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  4. Global warming 'confirmed' by independent study

Global warming 'confirmed' by independent study

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  • J jschell

    Collin Jasnoch wrote:

    This is the basis of capitalsm however, industries were smaller then. When talking about the car industry it has literlly billions of lives and trillions of dollars at stake. No leader in the industry can afford (espeacially after the last few years) to venture out and find the 'better' tech. And even if they could 'better' tech does not necessarily win.

    Nonsense. As an example computers in a real sense didn't exist 40 years ago for most people. But there are countless business activitities that existed then and still exist. The fact that it doesn't happen in one year doesn't mean it doesn't happen. And things that are really are 'better' do win. When it is measurably better in the aspects that the majority of the market looks for then it does win. Marginal products fail because they are not winners overall.

    Collin Jasnoch wrote:

    Not only that, the car industry is so coupled with the oil industry what makes you think they want anything to change?

    The market doesn't work like that. If a company that creates gasoline cars came up with a 'better' electric car, one that actually was better, then they would jump at the chance to start making them. Which is EXACTLY what would happen if they came up with a 'better' gasoline powered car. The problem is not that anyone is suppresing something. The problem is nothing that is actually better.

    Collin Jasnoch wrote:

    And sometimes we have to force the industry to make the change because they are fat greedy ba$tard$.

    Which only proves exactly what I said. If there was something better then the demand would drive the sales. They would make money because they would have something better to sell. The problem is that, as I already said, the current product offerings are NOT better. In all likelyhood they are worse overall based on all characteristics that market looks at. The fact that a small segment of the market is looking at one single characteristic of the electric car does NOT in any way make it overall better.

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Lost User
    wrote on last edited by
    #104

    jschell wrote:

    Nonsense.
     
    As an example computers in a real sense didn't exist 40 years ago for most people. But there are countless business activitities that existed then and still exist.
     
    The fact that it doesn't happen in one year doesn't mean it doesn't happen.
     
    And things that are really are 'better' do win. When it is measurably better in the aspects that the majority of the market looks for then it does win. Marginal products fail because they are not winners overall.

    Do you live under a rock? Things that are 'better' have no guarentee of winning. Simple case Directory of Technology for some very large company is approached by 2 very smart engineers. The engineers both have a similar idea about media storage. The director recals that engineer 1 has a really hot wife and would like to have dinner with them. Aproves engineer 1 request and says "Lets talk about it over dinner with the wives shall we?" In this case no consumers were ever involved. There is no telling wether the first engineers idea is better than the second. Yes, very simple case but this case shows how some approvals have nothing to do with the raw idea. There is such a thing in the world as nepotism and favortism. Another simple example. Tiny garage start up company creates a new phone that has the ability turn lead into gold. Big super company catches wind of this and quickly makes a phone that can turn stinky crap into not so stinky crap and advertises the 'crap' out of it. In case you did not hear, the lead to gold phone just was not better... Right? This situation is of course just made up, but actually occurs quite often (no lead to gold, but still) in industries on the verge of merges/takeovers.

    jschell wrote:

    The market doesn't work like that. If a company that creates gasoline cars came up with a 'better' electric car, one that actually was better, then they would jump at the chance to start making them.
     
    Which is EXACTLY what would happen if they came up with a 'better' gasoline powered car.
     
    The problem is not that anyone is suppresing something. The problem is nothing that is actually better.

    Oh wise one you are so right... Wait, let me see. I do recall when I was growing up article about individuals that were making electric cars on their own. Didn't cost them much either. Granted very smart fel

    J 1 Reply Last reply
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    • L Lost User

      So you have no opinoins worth anything about anything other than what you have studied, or acchieved some kind of medal for? (Be it some publicaitons or so) Oh, and by the way, I am merely repeating the opinoins of climate scientists, so I gues you have to accept what I say then. :)

      ============================== Nothing to say.

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #105

      Erudite__Eric wrote:

      So you have no opinoins worth anything about anything other than what you have studied

      That's correct.

      - F

      L 1 Reply Last reply
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      • L Lost User

        So you think Chiropractic is phoney do you? How about the number of patients referred to Chiropractors by MDs (in the UK I know of many cases of this)?

        ============================== Nothing to say.

