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Quo Vadis, Britain

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  • M Munchies_Matt

    It means MPs hate her deal, but they hate Corbyn more! :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: Which given he is a trotskyite (seriously) left wing, neo communist, twat, is understandable. (He really is quite stupid too) 51% of British public want Brexit 80% of MPs want remain Mays deal was an attempt to give everyone 90% of what they wanted, ie, a soft, steady Brexit MPs are voting on what THEY want, not their constituents No one is prepared to compromise and find middle ground There is no plan B, the EU has no other deal on the table, and if they did, unless the extremes in the UK can compromise, it will also get voted down On march 29th we leave the EU according to EU law, and if no deal is done by then, then it is a hard brexit. UK remainer MPs are trying desperately to change the law If theses MPs acchieve this, and keep the UK in the EU, there will be a public uproar and anti govt action It is possible the Queen could intervene and close parliament (she is an EU sceptic) Politics has ben unusual the last two years. The Brexit referendum result caused the resignation of all the leaders of the political parties, has caused the most unusual voting in the last two days, as you point out, and might even cause the Queen to dissolve parliament! Literally anything can happen! :)

    Richard DeemingR Offline
    Richard DeemingR Offline
    Richard Deeming
    wrote on last edited by
    #13

    Munchies_Matt wrote:

    51% of British public want Brexit

    Do you have a source for that figure? Or are you extrapolating from the results of the 2016 referendum?


    "These people looked deep within my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined." - Homer

    "These people looked deep within my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined" - Homer

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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    • Richard DeemingR Richard Deeming

      Munchies_Matt wrote:

      51% of British public want Brexit

      Do you have a source for that figure? Or are you extrapolating from the results of the 2016 referendum?


      "These people looked deep within my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined." - Homer

      M Offline
      M Offline
      Munchies_Matt
      wrote on last edited by
      #14

      From the referendum. I fact it was nearer 52%

      Richard DeemingR 1 Reply Last reply
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      • W W Balboos GHB

        Actually - this is an gloriously interesting outcome. The EU said that the offer (just soundly rejected - here here !) was it - no more negotiations. They threw the ball over to the UK as take it or leave it. Well - now the balls really back in their court. Because the left it. So - suck it up and make changes or have no exit strategy. They have to decide how much pain their pride is worth. . . . and now I am the ruler of the Queen's Navy . . .

        Ravings en masse^

        "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

        "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

        D Offline
        D Offline
        Daniel Pfeffer
        wrote on last edited by
        #15

        Now, landsmen all, whoever you may be, If you want to rise to the top of the tree, If your soul isn’t fettered to an office stool, Be careful to be guided by this golden rule – Stick close to your desks and never go to sea, And you all may be rulers of the Queen’s Navee! --G&S, HMS Pinafore

        Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows. -- 6079 Smith W.

        W 1 Reply Last reply
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        • D Daniel Pfeffer

          Now, landsmen all, whoever you may be, If you want to rise to the top of the tree, If your soul isn’t fettered to an office stool, Be careful to be guided by this golden rule – Stick close to your desks and never go to sea, And you all may be rulers of the Queen’s Navee! --G&S, HMS Pinafore

          Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows. -- 6079 Smith W.

          W Offline
          W Offline
          W Balboos GHB
          wrote on last edited by
          #16

          Well, at least someone recognized it. Hoorah!   Hoorah!   Hooray!

          Ravings en masse^

          "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

          "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • M Munchies_Matt

            From the referendum. I fact it was nearer 52%

            Richard DeemingR Offline
            Richard DeemingR Offline
            Richard Deeming
            wrote on last edited by
            #17

            But in your earlier message[^], you agreed with Guy that people's opinions have probably changed over the last two years of farcical "Brexit negotiations". So whichever way you think it's swung, it's unlikely to still be the same split. :) (I'm ignoring the fact that "people who voted in the referendum" is a subset of "the British public". We'll assume it was a statistically relevant sample, and the result can probably be extrapolated to the population as a whole.)


            "These people looked deep within my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined." - Homer

            "These people looked deep within my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined" - Homer

            M 1 Reply Last reply
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            • Richard DeemingR Richard Deeming

              But in your earlier message[^], you agreed with Guy that people's opinions have probably changed over the last two years of farcical "Brexit negotiations". So whichever way you think it's swung, it's unlikely to still be the same split. :) (I'm ignoring the fact that "people who voted in the referendum" is a subset of "the British public". We'll assume it was a statistically relevant sample, and the result can probably be extrapolated to the population as a whole.)


