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  4. So Florence was a bit of a flop then

So Florence was a bit of a flop then

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  • M Munchies_Matt

    Turns out it was barely a hurricane: Hurricane Florence, Culmination of Exploitation of Natural Events by Government, Extremists, and Business | Watts Up With That?[^] "By Wednesday evening they already downgraded Florence from a Category 4 to a Category 2, and it came ashore barely as a Category 1. In fact, it was amusing to see how long they continued to report it with wind speeds of 75 mph because if it was 74 mph, it was no longer a hurricane. NOAA control the wind speed determinations with their estimates from one or two flights above the hurricane from which, using models they estimate surface speed. We know these are consistently higher than reality, but a higher speed allows for a higher hurricane category and greater media attention."

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    jeron1
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    While I didn't like the continual media coverage of said storm, it did provide a respite from news about a certain politician.

    "the debugger doesn't tell me anything because this code compiles just fine" - random QA comment "Facebook is where you tell lies to your friends. Twitter is where you tell the truth to strangers." - chriselst "I don't drink any more... then again, I don't drink any less." - Mike Mullikins uncle

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    • J jeron1

      While I didn't like the continual media coverage of said storm, it did provide a respite from news about a certain politician.

      "the debugger doesn't tell me anything because this code compiles just fine" - random QA comment "Facebook is where you tell lies to your friends. Twitter is where you tell the truth to strangers." - chriselst "I don't drink any more... then again, I don't drink any less." - Mike Mullikins uncle

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      Munchies_Matt
      wrote on last edited by
      #10

      Isnt he supposed to be responsible for it? :)

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      • M Munchies_Matt

        Isnt he supposed to be responsible for it? :)

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        jeron1
        wrote on last edited by
        #11

        Oh yes, that whole 'end of days' thing. :laugh:

        "the debugger doesn't tell me anything because this code compiles just fine" - random QA comment "Facebook is where you tell lies to your friends. Twitter is where you tell the truth to strangers." - chriselst "I don't drink any more... then again, I don't drink any less." - Mike Mullikins uncle

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        • J Jorgen Andersson

          Turns out they have recieved over 30 inches of rain in some places. (Swansboro, N.C.) And guess what, it's usually not the wind that kills. And BTW, you should probably keep posting in the soapbox.

          Wrong is evil and must be defeated. - Jeff Ello

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          Dan Neely
          wrote on last edited by
          #12

          Jörgen Andersson wrote:

          Turns out they have recieved over 30 inches of rain in some places. (Swansboro, N.C.) And guess what, it's usually not the wind that kills.

          Very much this. An uptick in windshear screwed up Flo's last eyewall replacement cycle, leaving it with a fubarred eye and much lower peak winds in the very center of the storm. That happened to late to do more than very slightly reduce the outer 90 or so percent's ability to dump massive amounts of water on the ground and would've had a minimal effect on the outer wind speeds prior to the it going ashore and interactions with land starting to break the storm up. Had the windshear hit a few days earlier and abated Flo would've rebuilt it's eye and ramped back to a cat 4, OTOH if it hit a few days earlier and sustained itself it would have significantly weakened the storm overall and made it much less damaging instead of just clipping down a single headline number.

          Did you ever see history portrayed as an old man with a wise brow and pulseless heart, weighing all things in the balance of reason? Is not rather the genius of history like an eternal, imploring maiden, full of fire, with a burning heart and flaming soul, humanly warm and humanly beautiful? --Zachris Topelius Training a telescope on one’s own belly button will only reveal lint. You like that? You go right on staring at it. I prefer looking at galaxies. -- Sarah Hoyt

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          • M Munchies_Matt

            Turns out it was barely a hurricane: Hurricane Florence, Culmination of Exploitation of Natural Events by Government, Extremists, and Business | Watts Up With That?[^] "By Wednesday evening they already downgraded Florence from a Category 4 to a Category 2, and it came ashore barely as a Category 1. In fact, it was amusing to see how long they continued to report it with wind speeds of 75 mph because if it was 74 mph, it was no longer a hurricane. NOAA control the wind speed determinations with their estimates from one or two flights above the hurricane from which, using models they estimate surface speed. We know these are consistently higher than reality, but a higher speed allows for a higher hurricane category and greater media attention."

