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  3. artificial inteligence is a myth!!!

artificial inteligence is a myth!!!

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  • W W Balboos GHB

    My father recently mentioned how, as a kid, they marveled at the impossibility of the comic strip detective Dick Tracy's two-way wrist radio. Take a lesson from history and never say never.

    "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

    "As far as we know, our computer has never had an undetected error." - Weisert

    "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

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    jschell
    wrote on last edited by
    #46

    W∴ Balboos wrote:

    My father recently mentioned how, as a kid, they marveled at the impossibility of the comic strip detective Dick Tracy's two-way wrist radio.

    Just curious - where you live do a lot of people have two way wrist radios? Certainly not the case where I am. I can also note that none of the following exist either - flying cars - PSI powers - Faster than light travel - Aliens - Superheroes - Minature people living in a dome - Many, many other things. And neither does Artificial Intelligence. Hindsight is a wonderful thing but cherry picking a few items that match current culture ignores the vast, vast number of things that do not and probably never will exist.

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    • V Vasily Tserekh

      Have you ever used neural networks i did, they dont learn they are just a mathematic code that adjust the output based on previows input-output examples and that is if the problem you want to solve can be mathematically modelled if not then neural networks is useless. My friend real inteligence cant have a mathematicall model so it cant be programmed.

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      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #47

      Yes, young Padawan, neural networks are just a mathmatical model of the neurons that hopefully make up the grey mass between your ears. Training neural networks by the traditional feedback approaches has been found limited in many ways. Defining the topology and weights of a neural network to make it suitable for any task is an entirely different matter. Lazy people have simply tried to let one of the most powerful search algorithms[^] do that job and the results are really promising. The gray mass between your ears has been configured by the same algorithm, with the tiny drawback that it had begun to do so many millions of years before any of our ancestors was able to climb a tree and pick some fresh fruits there. Once that you have understood all that, then you may come to realize that the problem is not finding an adequate emulation of neurons or how 'mechanical' they appear to you. It's the complexety of the desired result that will make us take a little more time than we would like. Ok, here we go again. I forgot once more that you are the one and only authority on those things. You have looked at it, once again not seen the forest because of all those trees and therefore it's all just a myth.

      At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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      • G GuyThiebaut

        This is a huge topic as you really need to define what you mean by human intelligence first. If you mean conciousness then yes there is an issue - philosophers for thousands of years have been trying to figure out what conciousness is, we still seem to be none the wiser. If by intelligence you mean the ability to make decisions quickly, accurately and learn from mistakes then I would say that AI is pretty darn good! A couple of examples (one from my own experience): - I have used SAPI for voice recognition in speech recognition software[^] I have written and the accuracy is fairly amazing. SAPI will learn from mistakes and the more it is used the better it becomes at word recognition. - I also believe that the google driverless car[^] is going to be quite something. So all in all I think AI really is doing very well - if you leave out the 'conciousness' part which has puzzled even some of the most insightful Buddhist monks who have spent years in caves studying their own minds through meditation... I am guessing though that you have something specific in mind.

        “That which can be asserted without evidence, can be dismissed without evidence.”

        ― Christopher Hitchens

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        jschell
        wrote on last edited by
        #48

        GuyThiebaut wrote:

        If by intelligence you mean the ability to make decisions quickly, accurately and learn from mistakes then I would say that AI is pretty darn good!

        Common general definition of that term would involve something along one or both of the following - A robot that can act in such a way to mimic many common human day to day behaviors such as driving a car, shopping and taking care of a child. - A computer that can interact with humans and also create new general ideas. So it can create a painting, write a book, criticize a play and banter about a favorite sports team. There is no artificial intelligence. And with the current state of that study there never will be.

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        • J jschell

          W∴ Balboos wrote:

          My father recently mentioned how, as a kid, they marveled at the impossibility of the comic strip detective Dick Tracy's two-way wrist radio.

          Just curious - where you live do a lot of people have two way wrist radios? Certainly not the case where I am. I can also note that none of the following exist either - flying cars - PSI powers - Faster than light travel - Aliens - Superheroes - Minature people living in a dome - Many, many other things. And neither does Artificial Intelligence. Hindsight is a wonderful thing but cherry picking a few items that match current culture ignores the vast, vast number of things that do not and probably never will exist.

