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  • C cosmogon

    I believe people die when their "time has come" and not at any other time. That's why people sometimes miraculously survive accidents where all odds seem to be against them. Like someone being disturbed by something on their way to catch a plane that crashes. Such "coincidences" have happened to myself a few times, and I've seen it happen to many others as well. So from that perspective, no matter what you do to manipulate the outcome of a situation it's pointless - unless it's meant to facilitate the enevitable outcome. It's not magic, just a question of probabilities in the total scheme of energetic processes which stretch beyond the level of plain physical probabilities. Mind over matter, if you like... :)

    R Offline
    R Offline
    R Giskard Reventlov
    wrote on last edited by
    #14

    I don't think so. The universe is random. You die because your body wears out, you get killed or, like my grandpa, in his sleep. Unfortunately, his passengers on the bus weren't that lucky.

    "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

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    • Z ZurdoDev

      mark merrens wrote:

      In any case, if all cars were guided by bots this is unlikely to happen

      Unless VB programmers are involved. Or, a mismatch between metric and US measurement systems. :)

      There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.

      R Offline
      R Offline
      R Giskard Reventlov
      wrote on last edited by
      #15

      :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:

      "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

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      • Z ZurdoDev

        mark merrens wrote:

        It is you humans

        Aha! I knew it.

        There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.

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        R Offline
        R Giskard Reventlov
        wrote on last edited by
        #16

        Oops! My positronic pathways must have malfunctioned for a nano-second.

        "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

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        • S Super Lloyd

          I think if the robotic choose to do so, the car maker won't sell much of these.... Commercial imperative trumps ethic! ;P

          My programming get away... The Blog... DirectX for WinRT/C# since 2013! Taking over the world since 1371!

          R Offline
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          R Giskard Reventlov
          wrote on last edited by
          #17

          I don't see why anyone would be upset about this unless they simply reacted without thinking. Firstly, if bots drove all cars only freak accidents would ever occur. Secondly, what is the difference between a bot deciding your fate and, well, fate? If you die you'll never know the difference and if you are the survivor you'll be extolling the virtues of robotic vehicles until you do die!

          "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

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          • R R Giskard Reventlov

            Oops! My positronic pathways must have malfunctioned for a nano-second.

            "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

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            Z Offline
            ZurdoDev
            wrote on last edited by
            #18

            mark merrens wrote:

            for a nano-second.

            Which is like 1 human hour. :)

            There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.

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            • R R Giskard Reventlov

              It's not the power of god, it's the power of reason and making logical judgments based on probability.

              "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

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              J Offline
              Jeremy Falcon
              wrote on last edited by
              #19

              Yeah... go right on and believe that.

              Jeremy Falcon

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • R R Giskard Reventlov

                Should Robot Cars Be Programmed To Kill You If It Will Save More Lives? [^]

                "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

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                PIEBALDconsult
                wrote on last edited by
                #20

                I'd rather it spent its cycles slowing the car.

                You'll never get very far if all you do is follow instructions.

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                • R R Giskard Reventlov

                  I don't see why anyone would be upset about this unless they simply reacted without thinking. Firstly, if bots drove all cars only freak accidents would ever occur. Secondly, what is the difference between a bot deciding your fate and, well, fate? If you die you'll never know the difference and if you are the survivor you'll be extolling the virtues of robotic vehicles until you do die!

                  "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

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                  J Offline
                  Jeremy Falcon
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #21

                  mark merrens wrote:

                  I don't see why anyone would be upset about this unless they simply reacted without thinking.

                  Well you can be their beta tester. Have fun!

                  Jeremy Falcon

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                  • R R Giskard Reventlov

                    Should Robot Cars Be Programmed To Kill You If It Will Save More Lives? [^]

                    "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

                    K Offline
                    K Offline
                    Kyudos
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #22

                    I think this is a spurious situation, arising from our innate tendency to anthropomorphise the 'robot'. I don't believe any robot car will ever* be programmed to make this sort of decision in this way. A car will never be able to know who the passengers of another car are, for privacy reasons. They will be (are?) programmed to do everything possible to safely avoid a collision. If the anti-collision routines of both cars cannot avoid colliding, the severity of the crash should be vastly diminished (via braking, evasive action etc. faster than any human could). On some very rare occasions (barring programming errors) a serious crash will be unavoidable, and will occur. A car will never* make any decision about the people riding in it, or in any other vehicle. * at least until a sentient AI is created.

