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  3. This, I do not believe!

This, I do not believe!

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  • D Dalek Dave

    It does, but there is an ever increasing population, so there is always a demand for housing. I work in the sector, and we, in the UK, are not building nearly enough houses, so there is always going to be a scarcity, and therefore always a high price.

    ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

    M Offline
    M Offline
    mav octaval
    wrote on last edited by
    #15

    And you are in an island, so in the near future there will be not enough space for so many englishmen. I think the japanese had the same theory before their bubble burst. And if there are not enough houses in england, you can come to Spain. The banks need to dump hundreds of thousands of houses from foreclosures to the market.

    -- octaval: software for mobile devices

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    • P phannon86

      There's a reason it's only on new builds. Nobody who could afford to buy a house in the first place would actually buy one of these (unless it's buy to let). We currently rent a 2 bed detached new build, it's tiny, the walls a paper thin, parking in the entire area (apparently the biggest private development in Europe) is insane - partially due to inconsiderate neighbours, and partially due to moronic planning. We have a garage attached to the house which doesn't even belong to it! Ours is part of some communal plot of garages currently used for flytipping. On top of that, because it's so "affordable", the area is quickly becoming a dive, my car has been vandalised twice, grafitti everywhere, and 3 burnt out cars so far this year.

      He who makes a beast out of himself gets rid of the pain of being a man.

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      L Offline
      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #16

      The UK? My big concern about the inaffordability of house prices I saw in the UK with families increasingly forced to live in small, badly insulated (for sound) flats, with children having no garden to play in, and neighbours impingeing on each other purely because of the lack of space (ie stingyness of the developer) is the social issues and tension it causes. It is unjust and unfair in every way, and governments must make it a basic right for a family to have accomodation of a decent size with propper facilities and it should enforce that through legislation.

      ============================== Nothing to say.

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      • D Dalek Dave

        The housing bubble has not burst. From 1997 to 2007 house prices doubled (at least, in some areas it tripled). Since 2007 they have fallen back, at an average of about 10%. Reduction or softening in price, yes, but the bubble is still there. see here[^]

        ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

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        Lost User
        wrote on last edited by
        #17

        Dalek Dave wrote:

        an average of about 10%.

        Yes, some areas there is almost no change, London for example, but other have seen up to 30%. True though, this isnt a sufficient correction, but, as much as we arent out of the recesion caused by the debt crisis, we havent seen the full correction yet.

        ============================== Nothing to say.

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        • P phannon86

          There's a reason it's only on new builds. Nobody who could afford to buy a house in the first place would actually buy one of these (unless it's buy to let). We currently rent a 2 bed detached new build, it's tiny, the walls a paper thin, parking in the entire area (apparently the biggest private development in Europe) is insane - partially due to inconsiderate neighbours, and partially due to moronic planning. We have a garage attached to the house which doesn't even belong to it! Ours is part of some communal plot of garages currently used for flytipping. On top of that, because it's so "affordable", the area is quickly becoming a dive, my car has been vandalised twice, grafitti everywhere, and 3 burnt out cars so far this year.

          He who makes a beast out of himself gets rid of the pain of being a man.

          OriginalGriffO Offline
          OriginalGriffO Offline
          OriginalGriff
          wrote on last edited by
          #18

          You forgot that the garden is so small that if you have a barbecue you have to turn the food through the kitchen window.

          Ideological Purity is no substitute for being able to stick your thumb down a pipe to stop the water

          "I have no idea what I did, but I'm taking full credit for it." - ThisOldTony
          "Common sense is so rare these days, it should be classified as a super power" - Random T-shirt

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          • D Dalek Dave

            Average price for a 3 bed semi is now £250,000 Average Salary is about £35,000 So husband and wife both on average salaries earn £70,000 per annum. For an affordable mortgage it should be no more than three times income. Thus £210,000, but assume there is a deposit of at least £40,000 then the average house is affordable to the average couple. No problem.

            ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

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            NormDroid
            wrote on last edited by
            #19

            You're living in the wrong place, where I live you get a 4 Bed Detached with good garden size for £250,000.

            Software Kinetics Wear a hard hat it's under construction
            Metro RSS

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            • L Lost User

              Dalek Dave wrote:

              an average of about 10%.

              Yes, some areas there is almost no change, London for example, but other have seen up to 30%. True though, this isnt a sufficient correction, but, as much as we arent out of the recesion caused by the debt crisis, we havent seen the full correction yet.

              ============================== Nothing to say.

              D Offline
              D Offline
              Dalek Dave
              wrote on last edited by
              #20

              I agree with the principle, but in practice it will not fall that much.

              ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

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              • D Dalek Dave

                Erudite_Eric wrote:

                drops of up to 30%

                Only in the northern wastelands. London has still risen annually, and the south east in general has maintained a fairly even keel.

                ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

                L Offline
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                Lost User
                wrote on last edited by
                #21

                Dalek Dave wrote:

                Only in the northern wastelands.

