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  4. North England temperature data disproves global warming [modified]

North England temperature data disproves global warming [modified]

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  • K KaRl

    fat_boy wrote:

    it looks flat for the whole century to me.

    It seems to me it is getting hotter since the 70s [^]

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Lost User
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    Did you run the data through a graph generator? If so, as you can see there isnt any appreciable change at all foor the whole century. And dont forget, CO2 has gone through the roof since then. Are you finally convibnced Karl that rising CO2 doe not caus rising temperature? And that in fact, we might not actually have much of a rising temoperature anyway? Given the UHI effect, and the recent NASA adjusted data, we cant even be sure there IS global warming.

    Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

    K 1 Reply Last reply
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    • R Rob Graham

      I'm sure there's a hockey stick in there somewhere...:rolleyes:

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #10

      I thought Sheffield made knives?

      Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • L Lost User

        Did you run the data through a graph generator? If so, as you can see there isnt any appreciable change at all foor the whole century. And dont forget, CO2 has gone through the roof since then. Are you finally convibnced Karl that rising CO2 doe not caus rising temperature? And that in fact, we might not actually have much of a rising temoperature anyway? Given the UHI effect, and the recent NASA adjusted data, we cant even be sure there IS global warming.

        Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

        K Offline
        K Offline
        KaRl
        wrote on last edited by
        #11

        fat_boy wrote:

        Did you run the data through a graph generator?

        Excel.

        fat_boy wrote:

        as you can see there isnt any appreciable change at all foor the whole century.

        I disagree.

        fat_boy wrote:

        Are you finally convibnced Karl that rising CO2 doe not caus rising temperature?

        No.

        fat_boy wrote:

        And that in fact, we might not actually have much of a rising temoperature anyway?

        No.

        L 1 Reply Last reply
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        • K KaRl

          fat_boy wrote:

          it looks flat for the whole century to me.

          It seems to me it is getting hotter since the 70s [^]

          B Offline
          B Offline
          Brady Kelly
          wrote on last edited by
          #12

          It does rather.

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • K KaRl

            fat_boy wrote:

            Did you run the data through a graph generator?

            Excel.

            fat_boy wrote:

            as you can see there isnt any appreciable change at all foor the whole century.

            I disagree.

            fat_boy wrote:

            Are you finally convibnced Karl that rising CO2 doe not caus rising temperature?

            No.

            fat_boy wrote:

            And that in fact, we might not actually have much of a rising temoperature anyway?

            No.

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Lost User
            wrote on last edited by
            #13

            Karl, its flat from 1900 to 1006! There are some spikes since the 70s, but the 30's to 40's look consistently warmer on average. But, if there is a trend, it is so slight, and NO WAY near the 0.6 degree C increase supposed by the most moderat of AGWers. You know, if you cant accept this, and the US data (and tell me, just how much reliable data IS there for the whole century) then you really are just being intentionally blind. Thats very unscientific of you.

            Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

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            • J J4amieC

              A graph with no scale or key, isn't.

              --- How to get answers to your questions[^]

              K Offline
              K Offline
              KaRl
              wrote on last edited by
              #14

              I've updated the graph. Happy now?

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • L Lost User

                Karl, its flat from 1900 to 1006! There are some spikes since the 70s, but the 30's to 40's look consistently warmer on average. But, if there is a trend, it is so slight, and NO WAY near the 0.6 degree C increase supposed by the most moderat of AGWers. You know, if you cant accept this, and the US data (and tell me, just how much reliable data IS there for the whole century) then you really are just being intentionally blind. Thats very unscientific of you.

                Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                K Offline
                K Offline
                KaRl
                wrote on last edited by
                #15

                fat_boy wrote:

                he 0.6 degree C increase

                Do you believe this increase would be uniform through the whole planet?

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                • K KaRl

                  fat_boy wrote:

                  he 0.6 degree C increase

                  Do you believe this increase would be uniform through the whole planet?

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #16

                  K(arl) wrote:

                  Do you believe this increase would be uniform through the whole planet?

                  Yes. Thats why its called Global Warming! ;)

                  Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • L Lost User

                    Karl, its flat from 1900 to 1006! There are some spikes since the 70s, but the 30's to 40's look consistently warmer on average. But, if there is a trend, it is so slight, and NO WAY near the 0.6 degree C increase supposed by the most moderat of AGWers. You know, if you cant accept this, and the US data (and tell me, just how much reliable data IS there for the whole century) then you really are just being intentionally blind. Thats very unscientific of you.

                    Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                    R Offline
                    R Offline
                    Rob Graham
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #17

                    You should know better than to get into a religious argument.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • R Rob Graham

                      You have a great imagination. Four points do not make a trend in a graph with that much noise...

                      K Offline
                      K Offline
                      KaRl
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #18

                      Rob Graham wrote:

                      You have a great imagination

                      Yeah, that's one of my numerous strengths :-D


                      When they kick at your front door How you gonna come? With your hands on your head Or on the trigger of your gun?

                      Fold with us! ¤ flickr

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • K KaRl

                        fat_boy wrote:

                        it looks flat for the whole century to me.

                        It seems to me it is getting hotter since the 70s [^]

                        L Offline
                        L Offline
                        Lost User
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #19

                        Tell you what Karl, plot the rainfall and sunshine figures too. Lets see if the weather is worse, or better and whether there is less cloud cover.

                        Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                        K 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • L Lost User

                          Tell you what Karl, plot the rainfall and sunshine figures too. Lets see if the weather is worse, or better and whether there is less cloud cover.

