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  4. So, after the current ecconomic crisis is past, what are the chances for a decade of (mega) inflation?

So, after the current ecconomic crisis is past, what are the chances for a decade of (mega) inflation?

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  • S Stan Shannon

    hopingToCode wrote:

    we will just carry on in the boom bust cycle.

    Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

    Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Lost User
    wrote on last edited by
    #8

    Stan, you as a former sailor in the US Navy, must appreciate the benefit of a calm sea. There is very little benefit in a heavy sea. For example, it can make you unwell, it can harm you because of its violent nature. Boom and bust economic cycles can be thought of as the equivalent of the peaks and troughs of heavy seas. Much better to have a steady hand at the wheel in a calm "economic" sea. This story from August 2005 you may find interesting[^]

    S 1 Reply Last reply
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    • L Lost User

      Stan, you as a former sailor in the US Navy, must appreciate the benefit of a calm sea. There is very little benefit in a heavy sea. For example, it can make you unwell, it can harm you because of its violent nature. Boom and bust economic cycles can be thought of as the equivalent of the peaks and troughs of heavy seas. Much better to have a steady hand at the wheel in a calm "economic" sea. This story from August 2005 you may find interesting[^]

      S Offline
      S Offline
      Stan Shannon
      wrote on last edited by
      #9

      Nope. A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas. Never going anywhere. Waiting for the end to ever so slowly arrive.

      Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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      • S Stan Shannon

        Nope. A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas. Never going anywhere. Waiting for the end to ever so slowly arrive.

        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

        L Offline
        L Offline
        Lost User
        wrote on last edited by
        #10

        Stan Shannon wrote:

        A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas

        So what is so wrong with economics doing the same or similar kind of thing. Boom and bust harms just like heavy seas do, and both are avoidable. Better to arrive safe and sound rather than battered and half dead.


        Last modified: 8mins after originally posted --

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        • S Stan Shannon

          Nope. A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas. Never going anywhere. Waiting for the end to ever so slowly arrive.

          Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

          O Offline
          O Offline
          Oakman
          wrote on last edited by
          #11

          Stan Shannon wrote:

          A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas

          Whereas you would take the ship into the heaviest seas possible, using no radar, weather ballons, or even an old-fashioned lookout in order to insure every possibility of encountering hurricanes, typhoons, and tsunamis as often as possible?

          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

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          • S Stan Shannon

            hopingToCode wrote:

            we will just carry on in the boom bust cycle.

            Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

            Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

            C Offline
            C Offline
            Captain See Sharp
            wrote on last edited by
            #12

            Stan Shannon wrote:

            Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

            Boom and bust cycles are a symptom of manipulation of the supply of money and excessive risk taking. Boom and bust is a way for a small handful of people to buy up properties for pennies on the dollar. A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

            ENDGAME[^]

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            • C Captain See Sharp

              Stan Shannon wrote:

              Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

              Boom and bust cycles are a symptom of manipulation of the supply of money and excessive risk taking. Boom and bust is a way for a small handful of people to buy up properties for pennies on the dollar. A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

              ENDGAME[^]

              O Offline
              O Offline
              Oakman
              wrote on last edited by
              #13

              Intel 4004 wrote:

              A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

              Were you absent the month your teacher covered sentence fragments?

              Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

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              • C Captain See Sharp

                Stan Shannon wrote:

                Boom and bust cycles are a good thing, not a bad thing.

                Boom and bust cycles are a symptom of manipulation of the supply of money and excessive risk taking. Boom and bust is a way for a small handful of people to buy up properties for pennies on the dollar. A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                ENDGAME[^]

                S Offline
                S Offline
                Stan Shannon
                wrote on last edited by
                #14

                Intel 4004 wrote:

                A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                There is no such thing as a steady state in economics or much of anything else. It will never be achieved. If something isn't growing, its declining. Boom and bust is simply the price we pay for economic growth.

                Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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                • L Lost User

                  Stan Shannon wrote:

                  A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas

                  So what is so wrong with economics doing the same or similar kind of thing. Boom and bust harms just like heavy seas do, and both are avoidable. Better to arrive safe and sound rather than battered and half dead.


                  Last modified: 8mins after originally posted --

                  S Offline
                  S Offline
                  Stan Shannon
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #15

                  Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                  Boom and bust harms just like heavy seas do, and both are avoidable.

                  But heavy seas are precisely where you need to go to move forward.

                  Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

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                  • O Oakman

                    Stan Shannon wrote:

                    A better comparison would be purposefully avoiding heavy seas by staying becalmed in quiet seas

                    Whereas you would take the ship into the heaviest seas possible, using no radar, weather ballons, or even an old-fashioned lookout in order to insure every possibility of encountering hurricanes, typhoons, and tsunamis as often as possible?

                    Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                    S Offline
                    S Offline
                    Stan Shannon
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #16

                    Oakman wrote:

                    Whereas you would take the ship into the heaviest seas possible, using no radar, weather ballons, or even an old-fashioned lookout in order to insure every possibility of encountering hurricanes, typhoons, and tsunamis as often as possible?

                    Human civilization was a gamble from the very beginning. No time now to stop tossing the dice.

                    Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • S Stan Shannon

                      Intel 4004 wrote:

                      A steady economy offers not only security and confidence.

                      There is no such thing as a steady state in economics or much of anything else. It will never be achieved. If something isn't growing, its declining. Boom and bust is simply the price we pay for economic growth.

                      Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Lost User
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #17

                      Foolhardy policies causing rampant growth at the expense of good economic sense. Where individuals should be encouraged to treasure their monies and not to spend (squander) unsustainable amounts on credit they, and consequently, the country (and the world), can ill afford. Such foolhardy policies might give the illusion that all is well, but it is an illusion. With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                      S 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • S Stan Shannon

                        Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                        Boom and bust harms just like heavy seas do, and both are avoidable.

                        But heavy seas are precisely where you need to go to move forward.

                        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                        L Offline
                        L Offline
                        Lost User
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #18

                        Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                        S T 2 Replies Last reply
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                        • O Oakman

                          To answer the header - somewhere between 99% and 101%.

                          fat_boy wrote:

                          So perhaps this is a good way to take the heat out of house proces without changing their digit values

                          It's a good way to get out of owing China half of the United States' GNP.

                          fat_boy wrote:

                          and reduce debt overall, taxpayers included.

                          Problem is, progressive income tax takes a larger bite out of an inflated paycheck.

                          fat_boy wrote:

                          Any answers from the financially astute out there?

                          Gold if you think civilization is going to survive without another dark ages; gold and lead if you don't.

                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                          K Offline
                          K Offline
                          kmg365
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #19

                          Oakman wrote:

                          Gold if you think civilization is going to survive without another dark ages; gold and lead if you don't.

                          Both are rare commodities these days.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • L Lost User

                            Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                            S Offline
                            S Offline
                            Stan Shannon
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #20

                            Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                            Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                            That is a risk that you have to compare to the certainty of dieing a long and lingering death in quiet seas.

                            Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                            modified on Wednesday, May 20, 2009 6:06 PM

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                            • L Lost User

                              Foolhardy policies causing rampant growth at the expense of good economic sense. Where individuals should be encouraged to treasure their monies and not to spend (squander) unsustainable amounts on credit they, and consequently, the country (and the world), can ill afford. Such foolhardy policies might give the illusion that all is well, but it is an illusion. With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                              S Offline
                              S Offline
                              Stan Shannon
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #21

                              Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                              With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                              Nope. Growth cannot be managed or regulated. Only decline can. Growth is about risk taking. Always has been, always will be.

                              Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                              L C O 3 Replies Last reply
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                              • S Stan Shannon

                                Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                                Nope. Growth cannot be managed or regulated. Only decline can. Growth is about risk taking. Always has been, always will be.

