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  4. Debt and Deficits: How the US got where it is and where it is headed

Debt and Deficits: How the US got where it is and where it is headed

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  • J John Carson

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

    John Carson

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Lost User
    wrote on last edited by
    #10

    The Great Debt Scare: Why has it returned? Robert Reich[^] A defence of deficit spending. I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

    Bob Emmett

    J 1 Reply Last reply
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    • J John Carson

      http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

      John Carson

      I Offline
      I Offline
      Ilion
      wrote on last edited by
      #11

      John Carson wrote:

      [a link, nothing but a link]

      Call the cops! :laugh:

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • H Haakon S

        John Carson wrote:

        Pretty much. You got it wrong on one point, however. The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. Freely available contraceptives is more the European approach.

        You're right. I just put it in to rattle the chain on some conservatives that are lurking around here.

        K Offline
        K Offline
        kmg365
        wrote on last edited by
        #12

        Haakon S. wrote:

        rattle the chain on some conservatives that are lurking around her

        Well your post sounded sarcastic(but in a good way), and you sounded conservative. You may be the first LINO (liberal in name only) that I've ever heard from. :)

        H 1 Reply Last reply
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        • L Lost User

          The Great Debt Scare: Why has it returned? Robert Reich[^] A defence of deficit spending. I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

          Bob Emmett

          J Offline
          J Offline
          John Carson
          wrote on last edited by
          #13

          Bob Emmett wrote:

          I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

          I don't think so. They should be spending like crazy now, and then taking tough action to trim the deficit later.

          John Carson

          C B 2 Replies Last reply
          0
          • K kmg365

            Haakon S. wrote:

            rattle the chain on some conservatives that are lurking around her

            Well your post sounded sarcastic(but in a good way), and you sounded conservative. You may be the first LINO (liberal in name only) that I've ever heard from. :)

            H Offline
            H Offline
            Haakon S
            wrote on last edited by
            #14

            kmg365 wrote:

            Well your post sounded sarcastic(but in a good way), and you sounded conservative. You may be the first LINO (liberal in name only) that I've ever heard from.

            I consider myself conservative, or right wing or whatever you wish to call it. But it is relative. If you use Stan's meassuring stick I'm probably a raving communist.

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            • J John Carson

              Haakon S. wrote:

              Do it the European way. It works: - Tax the sh*t out of rich people. They have nowhere to go. - Set gas price to $6 per galon. - Double the price on alcohol & tobacco. - Encourage pregnant teenagers to have an abortion - Put high taxes on unhealthy foods, e.g sugar - Never go to war. - Total ban on guns. That'll do

              Pretty much. You got it wrong on one point, however. The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. Freely available contraceptives is more the European approach.

              John Carson

              C Offline
              C Offline
              CaptainSeeSharp
              wrote on last edited by
              #15

              John Carson wrote:

              The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries.

              Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

              Obloga Obama Blog[^]

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              • J John Carson

                Bob Emmett wrote:

                I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

                I don't think so. They should be spending like crazy now, and then taking tough action to trim the deficit later.

                John Carson

                C Offline
                C Offline
                CaptainSeeSharp
                wrote on last edited by
                #16

                John Carson wrote:

                I don't think so. They should be spending like crazy now, and then taking tough action to trim the deficit later.

                Tough action? Such as nationalizing industries and a ~70% tax rate? Your ideas on bankrupting America.

                Obloga Obama Blog[^]

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • C CaptainSeeSharp

                  John Carson wrote:

                  The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries.

                  Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                  Obloga Obama Blog[^]

                  I Offline
                  I Offline
                  Ilion
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #17

                  CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                  John Carson: The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. CaptainSeeSharp: Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                  Even if John Carson's claim should be true ... the US *also* has more babies per capita than the European countries do.

                  J 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • H Haakon S

                    kmg365 wrote:

                    Well your post sounded sarcastic(but in a good way), and you sounded conservative. You may be the first LINO (liberal in name only) that I've ever heard from.

                    I consider myself conservative, or right wing or whatever you wish to call it. But it is relative. If you use Stan's meassuring stick I'm probably a raving communist.

