And so it starts....
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So you think CAGW is a fraud? Is this limited to CAGW or do you extend this conjecture to all environmental pollution? I mean if all pollution is a hoax, we could just do away with all legislation formulated to protect the environment. Imagine how our industry would thrive, we could beat the pants off China. Is there any other scientific fraud we should be aware of? Carcinogens? The link between smoking and lung cancer? Surely that was concocted to destroy the tobacco industry. Maybe lead and mercury aren't poisonous after all. Complete BS, purely for the benefit of class action lawyers. And what of deforestation? Could it be possible that we'll get along just fine without any trees?
What boneheads upvoted this? :doh:
Nighthowler wrote:
do you extend this conjecture to all environmental pollution?
Why would you even assume that? You must see link that I don't at all.
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
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Eddy Vluggen wrote:
The weather-forecaster does that - you can download their datasets that does not only include temperature and humidity, but also windspeed and pressure.
A weather forecast is accurate to - at most - a week. We are talking about climate forecasting for years (decades) in advance. So far, when the computer models are given the data we collected from (for example) 1990 onwards, they have not managed to "predict" the changes in the years 1990-2016. This makes their forecasts useless.
Eddy Vluggen wrote:
That has already been answered.
Then why are the scientists who claim that global warming is real being caught again and again "massaging" the data? If the evidence is so clear-cut, no massaging would be necessary. Please note that scientists are human, and have the same failings as other people. The evidence for both Global Warming and for Anthropogenic Global Warming is far from clear-cut; many climatologists have staked their reputations (and their careers) on global warming existing, and admitting that they could be wrong is as difficult for them as it is for anyone else. (The same applies in the opposite direction, of course.)
Eddy Vluggen wrote:
Because if we're not the cause, we don't have to worry about the consequences?
No. Because if we're not the cause (e.g. global warming is caused by the Sun warming up, or by changes to the Earth's orbit), there is very little that we can do about it; even returning to the Stone Age (and killing off 99% of the population) wouldn't help.
If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill
Daniel Pfeffer wrote:
Because if we're not the cause ..., there is very little that we can do about it;
I've never understood this belief. We are not the cause of many things that we can certainly do something about. :doh: :confused:
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
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Daniel Pfeffer wrote:
Because if we're not the cause ..., there is very little that we can do about it;
I've never understood this belief. We are not the cause of many things that we can certainly do something about. :doh: :confused:
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
Yes, there are many things we can do about Earth-bound problems, even ones not caused by us. However, if the cause of non-anthropogenic global warming is, for example, changes in the Sun's output, what do you suggest we do about that?
If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill
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Yes, there are many things we can do about Earth-bound problems, even ones not caused by us. However, if the cause of non-anthropogenic global warming is, for example, changes in the Sun's output, what do you suggest we do about that?
If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill
Send nukes on the Sun :doh:
CALL APOGEE, SAY AARDWOLF GCS d--- s-/++ a- C++++ U+++ P- L- E-- W++ N++ o+ K- w+++ O? M-- V? PS+ PE- Y+ PGP t++ 5? X R++ tv-- b+ DI+++ D++ G e++>+++ h--- ++>+++ y+++* Weapons extension: ma- k++ F+2 X If you think 'goto' is evil, try writing an Assembly program without JMP. -- TNCaver "Go ahead, make my day"
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Yes, there are many things we can do about Earth-bound problems, even ones not caused by us. However, if the cause of non-anthropogenic global warming is, for example, changes in the Sun's output, what do you suggest we do about that?
If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill
Daniel Pfeffer wrote:
changes in the Sun's output, what do you suggest we do about that?
Filters.
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
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Daniel Pfeffer wrote:
changes in the Sun's output, what do you suggest we do about that?
Filters.
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
That would be a pretty big filter - it would have an area of approximately 128 million square kilometers (50 million square miles)! I grant you that it's more feasible than Larry Niven's idea of moving the Earth out so it orbits Saturn, but it would still be a massive undertaking! Assume that the filter has a mass of 1 gram per square meter; the total mass of the filter would be 128 billion kg, or 128 million tons. Even if we improved our launching abilities so as to be able to boost 100 tons in each payload, we would need a million launches. Add to that the launches for the construction workers, food, other perishables, etc. What do you think well over a million launches of such magnitude would do to the environment?
If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill
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But the whistleblower, Dr John Bates, a top NOAA scientist with an impeccable reputation, has shown The Mail on Sunday irrefutable evidence that the paper was based on misleading, ‘unverified’ data.[^] So now he can't be sacked by NOAA, because Trump put his own man in charge, he is now free to speak out about data corruption and scientific fraud. This is end for the CAGW bullshit thats mis-formed govt policy for decades and cost the taxpayer billions, because a lot of it has come from US scientists. Personally I think Trump shouldn't try to muzzle scientists, he should just put funding on the table for them to prove CO2 is safe. Nothing will undo CAGW quicker than a volte-face by its former adherents.
Care to make a comment on the comment[^]?
Wrong is evil and must be defeated. - Jeff Ello
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Nighthowler wrote:
So you think CAGW is a fraud?
Of course it is.
Nighthowler wrote:
do you extend this conjecture to all environmental pollution?
Of course not.
Nighthowler wrote:
smoking and lung cancer
Lame attempt to associate plant food with a carcinogen. I see two people were convinced by it though. :rolleyes:
I see. So we can pollute the environment but not cause catastrophic changes to it.
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What boneheads upvoted this? :doh:
Nighthowler wrote:
do you extend this conjecture to all environmental pollution?
Why would you even assume that? You must see link that I don't at all.