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          lewax00
          wrote on last edited by
          #49

          jschell wrote:

          Just curious - where you live do a lot of people have two way wrist radios?
          Certainly not the case where I am.

          Unless you live in another universe it's certainly possible where you are. How common it is was never in dispute.

          jschell wrote:

          I can also note that none of the following exist either
          - flying cars
          - PSI powers
          - Faster than light travel
          - Aliens
          - Superheroes
          - Minature people living in a dome
          - Many, many other things.

          First off: Flying cars - it's been done, just not in a way efficient enough for consumers (plus other issues like requiring additional licenses) Aliens - unless you're omniscient, you don't know that. It honestly seems very self centered to assume we're the only planet with life in the universe. Second, just because it doesn't exist now means it can never exist? Modern computers didn't exist 200 years ago, therefore they clearly cannot exist now and this conversation can't be taking place.

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          • L Lost User

            Vasily Tserekh wrote:

            no you are wromg the problem is that i just speak my mind

            So do I.

            Vasily Tserekh wrote:

            sometimes people with a lot of knowledge give me a good answer and thats make me better

            Define 'good answer that makes you better'. By all I have read from you that would be those answers that agree with whatever you have come up with.

            Vasily Tserekh wrote:

            Sometimes people are offendeD somehow

            Not somehow. You usually throw some broad generalization at us and proclaim it to be the one and only absolute truth. It must be because that's what you have concluded on that particular subject. Period. How could anybody dare to think differently?

            Vasily Tserekh wrote:

            i do not offend anyone

            Another one of your absulutely true opinions?

            Vasily Tserekh wrote:

            I dont know how most of you lack of sense of humor

            Perhaps you should decorate your posts with the joke icon more often, just to give us a hint.

            Vasily Tserekh wrote:

            BUt that doesnt matter TO ME beacause I dont get paid for reputation points instead of someones in this page(maybe you?)

            Yes. You caught me. I make my living with reputation points. And what do you do? Judging by your 'opinions' it can't be too much programming. Are there really professional trolls?

            At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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            Vasily Tserekh
            wrote on last edited by
            #50

            Oh sorry I should have posted In my humble opinion I think that we are not going to imitate human intelligence by for loops else etc what do you think and please dont slap me in the face

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            • V Vasily Tserekh

              Any programmer who thinks that we are going to reach the human intelligence by if switchs elses for loops, is either crazy or has inhaled a pound of cocaine

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              Roger Wright
              wrote on last edited by
              #51

              Fortunately, no one who knows anything about computers or intelligence has tried doing it that way since the 1960s.

              Will Rogers never met me.

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              • J jschell

                Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                I also have studied A.I. and there is plenty of it already out there. Maybe it does not meat your standards of being intellegent

                Redefining the terms to refute the argument doesn't alter the fact that with the current normal definition there is no AI.

                Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                But then again, maybe you just aren't very intelligent. So your standards are irrelevent

                Redefining the term to something different and then answering that doesn't lead to that conclusion.

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                Lost User
                wrote on last edited by
                #52

                I am not redefining anything. The claim was that "A.I. is a myth" because it does not compare to human inteligence. With the given definition of inteligence I argue that A.I. does exist and exceeds most human inteligence.

                jschell wrote:

                doesn't alter the fact that with the current normal definition there is no AI.

                What current "normal" definition are you talking about? Are you claiming to be a scholar on A.I.? FYI there is no "normal" definition of A.I.. The most known/common test for AI is the Turing test, which is being questioned by all as to wether or not it proves anything. And I am sure you knew that... Stop trolling.

                jschell wrote:

                Redefining the term to something different and then answering that doesn't lead to that conclusion.

                This is meaningless. My point was that if the question being asked is not understood by the asker (which is often the case), then how can the questioner confidently say it can not be mapped? The fact that one is asking the question tends to mean (tends to as questioning is also a method of teaching), that the questioner does not know the answer or how to obtain the answer. In that case they lack sufficient evidence to make any conclusion nor even make a hypothesis to set up an experiment to prove one outcome over the other. Lack of evidence does not mean there is no evidence. It just means it is not understood.

                Computers have been intelligent for a long time now. It just so happens that the program writers are about as effective as a room full of monkeys trying to crank out a copy of Hamlet.