              "These people looked deep within my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined." - Homer

              M Offline
              M Offline
              Munchies_Matt
              wrote on last edited by
              #18

              So we know it is 52%, and has most likely swung to a stronger Brexit stance since. Crucially this is very different to what MPs think. Very few are Brexiters, like 80%+ are remainers. This is the problem getting Mays (fair) Brexit deal through the commons. They dont represent the people at all. As it is, if they dont compromise, and accept the will of the people, and that it has to be a soft brexit to give everyone 90% of what they want, then we will be in limbo until something drastic happens: 1) Civil unrest. If we dont exit then the populace is going to be mighty pissed off at MPs 2) The Queen dissolves parliament because it no longer reflects the will of the people, and new (more pro brexit MPs) get elected. These are both extreme outcomes, but if MPs continue to ignore the will of the people then extreme measures are called for. Of course the could just grow up, get together, and find the common ground. Yeah, fat chance! Bunch of moronic children that they are.

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              • L Lost User

                Not really, they started the process of ratification already. [EU urges UK government to clarify Brexit intentions – POLITICO](https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-urges-uk-government-to-clarify-brexit-intentions/) Of the existing May deal, the one the parliament rejected. There is no going back. This is not the local municipality negotiating hydro rates. Here some additional explanation: [Britain enters the 'Greek fallacy' phase of Brexit - Business Insider](https://www.businessinsider.com/britain-enters-greek-fallacy-phase-of-brexit-2018-11)

                W Offline
                W Offline
                W Balboos GHB
                wrote on last edited by
                #19

                It's politics. Whoever thinks they've the better hand calls . . . Ratification of something that's not accepted by the other side? Ludicrous comes to mind. The UK, both sides, are against it to a major extent. There are but two options left: 1 - come up with something that will pass Parliament 2 - no-deal Brexit . . . which means no UK money, either. If the Brit's are foolish enough to call another election, I would heartily support the insurrection that may result. They voted. The people spoke. Exhausting them into submission is quite outrageous. Really - after the hype dies down - "no deal" will work out just fine as it is in everyone's interests to do what we call in the states a "continuing resolution" so both sides don't bleed excessively. Meanwhile . . . admittedly on the far right . . . the seeds of Dexit are sprouting.

                Ravings en masse^

                "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                L 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • W W Balboos GHB

                  It's politics. Whoever thinks they've the better hand calls . . . Ratification of something that's not accepted by the other side? Ludicrous comes to mind. The UK, both sides, are against it to a major extent. There are but two options left: 1 - come up with something that will pass Parliament 2 - no-deal Brexit . . . which means no UK money, either. If the Brit's are foolish enough to call another election, I would heartily support the insurrection that may result. They voted. The people spoke. Exhausting them into submission is quite outrageous. Really - after the hype dies down - "no deal" will work out just fine as it is in everyone's interests to do what we call in the states a "continuing resolution" so both sides don't bleed excessively. Meanwhile . . . admittedly on the far right . . . the seeds of Dexit are sprouting.

                  Ravings en masse^

                  "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                  "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Lost User
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #20

                  It was accepted by both sides, by the negotiators of both governments. Negotiations are over and the EU has 27 member states and each individual parliament has to ratify it. Takes time and it runs out in 2 months. It's not ludicrous. One side will always be the first one to ratify it, unless they somehow synchronise their clocks :)

                  W 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • M Munchies_Matt

                    So we know it is 52%, and has most likely swung to a stronger Brexit stance since. Crucially this is very different to what MPs think. Very few are Brexiters, like 80%+ are remainers. This is the problem getting Mays (fair) Brexit deal through the commons. They dont represent the people at all. As it is, if they dont compromise, and accept the will of the people, and that it has to be a soft brexit to give everyone 90% of what they want, then we will be in limbo until something drastic happens: 1) Civil unrest. If we dont exit then the populace is going to be mighty pissed off at MPs 2) The Queen dissolves parliament because it no longer reflects the will of the people, and new (more pro brexit MPs) get elected. These are both extreme outcomes, but if MPs continue to ignore the will of the people then extreme measures are called for. Of course the could just grow up, get together, and find the common ground. Yeah, fat chance! Bunch of moronic children that they are.