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
It's a valid question. It isn't immediately obvious how much he's denying.
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You should read "State of Fear" by Michael Chrichton You wil love it.
M.D.V. ;) If something has a solution... Why do we have to worry about?. If it has no solution... For what reason do we have to worry about? Help me to understand what I'm saying, and I'll explain it better to you Rating helpful answers is nice, but saying thanks can be even nicer.
I'm going to write a novel too. It will be called "State of Ignorance" A lot of people will ignorelove it.
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I see. So we can pollute the environment but not cause catastrophic changes to it.
Sigh. No, CO2 is not a pollutant. Its effect on temperature is muted and entirely beneficial.
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It's a valid question. It isn't immediately obvious how much he's denying.
No it wasnt, it was a mock question couched to make it appear as if I dont care about the environment and that I think smoking is not damaging to ones health.
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I'm going to write a novel too. It will be called "State of Ignorance" A lot of people will ignorelove it.
Its certainly a topic you are familiar with. ;P
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Eddy Vluggen wrote:
Because if were not the cause, we don't have to worry about the consequences?
No, we have to stop wasting time and money pretending we are and do something about the impact of any warming if it is in any way negative. So, we build dams, flood protection, etc etc etc in those countries that might be affected. And this would cost a tiny fraction of the $60 billion already wasted on junk science like this garbage from NOAA. And the left overs we can spend on tackling REAL pollutants, like electronics recycling in China, Ship recycling in Bangladesh, and the millions of tonnes of plastics we are dumping into the ocean every day, that very soon is about to end up in OUR food chain.
Strike my reply above. You are right about the stuff in the second half (you should've said so in the first place!), although I do think we should err on the side of caution about AGW. There is no way we're gonna conclusively prove it either way.
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No it wasnt, it was a mock question couched to make it appear as if I dont care about the environment and that I think smoking is not damaging to ones health.
Munchies_Matt wrote:
and that I think smoking is not damaging to ones health.
Considering that a smoking is usually wore only in weddings and formal parties, I disagree.
CALL APOGEE, SAY AARDWOLF GCS d--- s-/++ a- C++++ U+++ P- L- E-- W++ N++ o+ K- w+++ O? M-- V? PS+ PE- Y+ PGP t++ 5? X R++ tv-- b+ DI+++ D++ G e++>+++ h--- ++>+++ y+++* Weapons extension: ma- k++ F+2 X If you think 'goto' is evil, try writing an Assembly program without JMP. -- TNCaver "Go ahead, make my day"
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Care to make a comment on the comment[^]?
Wrong is evil and must be defeated. - Jeff Ello
What is there to comment about, your link tries to defend Karls work. THIS story is about climate scientists speaking out, and having the confidence to do so. That is certainly the way I highlighted it. (Anyway, Karls work is junk, its been known to be junk for ages in the scientific community. You cant adjust accurate sea temperature data from bouys with inaccurate ships engine intake pipe temperature data)
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Care to make a comment on the comment[^]?
Wrong is evil and must be defeated. - Jeff Ello
Sure! Peer review != proper archiving for independent analysis of findings. The article references the offset on the graph and acknowledges the difference of analysis technique (chose baselines, as the case may be), but is meant to show that the deviation trends more dramatically towards the back end of the data set. That's pretty clear, and a change in baseline does not affect that, even in the "corrected" graph. We're not talking about a major difference here, we're talking about a "massaging" of the data points to maximize the impact of a hypothesis, which is wildly unethical by any standard. Nothing stated actually objectively counters anything that was said by someone that was an insider. Calling it "fake news" right at the start to try to completely marginalize the whole thing without discussion. Stay classy.
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics." - Benjamin Disraeli
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Sure! Peer review != proper archiving for independent analysis of findings. The article references the offset on the graph and acknowledges the difference of analysis technique (chose baselines, as the case may be), but is meant to show that the deviation trends more dramatically towards the back end of the data set. That's pretty clear, and a change in baseline does not affect that, even in the "corrected" graph. We're not talking about a major difference here, we're talking about a "massaging" of the data points to maximize the impact of a hypothesis, which is wildly unethical by any standard. Nothing stated actually objectively counters anything that was said by someone that was an insider. Calling it "fake news" right at the start to try to completely marginalize the whole thing without discussion. Stay classy.
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics." - Benjamin Disraeli
Nathan Minier wrote:
Calling it "fake news" right at the start to try to completely marginalize the whole thing without discussion
Its the usual "move along please, nothing to see here" approach alarmists use when they cant just dismiss the facts.
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That would be a pretty big filter - it would have an area of approximately 128 million square kilometers (50 million square miles)! I grant you that it's more feasible than Larry Niven's idea of moving the Earth out so it orbits Saturn, but it would still be a massive undertaking! Assume that the filter has a mass of 1 gram per square meter; the total mass of the filter would be 128 billion kg, or 128 million tons. Even if we improved our launching abilities so as to be able to boost 100 tons in each payload, we would need a million launches. Add to that the launches for the construction workers, food, other perishables, etc. What do you think well over a million launches of such magnitude would do to the environment?
If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill
Daniel Pfeffer wrote:
f moving the Earth out so it orbits Saturn,
That would take a lot of cranes.
Daniel Pfeffer wrote:
What do you think well over a million launches of such magnitude would do to the environment?
Perhaps a better solution is just more sunscreen. If Obama were President again he'd give free sunscreen for everyone. Well, except middle-class white people. :laugh:
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
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It's a valid question. It isn't immediately obvious how much he's denying.
Nighthowler wrote:
It's a valid question.
How so? Wait a second, what do you think CAGW stands for? I think you two are talking about two different things. :^)
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.