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Predict the future of the Desktop PC Market

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  • C Offline
    C Offline
    C P User 3
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

    M P M OriginalGriffO L 12 Replies Last reply
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    • C C P User 3

      What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

      M Offline
      M Offline
      Mycroft Holmes
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      What they flipped you to market research! My crystal ball has a bloody big crack in it and still it can't predict that market. I want a holographic monitor or telepathic software or an Aug that interfaces directly to the brain. I see a lot more laptops than desktops in the office at a guess 80%. Support now assumes you have a laptop :^)

      Never underestimate the power of human stupidity RAH

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      • C C P User 3

        What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

        P Offline
        P Offline
        PIEBALDconsult
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        We who need desktop PCs will continue to build our own. And to heck with everyone else.

        H S 2 Replies Last reply
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        • C C P User 3

          What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

          M Offline
          M Offline
          Marc Clifton
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          As the pundits have been saying, and to which I actually agree, desktop PC's will be replaced by something no bigger than your phone. But it won't happen in 2016. Probably more like by 2026. Yes, the IoT is a true market, but unfortunately it's arriving at the wrong time -- too much chaos in the open source arena, too many stupid methodologies, so IoT will be severely hampered by a myriad of open source yet incompatible communication protocols all of which are designed and implemented by people who's skills would, if this was a century earlier, be employed, at best, at shoveling out horse shit. One only needs to look at the number of SBC's out there, and my personal experience with trying to get anything real working on one of them (the Beaglebone Black.) Nonetheless, the concept of small, autonomous yet connected devices is definitely here to stay. The whole issue of cloud computing is interesting as well. I imagine there will be a divergence between "dumb phones" that basically run everything on the cloud and "power phones" where you can have SQL Server, Visual Studio, Office, etc., all loaded on the phone with power to spare. So, three prongs are replacing the desktop PC: cloud, phone-like device, and SBC. But the box we now call the desktop PC will be gone, replaced with a more appropriate-for-the-requirement device. Give it another 10-20 years for enough dried out horse shit dust in the air to settle though. Marc

          Imperative to Functional Programming Succinctly Contributors Wanted for Higher Order Programming Project!

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          • C C P User 3

            What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

            OriginalGriffO Offline
            OriginalGriffO Offline
            OriginalGriff
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            The reason I use a desktop is I/O - I need a "full size" keyboard to type fast (lappie ones are too cramped) and I need two 24" monitors to see everything I want. Anything less and I'm a whole load less efficient. (Have you tried coding on a phone or even a touchscreen tablet? :omg: ) So, for me are least, a desktop is a necessity- I could use a lappie and plug these things in, but then I've got a thin desktop I can't put anything on top of! :laugh:

            Bad command or file name. Bad, bad command! Sit! Stay! Staaaay...

            "I have no idea what I did, but I'm taking full credit for it." - ThisOldTony
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            • OriginalGriffO OriginalGriff

              The reason I use a desktop is I/O - I need a "full size" keyboard to type fast (lappie ones are too cramped) and I need two 24" monitors to see everything I want. Anything less and I'm a whole load less efficient. (Have you tried coding on a phone or even a touchscreen tablet? :omg: ) So, for me are least, a desktop is a necessity- I could use a lappie and plug these things in, but then I've got a thin desktop I can't put anything on top of! :laugh:

              Bad command or file name. Bad, bad command! Sit! Stay! Staaaay...

              C Offline
              C Offline
              C P User 3
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              OriginalGriff wrote:

              I need a "full size" keyboard to type fast

              If you really want to improve typing speed, go back to the 101-Key Keyboards, designed in, what ? 1987 ? I write these words with personal experience. Noisy as a woodpecker, but significantly enhanced speed.

              C 1 Reply Last reply
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              • C C P User 3

                What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

                L Offline
                L Offline
                Lost User
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                Those big cases can get smaller. Let's be honest here, they're mostly empty. We might even, horror of horrors, see a return of the "let's put everything in the screen, people call that 'the computer' already anyway", on the low to middle end. But the vertical screen + mouse + keyboard are not replaceable until something better comes along, which hasn't happened yet.

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                • L Lost User

                  Those big cases can get smaller. Let's be honest here, they're mostly empty. We might even, horror of horrors, see a return of the "let's put everything in the screen, people call that 'the computer' already anyway", on the low to middle end. But the vertical screen + mouse + keyboard are not replaceable until something better comes along, which hasn't happened yet.