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            Chris Losinger
            wrote on last edited by
            #13

            it's not about the wind, troll - it's the rain and the storm surge. Wilmington is a city of 250K people and there is no land access to it right now. some rivers are expected to crest more than 10m above flood level tomorrow.

            image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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            • C Chris Losinger

              it's not about the wind, troll - it's the rain and the storm surge. Wilmington is a city of 250K people and there is no land access to it right now. some rivers are expected to crest more than 10m above flood level tomorrow.

              image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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              Munchies_Matt
              wrote on last edited by
              #14

              Chris Losinger wrote:

              some rivers are expected to crest more than 10m above flood level tomorrow.

              Is that the same kind of expectation the media slathered over when they expected cat 5 winds?

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              • M Munchies_Matt

                Chris Losinger wrote:

                some rivers are expected to crest more than 10m above flood level tomorrow.

                Is that the same kind of expectation the media slathered over when they expected cat 5 winds?

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                Chris Losinger
                wrote on last edited by
                #15

                no, idiot, it's based on the fact that it's already nearly 20' above flood stage and we know how much water is in the tributaries. National Weather Service Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service[^]

                image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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                • M Munchies_Matt

                  Turns out it was barely a hurricane: Hurricane Florence, Culmination of Exploitation of Natural Events by Government, Extremists, and Business | Watts Up With That?[^] "By Wednesday evening they already downgraded Florence from a Category 4 to a Category 2, and it came ashore barely as a Category 1. In fact, it was amusing to see how long they continued to report it with wind speeds of 75 mph because if it was 74 mph, it was no longer a hurricane. NOAA control the wind speed determinations with their estimates from one or two flights above the hurricane from which, using models they estimate surface speed. We know these are consistently higher than reality, but a higher speed allows for a higher hurricane category and greater media attention."

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                  Dave Kreskowiak
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #16

                  So, you think that all of this is "overblown"? Or would you rather the message from forcasters and the media be "under-reported" from actual conditions so you can have more people dead from the storm? I, for one, would rather over-prepare for the disaster than scramble at the last minute to try and gather supplies and/or get the out to safety when it's too late. Go read up on hurricane deaths in the past and you'll, hopefully, come to the conclusion that today people would rather be over-prepare and take action earlier for a storm that fizzles out than end up dead in a box for a storm that, by media standards, was "no big deal" but actually turned out worse than reported.

                  Asking questions is a skill CodeProject Forum Guidelines Google: C# How to debug code Seriously, go read these articles.
                  Dave Kreskowiak

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                  • C Chris Losinger

                    no, idiot, it's based on the fact that it's already nearly 20' above flood stage and we know how much water is in the tributaries. National Weather Service Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service[^]

                    image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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                    Munchies_Matt
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #17

                    Good, at least the media haven't exaggerated everything out or all proportion.

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                    • D Dave Kreskowiak

                      So, you think that all of this is "overblown"? Or would you rather the message from forcasters and the media be "under-reported" from actual conditions so you can have more people dead from the storm? I, for one, would rather over-prepare for the disaster than scramble at the last minute to try and gather supplies and/or get the out to safety when it's too late. Go read up on hurricane deaths in the past and you'll, hopefully, come to the conclusion that today people would rather be over-prepare and take action earlier for a storm that fizzles out than end up dead in a box for a storm that, by media standards, was "no big deal" but actually turned out worse than reported.

                      Asking questions is a skill CodeProject Forum Guidelines Google: C# How to debug code Seriously, go read these articles.
                      Dave Kreskowiak

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                      Munchies_Matt
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #18

                      Dave Kreskowiak wrote:

                      So, you think that all of this is "overblown"

                      Did you see the video of the weather journalist pretending to be 'over blown'?

                      Dave Kreskowiak wrote:

                      Or would you rather

                      Ah, here come the bit where I am ascribed a sentiment I dont hold.

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                      • M Munchies_Matt

                        Good, at least the media haven't exaggerated everything out or all proportion.

