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  3. So I'm expecting a parcel delivery..

So I'm expecting a parcel delivery..

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Sascha Lefevre
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    The parcel service introduced a live tracking a few years ago where you see a street map with markers for your home and for the current position of the delivery car, along with the number of remaining stops before yours and an estimated time until delivery. So far, it hasn't been accurate a single time, not even close. You would assume they monitor their prediction success rate and adjust it accordingly. Apparently not. My parcel was announced by email to be delivered today between 1pm and 2pm. At 3pm I opened the live tracking and it said 19 stops remaining. At 3:15pm it said 25 stops remaining and at 3:30pm it said 29 stops remaining. :wtf: All the while the car was shown at exactly the same position it already was at at 3pm. Want to make a guess on their prediction algorithm? :rolleyes:

    If the brain were so simple we could understand it, we would be so simple we couldn't. — Lyall Watson

    OriginalGriffO L Richard DeemingR M D 5 Replies Last reply
    0
    • S Sascha Lefevre

      The parcel service introduced a live tracking a few years ago where you see a street map with markers for your home and for the current position of the delivery car, along with the number of remaining stops before yours and an estimated time until delivery. So far, it hasn't been accurate a single time, not even close. You would assume they monitor their prediction success rate and adjust it accordingly. Apparently not. My parcel was announced by email to be delivered today between 1pm and 2pm. At 3pm I opened the live tracking and it said 19 stops remaining. At 3:15pm it said 25 stops remaining and at 3:30pm it said 29 stops remaining. :wtf: All the while the car was shown at exactly the same position it already was at at 3pm. Want to make a guess on their prediction algorithm? :rolleyes:

      If the brain were so simple we could understand it, we would be so simple we couldn't. — Lyall Watson

      OriginalGriffO Offline
      OriginalGriffO Offline
      OriginalGriff
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      Some of the newer Amazon Prime deliveries are pretty good - I had one last week that showed - in real time - where my package was (or at least the van it was on) with a "delivered in x minutes" which worked out almost spot on. The following day, the only info they could give me was "it's on the van". :sigh:

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      • S Sascha Lefevre

        The parcel service introduced a live tracking a few years ago where you see a street map with markers for your home and for the current position of the delivery car, along with the number of remaining stops before yours and an estimated time until delivery. So far, it hasn't been accurate a single time, not even close. You would assume they monitor their prediction success rate and adjust it accordingly. Apparently not. My parcel was announced by email to be delivered today between 1pm and 2pm. At 3pm I opened the live tracking and it said 19 stops remaining. At 3:15pm it said 25 stops remaining and at 3:30pm it said 29 stops remaining. :wtf: All the while the car was shown at exactly the same position it already was at at 3pm. Want to make a guess on their prediction algorithm? :rolleyes:

        If the brain were so simple we could understand it, we would be so simple we couldn't. — Lyall Watson

        L Offline
        L Offline
        Lost User
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        I had one a few weeks ago and it was 100% accurate. The only strange thing was the driver was about 30 minutes early. I asked him about that and he said the tracker always lags by 30-40 minutes for security purposes. Apparently there are people around who try to follow the vans from street to street. Goodness only knows what for, apart from perhaps hijacking.

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        • S Sascha Lefevre

          The parcel service introduced a live tracking a few years ago where you see a street map with markers for your home and for the current position of the delivery car, along with the number of remaining stops before yours and an estimated time until delivery. So far, it hasn't been accurate a single time, not even close. You would assume they monitor their prediction success rate and adjust it accordingly. Apparently not. My parcel was announced by email to be delivered today between 1pm and 2pm. At 3pm I opened the live tracking and it said 19 stops remaining. At 3:15pm it said 25 stops remaining and at 3:30pm it said 29 stops remaining. :wtf: All the while the car was shown at exactly the same position it already was at at 3pm. Want to make a guess on their prediction algorithm? :rolleyes:

          If the brain were so simple we could understand it, we would be so simple we couldn't. — Lyall Watson

          Richard DeemingR Offline
          Richard DeemingR Offline
          Richard Deeming
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          Sascha Lefèvre wrote:

          All the while the car was shown at exactly the same position it already was at at 3pm.

          Outside a decent pub? :-D Just to gloat: my latest Amazon delivery[^] was due to arrive between 13th and 15th December. It was delivered this afternoon.


          "These people looked deep within my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined." - Homer

          "These people looked deep within my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined" - Homer

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          • S Sascha Lefevre

            The parcel service introduced a live tracking a few years ago where you see a street map with markers for your home and for the current position of the delivery car, along with the number of remaining stops before yours and an estimated time until delivery. So far, it hasn't been accurate a single time, not even close. You would assume they monitor their prediction success rate and adjust it accordingly. Apparently not. My parcel was announced by email to be delivered today between 1pm and 2pm. At 3pm I opened the live tracking and it said 19 stops remaining. At 3:15pm it said 25 stops remaining and at 3:30pm it said 29 stops remaining. :wtf: All the while the car was shown at exactly the same position it already was at at 3pm. Want to make a guess on their prediction algorithm? :rolleyes:

            If the brain were so simple we could understand it, we would be so simple we couldn't. — Lyall Watson

            M Offline
            M Offline
            Marc Clifton
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            So which is it, a prediction algorithm or live tracking? Someone has their wires crossed (and no, not you!) :laugh: I can just see marketing come up with "and we now have a live tracking prediction system!"

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            • S Sascha Lefevre

              The parcel service introduced a live tracking a few years ago where you see a street map with markers for your home and for the current position of the delivery car, along with the number of remaining stops before yours and an estimated time until delivery. So far, it hasn't been accurate a single time, not even close. You would assume they monitor their prediction success rate and adjust it accordingly. Apparently not. My parcel was announced by email to be delivered today between 1pm and 2pm. At 3pm I opened the live tracking and it said 19 stops remaining. At 3:15pm it said 25 stops remaining and at 3:30pm it said 29 stops remaining. :wtf: All the while the car was shown at exactly the same position it already was at at 3pm. Want to make a guess on their prediction algorithm? :rolleyes:

              If the brain were so simple we could understand it, we would be so simple we couldn't. — Lyall Watson

              D Offline
              D Offline
              dandy72
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              Sascha Lefèvre wrote:

              Want to make a guess on their prediction algorithm?

              The delivery van broke down, was being towed away farther and farther from your house, which is why the number of deliveries left was increasing? Well, that was me taking a shot at it. I have no better explanation. :-)

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