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  3. What are the Odds

What are the Odds

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved The Lounge
helplearning
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    BernardIE5317
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Whilst listening to a recent NPR program a caller stated his town of residence as the long standing same as my own of years ago. I calculated the odds if this occurrence as per the number of times I have listened to this program multiplied by the population of the town divided by the USA population resulting in 100/19000/333200000 or 0.0057. Rather low probability. I was surprised the number of towns is irrelevant in the calculation assuming of course the calculation is correct. It occurs an error may be present. No doubt it will soon be reported by one of the many experts here. "... as likely as lightning striking a leprechaun whilst riding a unicorn."

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    • B BernardIE5317

      Whilst listening to a recent NPR program a caller stated his town of residence as the long standing same as my own of years ago. I calculated the odds if this occurrence as per the number of times I have listened to this program multiplied by the population of the town divided by the USA population resulting in 100/19000/333200000 or 0.0057. Rather low probability. I was surprised the number of towns is irrelevant in the calculation assuming of course the calculation is correct. It occurs an error may be present. No doubt it will soon be reported by one of the many experts here. "... as likely as lightning striking a leprechaun whilst riding a unicorn."

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      PIEBALDconsult
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      You forgot to take into account that you are currently in a fabricated universe just for you.

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      • P PIEBALDconsult

        You forgot to take into account that you are currently in a fabricated universe just for you.

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        BernardIE5317
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        In my self-fabricated universe such is not regarded a polite statement and therefor contrary to the self-fabricated policies of this self-fabricated site. :wtf:

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