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                • L lewax00

                  GuyThiebaut wrote:

                  If by intelligence you mean the ability to make decisions quickly, accurately and learn from mistakes then I would say that AI is pretty darn good!

                  I'm not sure the speed it comes to that decision matters for determining intelligence (though it may help place it on a relative scale of how intelligent it is), but I agree otherwise. A system I developed for work is like that. I wasn't intending to do anything with AI, nor do I have much knowledge in that field (an interest, but I haven't put much effort into it), but it just sort of came together that way. It's not particularly advanced AI either, but it takes some input, finds a way to describe it, and uses that description to find similar data. When it fails, it can be shown more data, adjusts its description, and tries again. It's surprisingly effective, and does a task that previously had to be done by a human.

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                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #53

                  Sounds a little like my AC (Artificial Cockroach). It was designed to take a fixed set of inputs and then make an intelligent (hopefully) decison from an also fixed set of options. You give it it's inputs and it responds with the option (or action) it would like to do. It is configured by an evolutionary algorithm and each instance is 'born' with all the knowledge it will ever have. It also will never be able to come up with new responses. Just like a cockroach. What it can do is adapting quickly to new circumstances and finding ways of using it's options as good as possible. Like a cockroach it depends on evolution and a fast sequence of generations to do that. Despite it's limitations and very humble 'intelligence' it's really fascinating to study and it sure beats any 'if this else that' logic which never adapts.

                  At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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                  • L Lost User

                    Sounds a little like my AC (Artificial Cockroach). It was designed to take a fixed set of inputs and then make an intelligent (hopefully) decison from an also fixed set of options. You give it it's inputs and it responds with the option (or action) it would like to do. It is configured by an evolutionary algorithm and each instance is 'born' with all the knowledge it will ever have. It also will never be able to come up with new responses. Just like a cockroach. What it can do is adapting quickly to new circumstances and finding ways of using it's options as good as possible. Like a cockroach it depends on evolution and a fast sequence of generations to do that. Despite it's limitations and very humble 'intelligence' it's really fascinating to study and it sure beats any 'if this else that' logic which never adapts.

                    At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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                    lewax00
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #54

                    I don't think it's quite that complicated. And this one just modifies itself as it fails (it requires human interaction to assist it in discovering its failures, but it is generally able to tell when it failed, just not why). But that sounds rather interesting, I've never had much luck with genetic algorithms (but then again, I think I often try to jump in the deep end before learning how to swim).

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                    • L lewax00

                      I don't think it's quite that complicated. And this one just modifies itself as it fails (it requires human interaction to assist it in discovering its failures, but it is generally able to tell when it failed, just not why). But that sounds rather interesting, I've never had much luck with genetic algorithms (but then again, I think I often try to jump in the deep end before learning how to swim).

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                      Lost User
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #55

                      You would not believe how simple the cockroach is. It uses the most primitive structure to make its choice from the options: A lookup table. The values in the table are taken directly from the evolutionary algorithm's 'DNA'. Initially the entire DNA is filled with 0 so that all values which eventually appear are created by mutation and selection. A highschool kid could whip something like it together in no time. The point was to show what kind of results even such a primitive thing can bring. Things really get interesting when you use the same approach on a more advanced decision maker, like a neural nets. For fun I used the cockroach for a kind of RPG. The 'monsters' were trained by letting them fight against each other, providing them with inputs about the current situation and then asking them what they want to do. They even learned to run away when things turned against them or changed their reactions when players had figured out how to beat them.

                      At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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                      • L Lost User

                        Have we not been there already? If I remember correctly, another one of your opinions was that if you don't understand C++ and therefore don't like it, then everybody else must also dislike it for the same reasons. And I also remember your reactions when someone does not share your opinions. Therefore you may be a totally misunderstood genius, so forgive us mere mortals. Or maybe you really don't realize how provokative, arrogant and not so intelligent your behavior may make you appear. Looking at your past posts, I prefer to think that you are deliberately posting rough 'opinions' and just enjoy defending them to the bitter end. That would make you a troll. Not the worst kind, but a troll nonetheless.

                        At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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                        Vasily Tserekh
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #56

                        maybe you are right but that rought opinions are my opinions

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                        • L Lost User

                          Vasily Tserekh wrote:

                          Have you ever used neural networks i did, they dont learn they are just a mathematic code that adjust the output based on previows input-output examples and that is if the problem you want to solve can be mathematically modelled if not then neural networks is useless.

