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  4. Debt and Deficits: How the US got where it is and where it is headed

Debt and Deficits: How the US got where it is and where it is headed

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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    John Carson
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

    John Carson

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    • J John Carson

      http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

      John Carson

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      R Offline
      Rob Graham
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      “Things will get worse gradually,” Mr. Auerbach predicts, “unless they get worse quickly.” Somehow, that statement really reduced the amount of credibility I'm willing to place in that article. As did the assertion that the Stimulus bill accounts for only 3% of the current deficit. (3% of the current debt I might believe, in part becaus most of it is not yet spent, so is not accounted as debt yet, but 3% of the current account deficit - this budget years spend minus revenue - not likely).

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      • J John Carson

        http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

        John Carson

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        CaptainSeeSharp
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        That article is a bunch of backwash diarrhea. There is no valuable information presented, no real facts, just a bunch of NYT humpty dumpty. If anyone really wants to learn about the deficits, how we got here, and where we are headed I'd check out Millennium Money (Documentary).

        Obloga Obama Blog[^]

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        • C CaptainSeeSharp

          That article is a bunch of backwash diarrhea. There is no valuable information presented, no real facts, just a bunch of NYT humpty dumpty. If anyone really wants to learn about the deficits, how we got here, and where we are headed I'd check out Millennium Money (Documentary).

          Obloga Obama Blog[^]

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          J Offline
          John Carson
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          Your opinion on this subject, as on any other, is worthless.

          John Carson

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          • J John Carson

            Your opinion on this subject, as on any other, is worthless.

            John Carson

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            C Offline
            CaptainSeeSharp
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            John Carson wrote:

            Your opinion on this subject, as on any other, is worthless.

            No no John, the fact that you would post this NYT hogwash as some kind of fact proves your opinion on this subject is worthless propaganda.

            Obloga Obama Blog[^]

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            • R Rob Graham

              “Things will get worse gradually,” Mr. Auerbach predicts, “unless they get worse quickly.” Somehow, that statement really reduced the amount of credibility I'm willing to place in that article. As did the assertion that the Stimulus bill accounts for only 3% of the current deficit. (3% of the current debt I might believe, in part becaus most of it is not yet spent, so is not accounted as debt yet, but 3% of the current account deficit - this budget years spend minus revenue - not likely).

              J Offline
              J Offline
              John Carson
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              Rob Graham wrote:

              “Things will get worse gradually,” Mr. Auerbach predicts, “unless they get worse quickly.” Somehow, that statement really reduced the amount of credibility I'm willing to place in that article.

              It was an attempt at humour, with an underlying message that if people lose confidence in the ability of the US to manage its debt, then that will push up interest rates on the debt and cause things to get worse quickly --- much like the collapse in confidence in the financial system caused things to get worse quickly. Auerbach is a very respected name in public finance. http://www.econ.berkeley.edu/~auerbach/[^]

              Rob Graham wrote:

              As did the assertion that the Stimulus bill accounts for only 3% of the current deficit. (3% of the current debt I might believe, in part becaus most of it is not yet spent, so is not accounted as debt yet, but 3% of the current account deficit - this budget years spend minus revenue - not likely).

              You have that wrong in two respects. 1. The article discusses the swing from a projected 800 billion surplus to a 1.2 trillion deficit --- a swing of two trillion. Thus all percentages refer to the two trillion swing, not the 1.2 trillion deficit. 2. The stimulus is said to account for 7% of that (and the other Obama measures another 3%). Thus the stimulus is said to be adding around 140 billion to the deficit (the author actually says 145 billion). There is a lot of publicity over the 800 billion total and rather less recognition that this is spread over many years. The figures in the article are meant to be an average for the four years 2009-2012. I wouldn't bet my life on the accuracy of the figures, but I suspect they are in the ballpark.