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                    • J Jeremy Falcon

                      mark merrens wrote:

                      I think that's exactly what you can do. The bot will not make judgments about the people only about the outcome.

                      Yeah totally. Let's give robots the power of God. That shouldn't cause any problems. :rolleyes:

                      Jeremy Falcon

                      B Offline
                      B Offline
                      BillWoodruff
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #23

                      Jeremy Falcon wrote:

                      Let's give robots the power of God. That shouldn't cause any problems.

                      It would be interesting to see if robots whose behavior was driven by neural-nets based on the behavior of human beings who claim to act/speak for/in-the-name-of "gods" were equally blood-thirsty and came up with pogroms, ethnic cleansings, and atrocities equal to said human beings.

                      “I speak in a poem of the ancient food of heroes: humiliation, unhappiness, discord. Those things are given to us to transform, so that we may make from the miserable circumstances of our lives things that are eternal, or aspire to be so.” Jorge Luis Borges

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                      • B BillWoodruff

                        Jeremy Falcon wrote:

                        Let's give robots the power of God. That shouldn't cause any problems.

                        It would be interesting to see if robots whose behavior was driven by neural-nets based on the behavior of human beings who claim to act/speak for/in-the-name-of "gods" were equally blood-thirsty and came up with pogroms, ethnic cleansings, and atrocities equal to said human beings.

                        “I speak in a poem of the ancient food of heroes: humiliation, unhappiness, discord. Those things are given to us to transform, so that we may make from the miserable circumstances of our lives things that are eternal, or aspire to be so.” Jorge Luis Borges

                        J Offline
                        J Offline
                        Jeremy Falcon
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #24

                        BillWoodruff wrote:

                        were equally blood-thirsty and came up with pogroms, ethnic cleansings, and atrocities equal to said human beings.

                        For being human yourself, you really have a low opinion of them. I happen to quite like humans. I think I'll stay one.

                        Jeremy Falcon

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                        • L Lost User

                          cosmogon wrote:

                          I believe people die when their "time has come" and not at any other time. That's why people sometimes miraculously survive accidents where all odds seem to be against them. Like someone being disturbed by something on their way to catch a plane that crashes. Such "coincidences" have happened to myself a few times, and I've seen it happen to many others as well.

                          What a load of drivel. If it were pre-ordained, then why would the pre-ordinance allow you to buy a plane ticket for a plane that is going to crash in the first place? And the other 237 people who do make the plane - their time was pre-ordained to be at exactly the same time? This sort of rot comes from the selective memory of humans; Miss a train because of traffic, and the train is bombed by the IRA (happened to me) - good dinner story. Miss a train and the train goes to its destination more or less on time - not really a good story at all.

                          C Offline
                          C Offline
                          cosmogon
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #25

                          "If it were pre-ordained, then why would the pre-ordinance allow you to buy a plane ticket for a plane that is going to crash in the first place?" It could happen that way also - you just need one event to stop you from entering that plane. There are many possible to choose from. The main goal is your survival, whatever means it takes to reach that goal are taken into consideration. It's a dynamic process, just as with all other events in life, it just involves some factors that we usually are not aware of. Some call it "Framework 2" - a dimension of reality where all events are coordinated in order to fulfil all individual desires. It's the opposite of pre-ordained - all events are a consequence on free will and individual choice. On the other hand, a choice does itself create some kind of pre-ordination within it's own context, you can however change the outcome if the probabilities allows for it. I.e. you can still change your mind before you jump from that cliff, however, as soon as you have jumped there's usually no way back (unless it's not your time yet). "And the other 237 people who do make the plane - their time was pre-ordained to be at exactly the same time?" What's the difference between 237 people choosing to die together on a plane and 10.000 choosing to gather at a stadion to see a game of football? In both cases it's an individual choice that makes you go there, it's just the purpose that's different. Suicide however is generally a taboo so choosing (usually on a subconsciious level) to die in a plane crash or some other accident is an alternative and "legitimate way" to leave the planet. And it's not always all passengers at a plane crash that die. Often some survive - and often in ways that you may call miraculous. Why then choose to get on the plane in the first place? Maybe they want that experience for some subconscious reason. Why do people do skydiving? It's dangerous like hell, but it's probably an incredible experience. Surviving death can be a great wake-up call - it can make you feel like being reborn and make you look at life in a completely new way. I know from personal experience... ;-)