                          Yes I have used them. And by your description I think you barely studied them. It is not as simple as that unless you are talking about simple neural networks. When you involve hidden layers and different learning theories (yes they do learn) you can model things methematically. The whole point is to use it when the mathematical model is unkown (i.e. you do not know if one exists but theorize it does). In these cases the performance is still often better than humans because they can respond quicker and with better results. Also, NN are not the only form of A.I. It is actually a tool to use when making an A.I. system. Humans are not intelligent just because they have a Neural Network. They have many other things going on as well (obviously). The same is true with digital programs. But their things that are going on may end up slightly different allowing them to elevate their inteligence (e.g. being connected to a database vs. being connected to a brain of memories)

                          Vasily Tserekh wrote:

                          My friend real inteligence cant have a mathematicall model so it cant be programmed.

                          How are you so certain? Show me inteligence that can not be "mapped" as you say, and I will show you how maybe you just are not inteligent enough to map it.

                          Computers have been intelligent for a long time now. It just so happens that the program writers are about as effective as a room full of monkeys trying to crank out a copy of Hamlet.

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                          TG_Cid
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #57

                          I agree to some extent with both of you Vasily and Collin. I think(well is more like i hope or wish) humanity will be able to create intelligence as good as normal human being at least, posibly something beyond that, but im sure that it wont happen in our lifetime.

                          Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                          Vasily Tserekh wrote:

                          My friend real inteligence cant have a mathematicall model so it cant be
                          programmed.

                          Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                          How are you so certain?
                           
                          Show me inteligence that can not be "mapped" as you say, and I will show you how maybe you just are not inteligent enough to map it.

                          That one is easy, free will cant be mapped/modeled, an algorithm is based on a set of rules. You can say that you can create a/"set of" rule to create new rules, but then again is just another rule that cant be broken. free will is the part of intelligence that make us able to break any rule to adapt or get better.

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                          • J jschell

                            GuyThiebaut wrote:

                            If by intelligence you mean the ability to make decisions quickly, accurately and learn from mistakes then I would say that AI is pretty darn good!

                            Common general definition of that term would involve something along one or both of the following - A robot that can act in such a way to mimic many common human day to day behaviors such as driving a car, shopping and taking care of a child. - A computer that can interact with humans and also create new general ideas. So it can create a painting, write a book, criticize a play and banter about a favorite sports team. There is no artificial intelligence. And with the current state of that study there never will be.

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                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #58

                            jschell wrote:

                            There is no artificial intelligence. And with the current state of that study there never will be.

                            I would not give up that easily. We know one system that has declared itself to be intelligent. It is made up of spophisticated miniature switching units, known as neurons. We can emulate the switching function more or less precisely on a computer. But understanding and emulating this smallest unit of the system is not the key to intelligence. A brain is a network of large neural networks, so complex that it's unlikely that we can simply design a similar network and emulate it. But we do know the algorithm that has configured our brains. It's called evolution and we can also emulate it. If we disregard the amount of time it may require and also the capacity of the computer wich could do those emulations, I still think that it is possible to get results. And if that is true, those reults could just as well be aliens from another planet because they have been bred to survive and adapt to an emulated environment.

                            At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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                            • T TG_Cid

                              I agree to some extent with both of you Vasily and Collin. I think(well is more like i hope or wish) humanity will be able to create intelligence as good as normal human being at least, posibly something beyond that, but im sure that it wont happen in our lifetime.

                              Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                              Vasily Tserekh wrote:

                              My friend real inteligence cant have a mathematicall model so it cant be
                              programmed.

                              Collin Jasnoch wrote:

                              How are you so certain?
                               
                              Show me inteligence that can not be "mapped" as you say, and I will show you how maybe you just are not inteligent enough to map it.

                              That one is easy, free will cant be mapped/modeled, an algorithm is based on a set of rules. You can say that you can create a/"set of" rule to create new rules, but then again is just another rule that cant be broken. free will is the part of intelligence that make us able to break any rule to adapt or get better.

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                              Lost User
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #59

                              What does free will have to do with intelligence?

                              Computers have been intelligent for a long time now. It just so happens that the program writers are about as effective as a room full of monkeys trying to crank out a copy of Hamlet.