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Lost User
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #21

                    Munchies_Matt wrote:

                    Of course the could just grow up, get together, and find the common ground. Yeah, fat chance! Bunch of moronic children that they are.

                    You could vote them out of office at the next opportunity...

                    M Q 2 Replies Last reply
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                    • L Lost User

                      Munchies_Matt wrote:

                      Of course the could just grow up, get together, and find the common ground. Yeah, fat chance! Bunch of moronic children that they are.

                      You could vote them out of office at the next opportunity...

                      M Offline
                      M Offline
                      Munchies_Matt
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #22

                      The next election is 2022. The British public, who voted leave, will not accept waiting until then to have their say. Instead there will be civil unrest, and it will be supported by society as a whole forcing their hand.

                      L 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • L Lost User

                        It was accepted by both sides, by the negotiators of both governments. Negotiations are over and the EU has 27 member states and each individual parliament has to ratify it. Takes time and it runs out in 2 months. It's not ludicrous. One side will always be the first one to ratify it, unless they somehow synchronise their clocks :)

                        W Offline
                        W Offline
                        W Balboos GHB
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #23

                        Urban Cricket wrote:

                        by the negotiators of both governments

                        You do realize that the negotiators aren't the ratifiers? If they were - if their deal was the done-deal - than Parliament(s) wouldn't need to vote on it, would they? So - it's a proposal that was agreed upon by the negotiators. Nothing more. So - the EU said that's the final offer. MP's said "screw that". Now we have the two options as in from my previous post: new negotiations or just a clean break. Then they can scramble to pick up the pieces.

                        Ravings en masse^

                        "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                        "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                        L 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • W W Balboos GHB

                          Actually - this is an gloriously interesting outcome. The EU said that the offer (just soundly rejected - here here !) was it - no more negotiations. They threw the ball over to the UK as take it or leave it. Well - now the balls really back in their court. Because the left it. So - suck it up and make changes or have no exit strategy. They have to decide how much pain their pride is worth. . . . and now I am the ruler of the Queen's Navy . . .

                          Ravings en masse^

                          "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                          "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                          L Offline
                          L Offline
                          Lost User
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #24

                          Not really, they started the process of ratification already. [EU urges UK government to clarify Brexit intentions – POLITICO](https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-urges-uk-government-to-clarify-brexit-intentions/) Of the existing May deal, the one the parliament rejected. There is no going back. This is not the local municipality negotiating hydro rates. Here some additional explanation: [Britain enters the 'Greek fallacy' phase of Brexit - Business Insider](https://www.businessinsider.com/britain-enters-greek-fallacy-phase-of-brexit-2018-11)

                          W 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • M Munchies_Matt

                            The next election is 2022. The British public, who voted leave, will not accept waiting until then to have their say. Instead there will be civil unrest, and it will be supported by society as a whole forcing their hand.

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Lost User
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #25

                            Welcome to the joys of a representative government. When was the last election? Before or after the Brexit referendum? Did MP candidates voice their Brexit intentions during the campaign?

                            M 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • L Lost User

                              Welcome to the joys of a representative government. When was the last election? Before or after the Brexit referendum? Did MP candidates voice their Brexit intentions during the campaign?

                              M Offline
                              M Offline
                              Munchies_Matt
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #26

                              Very recent, but you have in each seat (a geographical area) ONE member from each party. But brexit isnt about parties, it is about yes or no. For example Mansfield, old coal mining seat, voted Tory for the first time since the 12th century, because they are a hard Brexit area and their Labour guy was a remainer. Kensington, famous for being rich, voted Labour, because they are urban, intellectual, remainers! The problem is that May, as a tory, with a Brexit manifesto, was voted for by the public through the default Tory MP for their region (as with Mansfield). However many Tory MPs are remainers, and are NOT voting for Mays deal! If the Queen dissolves parliament then what happens? Do we elect new MPs? Surely we cant, that is a new government election. OR do we just replace the MPs in some way. Does May replace them with Brexiet MPs, are there enough? Are people given the choice in their seat of two MPs of the same party as they voted for in the last general election, one Brexit, one remain? This is why MPs have to find common ground and go for something like Mays deal, a compromise, as it does give everyone 90% of what they want. If they dont then the entire system is in a complete mess, with civil unrest due in a few months.

