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  3. Proof of the astronomical probability that You do not exist !

Proof of the astronomical probability that You do not exist !

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  • M Marc Clifton

    Ah, the way statistics can manipulate reality. On the other hand, the probably that any human exists is 100% -- after all, humans exist. It's irrelevant to ask the probably that I exist because all those humans that exist are "I's" and the ones that don't are obviously "not I." In other words, you cannot have a human exist that is not an "I" (meaning, a unique individual to which we can say "you" to.) Silly statistics. :) Marc

    Imperative to Functional Programming Succinctly Contributors Wanted for Higher Order Programming Project!

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    Nish Nishant
    wrote on last edited by
    #27

    Marc Clifton wrote:

    Silly statistics

    Three statisticians go hunting together. They see a deer, and the first statistician shoots, but his shot misses by a foot to the left. Then the second statistician shoots, but his shot misses by a foot to the right. The third statistician says "Okay, we got it!"

    Regards, Nish


    Website: www.voidnish.com Blog: voidnish.wordpress.com

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    • M Mark_Wallace

      You obviously go to different casinos than those I've visited.

      I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!

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      Member 10707677
      wrote on last edited by
      #28

      I usually go to casinos to visit my money.

      The difficult may take time, the impossible a little longer.

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      • M Mark_Wallace

        You're right. Elegance is simplicity.

        I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!

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        AXAMLMAN
        wrote on last edited by
        #29

        And Simplicity is Elegant.

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        • B BillWoodruff

          I've always had my doubts since I was wee tad and heard my parents talking, and my father saying: "but, where did he come from ?:" [^]

          «To kill an error's as good a service, sometimes better than, establishing new truth or fact.» Charles Darwin in "Prospero's Precepts"

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          Rui_Dias
          wrote on last edited by
          #30

          Odds are not applicable once an experiment's outcome is known/becomes a fact. Whoever did that poster wasted his (or her) time and made other waste theirs (including mine!) Be happy.

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          • K Kenneth Haugland

            I'm not entirely sure what the meaning of the words are, as per usual in these theorems. But it was said of QM that if you hit a tennis ball and infinite number of times on a wall it will at one point just pass through the wall. The theorem seem to say that QM can influence the result in any way? :doh:

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            9082365
            wrote on last edited by
            #31

            That seems like a lot of work. Can I not just put the ball on a piece of concrete and wait?

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            • B BillWoodruff

              I've always had my doubts since I was wee tad and heard my parents talking, and my father saying: "but, where did he come from ?:" [^]

              «To kill an error's as good a service, sometimes better than, establishing new truth or fact.» Charles Darwin in "Prospero's Precepts"

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              9082365
              wrote on last edited by
              #32

              So that's why I can't see my reflection in a mirror?

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              • R Rui_Dias

                Odds are not applicable once an experiment's outcome is known/becomes a fact. Whoever did that poster wasted his (or her) time and made other waste theirs (including mine!) Be happy.

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                9082365
                wrote on last edited by
                #33

                Quote:

                Odds are not applicable

                Indeed. Everything evens out in the end!

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                • B BillWoodruff

                  I've always had my doubts since I was wee tad and heard my parents talking, and my father saying: "but, where did he come from ?:" [^]

                  «To kill an error's as good a service, sometimes better than, establishing new truth or fact.» Charles Darwin in "Prospero's Precepts"

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                  iacopovettori
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #34

                  The real mess comes when you ask to yourself why on the Earth I am entitled to perceive subjectively just that particular human being that was born in those particular circumstances... or even better: the fact that in the whole world existed some very particular circumstances (whatever they were) capable to make "me" feel subjectively "alive". People that realize that this is the real problem may be interested to what I wrote at http://www.iacopovettori.it/laterzaipotesi/eng/ArgumentsProOI.aspx (with some discussions also with professional philosophers).

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                  • 9 9082365

                    That seems like a lot of work. Can I not just put the ball on a piece of concrete and wait?

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                    Kenneth Haugland
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #35

                    :laugh: :thumbsup:

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                    • B BillWoodruff

                      I've always had my doubts since I was wee tad and heard my parents talking, and my father saying: "but, where did he come from ?:" [^]

                      «To kill an error's as good a service, sometimes better than, establishing new truth or fact.» Charles Darwin in "Prospero's Precepts"

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                      ttennebb
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #36

                      In the grand scheme of the universe, I do not exist even though I am answering this silly question. No probability about it.

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                      • D Daniel Pfeffer

                        Like many before him, the author is confusing pre-hoc and post-hoc statistics. For example: The probability of a couple having four children, all sons, is 1 in 16. Given that they have three sons, the probability of them having a fourth is 1 in 2. In like manner: Given my remote ancestor, the probability of my future existence is very small. Given that I already exist (Cogito, ergo sum), the probability of my existence is 100%.

                        If you have an important point to make, don't try to be subtle or clever. Use a pile driver. Hit the point once. Then come back and hit it again. Then hit it a third time - a tremendous whack. --Winston Churchill

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                        TNCaver
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #37

                        The original image was published on a Harvard Law blog, so one can perhaps understand the lack of statistical expertise of the blogger.

                        If you think 'goto' is evil, try writing an Assembly program without JMP.

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