              John Carson

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              • J John Carson

                http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

                John Carson

                H Offline
                H Offline
                Haakon S
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                Do it the European way. It works: - Tax the shit out of rich people. They have nowhere to go. - Set gas price to $6 per galon. - Double the price on alcohol & tobacco. - Encourage pregnant teenagers to have an abortion - Put high taxes on unhealthy foods, e.g sugar - Never go to war. - Total ban on guns. That'll do :-D

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                • H Haakon S

                  Do it the European way. It works: - Tax the shit out of rich people. They have nowhere to go. - Set gas price to $6 per galon. - Double the price on alcohol & tobacco. - Encourage pregnant teenagers to have an abortion - Put high taxes on unhealthy foods, e.g sugar - Never go to war. - Total ban on guns. That'll do :-D

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                  J Offline
                  John Carson
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  Haakon S. wrote:

                  Do it the European way. It works: - Tax the sh*t out of rich people. They have nowhere to go. - Set gas price to $6 per galon. - Double the price on alcohol & tobacco. - Encourage pregnant teenagers to have an abortion - Put high taxes on unhealthy foods, e.g sugar - Never go to war. - Total ban on guns. That'll do

                  Pretty much. You got it wrong on one point, however. The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. Freely available contraceptives is more the European approach.

                  John Carson

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                  • J John Carson

                    Haakon S. wrote:

                    Do it the European way. It works: - Tax the sh*t out of rich people. They have nowhere to go. - Set gas price to $6 per galon. - Double the price on alcohol & tobacco. - Encourage pregnant teenagers to have an abortion - Put high taxes on unhealthy foods, e.g sugar - Never go to war. - Total ban on guns. That'll do

                    Pretty much. You got it wrong on one point, however. The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. Freely available contraceptives is more the European approach.

                    John Carson

                    H Offline
                    H Offline
                    Haakon S
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    John Carson wrote:

                    Pretty much. You got it wrong on one point, however. The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. Freely available contraceptives is more the European approach.

                    You're right. I just put it in to rattle the chain on some conservatives that are lurking around here.

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                    • J John Carson

                      http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

                      John Carson

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Lost User
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      The Great Debt Scare: Why has it returned? Robert Reich[^] A defence of deficit spending. I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

                      Bob Emmett

                      J 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • J John Carson

                        http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/economy/10leonhardt.html?_r=1&ref=business[^]

                        John Carson

                        I Offline
                        I Offline
                        Ilion
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        John Carson wrote:

                        [a link, nothing but a link]

                        Call the cops! :laugh:

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                        • H Haakon S

                          John Carson wrote:

                          Pretty much. You got it wrong on one point, however. The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. Freely available contraceptives is more the European approach.

                          You're right. I just put it in to rattle the chain on some conservatives that are lurking around here.

                          K Offline
                          K Offline
                          kmg365
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          Haakon S. wrote:

                          rattle the chain on some conservatives that are lurking around her

                          Well your post sounded sarcastic(but in a good way), and you sounded conservative. You may be the first LINO (liberal in name only) that I've ever heard from. :)

                          H 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • L Lost User

                            The Great Debt Scare: Why has it returned? Robert Reich[^] A defence of deficit spending. I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

                            Bob Emmett

                            J Offline
                            J Offline
                            John Carson
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            Bob Emmett wrote:

                            I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

                            I don't think so. They should be spending like crazy now, and then taking tough action to trim the deficit later.

                            John Carson

                            C B 2 Replies Last reply
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                            • K kmg365

                              Haakon S. wrote:

                              rattle the chain on some conservatives that are lurking around her

                              Well your post sounded sarcastic(but in a good way), and you sounded conservative. You may be the first LINO (liberal in name only) that I've ever heard from. :)

                              H Offline
                              H Offline
                              Haakon S
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              kmg365 wrote:

                              Well your post sounded sarcastic(but in a good way), and you sounded conservative. You may be the first LINO (liberal in name only) that I've ever heard from.

                              I consider myself conservative, or right wing or whatever you wish to call it. But it is relative. If you use Stan's meassuring stick I'm probably a raving communist.