                    O Offline
                    O Offline
                    Oakman
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #18

                    Haakon S. wrote:

                    If you use Stan's meassuring stick I'm probably a raving communist.

                    Anyone who doesn't want to see the U.S. fall apart so that the Aryan Nation can take over Indiana is a raving communist according to him.

                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • C CaptainSeeSharp

                      John Carson wrote:

                      The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries.

                      Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                      Obloga Obama Blog[^]

                      J Offline
                      J Offline
                      John Carson
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #19

                      CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                      Percentage or raw numbers?

                      I think you mean percentage or absolute. I mean percentage. The figures vary significantly from one European country to the other and different sources given somewhat different figures. From the source below, Holland has less than 1/3 the abortion rate of the US (abortions per 1,000 women aged 15-44). Overall, the rate for Western Europe is about 1/2 the US rate. (Eastern Europe, by contrast, has much higher abortion rates than the US.) http://www.guttmacher.org/pubs/journals/25s3099.html[^]

                      John Carson

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • I Ilion

                        CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                        John Carson: The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. CaptainSeeSharp: Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                        Even if John Carson's claim should be true ... the US *also* has more babies per capita than the European countries do.

                        J Offline
                        J Offline
                        John Carson
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #20

                        Ilíon wrote:

                        Even if John Carson's claim should be true ... the US *also* has more babies per capita than the European countries do.

                        This is relevant because...? Surely you are not suggesting that if one woman has an extra child, then that morally cancels out an abortion (of her own or someone else's child).

                        John Carson

                        B 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • J John Carson

                          http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

                          John Carson

                          O Offline
                          O Offline
                          Oakman
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #21

                          Interesting article, but some of its conclusions seem based on carefully selected assumptions. For instance, Leonhardt compares the CBO's projections for 2009 made in 2001, with the projections for this year made in the immediate past as if both sets of numbers were equally valid. By doing so, he permits himself to blame Bush for the economic downturn caused by 9/11 - something I suggest would be better laid at the feet of Clinton, if any of the US's leaders must be held accountable instead of laying the blame where it belongs. Just as he correctly makes the point that some of what is happening now is indeed the result of Bush's actions, much of what happened during the first of Bush's terms should be laid at the feet of his predecessors. The idea that programs begun by Bush are responsible for much of the deficit up to now is, of course, valid. The medicare payoff to the insurance companies was one of the most egregious ripoff of the American people, especially senior citizens, that has ever been perpetrated. However, to allow Obama a pass on not discontinuing them seems to be a case of wearing blinders. For instance, it appears quite obvious that he will continue to have lots of troops in Iraq and he seems to be on the road to placing more in Pakistan and Afghanistan that he does pull out of Iraq. The onus for this belongs to him and is not grandfathered in. During the next eight years, the U.S. deficit is projected to increase by an amount greater than it grew under the first 43 president combined. To somehow suggest that Obama - the man in charge, the man with a plan, the leader of the free world - is not to be held responsible for this is, prima facie, ridiculous. For Leonhardt to ignore where we'll be in eight years because the worst happens after the entire stimulus package is spent but the entitlements it creates continue, is disingenuous, to say the least. P.S. If I were you, I wouldn't worry about any criticism for posting only a link. No-one here expects you to have anything but strong opinions on the subject and to argue them quite forcefully in the discussion. ;)

                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                          J 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • O Oakman