                              L 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • M Munchies_Matt

                                Very recent, but you have in each seat (a geographical area) ONE member from each party. But brexit isnt about parties, it is about yes or no. For example Mansfield, old coal mining seat, voted Tory for the first time since the 12th century, because they are a hard Brexit area and their Labour guy was a remainer. Kensington, famous for being rich, voted Labour, because they are urban, intellectual, remainers! The problem is that May, as a tory, with a Brexit manifesto, was voted for by the public through the default Tory MP for their region (as with Mansfield). However many Tory MPs are remainers, and are NOT voting for Mays deal! If the Queen dissolves parliament then what happens? Do we elect new MPs? Surely we cant, that is a new government election. OR do we just replace the MPs in some way. Does May replace them with Brexiet MPs, are there enough? Are people given the choice in their seat of two MPs of the same party as they voted for in the last general election, one Brexit, one remain? This is why MPs have to find common ground and go for something like Mays deal, a compromise, as it does give everyone 90% of what they want. If they dont then the entire system is in a complete mess, with civil unrest due in a few months.

                                L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Lost User
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #27

                                Throw together a quick 2nd binding referendum. Not about Brexit or Remain. Instead the choice is accept May's negotiated Brexit or hard Brexit. It forces the people's choice and it teaches the MPs that they need to respect the people's wishes.

                                M 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • L Lost User

                                  Throw together a quick 2nd binding referendum. Not about Brexit or Remain. Instead the choice is accept May's negotiated Brexit or hard Brexit. It forces the people's choice and it teaches the MPs that they need to respect the people's wishes.

                                  M Offline
                                  M Offline
                                  Munchies_Matt
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #28

                                  The MPs would still try to kill it, the vast majority want to remain. Why? More govt = more politics = more political careers to be made. I told my MP to accept the deal (she is actually a hard brexiter), purely because there HAS to be compromise otherwise it will never get through the house. She told me she wouldnt. (Mays deal as one thing no one likes, the Irish border issue. It says we leave now, but stay in the customs union for 2 more years while we sort out a trade deal. If we dont, and end up outside the union, then northern ireland must be left behind inside the union. This puts a border inside the UK, and no one is happy with it. If this aspect was scraped, and there is no reason a hard border inside Ireland should be a problem, then more people would vote for it, so the EU needs to do a bit of compromising too.) (The fear over a hard border in Ireland is that it will encourage religious violence to rise up like it was in the 70s)

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                                  • G GuyThiebaut

                                    Oi! Who are you calling pig headed and stubborn? I demand an apology and won't navigate away from this page until I see one - oink oink!

                                    “That which can be asserted without evidence, can be dismissed without evidence.”

                                    ― Christopher Hitchens

                                    M Offline
                                    M Offline
                                    Munchies_Matt
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #29

                                    TBH you look more French to me. :)

                                    G 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • W W Balboos GHB

                                      Urban Cricket wrote:

                                      by the negotiators of both governments

                                      You do realize that the negotiators aren't the ratifiers? If they were - if their deal was the done-deal - than Parliament(s) wouldn't need to vote on it, would they? So - it's a proposal that was agreed upon by the negotiators. Nothing more. So - the EU said that's the final offer. MP's said "screw that". Now we have the two options as in from my previous post: new negotiations or just a clean break. Then they can scramble to pick up the pieces.

                                      Ravings en masse^

                                      "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein

                                      "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010

                                      L Offline
                                      L Offline
                                      Lost User
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #30

                                      Well, as the EU said, the negotiations are over, there is a 600 pages document that was negotiated for 2 years that needs ratification. I don't believe they will reopen anything within the next 2 months. If the UK wants renegotiation, they will have to postpone the Brexit. Postponing it is although depending on the unanimous approval of every one of the 27 member states, I don't see a chance of it happening.

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                                      • M Munchies_Matt

                                        TBH you look more French to me. :)

                                        G Offline
                                        G Offline
                                        GuyThiebaut
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #31

                                        I was brought up bilingual speaking froggy and English and although I do have a froggy name I am British.

                                        “That which can be asserted without evidence, can be dismissed without evidence.”

                                        ― Christopher Hitchens

                                        M 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • G GuyThiebaut

                                          I was brought up bilingual speaking froggy and English and although I do have a froggy name I am British.

                                          “That which can be asserted without evidence, can be dismissed without evidence.”

                                          ― Christopher Hitchens

                                          M Offline
                                          M Offline
                                          Munchies_Matt
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #32

                                          Good to hear it, best nation on earth! :)

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