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  3. Is the Bitcoin bubble going to burst (soon)?

Is the Bitcoin bubble going to burst (soon)?

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  • D DaveAuld

    I have been watching with interest over the last week at the continuing rise in Bitcoin and other leading digital currencies. It was only a few days ago that it had crossed the 2000 usd mark, and today has seen continued rise and is currently sitting around the $2700 and basically double where it was on a few weeks ago. Of course there is also a lot of interest in Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple, the later I had never heard of until only a couple of days ago. I remember I had mined some Dogecoin back in 2014, and it has sat in a backed up wallet, back then it was worth 25 USD and now is apparently valued at 340 or something like that. When you start digging around and looking at various financial analysts making statements of 10K USD by the end of the year, to 1M USD in the next 5 years once the currency stabilises, which have to wonder if this is all going to end in tears. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but when I think back to when I contemplated buying at 600usd, and then again at 1300usd...is it time to take a punt or not! Anybody here been stashing and forgot about them? Or anyone else following what's going on?

    Dave Find Me On:Web|Youtube|Facebook|Twitter|LinkedIn Folding Stats: Team CodeProject

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Lost User
    wrote on last edited by
    #7

    Is the Bitcoin bubble going to burst? For sure. When? Who knows. Should you invest? How is your appetite for risk? Three reasons to fear the coming crash in bitcoins - MarketWatch[^] Five Of The Largest Asset Bubbles In History | Investopedia[^]

    Peter Wasser "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." - Bertrand Russell

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    • L Lost User

      Is the Bitcoin bubble going to burst? For sure. When? Who knows. Should you invest? How is your appetite for risk? Three reasons to fear the coming crash in bitcoins - MarketWatch[^] Five Of The Largest Asset Bubbles In History | Investopedia[^]

      Peter Wasser "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." - Bertrand Russell

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #8

      When would you define something to be in a "bubble"? It's not like you see BitCoins everywhere, with people dumping bonds and stocks to "get into" BitCoin.

      Bastard Programmer from Hell :suss: If you can't read my code, try converting it here[^][](X-Clacks-Overhead: GNU Terry Pratchett)

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      • D DaveAuld

        I have been watching with interest over the last week at the continuing rise in Bitcoin and other leading digital currencies. It was only a few days ago that it had crossed the 2000 usd mark, and today has seen continued rise and is currently sitting around the $2700 and basically double where it was on a few weeks ago. Of course there is also a lot of interest in Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple, the later I had never heard of until only a couple of days ago. I remember I had mined some Dogecoin back in 2014, and it has sat in a backed up wallet, back then it was worth 25 USD and now is apparently valued at 340 or something like that. When you start digging around and looking at various financial analysts making statements of 10K USD by the end of the year, to 1M USD in the next 5 years once the currency stabilises, which have to wonder if this is all going to end in tears. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but when I think back to when I contemplated buying at 600usd, and then again at 1300usd...is it time to take a punt or not! Anybody here been stashing and forgot about them? Or anyone else following what's going on?

        Dave Find Me On:Web|Youtube|Facebook|Twitter|LinkedIn Folding Stats: Team CodeProject

        B Offline
        B Offline
        BillWoodruff
        wrote on last edited by
        #9

        Yes.

        «When I consider my brief span of life, swallowed up in an eternity before and after, the little space I fill, and even can see, engulfed in the infinite immensity of spaces of which I am ignorant, and which know me not, I am frightened, and am astonished at being here rather than there; for there is no reason why here rather than there, now rather than then.» Blaise Pascal

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        • L Lost User

          When would you define something to be in a "bubble"? It's not like you see BitCoins everywhere, with people dumping bonds and stocks to "get into" BitCoin.

          Bastard Programmer from Hell :suss: If you can't read my code, try converting it here[^][](X-Clacks-Overhead: GNU Terry Pratchett)

          L Offline
          L Offline
          Lost User
          wrote on last edited by
          #10

          Eddy Vluggen wrote:

          When would you define something to be in a "bubble"?