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                        Chris Losinger
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #19

                        the entire south-east part of the state is under water, you fucking moron. https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2018-09-16-florence-forecast-rain-flood-carolinas-virginia-west-virginia[^]

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                        • C Chris Losinger

                          the entire south-east part of the state is under water, you fucking moron. https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2018-09-16-florence-forecast-rain-flood-carolinas-virginia-west-virginia[^]

                          image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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                          Munchies_Matt
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #20

                          Wow, such vitriol. :zzz: :zzz: :zzz: Where did I say there wassnt flooding? Ah right, I didnt. Now who is the moron?

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                          • M Munchies_Matt

                            Wow, such vitriol. :zzz: :zzz: :zzz: Where did I say there wassnt flooding? Ah right, I didnt. Now who is the moron?

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                            Chris Losinger
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #21

                            fuck off, troll. this is a total disaster for millions of people. grow the fuck up.

                            image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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                            • C Chris Losinger

                              fuck off, troll. this is a total disaster for millions of people. grow the fuck up.

                              image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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                              Munchies_Matt
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #22

                              I win. :) Sad eh, when ones ability to reason is so affected.

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                              • M Munchies_Matt

                                I win. :) Sad eh, when ones ability to reason is so affected.

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                                Chris Losinger
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #23

                                Munchies_Matt wrote:

                                I win.

                                in case anyone had any doubt that you're trolling.

                                image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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                                • M Munchies_Matt

                                  Turns out it was barely a hurricane: Hurricane Florence, Culmination of Exploitation of Natural Events by Government, Extremists, and Business | Watts Up With That?[^] "By Wednesday evening they already downgraded Florence from a Category 4 to a Category 2, and it came ashore barely as a Category 1. In fact, it was amusing to see how long they continued to report it with wind speeds of 75 mph because if it was 74 mph, it was no longer a hurricane. NOAA control the wind speed determinations with their estimates from one or two flights above the hurricane from which, using models they estimate surface speed. We know these are consistently higher than reality, but a higher speed allows for a higher hurricane category and greater media attention."

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                                  David ONeil
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #24

                                  Please, just effin' stop this shit. It is bad enough dealing with family members who want to espouse vitriol and hatred over politics and religion, including their denial of global warming. Coming here and seeing you do the same gets quite old.

                                  The forgotten roots of science | C++ Programming | DWinLib

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                                  • M Munchies_Matt

                                    Dave Kreskowiak wrote:

                                    So, you think that all of this is "overblown"

                                    Did you see the video of the weather journalist pretending to be 'over blown'?

                                    Dave Kreskowiak wrote:

                                    Or would you rather

                                    Ah, here come the bit where I am ascribed a sentiment I dont hold.

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                                    Dave Kreskowiak
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #25

                                    Well, it's either going to be over-reported or under-reported. Very rarely is a weather event, and it's impacts, ever reported "dead on". You're complaining that it's over-reported, so that leaves the only other option.

                                    Asking questions is a skill CodeProject Forum Guidelines Google: C# How to debug code Seriously, go read these articles.
                                    Dave Kreskowiak

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                                    • C Chris Losinger

                                      Munchies_Matt wrote:

                                      I win.

                                      in case anyone had any doubt that you're trolling.

                                      image processing toolkits | batch image processing

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                                      Munchies_Matt
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #26

                                      Actually I wasn't, but I am sure you don't want to see it that way.

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                                      • D David ONeil

                                        Please, just effin' stop this shit. It is bad enough dealing with family members who want to espouse vitriol and hatred over politics and religion, including their denial of global warming. Coming here and seeing you do the same gets quite old.

                                        The forgotten roots of science | C++ Programming | DWinLib

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                                        Munchies_Matt
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #27

                                        Take it to the soapbox and I will reply properly.

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                                        • D Dave Kreskowiak

                                          Well, it's either going to be over-reported or under-reported. Very rarely is a weather event, and it's impacts, ever reported "dead on". You're complaining that it's over-reported, so that leaves the only other option.

                                          Asking questions is a skill CodeProject Forum Guidelines Google: C# How to debug code Seriously, go read these articles.
                                          Dave Kreskowiak

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                                          Munchies_Matt
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #28

                                          It is the almost vampiresque glee with which the media, and other agencies, over hype these events which I am getting at.

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