                And Wales.... ;)

                Dalek Dave wrote:

                London has still risen annually

                As always, those regions that saw the big increases just before the bust, see the biggest falls after. Down here in Provence prices only came off about 5% at the worst and are back up to old levels so our place is still worth about 750.

                ============================== Nothing to say.

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                • M mav octaval

                  Of course not! The house prices never fall, they always go up and up and up. Basic economics and laws of offer and demand doesn't apply to the housing market.

                  -- octaval: software for mobile devices

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                  W Balboos GHB
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #22

                  mav@octaval wrote:

                  house prices never fall

                  Actually, falling prices is happening all over the USA. Even where I live, a popular beach area, the prices have dropped $100,000 for a $400,000-$500,000 home. Basically, the selling price of homes for the middle-class is dropping. The really expensive homes, bought by rich people, are unaffected as they still have all the money (I believe it was given them as a poor-judgement-bonus for bringing their employer to the edge of bankruptcy a few year ago).

                  "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                  "As far as we know, our computer has never had an undetected error." - Weisert

                  "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

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                  • OriginalGriffO OriginalGriff

                    You forgot that the garden is so small that if you have a barbecue you have to turn the food through the kitchen window.

                    Ideological Purity is no substitute for being able to stick your thumb down a pipe to stop the water

                    P Offline
                    P Offline
                    phannon86
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #23

                    That would be an interesting challenge in our house, the kitchen is at the front :laugh:

                    He who makes a beast out of himself gets rid of the pain of being a man.

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                    • L Lost User

                      The UK? My big concern about the inaffordability of house prices I saw in the UK with families increasingly forced to live in small, badly insulated (for sound) flats, with children having no garden to play in, and neighbours impingeing on each other purely because of the lack of space (ie stingyness of the developer) is the social issues and tension it causes. It is unjust and unfair in every way, and governments must make it a basic right for a family to have accomodation of a decent size with propper facilities and it should enforce that through legislation.

                      ============================== Nothing to say.

                      N Offline
                      N Offline
                      NormDroid
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #24

                      Go and live in DR Congo, pleny of space for houses there.

                      Software Kinetics Wear a hard hat it's under construction
                      Metro RSS

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                      • OriginalGriffO OriginalGriff

                        You forgot that the garden is so small that if you have a barbecue you have to turn the food through the kitchen window.

                        Ideological Purity is no substitute for being able to stick your thumb down a pipe to stop the water

                        L Offline
                        L Offline
                        Lost User
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #25

                        :) and the smoke fumes the neighbours washing! :) But anyway, at least it is something of a garden to muck around in. I hate what happened to Britain in respectof housing in the last 20 years. OK, we aparantly did well out of it, our place there is paid off and worth 130 streling, 15 down form the peak, but I feel very sorry for the social injustice the whole thing caused, and the financial mess it is responsible for us being in now.

                        ============================== Nothing to say.

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                        • OriginalGriffO OriginalGriff

                          You forgot that the garden is so small that if you have a barbecue you have to turn the food through the kitchen window.

                          Ideological Purity is no substitute for being able to stick your thumb down a pipe to stop the water

                          N Offline
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                          NormDroid
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #26

                          Sounds good, I may give up my 74 foot back garden for that ;)

                          Software Kinetics Wear a hard hat it's under construction
                          Metro RSS

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                          • N NormDroid

                            Go and live in DR Congo, pleny of space for houses there.

                            Software Kinetics Wear a hard hat it's under construction
                            Metro RSS

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #27

                            Belgium and Holland have more land pressure than the UK yet manage to produce bigger homes. The size of modern houses in the UK are inhuman.

                            ============================== Nothing to say.

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                            • L Lost User

                              The UK? My big concern about the inaffordability of house prices I saw in the UK with families increasingly forced to live in small, badly insulated (for sound) flats, with children having no garden to play in, and neighbours impingeing on each other purely because of the lack of space (ie stingyness of the developer) is the social issues and tension it causes. It is unjust and unfair in every way, and governments must make it a basic right for a family to have accomodation of a decent size with propper facilities and it should enforce that through legislation.

                              ============================== Nothing to say.

                              P Offline
                              P Offline
                              phannon86
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #28

                              Yep, specifically Peterborough. It's frustrating for me and my missus, we're both young (25), in well paying stable jobs, very comfortably covering our rent. Our problem is the deposit. From what I can gather, we need something in the region of 40k for anything other than a new build. We're saving hard, but it's going to take a while, and in the mean time we throw our money away paying someone else's mortgage.

                              He who makes a beast out of himself gets rid of the pain of being a man.

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                              • P phannon86

                                Yep, specifically Peterborough. It's frustrating for me and my missus, we're both young (25), in well paying stable jobs, very comfortably covering our rent. Our problem is the deposit. From what I can gather, we need something in the region of 40k for anything other than a new build. We're saving hard, but it's going to take a while, and in the mean time we throw our money away paying someone else's mortgage.

                                He who makes a beast out of himself gets rid of the pain of being a man.