          We only have to look at Bitcoin directly. The rapid rise in price and high turnovers are the clear signals. What do people mean when they say there is a "bubble" going on in the market, such as a "housing bubble" or a "technology bubble"?[^] What intrinsic aspect of Bitcoin should make it's value rise so rapidly against $US, British Pound and Euro?

          Peter Wasser "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." - Bertrand Russell

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          • L Lost User

            Eddy Vluggen wrote:

            When would you define something to be in a "bubble"?

            We only have to look at Bitcoin directly. The rapid rise in price and high turnovers are the clear signals. What do people mean when they say there is a "bubble" going on in the market, such as a "housing bubble" or a "technology bubble"?[^] What intrinsic aspect of Bitcoin should make it's value rise so rapidly against $US, British Pound and Euro?

            Peter Wasser "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." - Bertrand Russell

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Lost User
            wrote on last edited by
            #11

            ..because you deem the fair price to be around what? :)

            Bastard Programmer from Hell :suss: If you can't read my code, try converting it here[^][](X-Clacks-Overhead: GNU Terry Pratchett)

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            • D DaveAuld

              I have been watching with interest over the last week at the continuing rise in Bitcoin and other leading digital currencies. It was only a few days ago that it had crossed the 2000 usd mark, and today has seen continued rise and is currently sitting around the $2700 and basically double where it was on a few weeks ago. Of course there is also a lot of interest in Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple, the later I had never heard of until only a couple of days ago. I remember I had mined some Dogecoin back in 2014, and it has sat in a backed up wallet, back then it was worth 25 USD and now is apparently valued at 340 or something like that. When you start digging around and looking at various financial analysts making statements of 10K USD by the end of the year, to 1M USD in the next 5 years once the currency stabilises, which have to wonder if this is all going to end in tears. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but when I think back to when I contemplated buying at 600usd, and then again at 1300usd...is it time to take a punt or not! Anybody here been stashing and forgot about them? Or anyone else following what's going on?

              Dave Find Me On:Web|Youtube|Facebook|Twitter|LinkedIn Folding Stats: Team CodeProject

              W Offline
              W Offline
              W Balboos GHB
              wrote on last edited by
              #12

              I would cheer it on. 1 - Online Extortion relies heavily on this type of currency. They'd suddenly be broke. 2 - If they did extortion with real currency it could be traced and we could boil them in oil. 3 - If they cashed in their bitcoin, the appearance of real money would be traceable (and taxable). So, when I hear that flushing sound I'll be quite pleased.

              Ravings en masse^

              "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

              "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

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              • L Lost User

                ..because you deem the fair price to be around what? :)

                Bastard Programmer from Hell :suss: If you can't read my code, try converting it here[^][](X-Clacks-Overhead: GNU Terry Pratchett)

                L Offline
                L Offline
                Lost User
                wrote on last edited by
                #13

                I don't care but it should be stable to be a real currency else what's the point. This is a vehicle for spruikers.

                Peter Wasser "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." - Bertrand Russell

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                • L Lost User

                  I don't care but it should be stable to be a real currency else what's the point. This is a vehicle for spruikers.

                  Peter Wasser "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." - Bertrand Russell

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #14

                  pwasser wrote:

                  I don't care but it should be stable to be a real currency else what's the point.

                  No, it doesn't. Even in fiat-currencies there are swings and speculators. Few centuries ago, the Spanish flooded the silver and gold markets. That made the value go down wildly, but did not make it any less of a currency. Most people would prefer to hold their "value" in a currency that has room to grow in value, when compared to a currency that is debased by choice.

                  Bastard Programmer from Hell :suss: If you can't read my code, try converting it here[^][](X-Clacks-Overhead: GNU Terry Pratchett)

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                  • W W Balboos GHB

                    I would cheer it on. 1 - Online Extortion relies heavily on this type of currency. They'd suddenly be broke. 2 - If they did extortion with real currency it could be traced and we could boil them in oil. 3 - If they cashed in their bitcoin, the appearance of real money would be traceable (and taxable). So, when I hear that flushing sound I'll be quite pleased.