                          Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                          K Offline
                          K Offline
                          KaRl
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #20

                          Don't you know how to use excel? ;-P

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                          • K KaRl

                            Don't you know how to use excel? ;-P

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #21

                            Not as well as you do...

                            Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                            K 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • K KaRl

                              Don't you know how to use excel? ;-P

                              R Offline
                              R Offline
                              Rob Graham
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #22

                              I do. the data (converted to monthly average temp (tmax+tmin)/2 )has a very small (0.001 deg/month) positive slope - the newer data is slightly higher (1.4 deg C) than the oldest, but the correlation coefficient (R^2) for the trend line is only 0.0079, which would mean that the data is too noisy to draw any meaningful conclusion(the regression slope accounts for only 0.79% of the variation...)

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                              • L Lost User

                                Not as well as you do...

                                Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                                K Offline
                                K Offline
                                KaRl
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #23

                                Let's talk about a price then :-D


                                When they kick at your front door How you gonna come? With your hands on your head Or on the trigger of your gun?

                                Fold with us! ¤ flickr

                                L 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • K KaRl

                                  Let's talk about a price then :-D


                                  When they kick at your front door How you gonna come? With your hands on your head Or on the trigger of your gun?

                                  Fold with us! ¤ flickr

                                  L Offline
                                  L Offline
                                  Lost User
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #24

                                  I've just spent half an hour messing around and cant get a decent graph. How do you do it?

                                  Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                                  K 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • L Lost User

                                    I've just spent half an hour messing around and cant get a decent graph. How do you do it?

                                    Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                                    K Offline
                                    K Offline
                                    KaRl
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #25

                                    I create a column for the X axis, calculated as (year + (month - 1) / 12). Next I create a graph of type 'points cloud' (? "nuages de points" in french, the fifth type in excel 2k).

                                    L 1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • L Lost User

                                      Year and month when the temperature exceeded 21 degrees Celcius: 1899 7 21.2 1900 7 22.5 1901 7 22.6 1904 7 21.3 1905 7 21.8 1906 8 21.3 1911 7 23.4 1911 8 23.0 1921 7 23.8 1925 7 21.8 1933 7 23.0 1933 8 22.7 1934 7 23.8 1935 7 22.2 1935 8 22.4 1937 8 21.3 1940 6 22.4 1941 7 22.4 1943 7 21.0 1947 8 23.9 1949 7 21.6 1949 8 21.1 1950 6 21.1 1955 7 22.9 1955 8 22.0 1959 7 22.2 1959 8 22.4 1960 6 21.7 1967 7 21.5 1969 7 21.5 1971 7 22.1 1975 7 21.7 1975 8 24.6 1976 6 22.3 1976 7 24.0 1976 8 23.0 1983 7 24.5 1983 8 22.1 1984 7 22.4 1984 8 22.5 1989 7 22.9 1989 8 21.1 1990 7 22.1 1990 8 23.1 1991 7 22.2 1991 8 21.9 1994 7 23.3 1995 7 23.8 1995 8 24.4 1996 7 21.5 1996 8 21.5 1997 7 21.7 1997 8 23.3 1999 7 22.5 2000 8 21.2 2001 7 21.4 2002 8 21.2 2003 6 21.0 2003 7 21.9 2003 8 22.4 2004 8 21.3 2006 6 21.6 2006 7 25.6 [^] Anyone spot a trend? I sure as fuck cant; it looks flat for the whole century to me. And remember AGW freaks, this is real, no bullshit data for the UK Met Office for a weather station in Sheffield. One of the only ones in thecountry with sdata for the whole century. This is FACT, REAL DATA, ,not hyperbole, not computer models, not spin. -- modified at 11:07 Thursday 23rd August, 2007 And thanks to Karl, we have a graph form: http://diderot.free.fr/images/temp.gif[^] Karl hasnt turned from the dark side though, he is just sure he can see a trend.

                                      Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

                                      C Offline
                                      C Offline
                                      cp9876
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #26

                                      It certainly seems to be at odds with your model[^] of global warming which predicts that temperatures rise at 16 degrees per year.


                                      Peter "Until the invention of the computer, the machine gun was the device that enabled humans to make the most mistakes in the smallest amount of time."

                                      L 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • T TClarke

                                        Yeah, but that's the north of England it's been permanently shit there since the dawn of time. :-D

                                        Cheers Tom Philosophy: The art of never getting beyond the concept of life.
                                        Religion: Morality taking credit for the work of luck.
                                        "The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane." - Marcus Aurelius

                                        B Offline
                                        B Offline
                                        bryce
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #27

                                        i liked the north of england when i went they're really friendly and the girls are lovely ;) well to us kiwis anyway Bryce

                                        --- To paraphrase Fred Dagg - the views expressed in this post are bloody good ones. --
                                        Publitor, making Pubmed easy. http://www.sohocode.com/publitor

                                        Our kids books :The Snot Goblin, and Book 2 - the Snotgoblin and Fluff

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                                        • C cp9876

                                          It certainly seems to be at odds with your model[^] of global warming which predicts that temperatures rise at 16 degrees per year.


                                          Peter "Until the invention of the computer, the machine gun was the device that enabled humans to make the most mistakes in the smallest amount of time."

                                          L Offline
                                          L Offline
                                          Lost User
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #28

                                          I dont even know why I bother replying to such an intentionally stupid post. You know the premis of my 'model' (such as it is by your deffinition) was that the IPCC state there is an extra 1.6 W/m^2 going into the earth. My calculations clearly disprove that. Its impossible. Unless that value isnt really 'extra' but is actually reduced by black body radiation into space. In wich case, why publish the figure?

                                          Truth is the subjection of reality to an individuals perception

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