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                              • J John Carson

                                Haakon S. wrote:

                                Do it the European way. It works: - Tax the sh*t out of rich people. They have nowhere to go. - Set gas price to $6 per galon. - Double the price on alcohol & tobacco. - Encourage pregnant teenagers to have an abortion - Put high taxes on unhealthy foods, e.g sugar - Never go to war. - Total ban on guns. That'll do

                                Pretty much. You got it wrong on one point, however. The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. Freely available contraceptives is more the European approach.

                                John Carson

                                C Offline
                                C Offline
                                CaptainSeeSharp
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                John Carson wrote:

                                The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries.

                                Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                                Obloga Obama Blog[^]

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                                • J John Carson

                                  Bob Emmett wrote:

                                  I would tend to agree, were the USA starting from a manageable deficit base, but I fear that a more immediate deficit reduction is required.

                                  I don't think so. They should be spending like crazy now, and then taking tough action to trim the deficit later.

                                  John Carson

                                  C Offline
                                  C Offline
                                  CaptainSeeSharp
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #16

                                  John Carson wrote:

                                  I don't think so. They should be spending like crazy now, and then taking tough action to trim the deficit later.

                                  Tough action? Such as nationalizing industries and a ~70% tax rate? Your ideas on bankrupting America.

                                  Obloga Obama Blog[^]

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                                  • C CaptainSeeSharp

                                    John Carson wrote:

                                    The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries.

                                    Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                                    Obloga Obama Blog[^]

                                    I Offline
                                    I Offline
                                    Ilion
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #17

                                    CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                                    John Carson: The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. CaptainSeeSharp: Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                                    Even if John Carson's claim should be true ... the US *also* has more babies per capita than the European countries do.

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                                    • H Haakon S

                                      kmg365 wrote:

                                      Well your post sounded sarcastic(but in a good way), and you sounded conservative. You may be the first LINO (liberal in name only) that I've ever heard from.

                                      I consider myself conservative, or right wing or whatever you wish to call it. But it is relative. If you use Stan's meassuring stick I'm probably a raving communist.

                                      O Offline
                                      O Offline
                                      Oakman
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #18

                                      Haakon S. wrote:

                                      If you use Stan's meassuring stick I'm probably a raving communist.

                                      Anyone who doesn't want to see the U.S. fall apart so that the Aryan Nation can take over Indiana is a raving communist according to him.

                                      Jon Smith & Wesson: The original point and click interface Both democrats and republicans are playing for the same team and it's not us. - Chris Austin

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                                      • C CaptainSeeSharp

                                        John Carson wrote:

                                        The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries.

                                        Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                                        Obloga Obama Blog[^]

                                        J Offline
                                        J Offline
                                        John Carson
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #19

                                        CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                                        Percentage or raw numbers?

                                        I think you mean percentage or absolute. I mean percentage. The figures vary significantly from one European country to the other and different sources given somewhat different figures. From the source below, Holland has less than 1/3 the abortion rate of the US (abortions per 1,000 women aged 15-44). Overall, the rate for Western Europe is about 1/2 the US rate. (Eastern Europe, by contrast, has much higher abortion rates than the US.) http://www.guttmacher.org/pubs/journals/25s3099.html[^]

                                        John Carson

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                                        • I Ilion

                                          CaptainSeeSharp wrote:

                                          John Carson: The abortion rate is much higher in the US than in many European countries. CaptainSeeSharp: Percentage or raw numbers? The US has a higher population so its numbers would be higher.

                                          Even if John Carson's claim should be true ... the US *also* has more babies per capita than the European countries do.

                                          J Offline
                                          J Offline
                                          John Carson
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #20

                                          Ilíon wrote:

                                          Even if John Carson's claim should be true ... the US *also* has more babies per capita than the European countries do.

                                          This is relevant because...? Surely you are not suggesting that if one woman has an extra child, then that morally cancels out an abortion (of her own or someone else's child).

                                          John Carson

                                          B 1 Reply Last reply
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