                    Ravings en masse^

                    "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                    "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Lost User
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #15

                    W∴ Balboos wrote:

                    1 - Online Extortion relies heavily on this type of currency. They'd suddenly be broke.

                    Because ransomware did not exist before the introduction of the BitCoin?

                    W∴ Balboos wrote:

                    2 - If they did extortion with real currency it could be traced and we could boil them in oil.

                    No, thanks to banks a lot of electronic fiat cannot be traced. Which reminds me, I got a donation to your name in the value of a million dollar. You just need to transfer 3000 dollar in administration fees :)

                    W∴ Balboos wrote:

                    3 - If they cashed in their bitcoin, the appearance of real money would be traceable (and taxable).

                    There's nothing to cash in - BC is cash*. -- *) for the given context.

                    Bastard Programmer from Hell :suss: If you can't read my code, try converting it here[^][](X-Clacks-Overhead: GNU Terry Pratchett)

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                    • L Lost User

                      pwasser wrote:

                      I don't care but it should be stable to be a real currency else what's the point.

                      No, it doesn't. Even in fiat-currencies there are swings and speculators. Few centuries ago, the Spanish flooded the silver and gold markets. That made the value go down wildly, but did not make it any less of a currency. Most people would prefer to hold their "value" in a currency that has room to grow in value, when compared to a currency that is debased by choice.

                      Bastard Programmer from Hell :suss: If you can't read my code, try converting it here[^][](X-Clacks-Overhead: GNU Terry Pratchett)

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Lost User
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #16

                      I've made my point. Let's see how Bitcoin shapes up.

                      Peter Wasser "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." - Bertrand Russell

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                      • W W Balboos GHB

                        I would cheer it on. 1 - Online Extortion relies heavily on this type of currency. They'd suddenly be broke. 2 - If they did extortion with real currency it could be traced and we could boil them in oil. 3 - If they cashed in their bitcoin, the appearance of real money would be traceable (and taxable). So, when I hear that flushing sound I'll be quite pleased.

                        Ravings en masse^

                        "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                        "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                        F Offline
                        F Offline
                        F ES Sitecore
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #17

                        Quite. So many people banging on about nonsense like this...we need VPNs so the government can't track what we do, we need WhatsApp so the government can't snoop on us, we need Bitcoin so the greedy bank fat cats don't control our money. The only actual use for all of these things are terrorism and criminal activities....news flash, the government couldn't care less what non-consequential nonsense you're talking to your irrelevant friends.

                        L 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • D DaveAuld

                          I have been watching with interest over the last week at the continuing rise in Bitcoin and other leading digital currencies. It was only a few days ago that it had crossed the 2000 usd mark, and today has seen continued rise and is currently sitting around the $2700 and basically double where it was on a few weeks ago. Of course there is also a lot of interest in Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple, the later I had never heard of until only a couple of days ago. I remember I had mined some Dogecoin back in 2014, and it has sat in a backed up wallet, back then it was worth 25 USD and now is apparently valued at 340 or something like that. When you start digging around and looking at various financial analysts making statements of 10K USD by the end of the year, to 1M USD in the next 5 years once the currency stabilises, which have to wonder if this is all going to end in tears. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but when I think back to when I contemplated buying at 600usd, and then again at 1300usd...is it time to take a punt or not! Anybody here been stashing and forgot about them? Or anyone else following what's going on?

                          Dave Find Me On:Web|Youtube|Facebook|Twitter|LinkedIn Folding Stats: Team CodeProject

                          D Offline
                          D Offline
                          Daniel Pfeffer
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #18

                          They say (in Hebrew) that prophecy was given to small children, deaf-mutes, and madmen. In which category do you place CPians? :)

                          If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill

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                          • D Daniel Pfeffer

                            They say (in Hebrew) that prophecy was given to small children, deaf-mutes, and madmen. In which category do you place CPians? :)

                            If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #19

                            Daniel Pfeffer wrote:

                            They say (in Hebrew) that prophecy was given to small children, deaf-mutes, and madmen. In which category do you place CPians? :)

                            small children, love to fight and usually deliver nonsense. (deaf mutes are just dumb bad listeners and madmen are in fact logical in their own way.)