                                L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Lost User
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #29

                                What percentage is theat 40k, cant be 15% surely? (I mean, thats a super expensive house based on the assumption that lenders are looking for a 15% deposit these days). Still, at least you have work. On the continent renting is far more popular, thetre isnt the desire to own like in the UK. Other interesting factors are legal debt levels. In France you cant be more than 33% of youyr net in debt. So if you take home 3k a month your total outgoings on loans cant be more than 1k. You also need a good deposit, 15% is the norm. Plus mortgage terms are usualy 20 years. ALl this keeps prices low, since the cash isnt there to push them up. But it also means the owner has 66% cash each month to soend on what ever else he likes. So this actually benefits the economy since it is spent in restaurants, holidays, etc. In the UK, where housing often takes up 50% of net, there is less cash to spend elsewhere. You can see why I think the UK has gone badly wrong.

                                ============================== Nothing to say.

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                                • L Lost User

                                  What percentage is theat 40k, cant be 15% surely? (I mean, thats a super expensive house based on the assumption that lenders are looking for a 15% deposit these days). Still, at least you have work. On the continent renting is far more popular, thetre isnt the desire to own like in the UK. Other interesting factors are legal debt levels. In France you cant be more than 33% of youyr net in debt. So if you take home 3k a month your total outgoings on loans cant be more than 1k. You also need a good deposit, 15% is the norm. Plus mortgage terms are usualy 20 years. ALl this keeps prices low, since the cash isnt there to push them up. But it also means the owner has 66% cash each month to soend on what ever else he likes. So this actually benefits the economy since it is spent in restaurants, holidays, etc. In the UK, where housing often takes up 50% of net, there is less cash to spend elsewhere. You can see why I think the UK has gone badly wrong.

                                  ============================== Nothing to say.

                                  N Offline
                                  N Offline
                                  NormDroid
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #30

                                  UK is rotten to the core, over population, high number of immigrants, too many people living off the goverment - it's a complete mess. I hope to join the migrants club and get the hell off this island in the next 15 years.

                                  Software Kinetics Wear a hard hat it's under construction
                                  Metro RSS

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                                  • N NormDroid

                                    UK is rotten to the core, over population, high number of immigrants, too many people living off the goverment - it's a complete mess. I hope to join the migrants club and get the hell off this island in the next 15 years.

                                    Software Kinetics Wear a hard hat it's under construction
                                    Metro RSS

                                    L Offline
                                    L Offline
                                    Lost User
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #31

                                    Norm .net wrote:

                                    high number of immigrants

                                    Norm .net wrote:

                                    I hope to join the migrants club

                                    :)

                                    ============================== Nothing to say.

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                                    • L Lost User

                                      Norm .net wrote:

                                      high number of immigrants

                                      Norm .net wrote:

                                      I hope to join the migrants club

                                      :)

                                      ============================== Nothing to say.

                                      N Offline
                                      N Offline
                                      NormDroid
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #32

                                      I could just be a politician ;)

                                      Software Kinetics Wear a hard hat it's under construction
                                      Metro RSS

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                                      • D Dalek Dave

                                        Average price for a 3 bed semi is now £250,000 Average Salary is about £35,000 So husband and wife both on average salaries earn £70,000 per annum. For an affordable mortgage it should be no more than three times income. Thus £210,000, but assume there is a deposit of at least £40,000 then the average house is affordable to the average couple. No problem.

                                        ------------------------------------ I will never again mention that I was the poster of the One Millionth Lounge Post, nor that it was complete drivel. Dalek Dave CCC Link[^] Trolls[^]

                                        R Offline
                                        R Offline
                                        Rob Grainger
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #33

                                        Couldn't disagree more, you evidently haven't tried getting a mortgage recently, without an existing home to get you started its near impossible getting a first-time mortgage. That said, while potentially in the target group for this initiative, it does remind me of the Bush governments attempts to encourage lenders to provide mortgages to all-comers and that led to the current economic crisis. Not quite as ill-thought out, but not too far off. Further, with the average salary at £25000, you can bet that the mean is somewhere under £20K - any fule no that averages are distorted by particularly high and low figures, remember if, out of 100 numbers, one is 1000000 and the remainder are 1, the average comes out at 10000.99. I suspect this distorts the average salary upwards, as there are a fair few earners in the "ridiculously high" bracket. Personally, I believe it's beyond time for a housing bubble to burst - its been overdue a number of years now. It's the only way I can anticipate getting on the housing ladder (in an area I'd actually consider living in).

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                                        • N NormDroid

                                          UK is rotten to the core, over population, high number of immigrants, too many people living off the goverment - it's a complete mess. I hope to join the migrants club and get the hell off this island in the next 15 years.

                                          Software Kinetics Wear a hard hat it's under construction
                                          Metro RSS

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                                          R Offline
                                          Rob Grainger
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #34

                                          I hope as an immigrant in another country, you are doomed to the same reception as you'd give them here. (I doubt it though, the rest of world has more civilised attitudes to such migration in my experience).

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