        L Offline
        L Offline
        Lost User
        wrote on last edited by
        #106

        Chiropractic is B.S. when they do things like 1) sell homeopathy, vitamins and other crap 2) perform cervical manipulations (especially without giving due informed consent for risk of vertebral artery dissection and stroke) 3) advise on medical issues unrelated to their field, such as alternative vaccination schedules or eschewing vaccinations etc. 4) offer routine 'adjustments' and diagnose 'subluxations' 5) imply that 'disease is based in the spine' etc. Chiropractic is evidence based when they 6) perform spinal manipulation for lower back pain And that's about it. Pseudodoctors with 4 year pseudodegrees practicing pseudomedicine for gullible patients with big wallets. Spinal manipulation could just as easily be done by physiotherapists without all the hullaballoo.

        - F

        L S 2 Replies Last reply
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        • L Lost User

          IPCC 4/5ths of factors affecting climate have a "Very low level of scientific understanding" http://www.ipcc.ch/graphics/2001syr/large/06.01.jpg[^] So that means none of them actually know what they are talking about either. In which case I agree with you entirely. :) Come back at me when you have something worth arguing against. That was too easy.

          ============================== Nothing to say.

          L Offline
          L Offline
          Lost User
          wrote on last edited by
          #107

          Science is willing to admit its limitations; you, not being a scientist, not knowing any scientists, having no relevant education, and not being accountable in the slightest for your empty opinions, are not.

          - F

          L 1 Reply Last reply
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          • L Lost User

            You are really bad at debate aren't you. The only thing you have done is say that makes no sence and claim conspiracy theory.

            jschell wrote:

            That makes no sense.
             
            You don't just add a new wire to existing towers to send more electricity.

            Power Grids For Dummies[^] Read it. Then come back here and tell me how I am wrong about they do not need a new distribution grid, they need to only expand it (which is done anyways because we are always consuming more power).

            jschell wrote:

            Conspiracy theory nonsense.
             
            A substantial reason that the USSR collapsed was due to the inability for the political structure to keep up with the consumer demand for amentities for the modern world

            For one that is speculation. Another is that the USSR over extended themselves. Another is they played a game they were guarenteed to loose, the Arms Race[^]. All speculation and also irrelevant. The USSR was a socialist state and politics were ENTIRELY different. You can not compare politics of a Democracy to that of a socialist state.

            jschell wrote:

            Consumer demand - pure and simple.

            Thats funny, cause I seem to remember consumers demanding cheaper more efficient vehicles decades ago... But then again I also remember seeing high demand for broadband access and mobile internet access both of which are tightly controlled by a few companies each of which shafts the consumer base, regardless of their demand. Supply and Demand only works if the industries are enterable. This type of industry is not enterable by other parties. You will not wake up tomorrow and here about a new vehicle start up. You will wake up and see how you are being raked over the oil fields by big oil.

            jschell wrote:

            And there is no evidence that electric cars are substantially overall better than gasoline cars versus the electric when one considers the entire domain of the consumer market.
             
            Niche != All.

            "Better". There you go

            J Offline
            J Offline
            jschell
            wrote on last edited by
            #108

            Collin Jasnoch wrote:

            Then come back here and tell me how I am wrong about they do not need a new distribution grid,

            You are going to have to point out exactly what in that site contradicts what I said.

            L 1 Reply Last reply
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            • L Lost User

              jschell wrote:

              Nonsense.
               
              As an example computers in a real sense didn't exist 40 years ago for most people. But there are countless business activitities that existed then and still exist.
               
              The fact that it doesn't happen in one year doesn't mean it doesn't happen.
               
              And things that are really are 'better' do win. When it is measurably better in the aspects that the majority of the market looks for then it does win. Marginal products fail because they are not winners overall.