                            Interesting article, but some of its conclusions seem based on carefully selected assumptions. For instance, Leonhardt compares the CBO's projections for 2009 made in 2001, with the projections for this year made in the immediate past as if both sets of numbers were equally valid. By doing so, he permits himself to blame Bush for the economic downturn caused by 9/11 - something I suggest would be better laid at the feet of Clinton, if any of the US's leaders must be held accountable instead of laying the blame where it belongs. Just as he correctly makes the point that some of what is happening now is indeed the result of Bush's actions, much of what happened during the first of Bush's terms should be laid at the feet of his predecessors. The idea that programs begun by Bush are responsible for much of the deficit up to now is, of course, valid. The medicare payoff to the insurance companies was one of the most egregious ripoff of the American people, especially senior citizens, that has ever been perpetrated. However, to allow Obama a pass on not discontinuing them seems to be a case of wearing blinders. For instance, it appears quite obvious that he will continue to have lots of troops in Iraq and he seems to be on the road to placing more in Pakistan and Afghanistan that he does pull out of Iraq. The onus for this belongs to him and is not grandfathered in. During the next eight years, the U.S. deficit is projected to increase by an amount greater than it grew under the first 43 president combined. To somehow suggest that Obama - the man in charge, the man with a plan, the leader of the free world - is not to be held responsible for this is, prima facie, ridiculous. For Leonhardt to ignore where we'll be in eight years because the worst happens after the entire stimulus package is spent but the entitlements it creates continue, is disingenuous, to say the least. P.S. If I were you, I wouldn't worry about any criticism for posting only a link. No-one here expects you to have anything but strong opinions on the subject and to argue them quite forcefully in the discussion. ;)

                            Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                            J Offline
                            J Offline
                            John Carson
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #22

                            Oakman wrote:

                            During the next eight years, the U.S. deficit is projected to increase by an amount greater than it grew under the first 43 president combined. To somehow suggest that Obama - the man in charge, the man with a plan, the leader of the free world - is not to be held responsible for this is, prima facie, ridiculous. For Leonhardt to ignore where we'll be in eight years because the worst happens after the entire stimulus package is spent but the entitlements it creates continue, is disingenuous, to say the least.

                            Well, he does quote Auerbach as follows:

                            Alan Auerbach, an economist at the University of California, Berkeley, and an author of a widely cited study on the dangers of the current deficits, describes the situation like so: “Bush behaved incredibly irresponsibly for eight years. On the one hand, it might seem unfair for people to blame Obama for not fixing it. On the other hand, he’s not fixing it.” “And,” he added, “not fixing it is, in a sense, making it worse.”

                            I think the article provides a useful corrective to the tendency of some to act like the national debt/deficit is a new problem. But clearly Obama is responsible for what he does about it.

                            John Carson

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • H Haakon S

                              Do it the European way. It works: - Tax the shit out of rich people. They have nowhere to go. - Set gas price to $6 per galon. - Double the price on alcohol & tobacco. - Encourage pregnant teenagers to have an abortion - Put high taxes on unhealthy foods, e.g sugar - Never go to war. - Total ban on guns. That'll do :-D

                              B Offline
                              B Offline
                              BoneSoft
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #23

                              So, you're saying we should get out of wars and ban guns.

                              "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it's time to pause and reflect." - Mark Twain "Diplomacy is the art of saying 'nice doggy' until you can find a rock." - Mark Twain "If you pick up a starving dog and make him prosperous, he will not bite you. This is the principal difference between a dog and a man." - Mark Twain "Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read." - Groucho Marx

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • J John Carson

                                Ilíon wrote:

                                Even if John Carson's claim should be true ... the US *also* has more babies per capita than the European countries do.

                                This is relevant because...? Surely you are not suggesting that if one woman has an extra child, then that morally cancels out an abortion (of her own or someone else's child).

                                John Carson

                                B Offline
                                B Offline
                                BoneSoft
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #24

                                I wish you hadn't said that. Somebody somewhere will take the idea of Cap & Trade Abortions and run with it now. :doh:

                                "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it's time to pause and reflect." - Mark Twain "Diplomacy is the art of saying 'nice doggy' until you can find a rock." - Mark Twain "If you pick up a starving dog and make him prosperous, he will not bite you. This is the principal difference between a dog and a man." - Mark Twain "Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read." - Groucho Marx

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • J John Carson

                                  Bob Emmett wrote:

                                  I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

                                  I don't think so. They should be spending like crazy now, and then taking tough action to trim the deficit later.

                                  John Carson

                                  B Offline
                                  B Offline
                                  BoneSoft
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #25

                                  Step one is in full swing. Step two NEVER happens in US government.

                                  "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it's time to pause and reflect." - Mark Twain "Diplomacy is the art of saying 'nice doggy' until you can find a rock." - Mark Twain "If you pick up a starving dog and make him prosperous, he will not bite you. This is the principal difference between a dog and a man." - Mark Twain "Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read." - Groucho Marx

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