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  4. On alarmist crap, otherwise known as climate change...

On alarmist crap, otherwise known as climate change...

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  • M Munchies_Matt

    Just 96 months to save world, says Prince Charles | The Independent[^] "The heir to the throne told an audience of industrialists and environmentalists at St James's Palace last night that he had calculated that we have just 96 months left to save the world." That was in 2009. We just passed 96 months this week. Of course anyone who disagreed with him was a 'denier'. :) And people wonder why we dont take them seriously...

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    ZurdoDev
    wrote on last edited by
    #14

    Munchies_Matt wrote:

    We just passed 96 months this week.

    I think he may have forgotten to carry the 1 in his calculations. :-D

    There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate from incomplete data. There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.

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    • M Munchies_Matt

      How is the planet being there every day 'taking pleasure in someone else's misfortune'?

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      Lost User
      wrote on last edited by
      #15

      Well, you proved them all wrong didn't you? :laugh:

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      • L Lost User

        Well, you proved them all wrong didn't you? :laugh:

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        Nelek
        wrote on last edited by
        #16

        mandatory xkCD[^]

        M.D.V. ;) If something has a solution... Why do we have to worry about?. If it has no solution... For what reason do we have to worry about? Help me to understand what I'm saying, and I'll explain it better to you Rating helpful answers is nice, but saying thanks can be even nicer.

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        • M Munchies_Matt

          Just 96 months to save world, says Prince Charles | The Independent[^] "The heir to the throne told an audience of industrialists and environmentalists at St James's Palace last night that he had calculated that we have just 96 months left to save the world." That was in 2009. We just passed 96 months this week. Of course anyone who disagreed with him was a 'denier'. :) And people wonder why we dont take them seriously...

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          K Offline
          Kyle Moyer
          wrote on last edited by
          #17

          So, I recall reading an article some time ago about the planet already having crossed the point of no return with regard to 'devastating' climate change. I Googled, and this article seems like what I'm probably thinking of: The World Passes 400 PPM Threshold. Permanently[^] That was back in late September of 2016. The gist here is that, at this point, we can only keep things from getting worse. Those bad things that scientists have been warning everyone about for decades? They're going to happen. They're already happening. Even if we stopped all artificial addition of CO2 to the atmosphere, coastal regions are still going to flood, coral reefs are still going to be damaged, and heat waves and droughts are going to get worse. We are past the point of being able to avoid any serious consequences. We're in the damage mitigation phase now. And our lovely denier 'President' Trump decided he didn't want any part of the Paris Climate Agreement. Good job. Guess he would prefer the White House to be beach-front property... :doh:

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          • K Kyle Moyer

            So, I recall reading an article some time ago about the planet already having crossed the point of no return with regard to 'devastating' climate change. I Googled, and this article seems like what I'm probably thinking of: The World Passes 400 PPM Threshold. Permanently[^] That was back in late September of 2016. The gist here is that, at this point, we can only keep things from getting worse. Those bad things that scientists have been warning everyone about for decades? They're going to happen. They're already happening. Even if we stopped all artificial addition of CO2 to the atmosphere, coastal regions are still going to flood, coral reefs are still going to be damaged, and heat waves and droughts are going to get worse. We are past the point of being able to avoid any serious consequences. We're in the damage mitigation phase now. And our lovely denier 'President' Trump decided he didn't want any part of the Paris Climate Agreement. Good job. Guess he would prefer the White House to be beach-front property... :doh:

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            Nelek
            wrote on last edited by
            #18

            You know you have just opened Pandora's Box, don't you?

            M.D.V. ;) If something has a solution... Why do we have to worry about?. If it has no solution... For what reason do we have to worry about? Help me to understand what I'm saying, and I'll explain it better to you Rating helpful answers is nice, but saying thanks can be even nicer.

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            • L Lost User

              Well, you proved them all wrong didn't you? :laugh:

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              M Offline
              Munchies_Matt
              wrote on last edited by
              #19

              Ah, OK. :confused:

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              • K Kyle Moyer

                So, I recall reading an article some time ago about the planet already having crossed the point of no return with regard to 'devastating' climate change. I Googled, and this article seems like what I'm probably thinking of: The World Passes 400 PPM Threshold. Permanently[^] That was back in late September of 2016. The gist here is that, at this point, we can only keep things from getting worse. Those bad things that scientists have been warning everyone about for decades? They're going to happen. They're already happening. Even if we stopped all artificial addition of CO2 to the atmosphere, coastal regions are still going to flood, coral reefs are still going to be damaged, and heat waves and droughts are going to get worse. We are past the point of being able to avoid any serious consequences. We're in the damage mitigation phase now. And our lovely denier 'President' Trump decided he didn't want any part of the Paris Climate Agreement. Good job. Guess he would prefer the White House to be beach-front property... :doh:

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                Munchies_Matt
                wrote on last edited by
                #20

                You see this is where we disagree. Everything you are saying sounds like nothing more than 'chicken little, the sky is falling' alarmism, which is based not in science, but in fantasy. There is nothing to worry about. A bit of sea level rise, a bit of warming, much more plant growth. Thats what science AND data actually say. Take a look out the window. What do you see thats a problem?