                  C Offline
                  C Offline
                  C P User 3
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  harold aptroot wrote:

                  Let's be honest here, they're mostly empty.

                  Thermodynamics still happens. (Should that be "happen" ? Singular ? Plural ?)

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                  • C C P User 3

                    harold aptroot wrote:

                    Let's be honest here, they're mostly empty.

                    Thermodynamics still happens. (Should that be "happen" ? Singular ? Plural ?)

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Lost User
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    It's not the 60 liters of volume that does the cooling in a normal size case, it's the flow.

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                    • C C P User 3

                      What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

                      R Offline
                      R Offline
                      richp669
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      I believe that the notion of the desktop PC (ie the box under your desk not on top of it!) is on the way out. It will be replaced by a phone style device, but with an enhanced "docking station" style thingy so that you can have your dual/quad 24" monitors, keyboard and mouse. Certainly my phone in raw horsepower is far faster than the machine I developed on 5 years ago and only cost £100! Maybe the interim is a RDP/VNC type lightweight box which just handles the IO over a nice decent fast low power WiFi/Bluetooth.

                      I may be a software developer, but I can do other things too!

                      C 2 Replies Last reply
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                      • C C P User 3

                        What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

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                        L Offline
                        Luschan
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        Computers have become ‘household goods’, used 99% as entertainment devices ! A far cry from what their original purpose was… The manufacturers, as docile animals of the capitalist society, responded to the need of the paying masses, which are not quite computer literate and as a matter of fact, never needed computers (most don’t even realize what a computer is) to begin with. And, just like the ordinary citizen who’s political knowledge, IQ, or even mental health is never questioned, has the right to vote and influence the country’s future, so have these masses the power to influence the desktop’s (and computers in general) fate. While the parallel and serial ports have disappeared, the desktops now are covered with tons of USB ports, HDMI’s, Smart Card interfaces, microphone and 7-8 audio outputs, just to name a few! And that’s just hardware! Software wise? See the direction of ‘progress’ from, say, XP to Windows 10… :( That ugly box taking space under the table, which they never quite knew what purpose it served (because the computer was, obviously, the monitor sitting on the table!), can go! They have been given new toys to play with: first laptops, then tablets and (huge) smart phones. They can now play their music, videos and games, watch (and shaaaare!) their pictures, f#&ckbook or tweet each-other on more appropriate devices. The desktop can finally return to serve its original purpose, used by people (and businesses) who really need it and know how to make use of it. The production of desktops (and probably not far from now, laptops) will be severely reduced, but they’ll not go extinct. From my point of view it will just recover from a the long illness of being misused and raped by barbarians. Just my (not so humble) opinion.

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                        • C C P User 3

                          What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

                          9 Offline
                          9 Offline
                          9082365
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          C-P-User-3 wrote:

                          Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

                          Me Me (if I live that long) Me Think that about wraps that up for you.

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                          • C C P User 3

                            What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

                            S Offline
                            S Offline
                            stephen hazel
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            I don't know bout you guys, but I'd like to see my lap/desktop cpu and programs just live in my phone. a lot already do. but to toss the lap/desktop, I'm gonna need this phone to wifi/bluetooth to a dock that hooks to my 2 monitors and 12 usb devices. When this dang iot finally comes up with the one true protocol, they can talk to that dock, too. Well, the dock will BE that one true protocol. I also see windows phone dieing a horrible death. (ok ok, it already did.) I also see those stupid lightweight universal windows apps dieing a horrible death. I also DON'T want to see microsoft as a whole die a horrible death, but that seems to be the direction they're marching in. Guys! Google is eating you for breakfast! Remember when you ate IBM for breakfast? It's like that. Guys?

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                            • C C P User 3

                              What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

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                              B Offline
                              Bruce Greene
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              I can only speak for myself as a software developer - and I agree with Griff all the way - I'm most productive with acres of screen, full size keyboard and a comfortable mouse. I still love my 2010 desktop running Win7 on an early Core i7 cpu. However, my new desktop is Win10 with the OS on an SSD, a huge disk, and one of those new 34" curved displays. Oh man, this system is sweet. I have a nice i5 laptop for business trips and presentations but, powerful as it is, it's no replacement for the big, cool and quiet box under my desk. This might be the last big box that I ever purchase, but for now I'm loving it.