                            Sin tack the any key okay

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                            • F F ES Sitecore

                              Quite. So many people banging on about nonsense like this...we need VPNs so the government can't track what we do, we need WhatsApp so the government can't snoop on us, we need Bitcoin so the greedy bank fat cats don't control our money. The only actual use for all of these things are terrorism and criminal activities....news flash, the government couldn't care less what non-consequential nonsense you're talking to your irrelevant friends.

                              L Offline
                              L Offline
                              Lost User
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #20

                              F-ES Sitecore wrote:

                              the government couldn't care less what non-consequential nonsense you're talking to your irrelevant friends

                              Not so sure about that.. [Europe’s Freedom of Speech Fail | Foreign Policy](http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/07/07/europes-freedom-of-speech-fail/) [EU states approve plans to make social media firms tackle hate speech| Reuters](http://uk.reuters.com/article/us-eu-hatespeech-socialmedia-idUKKBN18J25C) When I see terms like "hate speech" and "social cohesion" I get worried.. sounds an awful lot like excuses for "censorship" to me.

                              Now is it bad enough that you let somebody else kick your butts without you trying to do it to each other? Now if we're all talking about the same man, and I think we are... it appears he's got a rather growing collection of our bikes.

                              F 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • D DaveAuld

                                I have been watching with interest over the last week at the continuing rise in Bitcoin and other leading digital currencies. It was only a few days ago that it had crossed the 2000 usd mark, and today has seen continued rise and is currently sitting around the $2700 and basically double where it was on a few weeks ago. Of course there is also a lot of interest in Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple, the later I had never heard of until only a couple of days ago. I remember I had mined some Dogecoin back in 2014, and it has sat in a backed up wallet, back then it was worth 25 USD and now is apparently valued at 340 or something like that. When you start digging around and looking at various financial analysts making statements of 10K USD by the end of the year, to 1M USD in the next 5 years once the currency stabilises, which have to wonder if this is all going to end in tears. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but when I think back to when I contemplated buying at 600usd, and then again at 1300usd...is it time to take a punt or not! Anybody here been stashing and forgot about them? Or anyone else following what's going on?

                                Dave Find Me On:Web|Youtube|Facebook|Twitter|LinkedIn Folding Stats: Team CodeProject

                                L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Lost User
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #21

                                When looking into investments and trying to grow my wallet, I always take the stance of risk vs reward. I learned on Eve Online "Only fly what you can afford to lose." Invest what you can afford to lose; that way, if you win, you win big, but if you lose, you just suffer a "little" regret and nothing more.

                                When you are dead, you won't even know that you are dead. It's a pain only felt by others. Same thing when you are stupid.

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • D DaveAuld

                                  I have been watching with interest over the last week at the continuing rise in Bitcoin and other leading digital currencies. It was only a few days ago that it had crossed the 2000 usd mark, and today has seen continued rise and is currently sitting around the $2700 and basically double where it was on a few weeks ago. Of course there is also a lot of interest in Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple, the later I had never heard of until only a couple of days ago. I remember I had mined some Dogecoin back in 2014, and it has sat in a backed up wallet, back then it was worth 25 USD and now is apparently valued at 340 or something like that. When you start digging around and looking at various financial analysts making statements of 10K USD by the end of the year, to 1M USD in the next 5 years once the currency stabilises, which have to wonder if this is all going to end in tears. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but when I think back to when I contemplated buying at 600usd, and then again at 1300usd...is it time to take a punt or not! Anybody here been stashing and forgot about them? Or anyone else following what's going on?