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                          • C cosmogon

                            "If it were pre-ordained, then why would the pre-ordinance allow you to buy a plane ticket for a plane that is going to crash in the first place?" It could happen that way also - you just need one event to stop you from entering that plane. There are many possible to choose from. The main goal is your survival, whatever means it takes to reach that goal are taken into consideration. It's a dynamic process, just as with all other events in life, it just involves some factors that we usually are not aware of. Some call it "Framework 2" - a dimension of reality where all events are coordinated in order to fulfil all individual desires. It's the opposite of pre-ordained - all events are a consequence on free will and individual choice. On the other hand, a choice does itself create some kind of pre-ordination within it's own context, you can however change the outcome if the probabilities allows for it. I.e. you can still change your mind before you jump from that cliff, however, as soon as you have jumped there's usually no way back (unless it's not your time yet). "And the other 237 people who do make the plane - their time was pre-ordained to be at exactly the same time?" What's the difference between 237 people choosing to die together on a plane and 10.000 choosing to gather at a stadion to see a game of football? In both cases it's an individual choice that makes you go there, it's just the purpose that's different. Suicide however is generally a taboo so choosing (usually on a subconsciious level) to die in a plane crash or some other accident is an alternative and "legitimate way" to leave the planet. And it's not always all passengers at a plane crash that die. Often some survive - and often in ways that you may call miraculous. Why then choose to get on the plane in the first place? Maybe they want that experience for some subconscious reason. Why do people do skydiving? It's dangerous like hell, but it's probably an incredible experience. Surviving death can be a great wake-up call - it can make you feel like being reborn and make you look at life in a completely new way. I know from personal experience... ;-)

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #26

                            I can't respond here, lest it become Soapbox material. Suffice to say, "what a load of old codswallop"

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • R R Giskard Reventlov

                              Should Robot Cars Be Programmed To Kill You If It Will Save More Lives? [^]

                              "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

                              S Offline
                              S Offline
                              Stefan_Lang
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #27

                              Yes and no. Yes, because a rational and impartial program will be better at judging the odds and finding the 'solution' with the least loss, most of the time. Especially when that solution has to be found within a split of a second! Humans cannot make such a decision as quickly, because when you're forced to react, subconsciousness takes over, and will always try to preserve your own, personal, life, no matter how many others lifes are at stake! I'm not sure how I could live with the knowledge that my own survival cost the lives of a hundred other people. Especially if some of them were friends or relatives! No, because it is humans who ultimately write the programs to make these decisions. Humans make errors, but it takes software and computers to turn such errors into catastrophes! Besides, what makes us think nobody will go ahead and manipulate that software to their own benefit, or worse, to cause catastrophical mass accidents? The optimist in me wants to believe that the benefit of the former will outweigh the risk of the latter. But the realist tells me that one day a single incident will make me regret it.

                              GOTOs are a bit like wire coat hangers: they tend to breed in the darkness, such that where there once were few, eventually there are many, and the program's architecture collapses beneath them. (Fran Poretto) Point in case: http://www.infoq.com/news/2014/02/apple_gotofail_lessons[^]

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • R R Giskard Reventlov

                                Should Robot Cars Be Programmed To Kill You If It Will Save More Lives? [^]

                                "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

                                Sander RosselS Offline
                                Sander RosselS Offline
                                Sander Rossel
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #28

                                Who would drive a car that can 'decide' to kill you? What if the driver of the family of four is pretty sharp today and could have dodged your car at the last split second? To late, your car has already thrown you of a cliff... A car might be able to predict what is going to happen if everything stayed as it is now (that is other drivers will not speed up, slow down, make a turn etc.), but it cannot predict what others will do and what the consequences of their actions will be.

                                It's an OO world.