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                • M Munchies_Matt

                  Just 96 months to save world, says Prince Charles | The Independent[^] "The heir to the throne told an audience of industrialists and environmentalists at St James's Palace last night that he had calculated that we have just 96 months left to save the world." That was in 2009. We just passed 96 months this week. Of course anyone who disagreed with him was a 'denier'. :) And people wonder why we dont take them seriously...

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                  jschell
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #21

                  Munchies_Matt wrote:

                  Of course anyone who disagreed with him was a 'denier'

                  Has nothing to do with him. And there was no scientific consensus about his statements. Just as there isn't for his contention that Complementary Alternative Medicine is viable. Deniers are those that ignore all of science and cherry pick the rare study that temporarily supports their position or worse rely on poor studies or even just commentary that is wrong.

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                  • N Nelek

                    You know you have just opened Pandora's Box, don't you?

                    M.D.V. ;) If something has a solution... Why do we have to worry about?. If it has no solution... For what reason do we have to worry about? Help me to understand what I'm saying, and I'll explain it better to you Rating helpful answers is nice, but saying thanks can be even nicer.

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                    K Offline
                    Kyle Moyer
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #22

                    Perhaps. But like religion, I welcome a calm, grounded, debate on the topic. You'd be surprised what people can learn from each other if they are just willing to behave like adults. ;P

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                    • M Munchies_Matt

                      You see this is where we disagree. Everything you are saying sounds like nothing more than 'chicken little, the sky is falling' alarmism, which is based not in science, but in fantasy. There is nothing to worry about. A bit of sea level rise, a bit of warming, much more plant growth. Thats what science AND data actually say. Take a look out the window. What do you see thats a problem?

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                      K Offline
                      Kyle Moyer
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #23

                      Well, I'm not a climatologist. But like any rational person, I'm willing to defer to others that are more expert on a topic than I am. That said, I don't blindly trust everything an 'expert' claims; I still dissect the topic critically, and try to discern if what they are claiming passes the sanity test. So, when I am presented with historical data about how atmospheric CO2 has consistently risen (and fallen, as part of the natural recapturing process in the summer growing season, however less,) then it passes the sanity test. We keep burning fossil fuels, CO2 rises, planet gets hotter. Basic, historically supported, cause and effect. The planet is also much warmer than it should be, compared to historical data and models (the planet has had hot and cold periods, cyclically, for millions of years, but currently we're hotter than previous data shows we should be.) Now, are we past the point of no return? I'm not qualified to answer that question. To me it looks like we are. We're already seeing environmental issues related to the rise in the average temperature of the planet (coral bleaching, sea level changes, heat waves...) So if more CO2 makes the planet hotter, and the current heat level is causing problems... And we aren't actively removing CO2 from the atmosphere... To me, that says the problem is going to get worse before it gets better. If you have a measured argument to the contrary, I'm happy to listen.

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                      • K Kyle Moyer

                        Well, I'm not a climatologist. But like any rational person, I'm willing to defer to others that are more expert on a topic than I am. That said, I don't blindly trust everything an 'expert' claims; I still dissect the topic critically, and try to discern if what they are claiming passes the sanity test. So, when I am presented with historical data about how atmospheric CO2 has consistently risen (and fallen, as part of the natural recapturing process in the summer growing season, however less,) then it passes the sanity test. We keep burning fossil fuels, CO2 rises, planet gets hotter. Basic, historically supported, cause and effect. The planet is also much warmer than it should be, compared to historical data and models (the planet has had hot and cold periods, cyclically, for millions of years, but currently we're hotter than previous data shows we should be.) Now, are we past the point of no return? I'm not qualified to answer that question. To me it looks like we are. We're already seeing environmental issues related to the rise in the average temperature of the planet (coral bleaching, sea level changes, heat waves...) So if more CO2 makes the planet hotter, and the current heat level is causing problems... And we aren't actively removing CO2 from the atmosphere... To me, that says the problem is going to get worse before it gets better. If you have a measured argument to the contrary, I'm happy to listen.

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                        Munchies_Matt
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #24

                        Kyle Moyer wrote:

                        I'm willing to defer to others that are more expert on a topic than I am

                        And there are a lot of experts who say climate response to CO2 is on the low side. DO you pay any ayention to them? It seems not.