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                              • L Lost User

                                What does free will have to do with intelligence?

                                Computers have been intelligent for a long time now. It just so happens that the program writers are about as effective as a room full of monkeys trying to crank out a copy of Hamlet.

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                                TG_Cid
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #60

                                OK, dont know if you are trying to confuse me, playing dumb or it is a genuine question, i will suppose the last one. Lets stay with the example you gave of current AI, the social networks algorithms. It is based on a set of rules, lets say(for the sake of simplicity) if the user if from north america and is male, the algorithm will "decide" to show a beer adverticing. Now of course the algorithm may take tons of rules i used only 2 because i want to keep this simple. Now if the one who had to decide what adverticing must show to the users was a human being, he may decide to show other adverticing although he was only instructed to only take into account the location and gender, he may also take into account new paramters withouth being told to do so, like age, politic, religion, etc. So with this simple example(maybe not the best) just what im trying to say is that a part of our intelligence is the capability to break the rules, which i called free will(maybe not the best translation because english is not my native language). I hope i had made my point at least little bit more clear.

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                                • Z ZurdoDev

                                  I see a lot of people responding that technology will evolve to the point where we will have good AI. I don't think that is what you are saying so I am not sure why they are using that as their argument. I agree, with current technology and if elses and loops, we will not get to AI.

                                  There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.

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                                  Lost User
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #61

                                  ryanb31 wrote:

                                  I agree, with current technology and if elses and loops, we will not get to AI.

                                  And the advances so far, however humble or grand they may be, have been accomplished with what? Magic spells? Those things are just the atoms we use to write down algorithms and probably will continue to play that role for a while yet.

                                  At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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                                  • L Lost User

                                    ryanb31 wrote:

                                    I agree, with current technology and if elses and loops, we will not get to AI.

                                    And the advances so far, however humble or grand they may be, have been accomplished with what? Magic spells? Those things are just the atoms we use to write down algorithms and probably will continue to play that role for a while yet.

                                    At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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                                    ZurdoDev
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #62

                                    Magic is code that works and no one is sure why. :) So, yes, there is some of that. Yes, ifs and loops have built the current advances but the point is to get close to true AI we'll need something a lot better. However, with processor speeds continuing to improve maybe a switch statement with 12 million cases and nested ifs won't perform that bad.

                                    There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.

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                                    • V Vasily Tserekh

                                      Any programmer who thinks that we are going to reach the human intelligence by if switchs elses for loops, is either crazy or has inhaled a pound of cocaine

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                                      Vitaly Tomilov
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #63

                                      ...u mean, like u did? I don't think that invention of AI got anything to do with stupid messages like this published here.

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                                      • V Vasily Tserekh

                                        Oh sorry I should have posted In my humble opinion I think that we are not going to imitate human intelligence by for loops else etc what do you think and please dont slap me in the face

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                                        Lost User
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #64

                                        Have we accomplished anything with loops or other basic program structures? Yes, we have used them to formulate algorithms. I also see no fundamentally different alternative, so future algorithms, whatever they may be able to do, will very probably be formulated the same way for any forseeable time.

                                        Vasily Tserekh wrote:

                                        and please dont slap me in the face

                                        That will have to wait until I come to Cuba next time :)

                                        At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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                                        • Z ZurdoDev

                                          Magic is code that works and no one is sure why. :) So, yes, there is some of that. Yes, ifs and loops have built the current advances but the point is to get close to true AI we'll need something a lot better. However, with processor speeds continuing to improve maybe a switch statement with 12 million cases and nested ifs won't perform that bad.

                                          There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.

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                                          Lost User
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #65

                                          I would place my bets on neural networks, which by the way are ideal to be 'offshored' to the graphics processor. And then there is that strange new idea to build supercomputers with as many GPUs they can find... Seriously, I see no alternative to algorithms and the now traditional ways of writing them down. I don't expect that to change any time soon. What you probably really mean is that the algorithms were laughably inadequate up to now. Edit: I just summoned up the disassembly of a switch statement before my inner eyes and asked myself what makes you think that we need fast processors for large switches? Apart from a tiny delay by a sure cache miss after a certain size, the branching instructions (that's the equivalent of a goto ;P ) will need the same time as they always do.

                                          At least artificial intelligence already is superior to natural stupidity

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