                                public class SanderRossel : Lazy<Person>
                                {
                                public void DoWork()
                                {
                                throw new NotSupportedException();
                                }
                                }

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • C cosmogon

                                  "If it were pre-ordained, then why would the pre-ordinance allow you to buy a plane ticket for a plane that is going to crash in the first place?" It could happen that way also - you just need one event to stop you from entering that plane. There are many possible to choose from. The main goal is your survival, whatever means it takes to reach that goal are taken into consideration. It's a dynamic process, just as with all other events in life, it just involves some factors that we usually are not aware of. Some call it "Framework 2" - a dimension of reality where all events are coordinated in order to fulfil all individual desires. It's the opposite of pre-ordained - all events are a consequence on free will and individual choice. On the other hand, a choice does itself create some kind of pre-ordination within it's own context, you can however change the outcome if the probabilities allows for it. I.e. you can still change your mind before you jump from that cliff, however, as soon as you have jumped there's usually no way back (unless it's not your time yet). "And the other 237 people who do make the plane - their time was pre-ordained to be at exactly the same time?" What's the difference between 237 people choosing to die together on a plane and 10.000 choosing to gather at a stadion to see a game of football? In both cases it's an individual choice that makes you go there, it's just the purpose that's different. Suicide however is generally a taboo so choosing (usually on a subconsciious level) to die in a plane crash or some other accident is an alternative and "legitimate way" to leave the planet. And it's not always all passengers at a plane crash that die. Often some survive - and often in ways that you may call miraculous. Why then choose to get on the plane in the first place? Maybe they want that experience for some subconscious reason. Why do people do skydiving? It's dangerous like hell, but it's probably an incredible experience. Surviving death can be a great wake-up call - it can make you feel like being reborn and make you look at life in a completely new way. I know from personal experience... ;-)

                                  S Offline
                                  S Offline
                                  Stefan_Lang
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #29

                                  If you truly believe the time of your death is predetermined, would you mind jumping off a cliff? I mean, doing it or not wouldn't make a difference, no? :doh:

                                  GOTOs are a bit like wire coat hangers: they tend to breed in the darkness, such that where there once were few, eventually there are many, and the program's architecture collapses beneath them. (Fran Poretto) Point in case: http://www.infoq.com/news/2014/02/apple_gotofail_lessons[^]

                                  T 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • R R Giskard Reventlov

                                    I don't see why anyone would be upset about this unless they simply reacted without thinking. Firstly, if bots drove all cars only freak accidents would ever occur. Secondly, what is the difference between a bot deciding your fate and, well, fate? If you die you'll never know the difference and if you are the survivor you'll be extolling the virtues of robotic vehicles until you do die!

                                    "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

                                    Sander RosselS Offline
                                    Sander RosselS Offline
                                    Sander Rossel
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #30

                                    mark merrens wrote:

                                    I don't see why anyone would be upset about this unless they simply reacted without thinking.

                                    Robots may be emotionless and logical 'thinking' things, humans are not :) I wouldn't know why anyone would be upset over gay marriage, over sex before marriage, over women having rights, over having a tv in your house, over working on sundays... And those are things you can choose to do or not do. Still people get mad to the extent they are willing to kill others for it just because they think it's not how it's supposed to be.

                                    It's an OO world.

                                    public class SanderRossel : Lazy<Person>
                                    {
                                    public void DoWork()
                                    {
                                    throw new NotSupportedException();
                                    }
                                    }

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                                    • B BillWoodruff

                                      I think that's a fascinating scenario to think about, Mark. Consider the robot-in-the-car detects loss of consciousness in the driver somehow and is able to evaluate, given the flow of traffic, that any sudden stop will result in a multi-car pile-up with major loss of life while it is also able to conclude that a sudden sharp turn will take the vehicle off the roadway, but almost certainly kill the occupant. Medical personnel in war, given an overflow of casualties, make rapid decisions (triage) about who gets treatment priority based on intuitive mortality assessments as well as, of course, whatever medical stats they can get. It would be interesting, to me, to know to what extent the current state-of-the-art triage strategies in war and natural disasters are using computer programs to assist evaluation. Equally frightening is the idea of a "loyal" robot programmed to put the preservation of its owner above everyone/everything else. I observe that my mind associates the terms "loyal robot" with the typical spin-minions and henchmen/women of ... politicians. cheers, Bill