              Do you live under a rock? Things that are 'better' have no guarentee of winning. Simple case Directory of Technology for some very large company is approached by 2 very smart engineers. The engineers both have a similar idea about media storage. The director recals that engineer 1 has a really hot wife and would like to have dinner with them. Aproves engineer 1 request and says "Lets talk about it over dinner with the wives shall we?" In this case no consumers were ever involved. There is no telling wether the first engineers idea is better than the second. Yes, very simple case but this case shows how some approvals have nothing to do with the raw idea. There is such a thing in the world as nepotism and favortism. Another simple example. Tiny garage start up company creates a new phone that has the ability turn lead into gold. Big super company catches wind of this and quickly makes a phone that can turn stinky crap into not so stinky crap and advertises the 'crap' out of it. In case you did not hear, the lead to gold phone just was not better... Right? This situation is of course just made up, but actually occurs quite often (no lead to gold, but still) in industries on the verge of merges/takeovers.

              jschell wrote:

              The market doesn't work like that. If a company that creates gasoline cars came up with a 'better' electric car, one that actually was better, then they would jump at the chance to start making them.
               
              Which is EXACTLY what would happen if they came up with a 'better' gasoline powered car.
               
              The problem is not that anyone is suppresing something. The problem is nothing that is actually better.

              Oh wise one you are so right... Wait, let me see. I do recall when I was growing up article about individuals that were making electric cars on their own. Didn't cost them much either. Granted very smart fel

              J Offline
              J Offline
              jschell
              wrote on last edited by
              #109

              Collin Jasnoch wrote:

              Directory of Technology for some very large company is approached by 2 very smart engineers. The engineers both have a similar idea about media storage. The director recals that engineer 1 has a really hot wife and would like to have dinner with them. Aproves engineer 1 request and says "Lets talk about it over dinner with the wives shall we?

              Specious. In any number of ways. First overall market demands are not driven by a single decision in any way shape or form. Second normally on average in the scenario you depicted there is no real right answer. The two presentations will not have a specific winner. Thus one is about the same as the other. When there is a significantly and obviously better solution your fantasy 'Director' will make the right decision because there is a reason that person is a 'Director' in the first place. Or perhaps you are just claiming that everyone making any significant decision is absolutely corrupt and absolutely stupid.

              Collin Jasnoch wrote:

              Tiny garage start up company creates a...

              Another fantasy example which ignores the breadth and depth of the market such as automobiles. There are potentially thousands of sources for innovative products. And innovative products do not just appear magically out of nowhere, they rest on a vast infrastructure of existing ideas/products.

              Collin Jasnoch wrote:

              but the point is that the OIL industry has been sitting on technology for decades because they are milking the system.

              I see. Presumably all this incredible future technology originated in Area 51 as well. Probably kept secret all these years from foreign nationals by the very same security systems that obscure Area 51 itself.

              Collin Jasnoch wrote:

              Oh it doesn't work like that right? Ever heard of De Beers[^]?

              Not sure how this proves your point. Diamonds are singularly unique mineral. Not a manufactured product. Are you claiming that there is in fact a significantly 'better' diamond out there? And I certainly don't see any vast conspiracies in place which obscures the fact that they buy up new diamond sources and keep the demand artificially high.

              L 1 Reply Last reply
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              • L Lost User

                Plenty of choices here, of course they all use the same lines so it's actually kind of weird, but you can choose which company you get electricity from - obviously it's all the same electricity so it's more of a financial construct.

                jschell wrote:

                The fact that you don't understand where that money comes from in your situation doesn't change the fact that it still costs money.

                It matters a lot where the money comes from; if it has to come form the govt then it's bad because that means they'll economize on health care and education, but if it comes directly from people there's really no change.

                J Offline
                J Offline
                jschell
                wrote on last edited by
                #110

                harold aptroot wrote:

                It matters a lot where the money comes from; if it has to come form the govt then it's bad because that means they'll economize on health care and education, but if it comes directly from people there's really no change.

                It DOES NOT MATTER. You might think that one just prints more money and that is how governments pay for stuff but that is NOT how it works. Money is a representational fiction for the real economic manifestation in the modern world. The bigger something it is the more it it 'costs' the economy to create it.

                L 2 Replies Last reply
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                • L Lost User

                  Science is willing to admit its limitations; you, not being a scientist, not knowing any scientists, having no relevant education, and not being accountable in the slightest for your empty opinions, are not.

                  - F

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #111

                  Fisticuffs wrote:

                  Science is willing to admit its limitations;

                  And yet encourage the implementation of policy based on that understanding. Which you will find is the principle objectionof the sceptics.

                  Fisticuffs wrote:

                  not being a scientist

                  No, I am an engineer (Mech Aero and Software), who applies logic to all problems.