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                              • C C P User 3

                                What do you see happening in the Desktop PC market in the year 2016 ? How about further out from next year ? Think: Mac and PC, and anything else I left out. Some corporations are trying to merge the Notebook and the Desktop. Where will that go ? What are your observations regarding smart phones and the Desktop PC ? Is the combination of the internet and Desktop PCs a fad like CB radios in the 1970s, (anybody remember stacked MoonRakers ?) or are we going to see an increase in usage and interaction ? Or, have we stabilized at a point which will continue at the current levels ? Is the "Internet Of Things" (code word: IoT) a true market, or just the latest iteration of The Emperor's New Buzzwords ? If it's real, how will it affect the Desktop PC market ? (Or, will it affect it at all ?) Who will use Desktop PCs in the coming year ? What about 5 years from now ? Who will make the purchases ?

                                C Offline
                                C Offline
                                ClockMeister
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                I think we may see some stabilization take place. The new equipment that's for sale doesn't (in my opinion) offer a whole lot of functionality that isn't present in hardware that's a few years old. Just my 2-cents.

                                K 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • C C P User 3

                                  OriginalGriff wrote:

                                  I need a "full size" keyboard to type fast

                                  If you really want to improve typing speed, go back to the 101-Key Keyboards, designed in, what ? 1987 ? I write these words with personal experience. Noisy as a woodpecker, but significantly enhanced speed.

                                  C Offline
                                  C Offline
                                  ClockMeister
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #16

                                  I really miss that old IBM AT keyboard. As you said; noisier than a woodpecker, but you just knew when a keystroke was entered!

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                                  • B Bruce Greene

                                    I can only speak for myself as a software developer - and I agree with Griff all the way - I'm most productive with acres of screen, full size keyboard and a comfortable mouse. I still love my 2010 desktop running Win7 on an early Core i7 cpu. However, my new desktop is Win10 with the OS on an SSD, a huge disk, and one of those new 34" curved displays. Oh man, this system is sweet. I have a nice i5 laptop for business trips and presentations but, powerful as it is, it's no replacement for the big, cool and quiet box under my desk. This might be the last big box that I ever purchase, but for now I'm loving it.

                                    C Offline
                                    C Offline
                                    ClockMeister
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #17

                                    The "CPU" might shrink to the size of a walnut but the I/O devices (mouse, keyboard, monitor etc.) are not likely to miniaturize unless your hands follow suit. I can see monitors getting even thinner (maybe Xenon-gas suspended images or something) but the dimensions of the screen surface are going to have to remain large enough for human eyes to see (unless you feel like implanting the devices in your head or something). Same with mouse & keyboard ... there's a limit to how small a device can be before you can't manipulate it with your hand any more. If computers get so "Hal" like that you just talk to 'em ... well, I think I'll just go do something else!

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                                    • P PIEBALDconsult

                                      We who need desktop PCs will continue to build our own. And to heck with everyone else.

                                      H Offline
                                      H Offline
                                      Herbie Mountjoy
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #18

                                      Hear, hear. Laptops are awful to type on and it's not easy to add extra gubbins to them. Tablets are toys. Nothing more to say. "Smart" phones are for people who don't want to see the world around them but would rather play games or text someone miles away rather than talk to the person next to them. Antisocial nonsense! Join the luddites. I may not last forever but the mess I leave behind certainly will.

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                                      • C ClockMeister

                                        I really miss that old IBM AT keyboard. As you said; noisier than a woodpecker, but you just knew when a keystroke was entered!

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                                        Herbie Mountjoy
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #19

                                        I use a very old Compaq PS2 keyboard simply because I can't find a modern one that gives proper tactile feedback. They are like trying to type on marshmallow. I may not last forever but the mess I leave behind certainly will.

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                                        • R richp669

                                          I believe that the notion of the desktop PC (ie the box under your desk not on top of it!) is on the way out. It will be replaced by a phone style device, but with an enhanced "docking station" style thingy so that you can have your dual/quad 24" monitors, keyboard and mouse. Certainly my phone in raw horsepower is far faster than the machine I developed on 5 years ago and only cost £100! Maybe the interim is a RDP/VNC type lightweight box which just handles the IO over a nice decent fast low power WiFi/Bluetooth.

                                          I may be a software developer, but I can do other things too!

                                          C Offline
                                          C Offline
                                          C P User 3
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #20

                                          Buzzword check please, "RDP/VNC". I don't know it.

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