                                      “I speak in a poem of the ancient food of heroes: humiliation, unhappiness, discord. Those things are given to us to transform, so that we may make from the miserable circumstances of our lives things that are eternal, or aspire to be so.” Jorge Luis Borges

                                      S Offline
                                      S Offline
                                      Stefan_Lang
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #31

                                      BillWoodruff wrote:

                                      I think that's a fascinating scenario to think about, Mark. Consider the robot-in-the-car detects loss of consciousness in the driver somehow and is able to evaluate, given the flow of traffic, that any sudden stop will result in a multi-car pile-up with major loss of life while it is also able to conclude that a sudden sharp turn will take the vehicle off the roadway, but almost certainly kill the occupant.

                                      Sounds rather unrealistic to me: 1. If the car is robot-controlled to start with, why can't it just go on driving? 2. If stopping your car could potentially cause lifes, what the hell were the other drivers/robot cars thinking? 3. If the other cars are also robot-controlled, why can't they collaborate to ensure a safe mutual slowdown? 4. Can't think of any reason why a sharp turn would be less dangerous to the rest of the traffic

                                      BillWoodruff wrote:

                                      Equally frightening is the idea of a "loyal" robot programmed to put the preservation of its owner above everyone/everything else. I observe that my mind associates the terms "loyal robot" with the typical spin-minions and henchmen/women of ... politicians.

                                      That could indeed be a problem, and car makers could in fact promote cars with 'improved survivability' for those who are willing to shell out the cash. Politicians could try to prevent that, but, realistically, by the time they can agree on a workable legislation the market will already be brimming with such discriminating cars that are hard to tone down or remove.

                                      GOTOs are a bit like wire coat hangers: they tend to breed in the darkness, such that where there once were few, eventually there are many, and the program's architecture collapses beneath them. (Fran Poretto) Point in case: http://www.infoq.com/news/2014/02/apple_gotofail_lessons[^]

                                      1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • J Jeremy Falcon

                                        mark merrens wrote:

                                        So, given that the bot is able to predict the outcome of the accident and knowing that only 2 rather than, say, 6 people will die it should not take that choice?

                                        You cannot make a judgment call on that like it's a simple logical algorithm in a program. What if the person to die was your daughter, who's also pregnant, and her husband? And the people living were 6 old people that were murderers and on their way to kill more people? Oh sure, then we could have the cars cop a feel for pregnant chicks every time you start the car and require old people to sign a waver to kiss their arse good bye. But where does it stop, just how far down the "lets not have to think for ourselves" rabbit hole does one have to go? Just because technology says we can.

                                        mark merrens wrote:

                                        It is because it is acting without emotion that it can make this decision. It is you humans who are incapable of doing that.

                                        Har har. Seriously though, emotion is what makes life worth living. It's what makes being human fun. Oh wait that's an emotion. I just want to be happy. Oh wait... damn emotions getting in the way. Einstein was right if this question even has to be asked.

                                        Jeremy Falcon

                                        S Offline
                                        S Offline
                                        Stefan_Lang
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #32

                                        Jeremy Falcon wrote:

                                        And the people living were 6 old people that were murderers and on their way to kill more people?

                                        In that case lets just program the robotic car of these to fataly crash, removing them from other cars equations ;P Seriously, though: how do you know this is the case? And if you know, why can't the car? Why can't that other people's car? Why can't that other people's car decide and ... oh well, back to my initial statement again ;)

                                        GOTOs are a bit like wire coat hangers: they tend to breed in the darkness, such that where there once were few, eventually there are many, and the program's architecture collapses beneath them. (Fran Poretto) Point in case: http://www.infoq.com/news/2014/02/apple_gotofail_lessons[^]

                                        S 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • R R Giskard Reventlov

                                          Should Robot Cars Be Programmed To Kill You If It Will Save More Lives? [^]

                                          "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." Red Adair. Those who seek perfection will only find imperfection nils illegitimus carborundum me, me, me me, in pictures

                                          C Offline
                                          C Offline
                                          CPallini
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #33

                                          "Damned cars, that was our second kamikaze blowing up the parking".

                                          Veni, vidi, vici.

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