                  Fisticuffs wrote:

                  not knowing any scientists

                  Really? :)

                  Fisticuffs wrote:

                  having no relevant education

                  This rules out Einstein then, no?

                  Fisticuffs wrote:

                  and not being accountable in the slightest for your empty opinions

                  Unfortunately the scientists behind the AGW scam are not either.

                  Fisticuffs wrote:

                  are not

                  Since I am not a scientist of course I don't have to admit to sceintific limitations. I see logic has failed you there. :)

                  ============================== Nothing to say.

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                  • L Lost User

                    Chiropractic is B.S. when they do things like 1) sell homeopathy, vitamins and other crap 2) perform cervical manipulations (especially without giving due informed consent for risk of vertebral artery dissection and stroke) 3) advise on medical issues unrelated to their field, such as alternative vaccination schedules or eschewing vaccinations etc. 4) offer routine 'adjustments' and diagnose 'subluxations' 5) imply that 'disease is based in the spine' etc. Chiropractic is evidence based when they 6) perform spinal manipulation for lower back pain And that's about it. Pseudodoctors with 4 year pseudodegrees practicing pseudomedicine for gullible patients with big wallets. Spinal manipulation could just as easily be done by physiotherapists without all the hullaballoo.

                    - F

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Lost User
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #112

                    Fisticuffs wrote:

                    sell homeopathy

                    Thats a homeopath, not a chirppractor. In fact the AECC does not teach homeopathy.

                    Fisticuffs wrote:

                    vitamins

                    I see, so vitamins are crap are they? Lack of Ascorbic acide does not cause scurvy, vitamin D rickets? Have you published any papers on this or are your opinions just empty?

                    Fisticuffs wrote:

                    perform cervical manipulations (especially without giving due informed consent for risk of vertebral artery dissection and stroke)

                    Malpractice is unfortunately common in all medical fields but does not negate its efficacy.

                    Fisticuffs wrote:

                    advise on medical issues unrelated to their field, such as alternative vaccination schedules or eschewing vaccinations

                    Not taught by the AECC.

                    Fisticuffs wrote:

                    offer routine 'adjustments' and diagnose 'subluxations'

                    Entirely necessary and beneficial in many cases.

                    Fisticuffs wrote:

                    imply that 'disease is based in the spine'
                    etc.

                    This is not taught by the AECC.

                    Fisticuffs wrote:

                    Spinal manipulation could just as easily be done by physiotherapists

                    And very effective they are too.

                    ============================== Nothing to say.

                    L 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • L Lost User

                      Erudite__Eric wrote:

                      So you have no opinoins worth anything about anything other than what you have studied

                      That's correct.

                      - F

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Lost User
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #113

                      You must be a riveting conversatinalist...

                      ============================== Nothing to say.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • J jschell

                        harold aptroot wrote:

                        It matters a lot where the money comes from; if it has to come form the govt then it's bad because that means they'll economize on health care and education, but if it comes directly from people there's really no change.

                        It DOES NOT MATTER. You might think that one just prints more money and that is how governments pay for stuff but that is NOT how it works. Money is a representational fiction for the real economic manifestation in the modern world. The bigger something it is the more it it 'costs' the economy to create it.

                        L Offline
                        L Offline
                        Lost User
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #114

                        What the hell what kind of economy did you have in highschool?

                        jschell wrote:

                        You might think that one just prints more money and that is how governments pay for stuff but that is NOT how it works.

                        In the US it works that way, and that's why the country is being demoted to 3rd world. Good luck with that. Here in the EU there's only so much the govt the can spend, and they're already spending all of it so anything extra will mean leaving sick people to die and breeding a generation that didn't receive any education worth mentioning - because that's what this stupid backwards rightwing govt likes. If people pay direct instead of through tax, they just have a couple of euro's less savings or in extreme cases maybe they'll cancel their vacation to Spain. But neither of that would happen, electricity companies can't afford to raise prices unless they start price fixing.

                        J 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • L Lost User

                          Fisticuffs wrote:

                          Science is willing to admit its limitations;

                          And yet encourage the implementation of policy based on that understanding. Which you will find is the principle objectionof the sceptics.