                        Kyle Moyer wrote:

                        So, when I am presented with historical data about how atmospheric CO2 has consistently risen (and fallen, as part of the natural recapturing process in the summer growing season, however less,) then it passes the sanity test. We keep burning fossil fuels, CO2 rises, planet gets hotter. Basic, historically supported, cause and effect

                        Ice core data you mean? You do know CO2 lags temperature in this data thus suggesting the cause and effect is backwards, and merely a case of warm water being able to hold less CO2? It is called outgassing. Many experts have discussed this, Carl Wunsh is one such expert. Have you heard of him?

                        Kyle Moyer wrote:

                        he planet is also much warmer than it should be, compared to historical data and models

                        Define 'should'. Who decides what it is? Taking a look at greenland ice core data (represents the norther hemisphere nicely): [^] you can see long periods where it was a degree or two warmer than today. As for comparing the earth to models and saying the earth is warmer than it should be, this is crazy. How can you say a thing that imperfectly models another has greater veracity?

                        Kyle Moyer wrote:

                        To me it looks like we are

                        Another past temperature graph going back much further: [^] Today we are a massive 11C colder than most of the earths history so for whatever reason, it has got a lot colder. This means that there is no 'tipping point', no 'point of no return'.

                        Kyle Moyer wrote:

                        We're already seeing environmental issues related to the rise in the average temperature of the planet (coral bleaching, sea level changes, heat waves...)

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                        • M Munchies_Matt

                          Just 96 months to save world, says Prince Charles | The Independent[^] "The heir to the throne told an audience of industrialists and environmentalists at St James's Palace last night that he had calculated that we have just 96 months left to save the world." That was in 2009. We just passed 96 months this week. Of course anyone who disagreed with him was a 'denier'. :) And people wonder why we dont take them seriously...

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                          Chris Quinn
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #25

                          What does an unemployed, spoonfed aristo with a poor degree in archaeology know? Maybe the plants he talked to told him?

                          ========================================================= I'm an optoholic - my glass is always half full of vodka. =========================================================

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                          • J jschell

                            Munchies_Matt wrote:

                            Of course anyone who disagreed with him was a 'denier'

                            Has nothing to do with him. And there was no scientific consensus about his statements. Just as there isn't for his contention that Complementary Alternative Medicine is viable. Deniers are those that ignore all of science and cherry pick the rare study that temporarily supports their position or worse rely on poor studies or even just commentary that is wrong.

                            M Offline
                            M Offline
                            Munchies_Matt
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #26

                            jschell wrote:

                            scientific consensus

                            :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: You live in a dream world. Science is CONTENTIOUS, not CONSENSUS! :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:

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                            • M Munchies_Matt

                              jschell wrote:

                              scientific consensus

                              :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: You live in a dream world. Science is CONTENTIOUS, not CONSENSUS! :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:

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                              jschell
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #27

                              Munchies_Matt wrote:

                              Science is CONTENTIOUS, not CONSENSUS!

                              First of course I was not referring to the entire field of science but rather one specific part of it. Second rather certain that many things in science are accepted by consensus. The consensus is that the world is round. There is no contention. This is because there are many different ways in which the facts support the theory. Scientists who specialize in studying the planet are specifically knowledgeable about how that is done and other people versed in technology such as biologists, doctors, engineers, etc accept the consensus. There are many things like that in many different branches of science. The only people that even touch upon the basic science are undergrads repeating experiments/proofs as part of basic science courses and even those do not repeat many of the tests.

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                              • J jschell

                                Munchies_Matt wrote:

                                Science is CONTENTIOUS, not CONSENSUS!

                                First of course I was not referring to the entire field of science but rather one specific part of it. Second rather certain that many things in science are accepted by consensus. The consensus is that the world is round. There is no contention. This is because there are many different ways in which the facts support the theory. Scientists who specialize in studying the planet are specifically knowledgeable about how that is done and other people versed in technology such as biologists, doctors, engineers, etc accept the consensus. There are many things like that in many different branches of science. The only people that even touch upon the basic science are undergrads repeating experiments/proofs as part of basic science courses and even those do not repeat many of the tests.

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                                M Offline
                                Munchies_Matt
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #28

                                Actually it is an oblate spheroid... I am obviously talking about the frontier of science. But you knew that already.

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                                • M Munchies_Matt

                                  Actually it is an oblate spheroid... I am obviously talking about the frontier of science. But you knew that already.

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                                  jschell
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #29

                                  What part of the following is not clear to you? Or did you just choose to ignore that? I was not referring to the entire field of science but rather one specific part of it.

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                                  • J jschell

                                    What part of the following is not clear to you? Or did you just choose to ignore that? I was not referring to the entire field of science but rather one specific part of it.

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                                    M Offline
                                    Munchies_Matt
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #30

                                    :zzz: :zzz: :zzz:

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                                    • M Munchies_Matt

                                      :zzz: :zzz: :zzz:

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                                      jschell
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #31

                                      So presumably you didn't understand it.

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