                                Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Lost User
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #22

                                Stan Shannon wrote:

                                Growth cannot be managed or regulated

                                Are you sure about that. From the following "The Fed should use the basic Money-GDP Growth Formula cited above to target potential (full-employment trend) real GDP, by carefully monitoring the Money-Demand Ratio's trend growth rate, and controlling money growth accordingly -- by precise control of bank reserves. Monitoring the MDR trend requires just as skillful economic analysis as Greenspan's current policy. But the Money-Growth Formula approach is more precise, credible and "transparent" (understandable), and would tend to increase business confidence." [^]. Perhaps you might change your mind.

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                                • L Lost User

                                  Stan Shannon wrote:

                                  Growth cannot be managed or regulated

                                  Are you sure about that. From the following "The Fed should use the basic Money-GDP Growth Formula cited above to target potential (full-employment trend) real GDP, by carefully monitoring the Money-Demand Ratio's trend growth rate, and controlling money growth accordingly -- by precise control of bank reserves. Monitoring the MDR trend requires just as skillful economic analysis as Greenspan's current policy. But the Money-Growth Formula approach is more precise, credible and "transparent" (understandable), and would tend to increase business confidence." [^]. Perhaps you might change your mind.

                                  S Offline
                                  S Offline
                                  Stan Shannon
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #23

                                  which part of...

                                  Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                  tend to increase business confidence

                                  ...are you confused by? Confidence in what? Confidence in risk taking, thats what. But it is just that kind of thinking that led directly to the current fical crisis - the government trying to manipulate the system giving businesses false confidence.

                                  Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • S Stan Shannon

                                    Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                    With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                                    Nope. Growth cannot be managed or regulated. Only decline can. Growth is about risk taking. Always has been, always will be.

                                    Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                    C Offline
                                    C Offline
                                    Captain See Sharp
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #24

                                    Stan Shannon wrote:

                                    Growth is about risk taking. Always has been, always will be.

                                    How 'bout that loan?

                                    ENDGAME[^]

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • L Lost User

                                      Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                                      T Offline
                                      T Offline
                                      Tim Craig
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #25

                                      Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                      Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                                      Stan wants to lose his life savings and house every 10 years and start over. It's the Jeffersonian way. :laugh:

                                      "Republicans are the party that says government doesn't work and then they get elected and prove it." -- P.J. O'Rourke

                                      I'm a proud denizen of the Real Soapbox[^]
                                      ACCEPT NO SUBSTITUTES!!!

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                                      0
                                      • S Stan Shannon

                                        Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                        Straight to Davy Jones locker.

                                        That is a risk that you have to compare to the certainty of dieing a long and lingering death in quiet seas.

                                        Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                        modified on Wednesday, May 20, 2009 6:06 PM

                                        O Offline
                                        O Offline
                                        Oakman
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #26

                                        Stan Shannon wrote:

                                        That is a risk that you have to compare to the certainty of dieing a long and lingering death in quiet seas.

                                        Give it a rest, Stan. No-one takes risks without calculating the reward and trying to manage the risk. Except psychopaths.

                                        Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                                        S 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • S Stan Shannon

                                          Richard A. Abbott wrote:

                                          With better regulation, and enforcible regulation, growth is better managed, thus, there is a reduction in monetary related risks.

                                          Nope. Growth cannot be managed or regulated. Only decline can. Growth is about risk taking. Always has been, always will be.

                                          Chaining ourselves to the moral high ground does not make us good guys. Aside from making us easy targets, it merely makes us idiotic prisoners of our own self loathing.

                                          O Offline
                                          O Offline
                                          Oakman
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #27

                                          Stan Shannon wrote:

                                          Growth cannot be managed or regulated

                                          Really? So which corproartion succeed and which fail is just a roll of the dice? No management skills needed?

                                          Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

                                          S 1 Reply Last reply
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