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  3. Dunning-Kruger effect

Dunning-Kruger effect

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  • L Lost User

    Today I learnt a new term that I wish I had known before. It can be applied to many competent and incompetent people I have come across in life: The Dunning-Kruger effect. Google it. The following is all from Wikipedia: "This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their ineptitude. Conversely, highly skilled individuals tend to underestimate their relative competence, erroneously assuming that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others." Shakespeare: "The Foole doth thinke he is wise, but the wiseman knowes himselfe to be a Foole" Darwin: "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge." Confucius: "Real knowledge is to know the extent of one's ignorance." Suddenly my confidence is very shaky! :doh:

    J Offline
    J Offline
    jschell
    wrote on last edited by
    #14

    Cornelius Henning wrote:

    Conversely, highly skilled individuals tend to underestimate their relative competence, erroneously assuming that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others."

    Example: When people suggest that is easy to google for problems that they find easy.

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    • P phil o

      That's quite interesting, and that makes sense also. The more we learned about something, the more conscious we are of what we still ignore; I'm not sure a limit can be put on knowledge, at least a limit reachable by contemporary human brain. Thanks a lot :)

      There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data.

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      J Offline
      jschell
      wrote on last edited by
      #15

      phil.o wrote:

      The more we learned about something, the more conscious we are of what we still ignore

      Err...some people are conscious of that.

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      • A Amarnath S

        Old 'proverb': He who knows not and knows not he knows not is a fool; shun him. He who knows not and knows he knows not is simple; teach him. He who knows and knows not he knows is asleep; wake him. He who knows and knows he knows is wise; follow him.

        L Offline
        L Offline
        Lost User
        wrote on last edited by
        #16

        and a noise annoys a noisy oyster, but a noisy noise annoys a noisy oyster more.

        PooperPig - Coming Soon

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        • OriginalGriffO OriginalGriff

          It's a skill - and it can be taught to a greater or lesser degree. But it's a difficult job: you're always at risk of patronising people or confusing them! :laugh:

          Bad command or file name. Bad, bad command! Sit! Stay! Staaaay...

          L Offline
          L Offline
          Lost User
          wrote on last edited by
          #17

          OriginalGriff wrote:

          But it's a difficult job:

          It is! Well done! You're completely right on this one!

          OriginalGriff wrote:

          you're always at risk of patronising people

          Oops!

          PooperPig - Coming Soon

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          • P phil o

            That's quite interesting, and that makes sense also. The more we learned about something, the more conscious we are of what we still ignore; I'm not sure a limit can be put on knowledge, at least a limit reachable by contemporary human brain. Thanks a lot :)

            There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data.

            W Offline
            W Offline
            Wastedtalent
            wrote on last edited by
            #18

            phil.o wrote:

            The more we learned about something, the more conscious we are of what we still ignore;

            This is why I never revised for exams. It made me less confident as I started to realise how little I remembered.

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            • N Nagy Vilmos

              I went on a course like that once and I was certainly unconscious by the end, as for my competence I will leave that as an exercise for the reader.

              veni bibi saltavi

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              P Offline
              PhilLenoir
              wrote on last edited by
              #19

              Quote:

              as for my competence

              Depends on the gin consumption (there may be a bell curve there!)

              Life is like a s**t sandwich; the more bread you have, the less s**t you eat.

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              • L Lost User

                Today I learnt a new term that I wish I had known before. It can be applied to many competent and incompetent people I have come across in life: The Dunning-Kruger effect. Google it. The following is all from Wikipedia: "This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their ineptitude. Conversely, highly skilled individuals tend to underestimate their relative competence, erroneously assuming that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others." Shakespeare: "The Foole doth thinke he is wise, but the wiseman knowes himselfe to be a Foole" Darwin: "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge." Confucius: "Real knowledge is to know the extent of one's ignorance." Suddenly my confidence is very shaky! :doh:

                A Offline
                A Offline
                agolddog
                wrote on last edited by
                #20

                It's kind of like the circle of light in the ocean of darkness, huh? Some people realize how much more ocean there is around their circle every time they learn more. Some people think they've got the ocean completely illuminated.

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                • N Nagy Vilmos

                  I went on a course like that once and I was certainly unconscious by the end, as for my competence I will leave that as an exercise for the reader.

                  veni bibi saltavi

                  M Offline
                  M Offline
                  Mark_Wallace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #21

                  These vocational training bores do love their little labels and check-boxes, which they think they can use in place of simple common sense, and/or to make it look as though they're not saying anything bad about anyone, but which most of all are designed to make they themselves look better than everyone else. The miracle is that a few of the attendees, who, in general, are around thirty times smarter than the trainers, manage to stay awake. Anyone can make up terms and ad-hoc definitions for them: Scrofilageous baskertimper: Someone who knows bugger all about anything, but talks like he knows everything about everything, e.g. politicians, celebrities, and taxi drivers. Pocklewidgeous abuntifier: Someone who realises that he hasn't got a clue what he's doing, so spends all his time talking about how incompetent other people are, rather than learning anything, e.g. Hell, we've all worked with at least one. Bungericous flibbernapper: Someone who knows his job, but might as well be speaking a foreign language when he tries to explain it to other people, e.g. all too many developers, because of the incredible number and variety of specialisations in the field. Vocational Trainer: An absolute genius who doesn't need to know how to do anything, because he can make knowledge leap into the minds of others without actually saying anything even remotely intelligent, e.g. Vocational Trainers. There are no other examples, because Vocational Trainers are the suprememost minds of the universe.

