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  3. 2030 China drops to #2

2030 China drops to #2

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved The Lounge
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  • H Henry Minute

    O....M....G Only a few more years before the first of that 180 Million types their first faltering "Codezzzzzzz Plzzzzzzzzz". AAAAAAaaaaaaaaaaarrrrrrgggghhhhh!!!

    Henry Minute Do not read medical books! You could die of a misprint. - Mark Twain Girl: (staring) "Why do you need an icy cucumber?" “I want to report a fraud. The government is lying to us all.” I wouldn't let CG touch my Abacus! When you're wrestling a gorilla, you don't stop when you're tired, you stop when the gorilla is.

    R Offline
    R Offline
    Rajesh R Subramanian
    wrote on last edited by
    #13

    :cool:

    "Real men drive manual transmission" - Rajesh.

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    • A Albert Holguin

      not looking at the bigger picture is a problem in most cultures!

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      urbane tiger
      wrote on last edited by
      #14

      Most of us can't even find the big picture ;) What will be the effect of gender imbalance I wonder. Put excess males in the army & send them off to war, else they may cause trouble at home.

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      • N Nemanja Trifunovic

        No surprises there. China has had a pretty slow population growth for a while (one child policy).

        utf8-cpp

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        Steve Mayfield
        wrote on last edited by
        #15

        What shocked me the most was that India has 1/8th the area of China

        Steve _________________ I C(++) therefore I am

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        • A Albert Holguin

          time for india to adopt this policy?

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          Vikram A Punathambekar
          wrote on last edited by
          #16

          Too draconian, won't work in a democracy.

          Cheers, विक्रम (Have gone past my troika - 4 CCCs!) "We have already been through this, I am not going to repeat myself." - fat_boy, in a global warming thread :doh:

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          • A AspDotNetDev

            I can't wait to book a ticket to Mars. Until then, perhaps I'll consider Canada.

            [WikiLeaks Cablegate Cables]

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            Lost User
            wrote on last edited by
            #17

            Same thing?

            Join the cool kids - Come fold with us[^]

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            • N Nemanja Trifunovic

              No surprises there. China has had a pretty slow population growth for a while (one child policy).

              utf8-cpp

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              Dan Neely
              wrote on last edited by
              #18

              With all the exceptions built into the system they actually have a "one and a half child" policy (1.47 for the nitpickers), before counting people sneaking around and having kids behind the govts back. China's official birthrate is 1.8; but since the official number has been flatlined at that level with zero variation for some years after decades of decline, most people think the real number is somewhat lower. Last year The Economist cited 1.6 as a likely correct value.

              3x12=36 2x12=24 1x12=12 0x12=18

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              • U urbane tiger

                Most of us can't even find the big picture ;) What will be the effect of gender imbalance I wonder. Put excess males in the army & send them off to war, else they may cause trouble at home.

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                Albert Holguin
                wrote on last edited by
                #19

                yeah, that imbalance is definitely going to be a big problem eventually

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                • V Vikram A Punathambekar

                  Too draconian, won't work in a democracy.

                  Cheers, विक्रम (Have gone past my troika - 4 CCCs!) "We have already been through this, I am not going to repeat myself." - fat_boy, in a global warming thread :doh:

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                  Albert Holguin
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #20

                  well definitely forcing people to do it wouldn't work in a democracy, but there has to be some way to slow the population... that rate of growth is just ridiculous... maybe incentives for single child families?

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                  • A Albert Holguin

                    yeah, that imbalance is definitely going to be a big problem eventually

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                    Dan Neely
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #21

                    Yeah. The first round of countries to have this problem (South Korea, Taiwan, etc) were able to mitigate the issue locally by importing brides from poorer regions until their rising affluence began to counter the selection problem. Mainland China and India are both too big to solve it that way, and because testing is much cheaper now than it was a few decades ago have much larger problems proportionally as well.

                    3x12=36 2x12=24 1x12=12 0x12=18

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                    • A Albert Holguin

                      well definitely forcing people to do it wouldn't work in a democracy, but there has to be some way to slow the population... that rate of growth is just ridiculous... maybe incentives for single child families?

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                      D Offline
                      Dan Neely
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #22

                      There is. Rising affluence and urbanization. Huge families with a zillion kids are an asset for subsistence farmers because the kids can begin contributing labor very early in life; for factory/office workers who have to pay for childcare and education instead kids are a financial liability and family sizes shrink after a generation or two. This change is known as the demographic transition[^]. The good news is that the current round of developing countries are undergoing a more rapid transition than most of the current developed countries did.

                      3x12=36 2x12=24 1x12=12 0x12=18

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