine. Speaking of whom, Clinton, in spite of a more engaging manner, had great trouble getting NATO to do anything in Bosnia even though the genocide was happening in their own back yard. Meanwhile, even though Clinton went to war three times to defend Muslims from Christian oppressors, the U.S. was attacked over and over again, both in this country and overseas by religious zealots from the group he was attempting to protect. Can you name one Muslim leader who has ever acknowledged, let alone exprssed gratitude for the US being willing to protect their coreligionists? Can you name one third world country - or second world for that matter - that has said, 'Holy shit - look what the Americans are doing to wipe out AIDS in Africa!'? Like it or not, the facts are that making nice with Europe and or Islam got Clinton nothing more than Bush got, except armed attacks against us. John, the U.S. is always about to be, but never blessed with the respect of Europe. It was that way at the turn on the turn of the 19th, the 20th, and the 21st centuries. Obama will discover he is not an exception. Any more than Wilson was in spite of what he did for Europe. Any more than Roosevelt was, in spite of what he did for Europe.

                                        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                        • O Oakman

                                          John Carson wrote:

                                          That is Bush's legacy

                                          France was refusing to fight long before George Bush's father met his mother. But why then was not Bush the beneficiary of Clinton's legacy? Instead, less than nine months after taking office - a period during which he focused almost totally on domestic policy - we were attacked and 3,000 innocents were killed, including friends and acquaintances of mine. Speaking of whom, Clinton, in spite of a more engaging manner, had great trouble getting NATO to do anything in Bosnia even though the genocide was happening in their own back yard. Meanwhile, even though Clinton went to war three times to defend Muslims from Christian oppressors, the U.S. was attacked over and over again, both in this country and overseas by religious zealots from the group he was attempting to protect. Can you name one Muslim leader who has ever acknowledged, let alone exprssed gratitude for the US being willing to protect their coreligionists? Can you name one third world country - or second world for that matter - that has said, 'Holy shit - look what the Americans are doing to wipe out AIDS in Africa!'? Like it or not, the facts are that making nice with Europe and or Islam got Clinton nothing more than Bush got, except armed attacks against us. John, the U.S. is always about to be, but never blessed with the respect of Europe. It was that way at the turn on the turn of the 19th, the 20th, and the 21st centuries. Obama will discover he is not an exception. Any more than Wilson was in spite of what he did for Europe. Any more than Roosevelt was, in spite of what he did for Europe.

                                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface

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                                          J Offline
                                          John Carson
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #53

                                          As in previous posts, you seem to want diplomacy to produce great results in order to justify itself. It only has to produce better results than the alternative. We live in a bad, bad world. Nothing produces great results.

                                          Oakman wrote:

                                          But why then was not Bush the beneficiary of Clinton's legacy? Instead, less than nine months after taking office - a period during which he focused almost totally on domestic policy - we were attacked and 3,000 innocents were killed, including friends and acquaintances of mine.

                                          According to reports, the thing that particularly ticked Osama bin Laden off was US troups stationed in Saudi Arabia. I'm not saying that the response was reasonable; plainly it was not. But in some sense Bush did reap what Clinton sowed, given OBL's pathology.

                                          Oakman wrote:

                                          Speaking of whom, Clinton, in spite of a more engaging manner, had great trouble getting NATO to do anything in Bosnia even though the genocide was happening in their own back yard.

                                          Over both Bosnia and Kosovo, he had more success than Bush II.

                                          Oakman wrote:

                                          Meanwhile, even though Clinton went to war three times to defend Muslims from Christian oppressors, the U.S. was attacked over and over again, both in this country and overseas by religious zealots from the group he was attempting to protect. Can you name one Muslim leader who has ever acknowledged, let alone exprssed gratitude for the US being willing to protect their coreligionists? Can you name one third world country - or second world for that matter - that has said, 'Holy sh*t - look what the Americans are doing to wipe out AIDS in Africa!'?

                                          I don't have a Muslim leader monitoring service and such leaders are reported in a very limited way in the West. I would be prepared to bet a lot of money that plenty of Muslim leaders expressed gratitude to the US. However, you don't have to persuade me of the existence of unreasonable, homicidal Muslims. The question is one of how best to minimise their influence.

                                          Oakman wrote:

                                          John, the U.S. is always about to be, but never blessed with the respect of Europe. It was that way at the turn on the turn of the 19th, the 20th, and the 21st centuries. Obama will discover he is not an exception. Any more than Wilson was in spite of what he did for Europe. Any more than Roosevelt was, in spite of

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