                  I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!

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                  • OriginalGriffO OriginalGriff

                    I went on a Trainer-training course twenty or more years ago, and they said the same thing. They give four stages, and training is designed to move you from one level to the next, and so on: Unconscious incompetence: You don't know that you don't know how to do it. Conscious incompetence: You know that you don't know how to do it. Conscious competence: You know how to do it. Unconscious competence: You don't have to think about how to do it. And it's very common for someone with unconscious competence to assume that everybody else is the same, and have a lot of problems instructing people how to do it.

                    Bad command or file name. Bad, bad command! Sit! Stay! Staaaay...

                    R Offline
                    R Offline
                    RandyWester
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #22

                    And it is very common for someone with unconscious competence to be 'managed' by someone with unconscious incompetence. And to have that person assume that what I do is simple and easy, since they know nothing about it that is *not* simple and *not* easy.

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                    • OriginalGriffO OriginalGriff

                      I went on a Trainer-training course twenty or more years ago, and they said the same thing. They give four stages, and training is designed to move you from one level to the next, and so on: Unconscious incompetence: You don't know that you don't know how to do it. Conscious incompetence: You know that you don't know how to do it. Conscious competence: You know how to do it. Unconscious competence: You don't have to think about how to do it. And it's very common for someone with unconscious competence to assume that everybody else is the same, and have a lot of problems instructing people how to do it.

                      Bad command or file name. Bad, bad command! Sit! Stay! Staaaay...

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Lilith C
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #23

                      I recognized the same thing when I was tutoring math at one of our campuses. I came to realize that some instructors didn't know how to bring themselves down to the students' level. My charges were asking why I wasn't teaching.

                      I'm not a programmer but I play one at the office

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                      • L Lost User

                        Today I learnt a new term that I wish I had known before. It can be applied to many competent and incompetent people I have come across in life: The Dunning-Kruger effect. Google it. The following is all from Wikipedia: "This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their ineptitude. Conversely, highly skilled individuals tend to underestimate their relative competence, erroneously assuming that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others." Shakespeare: "The Foole doth thinke he is wise, but the wiseman knowes himselfe to be a Foole" Darwin: "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge." Confucius: "Real knowledge is to know the extent of one's ignorance." Suddenly my confidence is very shaky! :doh:

                        F Offline
                        F Offline
                        firegryphon
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #24

                        I think that this explains why my friends all think I'm belittling them when I say that a high school student could do just about everything I do with a little training. I seriously am not being arrogant, I just don't think it is all that hard or that I'm all that remarkable.

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                        • J jschell

                          phil.o wrote:

                          The more we learned about something, the more conscious we are of what we still ignore

                          Err...some people are conscious of that.

                          H Offline
                          H Offline
                          H Brydon
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #25

                          I did not know that!

                          I'm retired. There's a nap for that... - Harvey

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                          • M Mark_Wallace

                            These vocational training bores do love their little labels and check-boxes, which they think they can use in place of simple common sense, and/or to make it look as though they're not saying anything bad about anyone, but which most of all are designed to make they themselves look better than everyone else. The miracle is that a few of the attendees, who, in general, are around thirty times smarter than the trainers, manage to stay awake. Anyone can make up terms and ad-hoc definitions for them: Scrofilageous baskertimper: Someone who knows bugger all about anything, but talks like he knows everything about everything, e.g. politicians, celebrities, and taxi drivers. Pocklewidgeous abuntifier: Someone who realises that he hasn't got a clue what he's doing, so spends all his time talking about how incompetent other people are, rather than learning anything, e.g. Hell, we've all worked with at least one. Bungericous flibbernapper: Someone who knows his job, but might as well be speaking a foreign language when he tries to explain it to other people, e.g. all too many developers, because of the incredible number and variety of specialisations in the field. Vocational Trainer: An absolute genius who doesn't need to know how to do anything, because he can make knowledge leap into the minds of others without actually saying anything even remotely intelligent, e.g. Vocational Trainers. There are no other examples, because Vocational Trainers are the suprememost minds of the universe.

                            I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!

                            W Offline
                            W Offline
                            W Balboos GHB
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #26

                            +5 Also, please append from your source the appropriate genus and species for that special 'someone' who doesn't know anything but will listen to what you say and repeat it to you (and others) later on (even though they still haven't a clue).

                            "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                            "As far as we know, our computer has never had an undetected error." - Weisert

                            "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                            M 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • W W Balboos GHB

                              +5 Also, please append from your source the appropriate genus and species for that special 'someone' who doesn't know anything but will listen to what you say and repeat it to you (and others) later on (even though they still haven't a clue).

                              "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                              "As far as we know, our computer has never had an undetected error." - Weisert

                              "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                              M Offline
                              M Offline
                              Mark_Wallace
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #27

                              Damn! I forgot that one. Maybe because they're so forgettable.

                              I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!

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