                          Fisticuffs wrote:

                          not being a scientist

                          No, I am an engineer (Mech Aero and Software), who applies logic to all problems.

                          Fisticuffs wrote:

                          not knowing any scientists

                          Really? :)

                          Fisticuffs wrote:

                          having no relevant education

                          This rules out Einstein then, no?

                          Fisticuffs wrote:

                          and not being accountable in the slightest for your empty opinions

                          Unfortunately the scientists behind the AGW scam are not either.

                          Fisticuffs wrote:

                          are not

                          Since I am not a scientist of course I don't have to admit to sceintific limitations. I see logic has failed you there. :)

                          ============================== Nothing to say.

                          S Offline
                          S Offline
                          soap brain
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #115

                          Erudite__Eric wrote:

                          This rules out Einstein then, no?

                          I'm going to have to stop you there. Albert Einstein was awarded a PhD in physics in 1905 by the University of Zurich.

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                          • J jschell

                            Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                            Directory of Technology for some very large company is approached by 2 very smart engineers. The engineers both have a similar idea about media storage. The director recals that engineer 1 has a really hot wife and would like to have dinner with them. Aproves engineer 1 request and says "Lets talk about it over dinner with the wives shall we?

                            Specious. In any number of ways. First overall market demands are not driven by a single decision in any way shape or form. Second normally on average in the scenario you depicted there is no real right answer. The two presentations will not have a specific winner. Thus one is about the same as the other. When there is a significantly and obviously better solution your fantasy 'Director' will make the right decision because there is a reason that person is a 'Director' in the first place. Or perhaps you are just claiming that everyone making any significant decision is absolutely corrupt and absolutely stupid.

                            Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                            Tiny garage start up company creates a...

                            Another fantasy example which ignores the breadth and depth of the market such as automobiles. There are potentially thousands of sources for innovative products. And innovative products do not just appear magically out of nowhere, they rest on a vast infrastructure of existing ideas/products.

                            Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                            but the point is that the OIL industry has been sitting on technology for decades because they are milking the system.

                            I see. Presumably all this incredible future technology originated in Area 51 as well. Probably kept secret all these years from foreign nationals by the very same security systems that obscure Area 51 itself.

                            Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                            Oh it doesn't work like that right? Ever heard of De Beers[^]?

                            Not sure how this proves your point. Diamonds are singularly unique mineral. Not a manufactured product. Are you claiming that there is in fact a significantly 'better' diamond out there? And I certainly don't see any vast conspiracies in place which obscures the fact that they buy up new diamond sources and keep the demand artificially high.

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #116

                            jschell wrote:

                            Specious. In any number of ways.
                             
                            First overall market demands are not driven by a single decision in any way shape or form.
                            Second normally on average in the scenario you depicted there is no real right answer. The two presentations will not have a specific winner. Thus one is about the same as the other. When there is a significantly and obviously better solution your fantasy 'Director' will make the right decision because there is a reason that person is a 'Director' in the first place. Or perhaps you are just claiming that everyone making any significant decision is absolutely corrupt and absolutely stupid.

                            Market demand has nothing to do with it. You have proposed that if consumers demand 'better' technology it will come. I have pointed out a simple fictious yet plausable case where a technology would be surpressed, not because it is a worse item but merely because individual humans can and do impact technology. Everyone in the world does not have to be dumb or corrupt to make this true. Only one person.

                            jschell wrote:

                            Another fantasy example which ignores the breadth and depth of the market such as automobiles. There are potentially thousands of sources for innovative products. And innovative products do not just appear magically out of nowhere, they rest on a vast infrastructure of existing ideas/products.

                            Again, you missed the point. Wether this case exists or not is not the point. It is IF it can exist. If it can exist it shows a simple case of where technology can be invented and not brought to consumers. It has nothing to do with consumer demand. That is the point.

                            jschell wrote:

                            I see. Presumably all this incredible future technology originated in Area 51 as well. Probably kept secret all these years from foreign nationals by the very same security systems that obscure Area 51 itself.

                            So because one proposes that an industry is savy enough to lock down market control it brings in all global conspiracies?? Is it so hard to imagine that an industry with more money than most countries would want to ensure their future? Is it so hard to believe that the top executives ethics are questionable that they would not only do this but possible even direct illegal (blackmail, murder, etc) measures to protect themselves? Oh wait.. Thats right, C

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                            • J jschell

                              Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                              Then come back here and tell me how I am wrong about they do not need a new distribution grid,

                              You are going to have to point out exactly what in that site contradicts what I said.