                                  Dave Find Me On:Web|Youtube|Facebook|Twitter|LinkedIn Folding Stats: Team CodeProject

                                  T Offline
                                  T Offline
                                  Tomaz Stih 0
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #22

                                  Yes. And all I want to know in life right now is how to short the damn thing. :cool:

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                                  • L Lost User

                                    F-ES Sitecore wrote:

                                    the government couldn't care less what non-consequential nonsense you're talking to your irrelevant friends

                                    Not so sure about that.. [Europe’s Freedom of Speech Fail | Foreign Policy](http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/07/07/europes-freedom-of-speech-fail/) [EU states approve plans to make social media firms tackle hate speech| Reuters](http://uk.reuters.com/article/us-eu-hatespeech-socialmedia-idUKKBN18J25C) When I see terms like "hate speech" and "social cohesion" I get worried.. sounds an awful lot like excuses for "censorship" to me.

                                    Now is it bad enough that you let somebody else kick your butts without you trying to do it to each other? Now if we're all talking about the same man, and I think we are... it appears he's got a rather growing collection of our bikes.

                                    F Offline
                                    F Offline
                                    F ES Sitecore
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #23

                                    Those laws only apply to nasty things you say to celebrities on Twitter, so pretty niche market.

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                                    • F F ES Sitecore

                                      Those laws only apply to nasty things you say to celebrities on Twitter, so pretty niche market.

                                      L Offline
                                      L Offline
                                      Lost User
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #24

                                      It's being extended out to all social media.. And who gets to decide what's nasty? Is this a crackdown on people expressing their concerns and/or disapproval of the EU, mass migration, multiculturalism, terrorism, etc? I remember how the media tried to cover up the Cologne New Year attacks and how the media were complicit in covering up the events of Rotherham.. dangerous times. :( [Censorship of Facebook - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Censorship\_of\_Facebook#Germany)

                                      Quote:

                                      In 2015, during the refugee crisis with large numbers of immigrants entering the country unregulated, a broad discussion about the problems of mass immigration and politics of the actual government took place in social media. In this situation a campaign was started to force Facebook to erase right wing hate speech. Early in 2016, a Bertelsmann company called "Arvato" was mandated to erase comments and contents from Facebook.[15] Rules and procedure for that censorship, as well as the juridical base is not clear at the moment (January 2016).

                                      Now is it bad enough that you let somebody else kick your butts without you trying to do it to each other? Now if we're all talking about the same man, and I think we are... it appears he's got a rather growing collection of our bikes.

                                      F 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • T Tomaz Stih 0

                                        Yes. And all I want to know in life right now is how to short the damn thing. :cool:

                                        L Offline
                                        L Offline
                                        Lost User
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #25

                                        fx trading allows for that, and with margin trading so you only need to put a small amount down - but margin trading not for the faint hearted - even small moves are amplified by the margin percentage. I occasionally dabble in fx trading through oanda, (can set up a demo account and 'practice' trade on real data - stops any chance to cheat as opposed to using historical data.) They have a few trading platform variants including online, metatrade, mobile apps and even api's so it's even possible to write your own platform.

                                        Sin tack the any key okay

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • L Lost User

                                          It's being extended out to all social media.. And who gets to decide what's nasty? Is this a crackdown on people expressing their concerns and/or disapproval of the EU, mass migration, multiculturalism, terrorism, etc? I remember how the media tried to cover up the Cologne New Year attacks and how the media were complicit in covering up the events of Rotherham.. dangerous times. :( [Censorship of Facebook - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Censorship\_of\_Facebook#Germany)

                                          Quote:

                                          In 2015, during the refugee crisis with large numbers of immigrants entering the country unregulated, a broad discussion about the problems of mass immigration and politics of the actual government took place in social media. In this situation a campaign was started to force Facebook to erase right wing hate speech. Early in 2016, a Bertelsmann company called "Arvato" was mandated to erase comments and contents from Facebook.[15] Rules and procedure for that censorship, as well as the juridical base is not clear at the moment (January 2016).

                                          Now is it bad enough that you let somebody else kick your butts without you trying to do it to each other? Now if we're all talking about the same man, and I think we are... it appears he's got a rather growing collection of our bikes.

                                          F Offline
                                          F Offline
                                          F ES Sitecore
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #26

                                          I was being facetious :) I’ve noted that the only time you ever see these laws enforced or the only time they make the headlines is when someone has called Katy Price fat or suggested Prince William was bald.

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