                              L Offline
                              L Offline
                              Lost User
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #117

                              It is actually the opposite. You have to find a fact showing that the whole network will need to be rebuilt as you claimed. This site shows how the power plants output power is all merged into the same network. And you didnt respond to anything else.

                              Computers have been intelligent for a long time now. It just so happens that the program writers are about as effective as a room full of monkeys trying to crank out a copy of Hamlet.

                              J 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • J jschell

                                harold aptroot wrote:

                                It matters a lot where the money comes from; if it has to come form the govt then it's bad because that means they'll economize on health care and education, but if it comes directly from people there's really no change.

                                It DOES NOT MATTER. You might think that one just prints more money and that is how governments pay for stuff but that is NOT how it works. Money is a representational fiction for the real economic manifestation in the modern world. The bigger something it is the more it it 'costs' the economy to create it.

                                L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Lost User
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #118

                                Your responce here makes no sence. Harold's point is as long as the Government does not demand the power companies to expand they will do it themselves. They will then either penny pinch internally in one of the millions of ways companies raise money e.g. Reduce Waist Reduce Overhead costs Pay Caps etc. etc. Or they will raise the peak costs. This is the standard anyways. Simply put, pay for what you use. If the government however mandates their expansion they will demand compensation AND they will raise peak costs. Therefore the populace will pay doubly, in the form of utilties and in taxes. I mean honestly, what you are saying about governments just print money etc doesn't even make sence. Harold said if it comes directly from the people (i.e. higher utility bills) there is no change. And what the heck does money being a representation of economy have to do with this? Are you just typing for the sake of typing now?

                                Computers have been intelligent for a long time now. It just so happens that the program writers are about as effective as a room full of monkeys trying to crank out a copy of Hamlet.

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • L Lost User

                                  What the hell what kind of economy did you have in highschool?

                                  jschell wrote:

                                  You might think that one just prints more money and that is how governments pay for stuff but that is NOT how it works.

                                  In the US it works that way, and that's why the country is being demoted to 3rd world. Good luck with that. Here in the EU there's only so much the govt the can spend, and they're already spending all of it so anything extra will mean leaving sick people to die and breeding a generation that didn't receive any education worth mentioning - because that's what this stupid backwards rightwing govt likes. If people pay direct instead of through tax, they just have a couple of euro's less savings or in extreme cases maybe they'll cancel their vacation to Spain. But neither of that would happen, electricity companies can't afford to raise prices unless they start price fixing.

                                  J Offline
                                  J Offline
                                  jschell
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #119

                                  harold aptroot wrote:

                                  In the US it works that way, and that's why the country is being demoted to 3rd world

                                  Both simplistic and wrong.

                                  L 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • L Lost User

                                    It is actually the opposite. You have to find a fact showing that the whole network will need to be rebuilt as you claimed. This site shows how the power plants output power is all merged into the same network. And you didnt respond to anything else.

                                    Computers have been intelligent for a long time now. It just so happens that the program writers are about as effective as a room full of monkeys trying to crank out a copy of Hamlet.

                                    J Offline
                                    J Offline
                                    jschell
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #120

                                    Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                                    It is actually the opposite. You have to find a fact showing that the whole network will need to be rebuilt as you claimed.

                                    I didn't say that.

                                    L 1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • L Lost User

                                      jschell wrote:

                                      Specious. In any number of ways.
                                       
                                      First overall market demands are not driven by a single decision in any way shape or form.
                                      Second normally on average in the scenario you depicted there is no real right answer. The two presentations will not have a specific winner. Thus one is about the same as the other. When there is a significantly and obviously better solution your fantasy 'Director' will make the right decision because there is a reason that person is a 'Director' in the first place. Or perhaps you are just claiming that everyone making any significant decision is absolutely corrupt and absolutely stupid.

                                      Market demand has nothing to do with it. You have proposed that if consumers demand 'better' technology it will come. I have pointed out a simple fictious yet plausable case where a technology would be surpressed, not because it is a worse item but merely because individual humans can and do impact technology. Everyone in the world does not have to be dumb or corrupt to make this true. Only one person.

                                      jschell wrote:

                                      Another fantasy example which ignores the breadth and depth of the market such as automobiles. There are potentially thousands of sources for innovative products. And innovative products do not just appear magically out of nowhere, they rest on a vast infrastructure of existing ideas/products.

                                      Again, you missed the point. Wether this case exists or not is not the point. It is IF it can exist. If it can exist it shows a simple case of where technology can be invented and not brought to consumers. It has nothing to do with consumer demand. That is the point.

                                      jschell wrote:

                                      I see. Presumably all this incredible future technology originated in Area 51 as well. Probably kept secret all these years from foreign nationals by the very same security systems that obscure Area 51 itself.

                                      So because one proposes that an industry is savy enough to lock down market control it brings in all global conspiracies?? Is it so hard to imagine that an industry with more money than most countries would want to ensure their future? Is it so hard to believe that the top executives ethics are questionable that they would not only do this but possible even direct illegal (blackmail, murder, etc) measures to protect themselves? Oh wait.. Thats right, C

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                                      jschell
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #121

                                      Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                                      You have proposed that if consumers demand 'better' technology it will come.

                                      I didn't say that. I said that if a substantially obvious product exists then market demand will drive to that product. Market desire can also drive to a better product but there is no guarantee that a better product can be created.

                                      Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                                      I have pointed out a simple fictious yet plausable case where a technology would be surpressed

                                      You posited some outlandish conspiracy cases which do not exist. And ignored large market dynamics in doing so.

                                      Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                                      Only one person.

                                      Wrong. I do not accept that humans with super abilities exist. And that is the only plausible cause where a single person can impact a large scale global market.

                                      Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                                      It is IF it can exist

                                      You missed the point - it CANNOT exist in a large scale market.

                                      Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                                      So because one proposes that an industry is savy enough to lock down market control it brings in all global conspiracies??

                                      Yes. Fantasy is fantasy. Large scale conspiracies exist only in the minds of people based on emotion and nothing else. Such 'theories' completely ignores that humans have a vast number of positive and negative traits of which the expression of any one of them make such conspiracies impossible. One need only look to any large population to see example every day of very small conspiracies which fail because some human trait.

                                      Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                                      So yes, I do believe that the mass of the population is too dumb to know what is good for them ...when price fixing comes into play

                                      People are too stupid to know what is good for themselves yet there are vast numbers able to organize and maintain conspiracies that scale the globe and involve thousands if not hundreds of thousands of people and which span decades? It can't be both ways.

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                                      • J jschell

                                        harold aptroot wrote:

                                        In the US it works that way, and that's why the country is being demoted to 3rd world

                                        Both simplistic and wrong.

                                        L Offline
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                                        Lost User
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #122

                                        So is the nonsense you've been spouting.

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                                        • J jschell

                                          Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                                          It is actually the opposite. You have to find a fact showing that the whole network will need to be rebuilt as you claimed.

                                          I didn't say that.

                                          L Offline
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                                          Lost User
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #123

                                          Ehem...

                                          jschell wrote:

                                          Ian Shlasko wrote:

                                          It's a lot easier, logistically speaking, to improve a small handful of power plants, as opposed to going out and upgrading every single vehicle (again)

                                          Sounds good in theory. Completely ignores economics though.
                                           
                                          You have to build the power plants. You have to build the distribution networks. You have to build the distribution points (you didn't think you were going to plug into some strangers outlet for free did you?)

                                          There is no need to build anything until the demand for power requires it... Ian's point was it is easier to replace a a few power plants or switch from a coal power plant to a wind farm (when the time is right) than it is to continually upgrade and tweak combustion engines. By making them all electrical (which almost every thing is aside from a few gas applicances which mind you also have electric versions, e.g. Stove and Furnace), all systems are on the same interface. What supplies the power is then irrelavant. It can come from slave labor or from the sun. It then is up to society and the politicians as to what type of power plants supply power to their city. You make a claim that you have to build distribution networks. The distribution networks are in place. Only the power plants that are 'clean' need to be built.

                                          Computers have been intelligent for a long time now. It just so happens that the program writers are about as effective as a room full of monkeys trying to crank out a copy of Hamlet.

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